USDJPY H4 Downtrend: Sell the Pullback on 15-Min ChartThe USDJPY H4 remains firmly in a strong downtrend. The recent price action shows a powerful extension wave downward. We're focusing on selling the pullback on the 15-minute chart.
Targets are set at 140.27 for the first and 139.59 for the second.
Stop at 141.97.
Happy Trading!
Forexstrategy
EURUSD | Long From Support ZoneFollowing a recent inner descending channel on the EURUSD we have reached a key support zone where a potential pivot could create a lower high in the overall bull trend and surge the euro back up and out of the current inner channel.
With the key resistance zone lying around 1.12000 I can see price pushing to this level before either correcting back in the range or pushing above into the resistance zone and creating a higher high which would again validate the current market structure for the overall bull trend in ascending fashion.
What are your thoughts?
GBPUSD- Trend Continuation setupSuccessful trading is knowing what to do and doing what you know. The knowing part is very simple but the doing part is not easy that is why most people struggle in trading.
This afternoon, during the New York session, my focus is on GBP/USD. We are buying based on the H4 timeframe, where the wave structure remains bullish since the price hasn’t closed below 1.30877.
Another confirmation comes from the H1, which has only shown three waves down so far. While a fifth wave may appear, it’s likely to be a higher low following the current upward move on the M15 chart.
As long as the M15 stays above the New York session opening range, we will continue buying.
Happy Trading!
BOJ Raises Interest Rates - Monthly Outlook for USDJPYTaking a look at the monthly timeframe, if you look back in the past, whenever we had a strong bearish engulfing candle, there was usually a second bearish candle afterwards.
I believe there is a great chance that this pair will break below the green ascending trendline and eventually reach 130.
Some key comments made last night from the BoJ's Governor Ueda:
* If possible a US rate cut happens gradually, it could lead to strong a Yen.
* The weak Yen was not necessarily the biggest reason for the rate hike this time.
* Hard to tell when the next rate hike may be
* Does not have 0.50% policy rate in mind as a ceiling
* I don't believe the latest rate hike will trigger a strong brake on the economy.
Later this afternoon we will get the latest US monetary policy decision.
Furthermore, as we all know, the US equity market tends to have an inverted correlation with the Yen. This means if US stocks continue to sell off heading into the elections, we might see some additional strength with the Yen and thus push this pair even lower.
USDJPY - Top Down AnalysisStarting with the weekly timeframe, there's some quite noticable bearish Divergence with price action and RSI leading me to believe prices may continue further south.
Let's take a look at the daily timeframe.
On the daily timeframe, I have 2 bearish targets but first I need to see a bit of a pullback towards the descending level of resistance. Reason I'm looking for a bullish pullback is because RSI is currently in the oversold territory. We also have a BOJ interest rate decision this evening at 11:00pm EST.
Let's take a closer look at the 4 hour timeframe
On the 4 hr timeframe I'm waiting for a breakout of the current consolidating range. I'm hoping for a bullish breakout which will lead into my AOI (area of interest) to look for a shorting opportunity.
Lastly let's take a look at the 1 hour.
On the 1 hour timeframe, it's easier to see how much room to the upside I'm waiting for. If we reach the descending level of resistance, I'll monitor the bullish momentum to ensure I'm not entering a short when bulls are strong.
For that reason I have an alert set in place and now all I need to do is wait!
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe
GBPUSD Bullish Trend ContinuationThe GBPUSD has made a wave structure (3) which signifies a strong up-trend is ongoing and we should be expecting a test or a break of the high.
The Current price area is a High probability Buy Zone using the Fibonacci.
Buy Profit Targets : T1 1.2849 & T2: 1.2902
Stop Loss:1.2733
GBP/USD - Continuation TradeWe have a completed Up-Trend wave structure in the Cable.
Yesterday we saw a pullback below Structure 4 which is a reset structure.
The price has stalled at the DH3 which was a Buy point for the last rally that took place yesterday.
This is a high-probability setup.
BUY Point 1.2754
STOP Loss: 1.2744
PROFIT Target: 1.2816
USD/CAD Trend reset - Buy ContinuationMomentum preceeds prices!
The USDCAD has had a trend reset (Secondary Trend), which is key to the Up-trend continuation.
The structural point for trend reversal is 1.3656, we want to see a second breakdown below the structure without breaking below 1.3624. A trade back above 1.3656 will be the first buy, confirmation will be a trade above 1.3671.
In terms of Target, we will use the Fibonacci retracement from the low to the high of 3.
Target 1: 1.3780
Target 2: 1.3838
Initial Stop Loss: 1.3624
USD/JPY Market Analysis: Downside CorrectionThe USD/JPY has been a tricky customer in the past few weeks.
We have attempted a few shorts which did not work out, the price persisted to the upside eventually breaking key structures that hold the downside.
The Bullish breaks confirm the Longer-term trend (Bullish) has resumed, however, the current rally is losing steam and we can capture a strong reversal to reset the trend.
Overview and breakdown
Current Trend: UP-Trend
Next Expectation: Downside Correction (Secondary Trend) to discount the rally for a reset of the Up-trend and to offer a lower price discount.
Area of target: Target 1: 156.28 & Target 2: 155.23 These areas represent the key structural points. The second target is the most technical point that represents the last untested structure. This point is the safety point for the buyers that enter the bullish trend at a later date. In most cases, the price correction (Secondary trend) will get here.
Another important thing to note with the 2nd Target is that; it corresponds nicely with the Fibonacci Buy-Zone measured from the Low of the entire rise to the High.
Risk and Stop Loss: Price 157.25; Technical Stop above the Momentum High.
EURCAD Low Risk Pair to Trade This WeekSo I've been getting some questions from some of my students and followers regarding what are some low risk pairs to trade this week.
The first thing I like to do when deciding on which pair to trade is find the pair that is primarily consolidating on larger timeframes such as the daily.
After spotting a consolidating pair, I then want to decide which side I should only enable with my EAs and Bots. In this example, since we are approaching support with little economic data on the agenda this week, I'm only interested in enabling the long side.
When I say enable the side long, I mean enable just the buy side with my EAs that trade in a grid technique, where it will trade micro lots and continue adding if the pair continues to trade against me. By trading micro lots relative to the account balance, I can afford not to use stop loses and look to add hundreds of positions if needed and I'll still be in a good position.
Hope that all makes sense.
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe
GBPUSD buy opportunity just wait for flying soon Gbpusd possible resistance zone around the level where we can also find the confluence with the red moving average This is where we can expect the sellers to step in with a defined risk above the level to position for a breakout below the support The buyers on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to start targeting the trendline around the level
Powerful Fibonacci Trading Strategy For Beginners
I am going to reveal a powerful fibonacci trading strategy that I learned many years ago. It combines structure analysis, fibonacci retracement and extension levels and candlestick analysis.
Step 1
Find a trending market - the market that is trading in a bullish or in a bearish trend on a daily time frame.
AUDUSD is trading in a bullish trend on a daily.
Step 2
Execute structure analysis - identify key horizontal and vertical structures on a daily time frame.
Take a look at key structures that I spotted on AUDUSD.
Step 3
Draw fibonacci retracement levels.
Here are the important ratios you should look for: 382, 50, 618, 786.
In a bearish trend,
draw fibonacci retracement levels from the high of the trend to current low based on wicks.
In a bullish trend,
You should apply fibonacci retracement from the low of the trend to a current high based on wicks.
Take a look how I draw the retracement levels,
I took the low of the trend and the high of the trend.
Step 4
Find confluence.
Look for fibonacci numbers that match - lie within key structures that you identified.
Support 1 matches with 382 retracement.
Support 2 matches with 786 retracement.
Remove other ratios from the chart.
Step 5
Wait for a test of one of the fibonacci levels that match with key structure
The price perfectly tested 382 retracement level.
Step 6
Wait for a confirmation on a 4h time frame.
Our confirmation will be a formation of an engulfing candle - a strong candle that completely engulfs the entire range of a previous candle with its body.
In a bearish trend, we will look for a formation of a bearish engulfing candle. Bearish engulfing candle indicates a strong selling pressure and the strength of the sellers.
In a bullish trend, we will look for a bullish engulfing candle. It indicates a strong buying reaction and imbalance.
Have a look at a bullish engulfing candle that was formed on AUDUSD on a 4H time frame after a test of 382 retracement.
Step 7
Open a trading position, set stop loss and choose the target.
After you spotted an engulfing candle, open a trading position.
Open short after a formation of a bearish engulfing candle and open long after a formation of a bullish engulfing candle.
If you sell, your safest stop loss will be 1.272 extension of the last bullish impulse on a 4H.
If you buy, your stop loss will be 1.272 extension of the last bearish impulse on a 4H.
In our example, our stop loss will be 1.272 extension of a bearish impulse leg on a 4H time frame. The extension is based on high and low of the impulse.
If you short, your take profit will be the closest key structure support on a daily.
If you buy, your take profit will be the closes key structure resistance on a daily.
Here is our take profit level.
Being applied properly, the strategy should generate 60%+ winning rate.
Always remember to check your reward to risk ratio before you open the trade. It should be at least 1.1/1.
Also, before you place a trade, always make sure that you trade WITH the trend and take only trend-following trades.
The strategy works perfectly on Forex, Gold, Silver, Oil, Indexes.
Good luck in your trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BTCUSD strong sell opportunity big fallThe dynamics of Bitcoin trading are ever changing and the failed breakout on The 1-hour chart is a a stark reminder of the volatility and uncertainty inherent in cryptocurrency markets Whether Bitcoin will bounce back or continue its descent is a question only time will answer For now traders should brace for a potential test of the green support line and prepare their strategies accordingly Stay vigilante keep an eye on the key levels and trade with discipline