Forextrading
Gold trend is buy with target 2700 read the caption Despite the recent dovish comments from US Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers and mixed US economic data, market expectations for a 50 basis points (bps) interest rate cut in November ease, with the odds of such a move now standing at 50%, down from about 62% seen a day ago, the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool shows.
Will SUGAR Cup Reach Its Target?When the SUGAR 8-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue within the Cup formation formation. It is evaluated that the SUGAR price may retreat to the level of 2077 in price movements below the level of 2278, but it is evaluated that in price movements above the level of 2278, it may exceed the level of 2412 and target the level of 2964.
CAD/JPY Short and CHF/JPY ShortCAD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of inflection.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
CHF/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of inflection.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
XAU continues to set new recordsThe upcoming US presidential election could boost gold prices due to market uncertainty, making it a safe-haven option for investors. Despite some selling pressure to lock in profits, gold prices remained steady after hitting a new record on Wednesday. Investors believe that upcoming comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and US inflation data will support further rate cuts.
USDJPY: Going for the 1D MA200. Bottom priced in.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.086, MACD = -0.760, ADX = 27.579) as it is recovering from the previous oversold state and is already approaching the 1D MA50. September 16th was technically the new HL on the one year Channel Up bottom, with the 1D RSI already on a bullish divergence. These are all formation we saw on its previous bottom on January 16th 2023, whose rebound that followed initially hit the 1D MA200 before going for a full yearly extension. That's our medium term target again (TP = 150.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Can USDZAR Break Through Resistance Zone?When the USDZAR 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that price movements continue below the resistance zone. It is evaluated that USDZAR can target 17.663959 in price movements above 17.108625, but as long as the 18.025658 level cannot be passed, it is evaluated that in price movements below 17.663959, it can break down 17.108625 and retreat to 16.202552.
Will EURUSD Continue to Rise?When the EURUSD 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue with the formation of a cup formation on the trend line. As long as the EURUSD level of 1.10471 is not broken down, it is evaluated that in price movements above the level of 1.11198, it can cross the level of 1.12152 and target the level of 1.13993.
BTC making buy zone BTC rise expected read the caption Bitcoin halving is here, an event expected to raise the curtain on the next market cycle. There has been a lot of turbulence in the market of late. Events such as flows from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and tensions in the Middle East between Iran and Israel have sent traders into their shells. However, there could be some relief in the market after Iranian officials indicated there are no plans to retaliate
SAU continues to rise after setting a recordWeaker US macroeconomic data has put significant downward pressure on the USD, pushing it closer to its lowest level this year while pushing gold prices to a new record high. The Consumer Confidence Index fell to 98.7 in September, down from 105.6 in August, while Current Conditions fell to 124.3 from 134.6.
A Richmond Fed survey showed manufacturing activity remained weak, with the composite index falling to -21 in September from -19 in August. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool shows that markets are pricing in a more than 60% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by another 50 bps at its November meeting.
Gold prices are likely to surpass $2,700/ounce, at the earliest.The expert said that the price of gold is likely to exceed 2,700 USD/ounce, as early as this weekend, if there is more information about the US Federal Reserve (FED) continuing to cut interest rates and Middle East tensions continuing to escalate.
extended its record rally, trading at 2,658.6we are seeing a price setup from XAU and the price is getting higher every day, every day there is a price record
expect that if the trend of interest rate cuts and political tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate, there is a possibility that gold will rise to $3,000/ounce in the medium term
Speculation surrounding the possibility of some new moves by Iran has boosted safe-haven demand for the precious metal, said Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures.
EURUSD capitalizing on bullish momentumEURUSD is currently consolidating below the psychological level of 1.12000. On the daily timeframe, the price is retesting last week’s high, which could potentially break to the upside. Tuesday’s close with a strong bullish candle indicates a possible pullback toward the support area, offering a chance to catch the move in anticipation of a trend continuation. The price may bounce off the support level and the downward trendline. The target is the resistance zone around 1.12230
EURUSD Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected (25/09/2024)The EURUSD pair continues to show signs of a slight bearish bias this week, in line with market conditions and fundamental factors. In this article, we will break down the key drivers influencing EURUSD as of 25/09/2024, along with a technical outlook. This analysis provides insights for traders and investors aiming to position themselves for potential downside movement in the EURUSD market.
Fundamental Analysis: Factors Pressuring EURUSD
1. U.S. Dollar Strength
The U.S. dollar has maintained its strength due to a series of factors, including recent hawkish remarks from the Federal Reserve. Fed officials have continued to emphasize the possibility of keeping interest rates higher for longer to combat inflation. This has provided significant support for the dollar, making it an attractive safe-haven asset, while simultaneously putting pressure on the euro.
2. Diverging Central Bank Policies
The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently adopted a more cautious tone regarding future rate hikes. With inflation in the eurozone stabilizing, the ECB may opt for a wait-and-see approach, potentially slowing the pace of tightening or halting rate hikes altogether. This divergence in monetary policy between the ECB and the Fed is expected to contribute to further downside pressure on the EURUSD.
3. Weak Eurozone Economic Data
Economic data from the eurozone remains relatively soft. The latest PMI data showed a contraction in the manufacturing and services sectors, further weakening the euro. Lower-than-expected growth forecasts and potential deflationary pressures also undermine the euro's strength.
4. Geopolitical Uncertainty
Ongoing geopolitical risks, such as tensions in Eastern Europe and concerns over energy security, continue to cloud the eurozone’s economic outlook. These factors have led to capital outflows from Europe, with investors seeking the safety of the U.S. dollar.
Technical Analysis: EURUSD Price Action
On the technical front, EURUSD has struggled to break above key resistance levels near 1.10700, confirming the bearish sentiment. The pair has been trading in a downward channel since mid-September, and with recent price action rejecting the 50-day moving average, momentum indicators signal further downside potential.
- Support Level: 1.09000 is a crucial support level to watch for EURUSD this week. A break below this could accelerate the bearish move, potentially targeting the 1.08500 level.
- Resistance Level: The 1.10700 level remains a key resistance, and a move above this could invalidate the bearish outlook, though this seems unlikely given the fundamental backdrop.
Outlook for the Week: Slight Bearish Bias for EURUSD
Given the combination of strong U.S. dollar fundamentals, the divergence in central bank policies, weak eurozone economic data, and technical resistance, the EURUSD is likely to maintain a slightly bearish bias through the remainder of this week.
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Conclusion
EURUSD is likely to continue on its bearish trajectory, with potential downside towards key support levels this week. Traders should closely monitor U.S. dollar fundamentals, especially any new developments from the Federal Reserve, as these will play a crucial role in shaping EURUSD’s movement. Keep an eye on eurozone data releases and geopolitical headlines for any shifts in market sentiment that could impact this currency pair.
Will Litecoin Break the Wedge Upwards?When the LTCUSDT 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue within the upward sloping wedge. As long as the crypto's 62.56 level is not broken downwards, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 65.79 level can exceed the 69.41 level and target the 76.50 level.
Has Bitcoin Started the Expected Move?When the BTCUSDT daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue above the support zone. As long as the crypto's 59400 level is not broken down, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 61810 level can cross the 69000 resistance zone and target the 79000 level.
GBPAUD Down trend continuationGBPAUD is consistently making lower lows and lower closes on the 1H timeframe, indicating a potential ABC formation. Over the past two weeks, the market has been moving within a defined weekly range, suggesting that the price is currently in a consolidation phase. Additionally, the price has recently broken and closed below the key 1.95000 level and the upward trendline, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. The expectation is for a pullback toward the resistance zone before continuing its downward movement. The target is the support level around 1.93820
EURUSD potential to Buy the Deep for a short-term gainEURUSD is currently moving downward toward the support level, driven by a day of high-impact EUR news. The price action is consolidating near resistance, indicating that the market may retest the previous weekly low and potentially dip below equal lows. However, with the overall trend still bullish on the daily timeframe, a rejection signal at the support level and downward trendline could trigger a move higher. The target is the resistance zone at 1.11360
EURUSD Analysis: Anticipating a Slight Bearish Bias Towards 1.1!EURUSD Analysis: Anticipating a Slight Bearish Bias Towards 1.10000 (24/09/2024)
As we analyze the EURUSD pair this week, a slight bearish bias appears probable, with a target near the pivotal level of 1.10000. Key drivers for this outlook include the recent economic data releases, central bank policies, and market sentiment.
1. Economic Data:
Recent Eurozone economic indicators have shown mixed results, with weak manufacturing PMI figures suggesting slowing growth. Conversely, US economic data, particularly strong job numbers and retail sales, point to a robust economy, potentially strengthening the dollar.
2. Central Bank Divergence:
The European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to maintain a dovish stance amid economic uncertainties, while the Federal Reserve appears committed to a tighter monetary policy. This divergence could exert downward pressure on the euro.
3. Market Sentiment:
Increased risk aversion due to geopolitical tensions may lead investors to favor safe-haven currencies like the USD, further supporting the bearish outlook for EURUSD.
In conclusion, the combination of economic fundamentals, central bank policies, and market sentiment suggests that EURUSD may trend towards 1.10000 this week. Traders should stay alert for potential market shifts and adjust their strategies accordingly.
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What Will Happen to Crude Oil Prices?When the USDWTI 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that price movements continue above the support zone. As long as the Crude Oil price does not break below the 68.60 level, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 70.38 level may break above the 71.78 level and target the 75.82 level.
Will Gold Continue to Rise?When the XAUUSD 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in an upward trend. It is evaluated that the Gold Ounce price may retreat to the level of 2573 in price movements below the level of 2614, but as long as the level of 2573 is not broken down, it is evaluated that it may target the level of 2703 by breaking the level of 2641 in price movements above the level of 2614.
EURUSDHello Traders!
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD is moving within an ascending channel and has recently reached a resistance zone, causing its upward movement to temporarily stall. It is expected that after a price correction, the bullish trend will resume.
As long as the price does not break below the identified support zone, the potential for further upward movement remains. A break below this support zone could signal a shift towards a bearish trend.
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