Forextrading
Crude Oil Technical AnalysisWhen the USDWTI 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that price movements continue in a downward trend. As long as the Crude Oil price cannot exceed the level of 71.68, it is evaluated that in price movements below the level of 70.11, it can break the level of 68.61 and retreat to the level of 65.72.
Gold Technical AnalysisWhen the XAUUSD 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on an upward trend. It is evaluated that the Gold Ounce price may retreat to the level of 2525 in price movements below the level of 2570, but it is evaluated that it may break the level of 2591 and target the level of 2645 in price movements above the level of 2570.
CADCHF - Technical Analysis [Short Setup]🔹 CADCHF Analysis on 1HR chart
- The current Trend is Bearish
- Bullish divergence is present
- First we short to point D which is reversal zone, if trend reverse then we long
- AB=CD pattern is form
🔹 Trade Plan
- Entry Level = current
- Stop Loss = 0.62444
- TP1 = 0.61860
- TP2 = 0.62135
🔹 Risk Management
- First TP is 1:1
- Second TP is 1:2
🔹 How to Take Trade?
- Only risk 2% of your portfolio
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:1 RR
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:2 RR
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Forex Portfolio Selection Using Currency Strength Index (CSI)Hello Traders,
Today, I’ll share my portfolio selection approach in forex trading. This method helps identify the best forex pairs to trade based on their relative strength.
The simplest and most effective strategy is to use the Currency Strength Index (CSI), combining the H4, Daily (D1), and Weekly (W1) cumulative strength. By analyzing this data, we can identify the strongest and weakest currencies at any given time.
Once we have this information, the next step is to pair the strongest currencies with the weakest. Here are today’s portfolio selections:
BUY Pairs: GBPUSD, GBPCAD, GBPNZD
SELL Pairs: USDJPY, CADJPY, NZDJPY, USDCHF, CADCHF, NZDCHF
The key benefits of this portfolio selection process are:
A focused view on the most profitable currency pairs
An objective approach to trading decisions
Clear direction on which way to trade (buy or sell)
Like, comment by letting me know what you think and follow me for more trading education.
Happy trading!
Bitcoin Fails to Break the 60K ThresholdThe dollar's accelerated losses due to Fed expectations had only a limited impact on Bitcoin's rise. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their highest daily inflows in nearly two months. However, as the U.S. elections approach and Kamala Harris performed better than Donald Trump in the latest TV debate, cryptocurrencies, led by Bitcoin, lost value.
From a technical perspective, if Bitcoin breaks below the 57,330 level, a further decline toward the 55,800 and then 54,000 support levels could occur. On the upside, if it surpasses the 60,000 resistance level, the 63,000 and then 65,000 resistance levels could be tested.
The Dollar Index Accelerates Its Decline!The dollar index has been losing strength recently, falling below the 100.50 level. Following the ECB's decision to cut interest rates, expectations for a rate cut by the Fed have also increased. According to money market pricing, there is a 51% probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, and a 49% probability of a 50 basis point cut. This has pushed the dollar index below the 100.50 level.
Technically, if the index falls below the 100.45 level, the 100.30 and 100.00 levels can be considered support. However, if it recovers and moves above the 100.45 level, resistance can be observed at the 100.70 and 100.90 levels.
CAD/CHF Trade, NATGAS Short, A/N Short, G/U Long and E/U LongNATGAS/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach forms, 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach forms, 15 min risk entry within it.
DE30 DAX Technical AnalysisWhen the DAX 8-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue within the Tobo formation formation. It is evaluated that the index price can target the 19788 level by passing the 18994 level in price movements above the 18793 level, but it is evaluated that it can retreat to the 17077 level by breaking the 18189 level in price movements below the 18793 level.
US100 NASDAQ Technical AnalysisWhen the US100 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the triangle formation. It is evaluated that the index price can target the 20655 level by passing the 19929 level in price movements above the 19040 level, but it is evaluated that it can retreat to the 17326 level by breaking the 18585 level in price movements below the 19040 level.
XAU hits record high as USD falls"The market is currently pricing in a moderate FOMC rate cut outside of a recession. We, along with the majority of US economists, do not expect the US economy to fall into a recession."
Global stocks rose for a fifth straight day, posting a 0.2% gain. This was helped by gains in European stocks, where the STOXX 600 index rose 0.4%, heading for a 2.6% weekly gain and its biggest one-month gain.
XAUUSD BUY market opening analysis As Gold prices continue their support area 2565_2560 target 2600
Gold selling area 2600 it target 2540_2520 unstoppable run higher scaling new all-time record highs for a fourth consecutive quarter in a row conclusive evidence shows that we are just in the early stages of a new historic Supercycle for Gold
ANTICIPATING TRADES BY APPLYING TADING STRETEGYAnalysis of EURUSD Forex pair carried out on 12 Sep 2024 by applying following trade strategy:-
1. Bearish trend
2. Bullish Divergence
3. No continuation pattern
4. Double Bottom reversal pattern formed
5. Bullish Harmonics pattern AB=CD pattern formed and chart near point D, PRZ
6. Anticipated that chart will go bullish by making HHs & HLs
7. Initiated two trades on MT4 by marking buy stop on first HH and stop loss at LL as no HL is still formed
XAU sets many new recordsThe world gold price is currently at $2,563/ounce, up $46 compared to early yesterday morning. The main driving force comes from the ECB's monetary policy easing move. Specifically, the ECB has lowered the base interest rate by 25 bps to 3.5%, while reducing the refinancing rate and marginal lending rate to 3.65% and 3.9%, respectively. In addition, the gold price is also driven by expectations that the Fed will aggressively cut interest rates, after US economic indicators showed signs of slowing down.
Gold price increased sharply to set a recordThe August CPI report showed that core US inflation remains high, which is unlikely to prompt the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
Inflation has not fallen as expected, and if the Fed cuts by 50 basis points next week, it will mean that the US Central Bank is surrendering to inflation.
Most economists participating in the survey believe that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Only 9 out of 101 economists predict the Fed will cut by 50 basis points.
“Nasdaq Continues Its Uptrend”Expectations that the Fed will implement a 25 basis point interest rate cut next week are being maintained. This situation is perceived positively for the indices. By the end of the year, a total rate cut of 100 basis points is almost certain. The CPI and PPI data suggest that the Fed might not need to cut rates as aggressively as the market had anticipated.
Technically, if the resistance level at 19,500 is permanently surpassed, the rise could gain momentum towards the 19,700 and then 19,950 resistance levels. On the downside, if the index falls below the 19,100 level, a pullback towards the support levels at 18,800 and then 18,450 might be seen.
“The gold price is going up”In the US, the Producer Price Index (PPI) experienced a slight slowdown in August. Weekly unemployment benefit claims rose by 2,000, reaching 230,000. Following this data release, the decline in the dollar deepened. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds fell to 3.62%. As a result, gold prices tested the 2570 resistance level.
From a technical perspective, if prices remain consistently above the 2570 resistance level, an increase to 2600 and then to 2650 could occur. On the downside, if the price falls below the 2570 support level, a pullback could extend to 2535 and then to 2482.
AUDNZD Potential drop from the ResistanceAUDNZD has rebounded from the channel border after forming a consolidation zone. The market remains bearish on both the daily and 4H timeframes. After recently hitting the support level, the price has moved sideways, suggesting it may continue to fluctuate between the established range's upper and lower boundaries. Considering that the price has rebounded from this level twice before, there is a strong possibility it may do so again. However, if the market breaks through the trendline and the key support at 1.08500, it could signal a continuation of bearish momentum and lead to even lower levels. The target is the support level at 1.08200
USDCHFUSDCHF price is in a correction phase. The price is currently near the support zone of 0.84753. If the price cannot break through, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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