XAUUSD BULLISH PROJECTION DATA-INDUCED MARKET REPRICING SETS USDWhile this report’s focus leans more heavily on the technical analysis, it is only prudent to take into account the effect of recent dollar and Fed funds rate repricing this last week. On Thursday, strong jobs numbers from ADP data saw markets lift expectations of a possible 50 bps hike in February to around 45% resulting in a slight bid in the dollar. That of course was before the ISM services PMI data revealed that the largest sector of the US economy had just dipped into a contraction, immediately erasing prior dollar gains as the market repositioned once more, this time for a potentially more cautious Fed approach on the terminal rate.
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USDJPY setup Analysis Hello Traders,
We see a bullish head and shoulders in formation.
Scenario 1: We would like to see price give bullish price action and confirmation to enter buys (Longs)
Scenario 2: We would see the possibility of sell pressure continuing, Therefore, invalidating the head and shoulder formation and reaching lows.
Have a good week of trading!!
AudJpy could rise back to 95 zoneAfter a touch of support in the first trading day of the year, AudJpy strongly reversed with a daily rise of around 300 pips (3%).
This rise stopped in 91 horizontal resistance and the pair started to consolidate gains.
A double bottom pattern could play out soon and this could lead to a break of the descending trend line.
In such an instance the pair could rise further and the next obvious resistance is at 95.
Did EurUsd topped?EurUsd has started the year badly, with the first trading day of 2023 being a red one, but more importantly, marking the up break from last Friday as a false one.
On 3rd January we have a new long red candle that also breaks under a small double top pattern and yesterday's candle, a new drop with the candle engulfing the 4th of January correction.
The all, put together, could give us an idea that the 3 months correction is over and the most traded pair is ready to resume its long-term bearish trend.
Short-term traders could focus on the 1.0580 zone resistance and target the 1.04 support and medium-term traders can aim for the 1.02 important one.
Negation comes with a new high above 1.07.
Anyway, as I said multiple times in my previous analysis, there si nothing fundamentally that supports higher prices for Eur above 1.08, and this year I expect a new visit under parity if not even a new low.
NZDUSD TRADE SETUPIN nzdusd price was in uptrend and ranging from last 2 days now price retest its 200 ema in 4h timeframe and in 1 h market formed double bottom and rejected from the support previous resistance now on the monday open if price break the black resistance to the upside than go long for the next level which is red zone and if it break then next level i mentioned 0.5956/ sl below the support zone
EurUsd- Will it regain parity?As I said yesterday, after the strong reversal from the 0.95 low, EurUsd looks ready for a deeper correction of the 3k pips downtrend.
Yesterday the price held above important horizontal support and now is facing the falling trend line from mid-August.
A break above this trend line followed by EurUsd back above parity would put bulls in a very favorable position and give scope to a rise to the very important 1.0350-1.04 resistance
I'm bullish Eur as long as 0.98 is intact
EurUsd- Pressure is lifted, 103 is very probable nowAs I've written yesterday and on the 6Th of September, EurUsd seems ready for a correction.
Yesterday has been a volatile day for EurUsd which went above and under parity and finished the day with a Doji.
Looking at the 4h posted chart we can see that after an initial rise above parity, the pair fell strongly but found strong bids in 0.9930 and reversed strongly overnight, putting in a higher low on our chart.
At this moment EurUsd is trading just under the recent range's resistance and a break un seems very likely. In such an instance I expect the pair to accelerate its gains and rise to 1.03 zone resistance.
I expect parity to remain intact for the time being and dips should be bought in search of a good R: R considering a stop loss under yesterday's low and a target in mentioned resistance.
Best of luck!
Mihai Iacob
My Yesterday's analysis:
EurUsd- New low's loomingLast week, EurUsd clearly dropped under parity and reached a low at 0.99.
After this low, we have 3 attempts to reconquer this important figure and all failed badly with Friday's spike leaving a very long-tailed pin bar on our chart.
Both technicals and fundamentals are aligned for a stronger USD and in EurUsd's case I expect a continuation to the downside and a drop to 0.97
I'm strongly bearish as long as 1.01 is intact and selling rallies can be a good strategy
My Previous EurUsd analysis
BTC/USDT - WHERE ARE WE HEADING NEXT? (AN UPDATE!)Last week we've called out the next pivot point as to where the BTC might be retesting, and boy we were accurate about it!
For our Weekly TF analysis for today, I have plotted the major points in bitcoin and it's trend shift from wayback 2017 to ATH and now..still in the bearish market.
2020 bearish market was affected by Covid-19. Hence why the price has dumped to 4k levels. We'll be waiting for another 3yrs to witness the next bullrun after late 2020 since it's been the pattern with this market.
This time, it's different since Fed Chair Powell signals that more interest hikes are incoming. And what does this mean in the market?
When interest rates rise, that means individuals will see a higher return on their savings. This removes the need for individuals to take on added risk by investing in crypto or stocks, resulting in less demand for both. It's bad for business in general.
On the technical side of things, we're currently trading at 20k as of writing this analysis. We're expecting a sell-off until 16k levels. Since we're heavy bearish, I'd hold-off my sells until it reaches our Major key level at 12-13k levels.
We have 4 majors news on USD for the coming week, so expect another volatile market and a volatile market brings a lot of opportunities for us traders.
HELLO, TRADERS! IF YOU LIKE THIS ANALYSIS, PLEASE LEAVE A LIKE AND FOLLOW MY CHANNEL AND LET ME KNOW YOUR THOUGHTS BY COMMENTING DOWN BELOW.
EurUsd- Under parity soon, to stay this time...If you've read my past analysis you know that I'm strongly bearish EurUsd and I draw attention multiple times to 1.03 zone resistance.
As we can see from the posted chart, after breaking above recent consolidation, the pair touched resistance and reversed violently.
At the time of writing EurUsd is trading almost in parity again and I expect a new drop under this important level.
1.01 offers good resistance now and rallies towards that zone should be sold.
0.97 is a reasonable target for swing traders
GbpUsd- Looking for selling opportunitiesOn my 21 of July GbpUsd analysis, I said that the pair can rise to the 1.24 zone , drawing attention to the falling wedge formation.
Indeed, the pair broke above the falling trend line resistance just under 1.23 and reversed.
The long-term trend is bearish and the rise from the recent 1.1750 bottom is corrective in nature.
Yesterday's reversal can be the first sign of the end of this correction and the pair can be ready to resume its long-term trend.
That being said I will look to sell rallies in search of a good R: R, considering negation above 1.24
GBPJPY is about to fly to 172.500 '' long term'' we have previously shared our analysis for pound yen where we expected a drop from 164.200.
we are closing our sell positions now with 400+ pips and placing buys from 159.670
SL & TP are shown on the chart. please use proper risk management and remember it's a long-term trade that could take up to 1-2 months.
US30 New Entries + Exits (Best Reverse Strat)The 1on1 video is currently out, if you would like it in order to understand how to play my analysis FULLY, please let me know privately.
All likes/comments and feedback are very much appreciated!
How to play my chart:
Buy at support, sell at resistance. When you open this chart you'll see a green entry and a red entry. When the candlestick hits the green entry, you place a buy. If however that support buy doesn't go into profit and goes negative -35 or -60 pips (depending if it was a fast break/or if the break landed on a minute 15 zone), if it breaks you would then exit your buy and immediately enter the sell. You would then ride that sell down to green TP1, or you could then repeat and play the buy/break there.
The same exact thing goes for resistance sell/break plays!
NAS100 New Entries + Exits (Best Reverse Strat)The 1on1 video is currently out, if you would like it in order to understand how to play my analysis FULLY, please let me know privately.
All likes/comments and feedback are very much appreciated!
How to play my chart:
Buy at support, sell at resistance. When you open this chart you'll see a green entry and a red entry. When the candlestick hits the green entry, you place a buy. If however that support buy doesn't go into profit and goes negative -35 or -60 pips (depending if it was a fast break/or if the break landed on a minute 15 zone), if it breaks you would then exit your buy and immediately enter the sell. You would then ride that sell down to green TP1, or you could then repeat and play the buy/break there.
The same exact thing goes for resistance sell/break plays!
SPX500 Entries + Exits for FREE (Best Reverse Strat)The 1on1 video is currently out, if you would like it in order to understand how to play my analysis FULLY, please let me know privately.
All likes/comments and feedback are very much appreciated!
How to play my chart:
Buy at support, sell at resistance. When you open this chart you'll see a green entry and a red entry. When the candlestick hits the green entry, you place a buy. If however that support buy doesn't go into profit and goes negative -35 or -60 pips (depending if it was a fast break/or if the break landed on a minute 15 zone), if it breaks you would then exit your buy and immediately enter the sell. You would then ride that sell down to green TP1, or you could then repeat and play the buy/break there.
The same exact thing goes for resistance sell/break plays!
usdcad | bearish movement to profit fromnice selling opportunity for usdcad, moving towards the downside nicely on most of the time frames, new low on 15-minute time frame. we are seeing a push > exhaustion scenario on 1-hour plus a bearish engulfing candlestick developing suggesting bearish power in the market.
✅USDMXN SHORT IDEA✅On 4H timeframe i am expecting USDMXN to be bearish
✅As per my setup and strategy I am expecting price to fall lower to Tracey 19.80200 before reaching their retracement is possible
✅For more accurate entry, look at 30M or 1H chart for better entry.
✅Plan risk management according to your requirements
Note :This is my personal opinion, do not take it as financial advise