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USDCAD: Rejection expected on the 2 year Resistance Zone.USDCAD is bullish on the 1W timeframe (RSI = 60.180, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 23.071) and turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.243). This is taking place while the price is just underneath the 2 year R1 Zone, which has rejected the price 5 times already. The 1D RSI is also about to enter its R1 Zone. We expect another rejection towards the S1 level (TP = 1.34500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
Gold long will too long read the caption Good Day... And a Tom Terrific Tuesday to you! Well, a PT guy came to the house yesterday, sent by my doctors, to get me strong again... I told the PT that my youngest son was a PT, and he about turned around and left, but then I told him that my son hadn't checked with me, so he was more than welcome to begin... I passed all the tests! I even blew the guy away with my balance! And That, was the highlight of my day! I did sit outside and read again, marking two days in a row of me getting outside... It's the little things that I work toward these days.... Uriah Heap greets me this morning with their 70's anthem song: July Morning... This is the song that I quote the lyrics to the first Pfennig of July
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mrsam36
USDJPY Slightly Bearish Bias on October 22, 2024 !!USDJPY Slightly Bearish Bias on October 22, 2024: Key Drivers and Analysis As of October 22, 2024, the USDJPY currency pair is exhibiting a slightly bearish bias based on the latest market conditions and fundamental factors. In this article, we’ll break down the key drivers that could contribute to this potential weakness in the US Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY) and provide insights for traders looking to capitalize on these movements. 1. Dovish Federal Reserve Outlook Weakens USD The US Dollar has been losing momentum in recent sessions due to a shift in market sentiment around the future path of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Recent economic data out of the US, including softer-than-expected retail sales and a slowdown in the housing market, have led traders to anticipate a more dovish approach from the Fed. Despite persistent inflationary pressures, the Federal Reserve has signaled that it may pause rate hikes, which is reducing demand for the USD. This pause in tightening is making the USDJPY pair more vulnerable to downside risks, especially as traders shift to safer assets like the JPY in the face of rising uncertainty in global markets. 2. Bank of Japan's Potential Policy Shift The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has remained committed to its ultra-loose monetary policy for years, but there are signs that it may be reconsidering its stance. Speculation has grown that the BoJ might tweak its yield curve control (YCC) program or adjust its negative interest rates policy in the near future. Even though no official changes have been announced, the potential for a more hawkish policy shift is providing underlying support to the JPY. Investors are also pricing in the possibility that inflationary pressures in Japan could push the BoJ toward policy normalization, which would make the JPY more attractive relative to the USD. 3. Safe-Haven Demand for JPY Amid Global Uncertainty The Japanese Yen is traditionally viewed as a safe-haven currency, meaning that it tends to gain strength during periods of global uncertainty. Current geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, and concerns over global economic slowdown are driving risk aversion in the markets. This sentiment is boosting demand for safe-haven assets, including the JPY, while pressuring the USDJPY pair lower. Furthermore, ongoing concerns about China's economic recovery and lingering trade tensions between the US and other major economies are also contributing to increased risk-off sentiment, which favors the Yen over the Dollar. 4. Diverging Economic Data Between the US and Japan While the US economy has been showing signs of weakness, with disappointing retail sales and housing market reports, Japan’s latest GDP data surprised to the upside. The Japanese economy grew faster than expected in the last quarter, reinforcing the view that the country is starting to recover from its prolonged period of stagnation. This stronger economic outlook for Japan is providing additional tailwinds for the Yen. In contrast, US data continues to reflect a potential slowdown, leading traders to rethink their bullish stance on the USD. The combination of weaker economic performance in the US and stronger-than-expected growth in Japan is tilting the balance toward a bearish USDJPY outlook. 5. Technical Analysis and Market Sentiment From a technical perspective, the USDJPY pair has recently tested key resistance levels around 150.00 but failed to break higher, suggesting that a reversal may be underway. The pair is now trading closer to 148.50, with the potential to move lower if further downside pressure builds. Traders are watching for a break below the 148.00 support level, which could signal additional bearish momentum. Market sentiment, as indicated by the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, shows a slight increase in speculative short positions on the USDJPY pair, reflecting the broader expectation of near-term weakness in the USD. 6. Yen Intervention Concerns Another factor adding to the bearish bias for USDJPY is the potential for Japanese government intervention. In the past, Japan’s Ministry of Finance has intervened in the currency markets to support the Yen when it experiences excessive weakness. With USDJPY approaching levels that could trigger intervention, traders are cautious about pushing the pair higher, which is contributing to the pair’s bearish momentum. The Japanese authorities have issued warnings in recent weeks about excessive volatility in the Yen, and this potential intervention risk is helping to keep USDJPY in check. Conclusion: USDJPY Outlook for October 22, 2024 In conclusion, the USDJPY pair is expected to maintain a slightly bearish bias today due to several key factors, including the dovish Federal Reserve outlook, potential Bank of Japan policy shifts, and rising safe-haven demand for the Yen. The divergence in economic data between the US and Japan, coupled with technical indicators signaling downside potential, further strengthens the case for a weaker USDJPY pair in today’s trading session. Traders should keep a close eye on upcoming economic reports from both the US and Japan, as well as any potential intervention from Japanese authorities, which could impact the pair’s trajectory. For those trading forex, today’s market environment may present opportunities to capitalize on short positions in USDJPY. 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Short
by PERFECT_MFG
GBPJPY: Medium term correction.GBPJPY is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.018, MACD = 1.270, ADX = 45.334) but on a decreasing rate as the aggressive rise has taken a pause and the price, despite inside a Channel Up since August, has turned sideways since October 4th on the 4H MA50. We expect the bearish wave of the Channel Up to start any day now. Even though the previous targeted the 0.618 Fib, we will aim for the 0.5 this time (TP = 190.000) as the decline may start a little higher than the current price. Keep in mind that the best trigger to sell will be a 1D MACD Bearish Cross. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
CADJPY Bullish Correction against the down trendCADJPY recently made a fake breakout of the previous support level, but quickly bounced back, taking liquidity below the previous week's low. On the daily timeframe, a long-tailed bar has formed, signaling that bulls are pushing the price higher. Additionally, on the 4H timeframe, another long-tailed bar confirms the buying pressure. A bullish divergence is present, indicating a potential trend continuation. If the market breaks and closes above the 108.500 resistance level, it could likely test the level above the equal high on the left, further confirming the bullish sentiment. The target is the resistance zone around 109.15
Long
by RTED_Investing
Gold swing bull and bear read the caption price reached a fresh all-time high on Thursday, trading as high as $2,969.63 a troy ounce during American trading hours. Gold buyers gained confidence early in Asia as the poor performance of local shares fueled demand for safety. Demand for the bright metal was also backed by concerns about the United States (US) future government. Three weeks ahead of the election, polls show a tight vote intention between the two candidates, generating uncertainty
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mrsam36
Gold swing bull and bear read the caption price reached a fresh all-time high on Thursday, trading as high as $2,969.63 a troy ounce during American trading hours. Gold buyers gained confidence early in Asia as the poor performance of local shares fueled demand for safety. Demand for the bright metal was also backed by concerns about the United States (US) future government. Three weeks ahead of the election, polls show a tight vote intention between the two candidates, generating uncertainty
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mrsam36
EURCAD: Near the bottom of its Channel Down. Bullish.EURCAD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.446, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 21.257) as it is trading on the 3rd straight red 1D candle and is approaching the bottom of the 10 week Channel Down. The are more probabilities now to see a bullish reversal aimed at the top, so we turn bullish (TP = 1.51.300). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
USD/JPY – Heading to 153 with Corrections Along the WayAlright, trading family, we’re eyeing 153.07 as the next big wave for USD/JPY, but the ride might not be smooth. Expect a couple of corrective dips along the way, likely around those skinnier orange lines on the chart. Once we hit 153, the market will likely pause for a correction, though how deep that goes is still unknown until we get there. After that correction, the next set should take us toward 154 or even higher levels if the momentum holds strong. Key Levels to Watch: Current Target: 153.07 – A key level where a correction is expected. Correction Depth: Unknown until we get to 153—watch for signs of pullback strength. Upside Potential: 154+ – If the correction is shallow, we could push to higher levels fast. This move is shaping up to be a classic climb with a few dips to shake out weak hands. Keep an eye on those corrections—they’ll set the tone for how strong the next leg up will be. What’s your take—are we heading straight to 154 after 153, or will we see a deeper correction first? Drop your thoughts, follow, and share if this analysis helped you prep for the next wave. Mindbloome Trader Trade What You See
Long
by Mindbloome-Trading
USDJPY: 1H Rising Wedge approaching its top.USDJPY is almost overbought on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 69.322, MACD = 0.160, ADX = 19.927) as the price is approaching the top (HH) of the 10 day Rising Wedge. A 74.00 RSI has been the most optimal sell signal during the three past highs to start shorting. Wait for the opportunity and target the 0.5 Fib at least (TP = 149.645) as it has been the minimum target during the last two bearish waves. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
CHFJPY: Technically topped. Short opportunity.CHFJPY is on bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 59.579, MACD = 1.000, ADX = 53.750) but for the past 2 days have deen declining. This suggests that the top is has been priced and a technical pullback is to follow. The 1D MACD is on the verge of a Bearish Cross. All previous uptrend corrections hit or came close ot the 0.618 Fib. Consequently, we turn bearish on the short term (TP = 170.000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
Gold will above 2687 2695 read the caption price came just ticks ahead of new record high ($2685) during European trading on Wednesday, in fresh extension of bull-leg from $2602 higher low of Oct 10 and the bottom of corrective phase from $2685. The metal remains strongly supported by growing prospects for global monetary policy easing, geopolitical tensions and uncertainty surrounding nearing US election. Although the Fed officials are divided on the number of rate cuts until the end of the year, the central bank remains on track for more policy easing
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mrsam36
2
Gold will above 2687 2695 read the caption price came just ticks ahead of new record high ($2685) during European trading on Wednesday, in fresh extension of bull-leg from $2602 higher low of Oct 10 and the bottom of corrective phase from $2685. The metal remains strongly supported by growing prospects for global monetary policy easing, geopolitical tensions and uncertainty surrounding nearing US election. Although the Fed officials are divided on the number of rate cuts until the end of the year, the central bank remains on track for more policy easing
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mrsam36
GBPJPY Potential Trend ContinuationThe market is currently testing a key psychological support level at 193.000 after a period of consolidation following recent bullish momentum. If GBPJPY closes above the 194.000 level, it could indicate continued upward movement, setting the stage for a retest of the resistance zone above this level. Given the recent bullish sentiment, a clear break and close above 194.000 would likely signal further bullish moves, potentially pushing the price toward higher levels within the resistance zone. The target is the resistance at 194.500
Long
by RTED_Investing
EURUSD Possible further Drop after a small up correctionThe market broke through the 1.1000 round number following the negative NFP data for EURUSD, pushing the price below the September low. There's a strong possibility it could retest the next round number at 1.0900. The weekly candle reflects growing bearish momentum, and zooming out reveals that this level has historically acted as a key support multiple times. If the price is rejected at this resistance zone again, it could signal further bearish movement. The overall outlook remains bearish as long as the price stays below 1.1000. The target is the support level at 1.09050
Short
by RTED_Investing
#USDCHF 4HUSD/CHF (4H) Analysis: Resistance Breakout and Retest Pattern: The USD/CHF pair has broken through a key resistance level on the 4-hour chart, signaling a potential shift in market momentum. After the breakout, the price retraced back to retest the previous resistance, which is now acting as a new support level. Forecast: BUY With the successful retest of the broken resistance, buyers seem to be gaining control. This signals a potential continuation of the bullish momentum. A buy entry can be considered at the retest zone, with upside targets aiming for the next resistance levels. Stop losses should be placed just below the new support to manage risk. Key factors to consider: - Positive price action confirming the breakout. - Strong volume supporting the breakout and retest. - Favorable risk-to-reward ratio on the buy setup.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER