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USDCAD: 4 year Top is in. Brutal selloff started.USDCAD just turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.245, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 17.555) and is on the 3rd straight week of losses. This has come after an emphatic rejection on the R1 Zone, where the brutal selloffs of March 2020 and January 2016 started. This shapes up to be a 4 year Cycle and both times it hit the S1 Zone. Consequently targeting 'just' the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 1.26000) seems like a conservative target. The sell trigger for those who want a confirmed signal will be a crossing of the 1M RSI under its MA. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
NZDUSD: Rejection possible on the 1D MA200.NZDUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.829, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 25.517) as it is on the bullish wave of the 8 month Channel Down. The trend should be turning bearish soon however as not only is the pair approaching the top of the Channel Down but also the 1D MA200 and has completed a +6.18% increase like the June 12th 2024 high did. The 1D RSI is already ranged and is losing momentum so this may be the perfect level to sell. The trade is short, aiming at the S1 level (TP = 0.55250). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
GBPJPY: Channel Down started its new bearish wave.GBJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.648, MACD = 0.440, ADX = 26.099) as the price is testing the 1D MA50 again, being already on a 4 red day streak. The recent March 28th high almost touched the top of the 6 month Channel Down, so it can be technically considered a LH. Since the 1D RSI already crossed under its MA, we have a validated sell signal. Both prior bearish waves reached the 1.1 Fibonacci extension. Aim just over it (TP = 186.500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
EUR/GBP Triangle Pattern - Bearish Breakdown SetupProfessional Analysis of the EUR/GBP Chart This EUR/GBP (Euro/British Pound) daily chart from OANDA, published on April 3, 2025, highlights a key technical setup based on price action analysis, chart patterns, and support/resistance levels. 1. Market Context: Accumulation & Transition to a Triangle Pattern Curve Zone Formation (Rounded Bottom): The market initially exhibited a rounded bottom structure (curve zone) from July 2024 to February 2025, indicating a gradual accumulation phase. This phase often signals a shift in market sentiment, where sellers lose dominance, and buyers start stepping in. Breakout from Accumulation: After reaching the support zone (~0.8250 - 0.8300), price rebounded sharply in March 2025, confirming strong buyer interest. However, it failed to sustain upward momentum near the resistance zone (~0.8470 - 0.8500), leading to consolidation. 2. Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Lower Highs & Higher Lows: Price action began forming a symmetrical triangle, a classic consolidation pattern that typically precedes a strong breakout. The market is currently trading near the apex of the triangle, indicating that a breakout is imminent. Potential Breakout Direction: Symmetrical triangles are neutral patterns, meaning they can break either upward or downward. However, the price structure and resistance rejection suggest a higher probability of a bearish breakdown. 3. Key Levels & Trading Setup Resistance & Support Zones: 🔴 Resistance Zone (~0.8470 - 0.8500): This area has repeatedly acted as strong resistance, where sellers have consistently pushed prices lower. A breakout above this zone would indicate a bullish invalidation of the current bearish bias. 🟢 Support Zone (~0.8250 - 0.8300): This level has held price multiple times, acting as key support. A break below this zone would confirm bearish momentum, targeting lower price levels. 4. Bearish Trade Setup 📉 Entry Strategy (Short Position): Wait for a confirmed breakout below the triangle’s lower trendline (~0.8320 - 0.8350). A retest of the broken support turning into resistance would provide the best short entry. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement (~0.84764): Positioned above recent highs and the resistance zone to minimize risk. This ensures the trade is protected against potential false breakouts. 🎯 Profit Target (~0.81190 - 0.81134): The projected move aligns with historical support levels, making it a logical target. This level represents a previous market structure where buyers stepped in. 5. Conclusion & Trade Considerations ✅ Bearish Bias: The price action and pattern suggest a higher probability of a downside breakout. ✅ Defined Risk & Reward: A well-structured stop-loss and target level ensures a solid risk management strategy. ✅ Watch for Confirmation: Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout before entering a trade to avoid false moves. 📊 Overall Verdict: A high-probability short setup is forming, with a clear entry, stop-loss, and take-profit strategy. If the market respects the triangle breakdown scenario, this could lead to a significant bearish move toward the 0.81190 target.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on USDJPY? USDJPY is moving within a descending channel and has currently reached the top of the channel, just below a resistance zone. We anticipate some consolidation in this area, followed by a potential drop toward the bottom of the channel. For a safer sell entry, it’s better to wait for a break below the specified support level. After the breakout, a pullback to the broken support could offer a good sell opportunity. 💡Will USD/JPY respect the channel and head lower, or break out to the upside? Share your view below! 👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
17
AUDUSD Tap Reading/ Trading Math Analysis Reversal Predictions BDear Trader, Please find attached my analysis of $Subject, which uses mathematical calculations to identify potential reversal times and price levels. The analysis details projected south and north price targets (horizontal lines on the chart), along with estimated time frames for possible reversals (vertical lines on the chart, accurate to within +/- 1-2 candles). Please note that all times indicated on the chart, including the vertical lines representing potential reversal times, are based on the UTC+4 time zone. To increase the probability of these analysis, I recommend monitoring the 5-minute and 15-minute charts for the following key reversal candlestick patterns: Doji’s Hammer/Inverted Hammer Double/Triple Bottom/Top Shooting Star Morning Star Hanging Man I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future research. 3rd Apr12:05 PM 3rd Apr 4:30 PM 3rd APr 6:10 PM 3rd APr 6:30 PM 3rd Apr 10:25PM 4th Apr 2:10 AM to 2:30 AM 4th 4:30 AM to 5:35 AM 4th 10:30 AM Regards, Shunya Trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
by shoonya0000
EURUSD: Forming long term top inside 5 days.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.837, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 25.790) as since last Thursday it is rebounding on the 1D MA200. This is a perfect repetition of the September 2024 Double Top and right now we are on the final mini Channel Up, which inside 5 days priced that past top. Consequently we are prepared to turn bearish by halfway next week and aim for the S1 initially (TP = 1.0400). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1
USDJPY NEXT MOVE Support Breakdown: The analysis assumes that the price will respect the support level and bounce back up. However, if the support at around 149.000 is broken, we might see a further decline rather than a bullish reversal. 2. False Breakout at Resistance: The target suggests a move toward 151.000 resistance. However, price might fail to break above resistance and reverse back down, trapping buyers in a bull trap. 3. Sideways Movement (Consolidation): The price may not follow the expected movement and could enter a range-bound phase, moving sideways between support and resistance. 4. Fundamental Factors: Unexpected economic news, central bank intervention, or geopolitical events could disrupt the technical setup, leading to an outcome that does not follow the projected path.
Long
by mrsamfx81
3
Trend Changing Pattern (TCP) ExplainedIntroduction One of the most important skills in forex trading is learning how to read price action and understand what the market is telling you. Price is not just numbers — it’s the collective perception of traders, making it the most reliable leading indicator available. Today, I want to explain a powerful concept known as the Trend Changing Pattern (TCP) — a crucial tool for identifying potential market reversals and shifts in trend direction. 📈 What Is a Trend Changing Pattern? In any trending market, whether it's an uptrend or downtrend, the trend won’t change easily. The strength of the trend and the timeframe you're trading on will determine how long it takes for a true reversal to occur. One key signal of a trend change is a shift in momentum: In an uptrend, when a momentum low forms during a pullback, it can be a sign that the trend is beginning to reverse. In a downtrend, a momentum high during a pullback can signal a potential bullish reversal. These are what we refer to as Trend Changing Patterns (TCPs) — moments where the structure of the market starts to shift. ⚠️ Watch for Manipulation After the TCP After a TCP appears, it's common to see price manipulation before the new trend fully takes hold: In an uptrend, price may return to manipulate the previous high before continuing down. In a downtrend, price often dips to manipulate the previous low before reversing higher. Being aware of this common liquidity grab helps traders avoid being trapped and instead position themselves in alignment with the new trend. 🧠 Final Thoughts Understanding how to spot and interpret a Trend Changing Pattern gives you a major edge in forex trading. It helps you stay ahead of the market and make informed decisions based on price action, not emotion. 🎥 In the video, I go into more detail about momentum highs and lows, and how to recognize these key patterns in real time. Be sure to check it out if you want to sharpen your trend reversal strategy. Wishing you success on your trading journey! 🚀
Education
by Charts247TradingAcademy
EURJPYHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURJPY? This pair is currently trading below a key resistance zone and has also broken its ascending trendline. The price is now in the process of pulling back to the broken trendline, consolidating around that area. We expect that after completing the pullback and some consolidation, the pair will decline at least toward the specified support levels. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
2
What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) Concept in Trading?What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) Concept in Trading? Inverse Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) are a fascinating concept for traders seeking to refine their understanding of price behaviour. By identifying areas where market sentiment shifts, IFVGs provide unique insights into potential reversals and key price levels. In this article, we’ll explore what IFVGs are, how they differ from Fair Value Gaps, and how traders can integrate them into their strategies for more comprehensive market analysis. What Is a Fair Value Gap (FVG)? A Fair Value Gap (FVG) occurs when the market moves so rapidly in one direction that it leaves an imbalance in price action. This imbalance shows up on a chart as a gap between three consecutive candles: the wick of the first candle and the wick of the third candle fail to overlap, leaving a “gap” created by the second candle. It essentially highlights an area where buying or selling pressure was so dominant that the market didn’t trade efficiently. Traders view these gaps as areas of potential interest because markets often revisit these levels to "fill" the imbalance. For example, in a bullish FVG, the gap reflects aggressive buying that outpaced selling, potentially creating a future support zone. On the other hand, bearish FVGs indicate overwhelming selling pressure, which might act as resistance later. FVGs are closely tied to the concept of fair value. The gap suggests the market may have deviated from a balanced state, making it an area traders watch for signs of price rebalancing. Recognising and understanding these gaps can provide insights into where the price might gravitate in the future, helping traders assess key zones of interest for analysis. Understanding Inverse Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) An Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG), or Inversion Fair Value Gap, is an Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concept that builds on the idea of an FVG. While an FVG represents a price imbalance caused by strong directional movement, an IFVG emerges when an existing FVG is invalidated. This invalidation shifts the role of the gap, turning a bearish FVG into a bullish IFVG, or vice versa. Here’s how it works: a bearish FVG, for instance, forms when selling pressure dominates, leaving a gap that might act as resistance. However, if the market breaks through this gap—either with a wick or a candle close—it signals that the sellers in that zone have been overwhelmed. The bearish FVG is now invalidated and becomes a bullish IFVG, marking a potential area of support instead. The same applies in reverse for bullish FVGs becoming bearish IFVGs. Traders use inverted Fair Value Gaps to identify zones where market sentiment has shifted significantly. For example, when the price revisits a bullish IFVG, it may serve as a zone of interest for traders analysing potential buying opportunities. However, if the price moves past the bottom of the IFVG zone, it’s no longer valid and is typically disregarded. What makes these reverse FVGs particularly useful is their ability to highlight moments of structural change in the market. They can act as indicators of strength, revealing areas where price has transitioned from weakness to strength (or vice versa). By integrating IFVG analysis into their broader trading framework, traders can gain deeper insights into the evolving dynamics of supply and demand. Want to test your IFVG identification skills? Get started on FXOpen and TradingView. How Traders Use IFVGs in Trading By integrating IFVGs into their strategy, traders can refine their decision-making process and uncover potential setups aligned with their broader market outlook. Here’s how IFVGs are commonly used: Identifying Key Zones of Interest Traders begin by spotting FVGs on price charts—areas where rapid movements create imbalances. An inversion FVG forms when such a gap is invalidated; for instance, a bearish FVG becomes bullish if the price breaks above it. These zones are then marked as potential areas of interest, indicating where the market may experience significant activity. Contextualising Market Sentiment The formation of an IFVG signals a shift in market sentiment. When a bearish FVG is invalidated and turns into a bullish IFVG, it suggests that selling pressure has diminished and buying interest is gaining momentum. Traders interpret this as a potential reversal point, providing context for the current market dynamics. Analysing Price Reactions Once an IFVG is identified, traders monitor how the price interacts with this zone. If the price revisits a bullish IFVG and shows signs of support—such as slowing down its decline or forming bullish candlestick patterns—it may indicate a strengthening upward movement. Conversely, if the price breaches the IFVG without hesitation, the anticipated reversal might not materialise. How Can You Trade IFVGs? IFVGs provide traders with a structured way to identify and analyse price levels where sentiment has shifted. The process typically looks like this: 1. Establishing Market Bias Traders typically start by analysing the broader market direction. This often involves looking at higher timeframes, such as the daily or 4-hour charts, to identify trends or reversals. Tools like Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Changes of Character (CHoCH) within the ICT framework help clarify whether the market is leaning bullish or bearish. Indicators, such as moving averages or momentum oscillators, can also provide additional context for confirming directional bias. A strong bias ensures the trader is aligning setups with the dominant market flow. 2. Identifying and Using IFVGs Once a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is invalidated—indicating a significant shift in sentiment—it transforms into an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG). Traders mark the IFVG zone as a key area of interest. If it aligns with their broader market bias, this zone can serve as a potential entry point. For instance, in a bearish bias, traders may focus on bearish IFVGs that act as potential resistance zones. 3. Placing Orders and Risk Management Traders often set a limit order at the IFVG boundary, anticipating a retracement and for the area to hold. A stop loss is typically placed just beyond the IFVG or a nearby swing high/low to manage risk. For exits, targets might include a predefined risk/reward ratio, such as 1:3, or a significant technical level like an order block or support/resistance area. This approach ensures trades remain structured and grounded in analysis. Advantages and Disadvantages of IFVGs IFVGs offer traders a unique lens through which to analyse price movements, but like any tool, they come with both strengths and limitations. Understanding these can help traders incorporate IFVGs into their strategies. Advantages - Highlight market sentiment shifts: IFVGs pinpoint areas where sentiment has reversed, helping traders identify key turning points. - Refined entry zones: They provide precise areas for potential analysis, reducing guesswork and offering clear levels to watch. - Flexibility across markets: IFVGs can be applied to any market, including forex, commodities, or indices, making them versatile. - Complementary to other tools: They pair well with other ICT tools like BOS, CHoCH, and order blocks for enhanced analysis. Disadvantages - Subject to interpretation: Identifying and confirming IFVGs can vary between traders, leading to inconsistencies. - Limited standalone reliability: IFVGs need to be used alongside broader market analysis; relying solely on them increases risk. - Higher timeframe dependence: Their effectiveness can diminish on lower timeframes, where noise often obscures true sentiment shifts. - Potential for invalidation: While IFVGs signal potential opportunities, they aren’t guarantees; price can break through, rendering them ineffective. The Bottom Line Inverse Fair Value Gaps provide traders with a structured approach to identifying market shifts and analysing key price levels. By integrating IFVGs into a broader strategy, traders can uncover valuable insights and potentially refine their decision-making. Ready to apply IFVG trading in real markets? Open an FXOpen account today and explore potential trading opportunities across more than 700 markets, alongside four advanced trading platforms and competitive conditions. FAQ What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG)? The IFVG meaning refers to a formation that occurs when a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is invalidated. For example, a bearish FVG becomes bullish after the price breaks above it, creating a potential support zone. Similarly, a bullish FVG can transform into a bearish IFVG if the price breaks below it, creating a potential resistance zone. IFVGs highlight shifts in market sentiment, providing traders with areas of interest for analysing possible reversals or continuation zones. What Is the Difference Between a Fair Value Gap and an Inverse Fair Value Gap? A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is an imbalance caused by aggressive buying or selling, creating a price gap that may act as support or resistance. An Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when the original FVG is invalidated—indicating a shift in sentiment—and its role flips. For instance, a bearish FVG invalidated by a price breakout becomes a bullish IFVG. What Is the Difference Between BPR and Inverse FVG? A Balanced Price Range (BPR) represents the overlap of two opposing Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), creating a sensitive zone for potential price reactions. In contrast, an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) is a concept based on a single FVG that has been invalidated, flipping its role. While both are useful, BPR reflects the equilibrium between buyers and sellers, whereas IFVG highlights sentiment reversal. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?EUR/NZD is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.89237 1st Support: 1.88090 1st Resistance: 1.91677 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Heading into pullback resistance?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6276 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6321 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.6214 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and the first target is expected to be around $3200. At this level, due to a resistance zone, a temporary correction is likely. This correction may extend down to the bottom of the ascending channel, which acts as a key support area. After completing the pullback, the bullish trend is expected to resume, aiming for the top of the channel as the next target. If price breaks above the channel, higher targets could be activated. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
6
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸 For the last 2 weeks, EURUSD shows a strong bearish momentum. The price managed to break and close below a key daily support cluster. A strong bearish reaction that followed after its retest confirms a strong selling pressure. I think that the pair has a potential to drop lower this week. 2️⃣ #GBPUSD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇺🇸 In comparison to EURUSD, GBPUSD looks very stable. The pair is consolidating within quite a wide range on a daily. For now, probabilities are high that sideways movement will continue. Consider trading the upper and lower boundary of the underlined channel. Alternatively, a breakout of one of the underlined structures will give you a strong bullish/breaish signal. 3️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵 Looks like the market is returning to a mid-term bearish trend. The price is currently breaking a support line of a bearish flag pattern. A daily candle close below its support will provide a strong bearish confirmation. 4️⃣ #AUDUSD daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸 I see a completed head & shoulders pattern on a daily. The price is currently breaking its neckline. A daily candle close below that will provide a strong bearish confirmation and suggest a highly probable bearish continuation. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1