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USDJPY Daily Outlook: Bearish Bias Expected Amid Key Economic !USDJPY Daily Outlook: Bearish Bias Expected Amid Key Economic Drivers (07/11/2024) Overview On November 7, 2024, USDJPY appears to be leaning toward a slight bearish bias as various fundamental factors impact the pair. This article delves into the primary drivers shaping USDJPY today, including central bank policy stances, global market sentiment, and economic data releases. Traders and investors on TradingView can benefit from a close analysis of these influences to navigate the USDJPY pair’s movement. Keywords: USDJPY forecast, forex trading, Japanese yen, U.S. dollar, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, inflation, interest rates, technical analysis, forex market --- Key Factors Supporting a USDJPY Bearish Bias Today 1. Dovish Stance from the Federal Reserve The Federal Reserve has recently shifted toward a more cautious tone on rate hikes, with key policymakers indicating a preference for a "wait-and-see" approach. This cautious stance could limit USD strength, particularly as traders anticipate no further rate hikes unless inflation surges unexpectedly. A softer dollar environment could weigh on USDJPY. 2. Bank of Japan’s Slightly More Hawkish Outlook While the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has traditionally maintained an ultra-loose monetary policy, recent comments from BoJ officials suggest a growing willingness to adjust policy if inflation stays persistently higher. This subtle shift in tone has sparked interest in the yen as traders reassess Japan’s inflation and policy outlook, which could add bearish pressure on USDJPY. 3. Rising Risk Aversion Risk sentiment has turned cautious in global markets, with equities slightly under pressure and investors showing renewed interest in safe-haven assets. The yen, as a traditional safe-haven currency, often benefits in times of risk aversion, making USDJPY more vulnerable to downside movement when risk sentiment fades. 4. Weak U.S. Economic Data Recent U.S. economic indicators, such as declining consumer sentiment and slower employment growth, are casting doubt on the resilience of the U.S. economy. Softer data contributes to concerns that the Fed may pause or even reverse its tightening, further pressuring USD and potentially driving USDJPY lower. 5. Technical Analysis Insights On the technical side, USDJPY is trading near significant resistance at the 150.00 level, a historically sensitive price area. If sellers defend this resistance, USDJPY could turn bearish, with initial support around 148.00. Technical indicators such as the RSI suggest USDJPY may be overbought, aligning with a potential pullback. USDJPY Today: What to Watch For - U.S. Initial Jobless Claims – Today's release of U.S. jobless claims data may further affect USD sentiment, particularly if the data reveals a labor market slowdown, adding to USDJPY’s bearish potential. - BoJ Commentary – Any fresh statements from BoJ officials about policy flexibility could strengthen the yen and add further pressure on USDJPY. Conclusion Today, USDJPY shows signs of a bearish bias due to dovish signals from the Fed, a potentially more hawkish BoJ, risk aversion, and weaker U.S. data. As always, traders should monitor key data releases for potential market-moving surprises that could impact USDJPY. SEO Tags : #USDJPYforecast #ForexTrading #JapaneseYen #USD #USDJPYtechnicalanalysis #ForexMarket #RiskSentiment #CentralBankPolicy #DailyForexAnalysis
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
NZDUSD Daily Outlook: Bullish Bias Expected Amid Key FundamentalNZDUSD Daily Outlook: Bullish Bias Expected Amid Key Fundamental Drivers (07/11/2024) Overview On 7th November 2024, NZDUSD is showing signs of a slight bullish bias, driven by key economic data releases and broader market sentiment. This article provides an in-depth look at the factors shaping NZDUSD today, including central bank commentary, global market trends, and recent shifts in risk sentiment. Keywords: NZDUSD forecast, New Zealand dollar, forex trading, USD, economic data, central bank policy, risk sentiment, technical analysis, forex market --- Key Factors Supporting NZDUSD Bullish Bias Today 1. Federal Reserve Dovish Outlook Recent Federal Reserve statements have taken a slightly dovish tone, with policymakers emphasizing a "wait-and-see" approach to further rate hikes. The possibility of a Fed pause on interest rates provides support to the New Zealand dollar, as market sentiment leans towards a softer USD. 2. RBNZ’s Hawkish Stance on Interest Rates The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) recently signaled a focus on inflation control, reinforcing a hawkish stance relative to the Fed. This contrasts with other central banks, positioning NZD as an attractive currency in the current global environment. Markets are pricing in a limited chance of a rate hike from the RBNZ in the near term, which could further support NZD. 3. Improved Risk Sentiment Global markets have seen an increase in risk appetite, with equities rebounding and commodities trading higher. This shift often benefits the NZD due to its reputation as a commodity-linked and high-yield currency. As investors seek yield, demand for the New Zealand dollar may rise, enhancing NZDUSD. 4. Strong New Zealand Economic Data New Zealand’s recent economic data, including employment figures and business confidence, indicate resilience in the economy. Solid domestic growth and low unemployment rates suggest underlying strength, which could further boost NZD demand against USD. 5. Technical Analysis Indicators From a technical standpoint, NZDUSD is approaching key support levels around 0.5900, showing upward momentum and signaling a potential reversal. RSI (Relative Strength Index) levels indicate that the pair may have room to move higher before hitting overbought territory, aligning with a bullish outlook. NZDUSD Today: What to Watch For - US Initial Jobless Claims – Scheduled later today, these figures may influence USD if they show a labor market slowdown, potentially adding to the Fed’s dovish stance and supporting NZDUSD. - NZDUSD’s Resistance Levels – Key resistance near 0.6050 could be tested if bullish momentum continues, while support at 0.5900 could offer a base. Conclusion Given the softer stance from the Federal Reserve and favorable economic data from New Zealand, NZDUSD shows signs of a slight bullish bias. As always, forex traders should monitor any significant data releases closely, as these could prompt volatility in NZDUSD. SEO Tags: #NZDUSDforecast #ForexTrading #NewZealandDollar #USD #NZDUSDtechnicalanalysis #ForexMarket #RiskSentiment #CentralBankPolicy #DailyForexAnalysis
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
GBPAUD: Strong buy opportunity for a final push.GBPAUD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.562, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 38.182) as the price has pulled back to the bottom of the bullish wave of the 1 year Channel Up. That is technically the final buy opportunity before the rally to the top of the Channel. All prior bullish waves made a rise of at least +4.46%. As long as the 1D MA50 supports, the top of the +4.46% range will be our target (TP = 1.99500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
GBPUSD: Updated Support & Resistance Analysis 🇬🇧🇺🇸 Here is my latest structure analysis for GBPUSD. Horizontal Structures Resistance 1: 1.304 - 1.310 area Resistance 2: 1.331 - 1.332 area Resistance 3: 1.341 - 1.343 area Support 1: 1.284 - 1.286 area Support 2: 1.277 - 1.280 area Support 3: 1.266 - 1.269 area Vertical Structures Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
USD/CAD Weekly Technical AnalysisTrendline and Support Levels: The USD/CAD pair is following a long-term uptrend, as highlighted by the purple ascending trendline. This trendline has acted as dynamic support since 2021, with multiple price bounces validating its strength. Key support levels are marked at 1.33647, 1.31234, and 1.29767. These levels represent potential areas where buyers could re-enter if the price retraces, providing strong zones of interest for long-term traders. Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance is observed around 1.38439, which aligns with recent price rejection. This level has historically acted as both support and resistance, making it an important area to watch. The critical resistance is located at 1.40130. A breakout above this level could signal further bullish momentum, potentially leading to a new high. Volume Profile Analysis: The volume profile (visible range) shows a high concentration of trading volume around the 1.33647 level, indicating a significant area of price acceptance. This zone could act as strong support if the price moves down, as traders may view it as a fair value level. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI appears to be in a neutral range, hovering near the 50 mark, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. However, it would be prudent to monitor RSI for any breakout above 70 or drop below 30, which could signal potential trend reversals or continuation. Volume Analysis: Volume has shown occasional spikes, reflecting heightened activity during key price movements. However, recent weeks have seen average volume levels, suggesting a steady interest from traders without excessive volatility. Outlook and Strategy: Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 1.40130 could trigger further upside momentum, making higher levels a target for long-term bulls. Watch for confirmation through strong bullish candlesticks and increased volume. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold above 1.38439 and closes below the trendline, it could signal a reversal or consolidation phase, with 1.33647 as a key downside target. Traders should watch for bearish signals like a break below the trendline and potential RSI divergence. Conclusion: USD/CAD is currently trading near a significant resistance level, testing the strength of the ongoing uptrend. Traders should watch for a breakout above 1.40130 to confirm bullish momentum, while a break below the trendline could suggest consolidation or a potential reversal. Patience is advised as the price approaches these key levels.
Short
by AngshumanSaikia
AUDNZD: Bullish extension expected.AUDNZD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.156, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 27.433) as it maintained the rebound made on the 4H MA200 and bottom of the Channel Up. According to the 4H RSI, this pattern is similar to the 4H MA200 of April that made one final extension on that rebound to the 1.786 Fibonacci level. Our target is slightly under it (TP = 1.117500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
EURUSD: Get ready for a fast short.EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.619, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 44.229) as it has started the new bullish wave following the test of the 1 year HL trendline but on 1H it got overbought (RSI = 76.034) rebounding very aggressively on its 1H MA50. That is fairly similar to the October 30th rebound of the bullish wave that topped upon a +1.15% rise. We are approaching that % increase so get ready to short. So far we have had two pullbacks of -0.56% each, an amazing display of symmetry inside the Channel Up. That is our target on the short term (TP = 1.08950). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
Why Trading Sessions Matter in Forex: Key OverlapsThe Forex market is open 24 hours a day during the weekdays, allowing traders flexibility to trade at any time. However, understanding the best times to trade is essential for effective trading. The market is divided into four main sessions: Sydney, Tokyo, London, and New York, each corresponding to peak activity in key financial centers. Using a Forex Market Time Zone Converter can help traders determine which sessions are active in their local time, making it easier to plan around high-liquidity periods. Although the market is technically always open, not all trading times are equally profitable. Higher trading volume, which generally occurs during session overlaps, creates ideal conditions for traders. For example, the overlap of the London and New York sessions sees the highest volume, with more than 50% of daily trades occurring in these two centers. Trading at this time, especially with currency pairs like GBP/USD, can lead to tighter spreads and quicker order execution, reducing slippage and increasing the likelihood of profitable trades. Similarly, trading AUD/JPY during the Asian session, when the Tokyo market is active, is advantageous due to higher trading activity for these currencies. Conversely, trading during times when only one session is active, such as during the Sydney session alone, can result in wider spreads and less market movement, making it harder to achieve profitable trades. Planning trades around high-activity sessions and overlaps is key to effective forex trading.
Editors' picks
Education
by habib75rajabi
8
Gold Consolidates Ahead of U.S. Election🟡 Gold Price Update: Currently at $2737.00 Gold has been moving sideways recently, showing a period of consolidation as market participants await further catalysts. This sideways movement reflects uncertainty and cautious positioning, likely influenced by the upcoming U.S. election. Historically, major events like elections can introduce volatility as investors seek safe-haven assets in times of uncertainty, and gold often responds with significant moves. 📊 Technical Outlook Support Zone: $2725.00 - $2730.00 Resistance Zone: $2745.00 - $2755.00 Range: The current range-bound movement between $2725 and $2755 indicates that buyers and sellers are in balance for now, awaiting clearer market direction. Key Indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently near the 50 level, showing neutral momentum. A breakout above 60 could signal buying strength, while a drop below 40 may suggest a bearish momentum. Moving Averages: The 20-period SMA is close to the price action, underlining the ongoing consolidation. Watch for price action to decisively break above or below the SMA, potentially signaling a new trend. Volume: Volume has been decreasing, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers. Look for a volume increase on any breakout to confirm the direction. 🔮 Possible Scenarios with U.S. Election Implications With the election on the horizon, any surprising result or political uncertainty could cause a significant uptick in gold demand as investors seek safety. However, a clear result may bring stability, potentially putting downward pressure on gold. Trade Setup Idea: Bullish: Consider buying on a confirmed breakout above $2755, targeting $2780 or higher. Bearish: A break below $2725 could open doors for a drop to $2700. As always, keep your risk management tight and watch for news developments. The market will react sharply as new information comes in!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by forexorbit
EURUSD Down Trend ContinuationEURUSD has opened with an upward gap and is moving toward a significant resistance zone within a larger bearish trend. If the market meets resistance here and rejects both the resistance zone and the upper border of the descending channel, it may indicate an impending bearish reversal. Historically, this level has acted as a strong resistance, with price bouncing off it multiple times, which reinforces the likelihood of another rejection. There is potential for a push above last week’s high as an initial move to gather liquidity, followed by a bearish reversal aiming to fill the recent gap. If this scenario unfolds, the target would be the support zone around 1.08510, aligning with the gap-filling objective and providing a solid level for further downside momentum
Short
by RTED_Investing
NZDJPY: Rectangle trading calls for buying.NZDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.566, MACD = 0.350, ADX = 19.993) as it's been trading sideways inside a Rectangle pattern since September 27th. The recent rebound happened on the 4H MA200 and today it took a rejection on the 4H MA50. One more test of the 4H MA200 is possible but overall it is more likely to see an upward test of the lower Resistance Zone (TP = 91.800). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope