Forextrading
GBPUSD Setup: Bullish Wave Structure & Fibonacci Buy ZoneThe GBPUSD has stabilised after a significant downward move. A completed bullish wave structure has emerged, with Wave 4 failing to break above Wave 3. This indicates a potential buying opportunity from the Fibonacci buy zone.
On the 15-minute chart, we can consider going long using the MSL pattern (Lower Low, Low of Day, Higher Low & Higher Close) as a confirmation signal.
Entry Point: 1.26303
Stop Loss: 1.2610
Target: 1.2710
Stay disciplined and manage your risk accordingly.
Fri 13th Dec 2024 Daily Forex Charts: 8x New Trade SetupsGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified 8x new trade setups this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the charts for my thoughts on these setups. The trades being a EUR/USD Sell, GBP/USD Sell, Silver Sell, AUD/CHF Buy, EUR/AUD Sell, GBP/AUD Sell, AUD/NZD Buy & CAD/CHF Buy. I also discuss some trade management. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
USDCAD: Excellent short term buy opportunity.USDCAD is heavily bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.681, MACD = 0.007, ADX = 22.105) as it trades inside a Channel Up, supported by the 4H MA50. The 4H MACD is forming a Bullish Cross and in the past 2 months this has been a strong bullish signal. In line with the previous bullish waves, we are aiming for a +2.60% rise from the bottom (TP = 1.42850).
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GBPJPY: Channel Up rally has started.The GBPJPY pair is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.167, MACD = -0.620, ADX = 31.719) as so far it remains under both the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200, which are very close to each other. Basically today we are having a clean technical rejection on those two. In spite of this, the prevailing pattern is a Channel Up and we have already started the 3rd bullish wave. The two prior started after a 1D RSI Bullish Cross and the shortest one has been +7.34%. We are aiming for this extension (TP = 201.900).
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USDCAD and CADJPY Analysis Ahead of BoC Interest Rate DecisionWith the Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate decision approaching, we analyse USDCAD and CADJPY using the Daily and H1 timeframes to uncover potential trading opportunities.
Market Outlook:
CADJPY:
The overall market structure appears bearish following a completed wave pattern and a corrective wave. We anticipate further downside movement, signalling potential short-selling opportunities.
USDCAD:
The pair remains strongly bullish, with expectations for the current uptrend to continue. However, a potential wave-structure pullback on the Daily chart could provide a favourable buying opportunity.
Stay blessed and happy trading!
Wed 11th Dec 2024 NZD/CAD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a NZD/CAD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Wed 11th Dec 2024 NZD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a NZD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
EURUSD: Standard Channel Up targeting above the 4H MA200.EURUSD may have turned bearish today on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.238, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 33.591) but 4H remains neutral as the pullback is the technical bearish wave of the Channel Up you see on the chart. The two bullish waves we've had so far have been exactly the same at +1.65% with the 4H RSI S1 Zone providing the most accurate buy entries. Consequently, this is now the best level to go long and target a crossing over the 4H MA200 on another +1.65% bullish wave (TP = 1.06675).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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GBPUSD: Channel Up attempting a 4H MA200 cross.GBPUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.376, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 36.982) as despite having started a Channel up since the November 22nd bottom, this is after a long term bearish trend that only now will determine if it will switch to bullish or not. Today was in fact the 2nd rejection on the 4H MA200 but at the same time, the 4H MA50 is supporting. This range makes the 4H timeframe neutral as well. If the MA50 continues to hold and the 4H MA200 is crossed with a full candle close, then we will take a short term long, aiming under the 2.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.29000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Intraday Analysis: CADJPY Forecast and Trade SetupThe overall trend on the major timeframes for CADJPY remains bullish, despite a breakdown continuation observed last week.
Current Market Overview:
The lower timeframe (M5) printed a bullish wave structure this morning.
We anticipate a corrective move below 105.76.
In the short term, a potential downside reversal is expected.
Trade Setup:
Look for shorting opportunities below 106.34, targeting a break below 105.77.
If price action breaks below 105.77, we can consider buying opportunities, aligning with the larger bullish trend.
Key Levels to Watch:
Sell Point : 106.34
Buy below : 105.77
EURUSD Down movement after test of the resistance crossingFollowing a significant bearish decline in autumn, EUR/USD has entered a consolidation phase, moving sideways. This behavior often occurs after substantial market movements. If the price retests the channel boundary and rebounds, it may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend from the resistance zone and channel border. The target for this movement is the support zone around 1.04300
XAUUSD next move. 2H timeframe analysis.Trading Idea: Sell Target 2604 with Pullback Opportunity
Asset: XAUUSD
Timeframe: 2H
Current Price: 2633
Target: 2604
Technical Setup:
The market is in a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows. Price is heading toward key support at 2604, a strong historical level. Indicators show continued bearish momentum:
RSI is near overbought, suggesting potential for a correction.
MACD remains negative, signaling more downside.
Price is below both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA, confirming the overall bearish trend.
A move towards 2604 may trigger a temporary pullback, so watch for reversal signals (bullish candles or patterns) for potential long entries after hitting this zone.
Fundamentals:
The broader market sentiment is risk-off, with global concerns over weighing on risk assets. Any negative economic data or geopolitical risks could drive further bearish pressure.
EURUSD Start?Based on the data, it seems that the Euro will regain its strength and rise in the coming days. There is only one scenario, which is an upward movement. As for the upward move, it will either drop to the yearly low to draw liquidity and then rise, or it has already sufficed with the current level and will continue its ascent without needing additional liquidity.
USDJPY: Technical buy opportunity on RSI fractal.USDJPY turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.175, MACD = -0.460, ADX = 31.807) as it crossed under its 1D MA50 and has failed to recover it this week. Yet, this is technically a buy opportunity in disguise as this is the exact same pattern that the price did on the March 24th 2023 Low. After the initial bullish wave start of the long term Channel Up, the price pulled back again and formed that low with the RSI at 37.000. This is the level it is right now as well. We expect the bullish wave to resume the uptrend like it did then. We are again targeting the 1.786 Fibonacci extension, only a bit lower on the R1 level (TP = 161.870).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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GBPCAD: Important Breakout 🇬🇧🇨🇦
GBPCAD broke and closed above both a significant daily horizontal resistance
and a falling trend line.
The broken structure compose an expanding demand zone now.
The market has a great potential to continue rising.
Next resistance - 1.8
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Xauusd sell signal Gold price ticks lower on Thursday amid a modest rebound in the US bond yields. Geopolitical risks and trade war fears could help limit losses for the XAU/USD. The USD bulls remain on the sidelines ahead of the key US NFP report on Friday
Gold now sell 2645
Support 2635
Support 2630
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has broken its trendline and is now trading below the resistance zone. Given the current conditions, it is expected that after a pullback to the broken level, the price may continue its bearish movement. Potential targets are located at the specified support levels.
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Thu 5th Dec 2024 GBP/JPY Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/JPY Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Gold big sell coming trade now read the caption Tuesday’s US JOLTs Job Openings data indicated a stronger-than-expected labor market after rising to 7.744 million in the reported period. Data surpassed the expected 7.48M increase. The upbeat labor data from the US briefly lifted the US Dollar (USD) across the board, capping the Gold price rebound near $2,655.
However, Gold buyers retained control as the Greenback failed to sustain the uptick. The data failed to alter the market’s expectations of a 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the Fed later this month. Markets are currently pricing at a 73% probability of a Dec Fed rate reduction, the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool shows, more or less the same as a day ago