Forexswingtrading
USDCHF: Bullish Move After Breakout 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Look at a price action on USDCHF.
The price broke a resistance line of a wide horizontal range on a daily.
After a breakout, the price started a local correctional movement on a 4H.
A bullish flag pattern was formed.
With the opening of a NY session, the market went up and violated
its resistance.
With a high probability, growth will continue now.
Goal - 0.8598
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AUDNZD: Strong Bullish Signal?! 🇦🇺🇳🇿
AUDNZD broke and closed above a resistance of a wide horizontal range on a daily.
With a high probability, the broken structure turns into support now.
The pair will most likely continue growing.
Next resistance - 1.097
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USDCAD: Strong Bullish Pattern?! 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD formed a double bottom pattern after a test
of a key daily structure support.
As many times in the past, the price can easily initiate
a strong bullish movement from that.
I expect a growth at least to 1.3706
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BULLISH on NZDCADEntry: .8607
SL: .8575
TP: OPEN (Will be trailing SL)
Technicals: Strong Uptrend on the DAILY chart and WEEKLY. Going down to the 4H TF, we see a bounce off major support which is also on the 21 EMA.
Fundamentals: Scoring high on the COT data. Retail sentiment showing strong bias to the short side. Retail traders are 70% short. As mentioned previously, often time when retail traders favor one side by over 60%, statistically the pair will move the opposite side.
Potential SHORT/LONG on OIL IF...Like my previous analysis, i am looking to see if OIL rejects or breaks the trend-line which is at the $80 level. Coincidentally, this is also where the 50EMA is at. I would want to see what it does at he 80-81.4 price. 80 price is at the trend-line and 81.4 is the previous resistance. If it breaks that level, we can see a nice push to $90s. If we see rejections, we can see retest support at he $70 level
LONG on GBPUSD For a Swing trade.Looking to go LONG on GBPUSD. In recent times, we have seen the dollar weaken. Looking at the DXY, I see some room for further drop. It is approaching a key level of support at around the 101.5 price when looking at the weekly and monthly chart. This week there is a high impact news for GP releasing their CPI numbers, but it is my sentiment that the market has already priced that in. With this being said, looking at GU, we have seen a nice run-up looking at the weekly and monthly chart.
Preferred Entry: 1.2200
Potential TPs: 1.2450 (3.5R) This is based on psychological number and the 4H previous resistance.
Runner TP: 1.3145
SL: 1.2120 (80 pip SL. This would be right by the 50 EMA. IF you want to give yourself more room, I suggest 1.2050 which would be at the 200 EMA)
BEARISH ON EURUSDEntry 1.0590
SL 1.0840
TP: Open
Feel the EUR will continue to see further struggle as the energy crisis continues. Let us also be aware that smart money is adding into their short positions. We did see some bullish movements as sentiment changes for the past month or so. However, we are now anticipating a large bearish move as more of a fundamental trend begins. Which you can see a major rejections off major resistance level
BULLISH ON EURCAD. SWING TRADEEntry: 1.4455
TP 1.4665
SL 1.4380
Vice-President of the European Central Bank Luis de Guindos stated that he believes the actions taken by the ECB so far has not been sufficient. ECB policymaker, Peter Kazimir pointed our that restrictive rates and strong action are necessary and should be in place for a longer period. At least in the first half of 2023. Also said that any recession resulting from this plan will be short and manageable. The current sentiment is mixed. As increasing rates for the euro may contribute to the recent uptrend, but it is uncertain whether markets are completely pricing in the hawkish tone
BEARISH MOVE ON GBPUSDSold GBPUSD
Entry 1.2020
Sl 1.2180 (160 pips)
Tp 1.0685 (1335 pips)
Weekly resistance met +200 MA showing weakness to the bullish side on the daily TF.
Large institution is in a short position on the pair.
The UK economy is in a horrible position. By the looks of it, their major issues such as their energy prices and increased cost of living are being resolved, but in fact are getting worse with their energy prices reaching a new ATH. Until this is addressed properly, I see a continuation to the downside.
Potential bullish continuation EURCADBought EURCAD
Entry 1.4435
Tp 1.4515 (80 pips)
TP2 1.4620 (185 pips)
SL 1.4365 (70 pips)
NOTE: This is a pure technical analysis trade.
Daily chart showing a strong bullish momentum trade well above the EMA. EMA crossover at 1.3141 price. Going to the 1H chart, it show a clear break of previous resistance.
Trend continuation downward on USDCHF Good seasonality trade. 81.1% of retail traders are long on the paid. As stated in previous analysis, when retail traders til heavily on one side above 60%, institutions tend to take the opposite side. Price breaks important supply and demand zone with good movement. Supported by strong retail money long.