XAUUSD Next Move? 2h AnalysisGold Price Outlook: Bearish Bias with Key Levels to Watch
Fundamental Analysis: Gold has been under pressure recently due to a combination of factors. The ongoing strength of the US dollar, driven by hawkish statements from the Federal Reserve, continues to weigh on gold prices. Additionally, rising bond yields and expectations of higher interest rates are further diminishing gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset. As global economic uncertainties persist, market participants are increasingly flocking to higher-yielding assets, leaving gold vulnerable to continued downside. If the Fed maintains its stance on tightening monetary policy, gold could face further headwinds in the short term.
Technical Analysis: Gold has been consolidating within a defined range over the past few sessions, creating a clear trading setup. Currently, the price is moving between two key levels:
Resistance: 2674 (If price breaks and closes above this level, it could signal a potential bullish reversal, with the next target at 2689).
Support: 2659 (If price breaks and closes below this level, we may see further downside with a target at 2625).
Key Levels to Watch:
Buy Trigger: A break and close above 2674 could open the door for a move higher towards 2689.
Sell Trigger: A break and close below 2659 would suggest further bearish pressure, with a target towards 2625.
Strategy: Monitor price action around these levels for confirmation. A clean break above 2674 could provide a buying opportunity, while a close below 2659 would support a bearish outlook. Let's see how the market performs in the coming sessions to gauge the direction.
Forexsignals
Could the price reverse from here?GBP/CAD is rising towards resistance level which is a multi swing high resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.8094
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing high resistance.
Stop loss: 1.8242
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.7912
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 160.40
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retraecment.
Stop loss: 161.95
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 157.93
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 160.59
1st Support: 157.98
1st Resistance: 162.16
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 2,657.39
1st Support: 2,618.57
1st Resistance: 2,708.74
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Overlap resistance ahead?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 151.83
1st Support: 149.63
1st Resistance: 153.43
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is reacting off the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the overlap support.
Pivot: 0.8711
1st Support: 0.8711
1st Resistance: 0.8831
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.2720
1st Support: 1.2646
1st Resistance: 1.2846
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Investors predict the Fed will lower interest ratesAccording to a report by the World Gold Council (WGC), the People's Bank of China (PBOC) bought gold for reserves in November after a 6-month pause. China's gold reserves rose to 72.96 million ounces of pure gold at the end of November, up from 72.8 million ounces the previous month. In November, gold prices dropped sharply due to the sell-off after the US election results.
WGC said that central banks' demand for gold continues to be positive. The main motivation for buying gold is to diversify foreign exchange reserves and reduce dependence on the USD.
In the US, the market is looking towards an interest rate adjustment by the Federal Reserve (Fed). According to MT Newswires, strong labor market data reduces immediate pressure on the Fed to accelerate interest rate cuts.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2676 - 2678🔥
💵 TP1: 2650
💵 TP2: 2640
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2686
🔥 XAUUSD BUY 2653 - 5651🔥
💵 TP1: 2665
💵 TP2: 2675
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2646
World gold prices were under pressure last week from USDWorld gold prices were under pressure last week when the USD index increased. Recorded at 7:00 a.m. on December 8, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 106,040 points (up 0.32%).
Kitco News's latest survey shows that experts continue to be divided, while individual investors are optimistic about gold prices next week.
“I expect gold prices to rise next week, as long as the $2,600/ounce level holds. Three central banks in the G10 group will cut interest rates and the market predicts two banks (the Bank of Canada and the Swiss National Bank) may cut interest rates by 25 basis points" - Marc Chandler - CEO Executive at Bannockburn Global Forex - said.
"The downtrend line from the record high in late October will be near $2,680 an ounce on Monday and fall to around $2,660 an ounce by the end of next week," he added.
🔥 TVC:GOLD SELL 2657 - 2659🔥
💵 TP1: 2650
💵 TP2: 2640
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2670
Gold prices fluctuate in a narrow rangeCurrently, gold prices are said to be "stuck" in a medium-term correction cycle, while the long-term price chart and macro fundamentals still support this safe-haven metal's price increase after the correction. Adjustment lasting 6 weeks ends.
According to Kitco's latest survey, with 12 Wall Street analysts suggesting that price fluctuations are unlikely in the short term, only 17% of experts believe that the price of this precious metal will decrease, while the proportion forecast increases and decreases. equal at 42%.
World gold prices have increased more than 27% this year, reaching a record high after the Fed loosened interest rates and geopolitical tensions escalated.
According to the assessment of head of foreign exchange Christopher Vecchio at Tastylive, the long-term outlook for gold is still positive. If it overcomes the resistance level of 2,725 USD/ounce, gold prices could experience a fierce increase.
🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD BUY 2636 2634🔥
💵 TP1: 2645
💵 TP2: 2655
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2628
#USDCHF 4HUSDCHF 4-Hour Analysis
The USDCHF pair is forming a head and shoulders pattern on the 4-hour chart, aligning with a trendline resistance level. This confluence of bearish signals suggests potential downside momentum if the price breaks below the neckline of the pattern. The trendline resistance strengthens the case for a sell position.
Technical Outlook:
Pattern: Head & Shoulders and Trendline Resistance
Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity)
Entry Strategy: Sell upon a confirmed break below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern.
Traders should look for confirmation such as bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing) or indicators like RSI showing bearish divergence. Place stop-loss orders above the trendline resistance to manage risk effectively. Profit targets can be set at lower support levels or based on the measured move from the head and shoulders pattern.
EURUSD Down movement after test of the resistance crossingFollowing a significant bearish decline in autumn, EUR/USD has entered a consolidation phase, moving sideways. This behavior often occurs after substantial market movements. If the price retests the channel boundary and rebounds, it may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend from the resistance zone and channel border. The target for this movement is the support zone around 1.04300
#EURUSD 4HEURUSD 4-Hour Analysis
The EURUSD pair is forming a head and shoulders pattern on the 4-hour chart, which is typically a bearish reversal signal. However, in this case, the price action suggests a potential invalidation of the pattern, favoring a bullish breakout scenario. If the neckline resistance is broken, it could provide a buy opportunity.
Technical Outlook:
Pattern: Head and Shoulders (Potential Breakout)
Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity)
Entry Strategy: Enter a buy position upon a confirmed breakout above the neckline resistance with strong bullish momentum.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation such as a breakout candlestick with increased volume or indicators like MACD signaling upward momentum. Proper risk management is crucial, with stop-loss orders placed below the neckline and profit targets set at the next resistance levels.
EURUSD Crucial test on the 4H MA200. Bullish if broken.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Bearish Megaphone since the September 30 High, which is technically the Bearish Leg of the long-term Channel Down pattern, which we saw on our previous analysis.
Having found support on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), the pair appears to be attempting another test on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), which rejected the last Lower High (November 05) and has been intact since October 01, making it practically the basic long-term Resistance.
As a result, if the 4H MA200 breaks, the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Bearish Megaphone should follow too, which will cause a technical medium-term break-out. Our Target is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 1.08765.
You may use the Higher Lows trend-line as an additional tool to determine if the break-out will be successful as last time (November 05) the failed to hold and caused the new Bearish Low of the Megaphone. Similar analogy with the 4H RSI Higher Lows trend-line.
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#EURJPY 4HEURJPY 4-Hour Analysis
The EURJPY pair is trading near a key support level on the 4-hour chart, a zone where buyers have previously stepped in to push prices higher. This support area presents a potential buying opportunity if the price shows signs of holding above this level.
Technical Outlook:
Pattern: Support
Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity)
Entry Strategy: Enter a buy position near the support level, confirming with bullish price action.
Traders should look for confirmation such as bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) or indicators like RSI signaling oversold conditions. Proper risk management is essential, with stop-loss orders placed below the support level and profit targets set at the next resistance zone.
#GBPJPY DAILYGBPJPY Daily Analysis
The GBPJPY pair is approaching a significant resistance level on the daily chart, where selling pressure has historically emerged. This zone indicates a potential reversal area, providing an opportunity for a sell position if the price fails to break above the resistance.
Technical Outlook:
Pattern: Resistance
Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity)
Entry Strategy: Enter a sell position if the price shows rejection at the resistance level.
Traders should monitor for bearish signals such as reversal candlestick patterns (e.g., shooting star or bearish engulfing) or indicators like RSI reflecting overbought conditions. Proper risk management is essential, with stop-loss orders placed above the resistance level and targets set at nearby support zones.
#XAUUSD 4HBased on the 4-hour analysis, the price is currently consolidating within a defined range. A decisive breakout will provide the next trading opportunity:
Bullish scenario: If the price closes above 2668.00, we will consider a buying opportunity.
Bearish scenario: If the price closes below 2606.00, we will look for a selling opportunity.
We will monitor closely to see how the price unfolds.
#XAUUSD #MarketAnalysis
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support lvl 63.5 (Wave 3).Colleagues, the last forecast is still active, but I thought it was worth doing another one that will show more clearly what is happening now.
In my opinion, the price is still in wave “2” of low order, but in a three-wave correction.
This means that wave “2” (black, lower wave) should not update the level of 73.114, but it can update 71.695, although this condition is not necessary.
As a result, I still believe that the price will continue its downward movement, although it is in a prolonged correction.
There are 2 possible courses of action:
1) The riskier one is to open a short position on the market.
2) Conservative - wait for the price to rise, and enter with less risk.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!