GBPJPY SURELY FALL 1. Resistance Break Possibility
The analysis suggests a rejection at resistance (191.878) leading to a drop. However, price could break above resistance, triggering stop-loss orders and fueling a bullish rally.
Instead of a reversal, watch for a liquidity grab above resistance before deciding on direction.
2. Support Area Failure Risk
The support zone (near 189.000) is assumed to hold, but if market momentum is strong, price could break through, leading to further downside.
Instead of assuming a bounce, consider monitoring for confirmation before entering long trades.
3. Bullish Trend Continuation Possibility
Price recently made a strong move upwards, suggesting buyers are active. The expected rejection at resistance may fail, leading to a higher breakout instead of a reversal.
The small consolidation near 190.296 could indicate accumulation for a bullish continuation.
4. Alternative Scenarios
Instead of dropping immediately, price may range between 190.762 and 191.878 before a strong move in either direction.
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USOIL Reversal in Motion? Key Levels You Can’t Ignore!Market Structure Breakdown:
🔸 Daily Timeframe:
• We initially identified a double-bottom formation, signaling a bullish push to grab liquidity above previous highs.
• However, buyers failed to sustain momentum, leading to a structural shift.
🔸 H4 Timeframe:
• Strong impulse move downward, breaking key structure.
• Formed a lower high, indicating seller control.
🔸 H1 Timeframe:
• Entry confirmation: Lower high + structure break + retest.
• Current Position: Short trade floating +142 pips in profit.
• Stops secured in profit = No risk on the trade.
🎯 Next Targets & Key Levels:
✅ Target 1: Sweep 7040 low.
✅ Target 2: Potential drop to 7026 if momentum continues.
⏳ Crucial Confirmation Needed:
• If today’s bearish candle closes above average, it will confirm a true lower high and increase chances of breaking consolidation to move lower.
🛠 Trade Management:
• Profits taken at: +30 pips, +60 pips, +100 pips.
• Current floating: +142 pips.
• Overall target: +212 pips (1:5 / 1:6 RR).
• If we break consolidation, we’ll trail TP and maximize gains.
This trade is a textbook example of a failed bullish push leading to a structural breakdown. With stops locked in profit, we’re letting the trade play out risk-free, while looking for further downside expansion.
If you’re tracking USOIL, keep an eye on these key levels and watch how price reacts! 🚀📊
XAUUSD strong bullish mode opportunity all time high market (gold big flying soon)
1. Resistance Area May Not Hold
The marked resistance area could be weak if bullish momentum continues strongly, especially with a breakout above recent highs.
If price consolidates near resistance without strong rejection, it may indicate accumulation rather than reversal
2. Support Areas Could Fail
The support zones might not hold if there's a strong bearish catalyst, like economic news or a shift in market sentiment.
A breakdown below the strong bullish support area could signal a deeper pullback.
3. Alternative Scenarios
Instead of bouncing from the lower support, the price might consolidate and range before a clear breakout direction.
A false breakout above resistance could trigger a liquidity grab, leading to a sharp drop instead of an upward move.
4. Indicators & Confirmation Needed
The chart does not include indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages, which could provide additional confirmation
ETHUSD surely flying around Resistance Might Hold Stronger Than Expected:
The analysis assumes a breakout above the resistance area. However, if market sentiment weakens, sellers might defend this level aggressively, leading to a rejection and price reversal.
2. Liquidity Grab and Fake Breakout:
Instead of a clean breakout, price could exhibit a false move above resistance to trigger stop-losses before reversing sharply downward.
3. Support Might Not Hold:
The identified support area assumes bullish strength, but if macroeconomic factors or market conditions worsen, ETH could break below support and trend lower.
4. Trendline Trap:
The projected price movement suggests a higher high formation. However, if institutional traders manipulate price action, we might see a deeper retracement before any actual bullish continuation
Btcusd strong sell 1. Breakout Possibility Instead of Rejection
The chart assumes Bitcoin will face resistance at ~99,000 and drop towards the 96,000 support zone. However, Bitcoin has shown strong bullish momentum leading up to this point. If the buying pressure continues, BTC could break out above resistance instead of reversing.
A clean breakout and retest of the resistance zone as new support could send BTC toward 100,000+ rather than declining.
2. Liquidity Trap & Fakeout Risks
Market makers often target areas with high liquidity. If many traders anticipate a drop from resistance, a fakeout could occur—where BTC briefly dips, then reverses upward, liquidating short positions.
Instead of a clean sell-off, price could wick down to shake out weak hands before continuing higher
3. Support May Not Hold
The identified support area near 96,000 assumes buyers will step in. However, if market sentiment shifts (e.g., news events, macroeconomic data), BTC could crash through support instead of bouncing
If BTC closes below support, the next downside target could be around 94,000 or lower.
4. Fundamental & External Factors
Technical patterns are useful, but external factors like news, ETF inflows, and macroeconomic conditions can disrupt traditional price movements
If a major bullish event (e.g., institutional buying, regulatory clarity) occurs, BTC could invalidate the expected bearish retracement and continue surging
Conclusion:
While the given analysis suggests a bearish correction from resistance alternative scenarios include
A bullish breakout above resistance
A fakeout drop before continuation higher
A failed support level leading to deeper declines.
External catalysts overriding technical expectations
USOIL READY TO EXPLODE?! DON’T MISS THIS CRUCIAL MOVE!📊 USOIL (Crude Oil) Analysis – February 17
What’s up, traders? Mr. Blue Ocean FX here with another deep dive into the markets, and today, we’re breaking down US Oil (Crude Oil) and the major opportunities setting up. Let’s get straight into it.
📉 Weekly Time Frame Insight
• Last week’s candle closed with exhaustion, printing a low at 70.30 but losing volume compared to previous bearish moves.
• Key Resistance: 71.55 area was broken, signaling potential bullish momentum.
• Impulse Move: Price pushed as high as 79.44 (Jan 13th), breaking past the 77.90 October high before retesting that level.
📊 Daily Time Frame Setup
• USOIL is currently ranging in a consolidation zone, and we are at the lower region of this range.
• Buy Zone Identified:
• Three bottom touches suggest a strong support level.
• Higher low structure forming at 70.58, above the previous Feb 6th low of 70.34.
• If bulls hold this zone, we could see a strong push to the upside.
🕒 4H Time Frame Execution Plan
• Structure Confirmation: After a deep retracement, price failed to print a new low.
• Liquidity Sweep: A wick below 70.16 may have stopped early buyers before price reclaimed.
• Entry Plan:
• Buy near 70.68 (entry level).
• Stops below the recent low.
• Targeting 72.04, then 73.32, with further upside potential to 74.21+ if consolidation breaks.
• Channel Formation: USOIL is respecting an upward-sloping trend channel that could continue bouncing before a major breakout or breakdown.
🚀 What’s Next?
If bulls maintain control, we could see an explosive breakout, targeting higher liquidity zones above 74.21. However, if price breaks down, we may see another leg lower before a final push up.
🔥 What do you think? Will oil rally higher or break down? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
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Let’s catch these moves! 🚀💰 #USOIL #CrudeOil #Trading #Forex #MarketBreakdown
GOLD MELTDOWN INCOMING? THE ONLY BREAKDOWN YOU NEED!Welcome back, traders! Mr. Blue Ocean FX here, breaking down the latest price action on gold (XAUUSD) . Let’s dive straight into the technicals and see what the market is telling us.
Market Overview
Gold has been on a strong bullish run since December 30th, surging from the 2620 area all the way to 2942, marking an aggressive impulse move. However, last week, we saw signs of exhaustion, particularly with a rejection wick forming on February 10th, signaling potential downside pressure.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, price action printed a double top around 2929, followed by a strong bearish engulfing candle that closed on Friday. This indicates a potential momentum shift from buyers to sellers. We also placed a key level at 2881, marking the recent wick low. This level is crucial because if price breaks below it, it would confirm sellers stepping in with conviction.
H4 Timeframe Analysis
Scaling down to the 4-hour (H4) chart, we can see a clearer structure:
• Price spiked high, retraced, and formed a higher low before another push up.
• The latest move shows a break and retest pattern, where price broke structure and is now testing previous support as resistance.
• While the H4 candle looks promising, we are waiting for a solid close to confirm the momentum shift before executing a trade.
H1 Timeframe Execution Plan
On the 1-hour (H1) chart, here’s our trade setup:
1. Waiting for a pullback after the breakdown.
2. Looking for price to form a lower high at 2896.
3. Entry confirmation comes with strong bearish volume and a small retest.
4. Short position at 2896, with a stop loss just above the 2906.55 wick high.
5. First target: Recent lows near 2881 for a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio (RRR).
6. If price breaks below the daily low, we could see further downside continuation.
Final Thoughts
This setup is in play, and we are watching how price reacts at key levels. If the market confirms our bias, this could be a solid high-probability short trade.
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Let’s catch these pips! See you in the next breakdown. Boom! 🚀💰
Gold Uptrend is Breaking Don’t Miss This High Probability ShortGold has been on an incredible 49-day bullish run, but signs are emerging that the momentum is fading. Is the reversal finally here? In this analysis, I break down why I believe gold is setting up for a potential short opportunity and how I plan to execute it.
Starting from the weekly timeframe, we identify a key rejection at $2943, signaling potential exhaustion after an extended bullish trend. On the daily timeframe, price has failed to hold above $2897, forming a critical rejection zone that could lead to further downside.
Diving deeper into the H4 and H1 timeframes, we observe a key structure break around $2900, followed by price failing to create a new high. This shift in market structure suggests a weakening bullish trend, increasing the probability of a bearish follow-through.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Break & Retest Setup: Waiting for a clean break below $2881 (yesterday’s daily low), followed by a retest to confirm the sell-side momentum.
🔹 Bearish Target Zones: Liquidity levels at $2854, $2788, and $2747, with a final downside objective near $2746.
🔹 Risk Management: Stops will be determined based on price action confirmation, ensuring a controlled approach to the trade.
With buyers struggling to push higher and multiple liquidity pockets below, we could see a sharp pullback before any further upside continuation. This is not a long-term bearish call on gold but rather a short-term high-probability short setup to capitalize on potential downside movement.
📉 Will gold break lower, or will buyers regain control? Watch the full analysis, boost this idea, and share it with fellow traders so you don’t miss the next big move! 🚀💰
Gold upward trend soonThe chart shows XAUUSD (Gold) in an upward trend within a channel. The price is currently at 2,861.250, and the next key resistance is at 2,900.592. Potential support levels are at 2,787.548 (Support 2) and 2,831.691 (Support 1). If the price retraces, it could test these support levels before moving higher. Watch for upward momentum toward the 2,900 level
Market Analysis for US30 (Sell)US30 has broken through the fair value gap, confirming a strong bearish momentum and aligning perfectly with our trading strategy. This setup indicates a market imbalance correction, creating an optimal sell opportunity. With price action showing rejection from key resistance levels, we anticipate further downside movement. Stops are placed above the FVG for risk control, and targets are set at the next support zone. This is a textbook example of our strategic approach to capitalizing on market inefficiencies.
EUR/GBP at Critical Resistance – Major Move Incoming?What’s great everyone!? Mr. Blue Ocean FX here, breaking down EUR/GBP with an in-depth analysis you don’t want to miss.
Starting from the higher timeframes, we’ve identified a major trendline resistance dating back to January 2023, which has been tested multiple times and is now being challenged again. After a massive impulse move from the 0.8275 area in late December, price has surged to the current levels around 0.8472, but signs of weakness are starting to emerge.
Looking closer at the daily timeframe, we’ve seen a clear rejection off the trendline with significant bearish volume stepping in yesterday—indicating strong selling pressure after a liquidity grab above 0.8444. With a confirmed daily close below 0.8434, we’re now eyeing potential downside targets.
Dropping down to the H1 timeframe, we’re observing a lower high formation, which could signal a continuation lower. I’ve already entered this trade with a high-risk, high-reward approach, placing stops above the recent high and targeting multiple liquidity areas below.
Key levels to watch:
• First target: 0.8433, sweeping liquidity.
• Next: 0.8413 (double bottom) and ultimately 0.8335 if momentum continues.
If we break below key support at 0.8410, this could trigger a much larger drop into untested levels from past price action, potentially targeting the 0.8146 area.
The next few candles will be crucial—will EUR/GBP hold this level or melt down further? Stay tuned and let’s see how it plays out!
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XAUUSD buy all time high full more op gold opportunity (XAUUSD) buy 2680_2675 support area
Resistance 2720_2750 soon
developments that will shape the next year and offers exclusive guidance into their potential impact on various asset classes
XAUUSD buy opportunity now 2689_2680
Target 2700
Target 2710
Target 2720