Audusd W chart always down read the caption zone around the 0.6050 level following the hot US CPI report. We continue to have a rangebound price action between the 0.6051 support and the 0.6151 resistance. The buyers will likely step in here with a defined risk below the support to position for a rally back into the resistance. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking lower to increase the bearish bets into the 0.56
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Gbpusd surely Fall down read the caption Gbpusd surely Fall down
The UK fell into recession in the second half of last year after GDP figures for the fourth quarter showed a steeper contraction than expected.
While a recession was expected ahead of the release, the fourth quarter number was slightly worse despite December performing better than anticipated.
The UK has been flirting with recession for some time but despite the inevitable headlines, today’s data doesn’t change much. The economy isn’t growing,
Usdcad ready to fly read the caption Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the upside at this point. Firm break of 61.8% projection of 1.3172to 1.3541 from 1.3352 at 1.3582 will pave the way to 100% projection at 1.3721. On the downside, break of 1.3437 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat
Gbpjpy going to above line read the caption Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point, for consolidations below 190.05. Break 190.15 will resume larger up trend. However, break of 187.82 will turn bias to the downside for deeper correction back to 185.22 support instead.
In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.92 (2020 low) in in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.33 support holds. Next target is 195.85 long term resistance
Xauusd below 2000 best zone sell read the caption Gold On the 1 hour chart, we can see that the price has been consolidating ever since the big drop from the US CPI report. We now have a minor resistance zone around the 1999 level which is what the buyers will need to break to start targeting the 2015 resistance next. The sellers, on the other hand, will keep on defending the level with a defined risk above it to position for a drop into the 1973 level.
USDCHF: Overbought Market & Pullback 🇺🇸🇨🇭
After an impulsive bullish movement,
USDCHF stopped, approaching a key daily horizontal resistance.
The price formed a double top formation on that on a 4H time frame
and violated its neckline during the NY session yesterday.
Looks like the pair became too overbought.
I expect a retracement to 0.8823
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Audusd like a snake but snake go down read the caption The AUDUSD fell sharply yesterday, and that selling continued in the Asian session today. However after reaching into a key swing area between 0.6445 and 0.6455, momentum slowed, the price bottomed and a rebound was started.
That move has now taken the price of 0.64912. Just ahead is a broken 61.8% retracement of the move-up from the October low to the December high. That level comes at 0.64992 (let's call it 0.6501). Moving above that level would have traders looking toward a swing area near 0.6524 and the 100-day moving average of 0.65325
Crude oil slip dips below sell trend read the caption Crude oil today marked a new high for February, reaching $78.73 which exceeded the 38.1% Fibonacci retracement level of the downward move from the September peak at $78.14 (see chart above). This surge represented a significant bullish momentum for the commodity and was a positive tilt for the technical bias.
Uadchf move up here is opportunity read the caption The USDCHF moved sharply higher yesterday after the stronger-than-expected CPI. The move to the upside extended above the 50% retracement of the move down from the October high. That level comes in at 0.8789. The 100-day moving average. That level comes in at 0.8805, and the 200-day moving average. The level comes in at 0.88464
The breaks of those key targets tilted the bias more in favor of the buyers. The best-case scenario going forward is for the 200-day moving average to hold support. Stay above 0.88465 is the most bullish scenario.
SasanSeifi 💁♂🟡GOLD Long-Term OutlookXAUUSD As you can see, after an uptrend and a new high, the price faced a correction from the 2146 range due to the liquidation of buyers. After the correction, the price rebounded slightly from the 1973 range but failed to stabilize above the 2081 liquidity range and saw another range and correction. Currently, the trend is stuck in a range.
In the long-term view, I expect the price to continue to correct to the SELL-SIDE LIQUIDITY 1985 / 1973 range after ranging and consolidating below the 2000 range. In case of correction, we need to see how the price reacts to better understand the continuation of the trend. Additionally, if it faces demand and can consolidate above the important 2075 range, the corrective scenario will be invalidated.
In the long term, the target correction ranges are 1950 / 1933, but currently, we are moving forward with the step-by-step chart.
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Gbpjpy big bullish up trend read the caption Gbpjpy big bullish Unfavorable base effects were expected to lift headline and core CPI last month but in both cases, they stayed at the same level. A small win but a win nonetheless for the BoE.
It was already expected to fall back to target in the second quarter before rebounding a little later in the year and this now increases the possibility of inflation undershooting the 3% target
Xauusd stay below 2000 target 1950 read the caption The sharp move higher in Treasury yields and the dollar yesterday resulted in a steep drop in gold. Of note, the fall took out the January low as well as the $2,000 mark. But at least for the time being, buyers are able to hang on as the 100-day moving average (red line) at $1,989.80 is
Eurusd time short big sell move coming like yesterday read the cEUR/USD news to watch will be the second estimate from Europe. Economists expect the data to show that the economy stalled in Q4. Eurostat will also release the latest weak industrial production data.
The EUR/USD pair made a strong bearish breakout this week. It moved below the lower side of the bearish flag pattern. The pair also retreated below the support at 1.0722, its lowest point on February 6th. It has moved below the 50-period and 24-period moving averages while the
Gbpusd surely Fall big dips read the caption The GBP/USD pair retreated slightly after the latest US inflation data. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 3.2% in January, higher than the expected 2.7%. Core inflation rose by 3.8%, higher than the expected drop to 3.6%.
These numbers mean that inflation is still high in the country and that it will likely struggle to get to Fed’s target of 2.1%. It has remained between 3.2% and 3.3% in the past few months as the Fed has maintained rates at a 22-year high
Gbpusd below line now big dipsThe GBP/USD pair retreated slightly after the latest US inflation data. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 3.2% in January, higher than the expected 2.7%. Core inflation rose by 3.8%, higher than the expected drop to 3.6%.
These numbers mean that inflation is still high in the country and that it will likely struggle to get to Fed’s target of 2.1%. It has remained between 3.2% and 3.3% in the past few months as the Fed has maintained rates at a 22-year high
Usdcad ready to fly read the caption If they stay higher for longer, it could chase out some springtime home buyers and put a fresh chill on the market. Moreover, Canada's broader economy isn't weathering high rates as well as the US Prolonging high rates could lead to a rougher recession or . if Canada cuts and the US keeps rates high -- open up wider rate differentials. That's something that could re calibrate USD/CAD higher and lead to a challenge of the 2023 highs near 1.3874
Gbpusd PIPS rain coming Sell zone read the caption On the 1 hour chart, we can see more closely the recent price action with the pair ranging between the 1.2612 support and the 1.2643 resistance. We can notice that the price has already broken the triangle to the downside, but we will need also a break below the support zone to confirm the breakout. Watch out for the data today as it will add extra confirmation for a breakout on either side.
Eurusd bottom is coming downfall read the caption EUR/USD’s consolidation from 1.0722 is still extending and intraday bias remains neutral. While stronger recovery cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0895 resistance holds. On the downside, sustained break of 1.0732 will argue that whole rise from 1.0446 has completed. Deeper fall would then be seen to target this low
Usdchf ready to break all time high read the caption Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside despite loss of momentum as seen in 4H MACD. Current rise from 0.8333 should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9244 to 0.8333 at 0.896. On the downside, below 0.8724 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 0.8551 support holds.
Another buy target of BTC 52000 read the caption BTC hit 50000 but another target 52000
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Never sell audusd confirm buy read the caption The AUDUSD is trading higher and lower in trading today in a narrow range. The high prices, however, have been able to stay below its 100-day moving average at 0.65316 The high price for the day came in at 0.65305. Also in play is a swing area at 0.65239. That level goes back to November through February where there have been several swing lows/highs at the level.
Xauusd up down move on CPI read the caption Gold up down move
In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system.
It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008.