Bearish Head & Shoulder Breakdown in Descending Channel - XAUUSDXAUUSD – 15 Minute Chart Analysis
Observed a Bearish Head & Shoulders pattern forming within a descending channel structure. Price is currently reacting near the upper boundary of the channel around the 3324 level. The neckline support is identified near 3285. A confirmed break below this level may open the way toward the 3225–3202 support zone.
Key Technical Levels:
- Channel Resistance: 3324
- Neckline Support: 3285
- Next Support Zone: 3225–3202
Bias remains bearish while price stays below the channel resistance. Watching for volume confirmation on any potential breakdown.
This chart is shared for educational and technical analysis purposes only.
Forextrading
CADJPY: Bullish Continuation Confirmed 🇨🇦🇯🇵
Look how strongly CADJPY reacted to a recently broken
resistance that turned into a support after a breakout.
A bullish violation of a resistance line of a falling wedge on an hourly time frame
with a bullish imbalance confirms a highly probable growth.
The price will go up at least to 105.09
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XAU/USD: Ready for another Decline? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.132. If it manages to hold below 1.14, I expect further downside. The bearish targets are 1.12790, 1.11800, 1.10700, and 1.096 respectively.
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Silver (XAG/USD) Analysis Using Mirror Market Concepts + Target📌 Overview:
In this analysis, I’ve applied MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) to Silver’s recent price action. MMC helps traders like us identify symmetry, psychological zones, and repetitive structures in the market. This chart is a textbook example of how buyers and sellers leave patterns behind that we can mirror to predict what comes next.
Let’s dig deep into this elegant setup 👇
📈 1. The Curve Zone Support – Foundation for the Move
At the base of the chart, you’ll notice a curved support zone drawn in black. This isn’t just any random support—this is a rounded structure that shows how price gradually transitioned from bearish to bullish over time.
This Curve Zone Support indicates:
Sellers are getting exhausted.
Buyers are quietly stepping in, absorbing all sell-side pressure.
The market is preparing for an upside breakout.
This zone also aligns with mirror behavior—what price did before, it's setting up to do again.
🟣 2. Mirror Market Concepts in Action
MMC teaches us to reflect past structures into the future. Here’s how it plays out:
Previous dips into the curve zone were followed by strong bullish pushes.
Recent price action mimics earlier structures, forming mini-cups and curved bases.
This behavior suggests that Silver is mirroring its own bullish reversal structure again.
It’s like watching history repeat itself—with new energy.
🟡 3. Demand Zone + Break of Structure (BOS)
Around the $33.00 level, price dipped into a marked demand zone (highlighted in light purple). This is where buyers jumped back in and pushed price up again—proving strong interest at this level.
You’ll also notice a Minor Break of Structure (BOS) above this demand zone, showing:
A small, but significant shift in market sentiment.
Short-term trend change from bearish to bullish.
Fuel for the next leg up.
This BOS acts as confirmation that price is ready to move toward the target.
🎯 4. Targeting Major Resistance – $34.50 Zone
The ultimate goal is the Major Resistance Zone around $34.50. This zone has been tested before and caused strong rejections. But here’s the key difference now:
Price is approaching this level with momentum, structure, and buyer interest.
If MMC continues to play out, this zone could be taken out or at least retested for potential breakout continuation.
This area is marked as your Target Zone and is aligned with the mirrored projection.
🧠 5. What the Market Psychology Tells Us
Let’s not just read candles—let’s read the mind of the market:
Buyers are patiently absorbing every dip.
Sellers are losing control at each attempt to push price down.
The curve base structure is signaling accumulation.
Demand zones are holding perfectly.
Minor BOS adds more weight to bullish bias.
All these are classic MMC psychological footprints.
⚙️ Trade Plan (Educational Purpose Only):
🔹 Bullish Bias:
Entry: On confirmation above the minor BOS or demand retest.
Stop: Below the recent demand zone.
Target: $34.50 Major Resistance area.
🔹 Bearish Watch:
If price rejects from the curve or fails to hold above demand zone…
Price could revisit $32.50 or lower to re-test curve zone again.
📘 Final Thoughts:
This chart is a masterclass in how Mirror Market Concepts work. From the curve zone support to the demand hold, and now a clear target in sight, everything is lining up beautifully.
If you’re a price action trader, this is the kind of structure you wait weeks for.
If the bullish scenario plays out, we could see Silver make a strong run toward the $34.50 resistance zone in the coming days.
Keep your eyes on:
Curve zone support holding
Demand confirmation
XAUUSD Technical Outlook – Golden Cross in FocusGold is showing signs of recovery on the H1 timeframe, rebounding from the critical $3,290 support zone after a brief consolidation phase. A notable development is the 50-period moving average crossing above the 200-period MA — forming a Golden Cross, which is a classic bullish signal suggesting upward momentum may strengthen in the near term.
🔍 Momentum Insights:
Resistance Check: On the micro-level, XAUUSD is approaching short-term resistance — the 50-MA itself — which may offer temporary friction.
MACD Confirmation: The MACD histogram has crossed above the signal line, reinforcing bullish divergence and signaling growing upward momentum.
Structure: Price is maintaining higher lows while respecting the moving average structure — a sign of controlled bullish development.
📈 #TradeIdea – Breakout Strategy
We are watching for a buy opportunity above the $3,320 breakout level, aligning with a shift in both momentum and structure.
🔼 Long Setup:
📍 Entry: Buy on breakout above $3,320
🎯 Target 1: $3,350
🎯 Target 2: $3,365
🛡️ Stop-loss can be trailed below $3,290 (support turned invalidation)
Support/resistance has now been decisively broken.EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe Overview
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as financial advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
The EUR/USD pair has recently shown a notable technical development on the daily chart. A key trendline that has previously acted as dynamic support/resistance has now been decisively broken. Following the breakout, the price action has returned to retest this trendline from below—a common behavior that traders often refer to as a "break-and-retest" setup.
Adding further weight to this area is the presence of a breaker block, which is overlapping with the retesting zone. This convergence of technical structures increases the probability of a bearish rejection from this level. Should the market respect this zone as resistance, we can expect a potential downward move targeting the nearest Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has been highlighted on the chart.
However, traders should also consider a contingency scenario. If the FVG fails to act as a price magnet or support zone, further downside pressure could take the pair toward lower levels—specifically, the recent swing lows, which may serve as the next major support area.
This scenario aligns with the current market momentum and structure, but as always, price action confirmation and risk management are crucial.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips AgainMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips Again
AUD/USD declined below the 0.6500 and 0.6460 support levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6500 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6460 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6520 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6500 support against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled below 0.6460 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6450. A low was formed at 0.6435 and the pair is now consolidating.
On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 0.6460 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6537 swing high to the 0.6435 low.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6485 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6537 swing high to the 0.6435 low, above which the price could rise toward 0.6515.
Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.6535 resistance. A close above the 0.6535 level could trigger another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.6600.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6435 zone. The next support sits at 0.6410. If there is a downside break below 0.6410, the pair could extend its decline. The next support could be 0.6350. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6320 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market next target
⚠️ Disruption Points:
1. Dubious Support Zone
The boxed zone (highlighted as support) shows multiple rejections but no clear bullish rejection candles (e.g., no hammer, bullish engulfing).
This may be a false base forming before another breakdown, especially with declining volume.
2. No Confirmed Reversal Pattern
The chart lacks a proper reversal structure like a double bottom, inverse head-and-shoulders, or bullish divergence.
A few sideways candles ≠ trend reversal—this might just be consolidation before further drop.
3. Weak Buyer Commitment
Volume has steadily decreased as the price attempted to base out.
If buyers were serious, we’d expect to see surging green volume bars, not this tapering activity.
4. Downtrend Still Dominant
The overall market structure is still lower highs and lower lows.
Jumping into a long trade against the trend without a confirmed break above the last swing high (≈1.13250) is premature.
5. Risk-Reward Imbalance
The arrowed path assumes an ideal rise without considering realistic pullbacks or market resistance.
If a stop is set below 1.12800 (support low) and the target is 1.13400, reward is tight compared to the risk, especially if price continues chopping sideways.
Market next move 🚨 Disruptive Take on the Current Silver-CFD Setup (1 h)
⚠️ Key Issue Why It Undermines the Long-Target Thesis
1. Target looks “wishful” The arrow projects a move into the 33.55–33.60 zone without price ever clearing the nearest resistance band around 33.30–33.35. A premature target can bait traders into chasing the tail end of a relief rally.
2. Volume doesn’t back the bounce Notice how the big green climb out of the pit on the 27 th started on strong volume, but the last 10–12 candles show shrinking green bars. Demand is decaying as price inches higher—a classic recipe for a bull trap.
3. Momentum is stalling The most recent candle printed red right at the dotted mid-line, hinting at exhaustion. Without a fresh momentum kick (e.g., higher high ➜ bullish engulfing), upside continuation is statistically fragile.
4. Structure still favors lower highs The broader pattern since the 25–26 th is a series of lower swing-highs. Until that diagonal is broken decisively, every uptick remains a counter-trend bounce, not a new up-trend.
5. Macro landmine ahead The U.S. flag icon marks an impending data release. Silver’s intraday volatility tends to spike on USD events; any dollar strength could instantly unwind the thin-volume rise. Trading into news with no contingency ≠ smart risk.
6. Stop-loss placement is unclear Without a clearly defined invalidation level (e.g., below 33.00 or under the 27 th swing-low), the R-R profile is lopsided: limited upside room vs. plenty of air underneath.
Market next move 🚨 Disruption Analysis of the Gold CFD Chart
1. Over-Optimistic Target Placement
The target is placed significantly above the current market trend without substantial confirmation of a reversal.
The recent bullish candles are weak and not supported by volume spikes.
There's a bearish engulfing pattern forming, suggesting a possible continuation of the downtrend.
2. Weak Volume Confirmation
The rise in price does not coincide with a strong increase in buying volume.
Volume bars are mixed and not clearly favoring buyers, indicating market indecision rather than strength.
3. False Bottom Assumption
The assumption that the market has bottomed on the 27th is speculative.
Without a double-bottom pattern or significant bullish divergence on an RSI/MACD (not shown here), the upward bias is unjustified.
4. Price Action Breakdown
Lower highs and lower lows are still visible.
The short bounce could be a retracement rather than a trend reversal.
5. Macro or Fundamental Events Ignored
Given the presence of the US flag icon (economic event), any upcoming data release (like GDP, interest rates, etc.) could drastically alter market direction.
Trading before news without adjusting targets and stops is risky.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1263
1st Support: 1.1166
1st Resistance: 1.1423
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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Bitcoin: Will it surpass $109k in its upward trend?Since April, Bitcoin has traded in a clearly defined upward channel with two lower and upper trend lines. This channel was formed three touchpoints both on the lower and upper trendlines.
Near a critical zone
Now, BTC is at a key resistance zone where it previously peaked around $109,000, holding its all-time high. This level resists both judgement as well as forensic level significantly of a psychological barrier because it was the peak of the last major bull cycle. The price is currently hovering around the everyday resistance line while BTC is still in the upward channel. In conjunction with the historic all-time high and the upper channel resistance, range bound price action gives us an accurate capture of BTC’s behaviour.
Bullish breakout
The scenario outlined for this resistance zone makes the most sense as a rejection may lead to a temporary pullback, likely to the somewhat lower boundary of the rising channel. This in itself would not be the termination of the bullish trend, but instead a healthy retracement within the confines of an uptrend structure. But, if the market does break out above the $109,000 level with ample volume and bullish momentum, then things could start changing in the market for the better from there. Such breakout will confirm the uptrend is strong and valid where else new breakout targets will also be set turning the old high into new low. The $109,000 level would then probably move from resistance to support, making it a critical area for bulls to protect on any retests in the future.
A bearish breakout
The ramifications of a breakdown below the rising channel should also be understood by traders. It is crucial to keep an eye on the channel's lower barrier, which is presently at about $104,000. A significant decline below this level would signal a loss of short-term bullish momentum and lead to a more thorough correction. In that scenario, Bitcoin would probably go for the imbalanced area between $97,500 and $100,500, where the price has previously moved quickly without forming any solid support or resistance. Buyers may be able to intervene in this zone and try to restore bullish dominance, which may pave the way for a new breakout attempt and another surge toward the $109,000 barrier.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Bitcoin is at a critical point right now. Bitcoin is currently facing a significant resistance zone at its prior all-time high, but the upward channel that has directed price action since April is still in place. The degree of market momentum and the actions of buyers and sellers at these critical levels will determine whether the price hits new highs or declines. Investors and traders should be alert and ready for both situations since the next action could determine how Bitcoin develops over the following few weeks.
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Market next move
1. Misleading Bullish Label
Issue: The chart marks the latest price action as "Bullish" based on a short-term recovery.
Disruption: This could be a dead-cat bounce — a temporary recovery in a downtrend. The overall trend from the prior candles is bearish, and a few green candles don’t confirm a reversal without volume or structural confirmation.
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2. Volume Analysis Ignored
Issue: The volume spike accompanying the recent green candles is not fully analyzed.
Disruption: Although there's higher volume, it could be short covering or a reaction to news, not organic buying interest. No volume divergence or institutional footprint confirmation is given.
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3. No Confirmation Pattern
Issue: No mention of chart patterns (e.g., double bottom, inverse head and shoulders, etc.).
Disruption: Calling it “bullish” without a clear technical pattern or confirmation (like a break of resistance or retest) is speculative.
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4. Vague Target
Issue: The “Target” is labeled without specifics.
Disruption: There's no price level, Fibonacci retracement, or resistance level justification. A target without rationale lacks credibility.
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5. No Risk Management
Issue: No stop-loss or risk level is discussed.
Disruption: Without defined risk-reward ratio, the analysis is incomplete and not tradable. Every strategy needs downside planning.
Market next target Disruption of the Analysis
1. Weak Confirmation of Reversal: The chart shows a possible target zone after a recent small bullish move, but the candlestick reversal pattern is weak and lacks a strong confirmation candle. Without a bullish engulfing or a high-volume breakout, this “Target” may be premature.
2. Downtrend Momentum Intact: Despite the slight bounce, the broader trend remains bearish (visible by the previous lower lows and lower highs). No trendline break or structural shift supports a move toward the target.
3. Volume Does Not Support Breakout: Although there is a small spike in green volume, it does not exceed previous bearish volume, which suggests that buyers are not yet in control.
4. Over-reliance on Visual Targeting: The “Target” label appears to be placed based on a subjective expectation, not on a clear technical structure like a resistance level, Fibonacci retracement, or moving average. This makes it speculative.
5. Lack of Indicator Confluence: There are no visible indicators (like RSI, MACD, or EMA crossovers) shown to justify a reversal. Trading solely on price action without confirmation from indicators reduces reliability.
Market next move
Bullish Disruption Scenario
1. False Resistance Breakdown:
The red zone marked as resistance may fail to hold. The recent strong bullish candle and volume spike hint at possible accumulation rather than rejection.
2. Breakout and Retest Play:
Price could break above the resistance zone, retest it as new support, and then continue higher—invalidating the expected red and blue downward paths.
3. Volume Behavior:
The most recent green volume spike could signal strong institutional buying, which often precedes a breakout.
4. Higher Lows Formation:
Price structure is creating higher lows, which is a bullish signal in consolidation before breakout.
5. Market Sentiment:
If upcoming U.S. macroeconomic data (see flag icons) is dovish or supportive of crypto risk-on assets, BTC could rally sharply.
Market next move Bearish Disruption Scenario
1. Resistance Zone Holding (Red Box):
The current price is testing a strong resistance zone (highlighted in red).
There’s a chance that this level won't be broken easily due to historical supply or institutional sell orders.
2. Volume Spike Warning:
The recent green volume bars show increased buying, but this could signal buyer exhaustion if no significant breakout follows.
3. Fake Breakout Potential:
Price may perform a false breakout above the resistance, trapping late buyers before reversing down sharply.
4. Bearish Candlestick Confirmation:
If the next few candles form a reversal pattern (like a bearish engulfing or shooting star), it would support a short-term correction or drop.
5. Macro & News Risk:
Note the upcoming economic events (flag icons). U.S. or Japan economic data could disrupt the technical setup.
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? Let's Find Out! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, the price first corrected to the $3323 area and is currently trading around $3336. As mentioned in the previous analysis, as long as the price remains above $3313, we can expect further upside for gold. Based on the prior analysis, the next bullish targets are $3342, $3358, $3366, and $3394.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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USDCAD: Strong Bearish Confirmation ?! 🇺🇸🇨🇦
I see an important sign of strength of the sellers on USDCAD
on an hourly time frame after a release of the today's US fundamentals.
The price violated a support line of a horizontal range and is retesting
that at the moment.
I believe that the price may drop at least to1.374 level soon.
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Market next move . Support Fatigue / Breakdown Risk
Observation: Price has tested the red support zone multiple times.
Disruption: Repeated tests of support often weaken it. If it breaks, a sharp drop may follow.
Implication: Instead of bouncing, EUR/USD could slide below 1.13200, triggering stop-losses.
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2. Lack of Bullish Volume Confirmation
Observation: The recent candles show low volume on bullish attempts.
Disruption: Weak demand at support indicates hesitation among buyers.
Implication: Without a volume spike, any bounce may be short-lived or fail entirely.
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3. Bearish Momentum Still Intact
Observation: Price action shows consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Disruption: The short-term trend is still bearish, so this could be a pause before continuation down.
Implication: A false bullish break could trap long traders before a drop resumes.
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4. Fundamental Risks (USD Strength)
Disruption: Any U.S. data surprises or hawkish Fed comments (noted by U.S. event icons on the chart) could push USD higher, dragging EUR/USD down.
Implication: Technical bounce setups could be invalidated by macro events.
Market next move
1. False Breakout / Bull Trap Risk
Observation: Price just touched the support and bounced slightly.
Disruption: If buyers fail to push above the next resistance (around 32.95–33.00), it could be a bull trap.
Implication: The bounce might just be a short-covering rally before another leg down.
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2. Weak Buying Volume
Observation: The bounce lacks strong green volume bars so far.
Disruption: Weak volume on the bounce suggests limited buyer conviction.
Implication: Without a volume surge, the upward move could fizzle out quickly.
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3. Lower High Structure
Observation: The trend before the support touch is clearly down.
Disruption: This bounce may only form a lower high before continuation lower.
Implication: The larger trend remains bearish unless 33.20+ is reclaimed with strength.
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4. Fundamental Headwinds
Disruption: Any upcoming data like strong USD, rising interest rates, or weak industrial demand could push silver down despite technical setups.
Implication: Bullish setups could fail fast due to macroeconomic pressure.
Market next move
1. Potential Bear Trap Scenario
Observation: The highlighted consolidation area could be a support zone.
Disruption: If the price quickly reclaims and holds above this zone (around 3,292), it could be a bear trap. This might attract buyers looking for a false breakdown reversal.
Implication: This could lead to a short-term rally instead of continuation lower.
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2. Volume Divergence
Observation: Despite the breakdown, the selling volume seems to taper off compared to the previous heavy down move.
Disruption: Lower volume on a breakdown can signal weakening bearish momentum. Price might consolidate or even reverse.
Implication: Watch for bullish volume spikes as a sign of reversal interest.
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3. Oversold RSI or Momentum Indicators
Disruption: If momentum indicators like RSI (not visible on this chart) show oversold conditions, this may suggest a relief bounce is more likely than further immediate downside.
Implication: Short-term traders could get trapped if they short too late.
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4. Fundamental Triggers
Disruption: Any sudden positive news for gold (e.g. economic uncertainty, lower bond yields, central bank demand) can reverse this technical setup quickly.
Implication: Be cautious trading solely on technicals in sensitive markets like gold.
Analysing the Volatility Spike on the USD/JPY ChartAnalysing the Volatility Spike on the USD/JPY Chart
The USD/JPY chart offers plenty of noteworthy insights for analysis:
→ A one-month low was recorded today (marked by the arrow);
→ This was followed by a sharp upward reversal, with a series of large bullish candlesticks forming on the intraday chart.
Why Is USD/JPY Moving Sharply Today?
The primary driver appears to be recent statements from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda.
According to Trading Economics, this morning Ueda:
→ warned of rising core inflation risks linked to increasing food prices;
→ indicated that the Bank of Japan is prepared to adjust its monetary policy in order to achieve a stable inflation target.
Latest data show that Japan’s core inflation unexpectedly rose to 3.5% — the highest level in two years — reinforcing the case for further rate hikes. However, what's particularly striking is that despite Ueda’s hawkish tone, the yen is weakening.
Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart
Yen fluctuations formed a downward trajectory (marked in orange) in the second half of May, partly driven by US dollar weakness. Following a period of relative calm, the market has shifted into high gear — the ATR indicator is climbing sharply from multi-month lows, breaking through resistance at the 143.0 level.
This aggressive price action on the USD/JPY chart today suggests we may be witnessing an attempted bullish breakout from the channel. In light of this, it is possible that the surge in volatility reflects a fundamental shift in market sentiment — one that could potentially lead to the development of an upward trend.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
MarketBreakdown | USDJPY, US100, BITCOIN, GBPJPY
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #USDJPY 4H time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵
I see a strong bullish reaction to a key daily/intraday horizontal support.
A formation of a high momentum bullish candle and a violation of a resistance line
of a bullish flag indicate a highly probable rise to higher levels.
2️⃣ #US100 #NASDAQ Index 4H time frame
I spotted one more bullish flag on US100.
Its resistance was violated yesterday and we already see
a strong buying interest.
I think that the market will rise more, at least to a current local high.
3️⃣ #BITCOIN #BTCUSD daily time frame
The price nicely respected a confluence zone based on
a rising trend line and a recently broken horizontal structure.
Probabilities will be high that the market will continue rising from that.
4️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵
The price nicely respected a solid rising trend line.
I see a breakout attempt of a minor daily horizontal resistance.
IF a daily candle closes above that, it will provide a strong bullish confirmation.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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