Forexsignals
GOLD MELTDOWN INCOMING? THE ONLY BREAKDOWN YOU NEED!Welcome back, traders! Mr. Blue Ocean FX here, breaking down the latest price action on gold (XAUUSD) . Let’s dive straight into the technicals and see what the market is telling us.
Market Overview
Gold has been on a strong bullish run since December 30th, surging from the 2620 area all the way to 2942, marking an aggressive impulse move. However, last week, we saw signs of exhaustion, particularly with a rejection wick forming on February 10th, signaling potential downside pressure.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, price action printed a double top around 2929, followed by a strong bearish engulfing candle that closed on Friday. This indicates a potential momentum shift from buyers to sellers. We also placed a key level at 2881, marking the recent wick low. This level is crucial because if price breaks below it, it would confirm sellers stepping in with conviction.
H4 Timeframe Analysis
Scaling down to the 4-hour (H4) chart, we can see a clearer structure:
• Price spiked high, retraced, and formed a higher low before another push up.
• The latest move shows a break and retest pattern, where price broke structure and is now testing previous support as resistance.
• While the H4 candle looks promising, we are waiting for a solid close to confirm the momentum shift before executing a trade.
H1 Timeframe Execution Plan
On the 1-hour (H1) chart, here’s our trade setup:
1. Waiting for a pullback after the breakdown.
2. Looking for price to form a lower high at 2896.
3. Entry confirmation comes with strong bearish volume and a small retest.
4. Short position at 2896, with a stop loss just above the 2906.55 wick high.
5. First target: Recent lows near 2881 for a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio (RRR).
6. If price breaks below the daily low, we could see further downside continuation.
Final Thoughts
This setup is in play, and we are watching how price reacts at key levels. If the market confirms our bias, this could be a solid high-probability short trade.
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EURUSD About to turn bearish again on Double StructureThe EURUSD pair has been on a Bullish Leg since the February 09 Low and is approaching the January 27 High, which is its technical Resistance level. Technically, every such test has been rejected down to at least the 0.786 Fibonacci level but since we might be within a Channel Up, it is possible to see one last push to complete a +2.68% rise from the February 09 Low.
The 0.786 Fib then will fall below the Channel Up so to account for that technical miss of support, our Target will be the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 1.03125.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURSEK at Key Support Zone: Bullish Rebound ExpectedOANDA:EURSEK has reached a significant support zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if buyers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support zone, there is a high likelihood of an upward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 11.33450 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
GBPNZD: Intraday Bullish Confirmation 🇬🇧🇳🇿
A price action on GBPNZD shows 2 strong bullish confirmation
on an hourly time frame.
I see an inverted cup & handle pattern and a breakout of a resistance line
of a falling channel.
Chances will be high that the price will go up.
Goal - 2.2
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XAU/USD : Bull or Bear? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 30-minute gold chart, we can see that, as expected, gold resumed its bullish momentum, successfully hitting the $2,923 and $2,929 targets with ease, and even extending its rally to $2,940.
With this move, gold filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG) mentioned in the previous analysis and reached its bearish order block.
Currently, gold is trading around $2,927, and the next move will depend on price stability:
• If gold holds above $2,929 for the next 4 hours, we could see another bullish push.
• If gold fails to hold above this key level, we might see a pullback towards $2,923 as the first corrective target.
Stay tuned for further updates!
#AUDUSD 4HAUDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming an expanding pattern, indicating increased volatility and uncertainty in market direction. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has appeared, suggesting strong bearish momentum and potential downside movement.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the expanding pattern, combined with the sell engulfing area, signals increased selling pressure.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A sell position can be considered near the recent resistance area where the sell engulfing pattern has formed.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target lower support levels for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The formation of an expanding pattern with a sell engulfing candlestick suggests that bearish pressure is increasing. Monitoring price action and confirmation signals before entry will help align with the prevailing trend.
ETHUSDT 4HETHUSDT (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a phase of indecision in the market. This formation suggests that the price is preparing for a breakout, but the direction is uncertain until a confirmed move occurs.
Forecast:
A breakout in either direction will determine the next potential trend. Traders should wait for a clear breakout with volume confirmation before entering a trade.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A breakout above the resistance trendline may indicate a buying opportunity, while a breakdown below the support trendline could signal a selling opportunity.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed beyond the breakout level to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target key resistance or support levels, depending on the breakout direction.
Market Sentiment:
A symmetrical triangle reflects market consolidation, and a breakout will confirm the next move. Waiting for confirmation helps avoid false breakouts and aligns trades with the prevailing momentum.
#EURGBP 4HEURGBP (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating market consolidation and reduced volatility. This pattern suggests that the price is preparing for a breakout, but the direction remains uncertain. A breakout on either side will provide further clarity on the next potential move.
Forecast:
Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout in either direction before entering a position.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A breakout above the resistance trendline may signal a buy opportunity, while a breakdown below the support trendline may indicate a sell opportunity.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed beyond the breakout level to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next key support or resistance levels, depending on the breakout direction.
Market Sentiment:
A symmetrical triangle represents market indecision, and a breakout in either direction will determine the next trend. Waiting for confirmation ensures alignment with the prevailing market movement.
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
The price has successfully broken its downward trendline and, after a successful pullback, has also broken through a key resistance level to the upside.
Currently, the price is consolidating above the broken resistance, which indicates strong buyer momentum and a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Given the current market structure, the price is likely to experience a minor pullback and consolidation before continuing its upward movement.
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG resistance area 1.05281 (Wave 3).Colleagues, price has traveled a long distance and this could mean that price is moving in impulse. This means that the price is in wave “1” and now a correction is expected in wave ‘2’ (50% Fibonacci level 1.03264) and then I expect the upward movement to continue in wave “3” which will reach the resistance area 1.05281.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
USTEC,NAS100USTEC price is at resistance zone 22210. If price cannot break through, we expect a correction. Consider selling red zone.
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Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the area of 68.926 (Wave C).Colleagues, price has worked the downward movement perfectly, but I believe the downward movement is not over yet.
Wave “C” is a five-wave wave and now the price is in the correction of wave “4”.
I expect the price to reach the downtrend line in the area of 72.00 level, then I expect the price to decline to the area of 68.926.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
USDSGD at Key Support Zone: Bullish Rebound ExpectedOANDA:USDSGD has reached a significant support zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if buyers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support zone, there is a high likelihood of an upward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 1.34820 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to 100% Fibo lvl 6214.4.Colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet and the lower and middle order wave “3” is not yet complete. This is a good chance to go long, but it should be remembered that even though a correction to the uptrend line is possible, I do not recommend selling.
The target area is the 6214.4 level area - this is slightly higher than the 100% Fibonacci extension level.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
#GBPUSD 1DAYGBPUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has broken above the downtrend resistance, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are gaining control, but further confirmation is needed before entering a position.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise after a retest of the broken resistance level, which could now act as support.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Wait for a retest of the breakout level and confirmation of support before considering a buy position.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the retest level or recent swing low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target higher resistance levels or key areas for potential upside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The breakout above the downtrend resistance is a sign of potential bullish movement, but patience is needed to ensure the price holds above the retested level before entering a trade.
USD/JPY Falls from 154.80 – Is 146 the Next Target?In my post last week about USD/JPY, I mentioned that the pair could resume its decline and draw attention to the 154+ sell zone.
Indeed, USD/JPY started falling after reaching 154.80 and is now trading at 151.72, which is very close to a key horizontal support level.
Looking ahead, I expect this support to break, pushing the pair below 150 and potentially down to the next horizontal support around 146.
In conclusion, my strategy remains unchanged: I will continue looking to sell rallies, with invalidation above last week’s high.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold remains in an uptrend, and there are no clear signs that the bullish wave has ended. We still expect the price to reach at least above $3,000 in the coming period.
However, on the daily timeframe, gold has entered the overbought zone, leading to the expected corrective phase.
At this point, we anticipate a further price correction to lower levels before a new bullish move begins.
Stay patient and look for suitable buying opportunities.
Monitor price reactions to support levels to identify an optimal entry point.
The overall trend remains bullish, and the current correction may provide a good re-entry opportunity.
What’s your outlook on gold? Do you think the $3,000 target is achievable?
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World gold continues to run out of timeGold prices today in the world February 17: Trade tensions pushed gold prices to record highs
Precious metals investors have endured a volatile week, as dismal US economic data and escalating tariff threats pushed gold prices to new record highs. However, at the end of the week, some optimistic news about the US economy and the US-Russia peace negotiations caused gold to take profit and fall sharply. The downward trend has not stopped today, gold is still trading below 2,900 USD/ounce.
Unfavorable economic data from the US has also pulled the USD down, possibly creating opportunities for commodities traded in USD. Specifically, retail sales in the US in January decreased by 0.9%, in contrast to the increase of 0.7% (adjusted from 0.4%) in December, according to an announcement from the US Census Bureau on Friday. This decrease is lower than market expectations, only -0.1%.
With this situation, although gold prices are currently trending down in the short term, unstable factors from Trump's tax policy or concerns about trade wars can still create momentum to help gold prices go up in the future, especially when the demand for safe assets increases.