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Daily Market Outlook: BTC, Forex & SPX Setups (#4)Hope you’re all having a great start to the week! I’m Skeptic , and today we’ll break down BTC, Forex, and a key setup on SPX. 📉 BTC Analysis – Stuck in a Range, But Not for Long! BTC is currently range-bound after getting rejected from $107K. The range is wide and indecisive, signaling that the market is waiting for a strong catalyst before making its next move. 📊 Key Observations: Low volume & high volatility = poor R/R for trades inside the range. Breakout traders should wait for confirmation: ✅ Bullish Breakout : Above $98,455, or even earlier if momentum kicks in. 🔻 Bearish Breakdown : Below $95K, which could trigger a stronger move down. ⚠ Until a breakout happens, trading inside this range isn’t ideal due to stop hunts and fake moves. 📊 BTC.D Dropping – Is Altcoin Season Heating Up? BTC dominance (BTC.D) has been declining recently, which suggests capital rotation into altcoins. 📊 Why This Matters? Coins like XRP, BNB, and CAKE have started to gain traction. Watching BTC.D is crucial—it helps determine if money is staying in BTC or shifting to alts. A continued BTC.D drop could mean more upside for alts. 📉 DXY (Dollar Index) – Entering a Deeper Correction? We’ve been talking about DXY weakness for a while, and now, after breaking below 107.311, we’re seeing a deeper correction. 📊 Potential Targets Based on Fibonacci: ✅ 105.677 (first level) ✅ 103.306 (deeper retracement) 💡 Since DXY is weak, we might see strength in EUR pairs and stock indices this week. 📈 SPX500 – Major Breakout Watch! SPX500 has been in a long consolidation phase after hitting an all-time high of 6113.92. Now, it’s approaching 6128.89—its key resistance level. 📊 Trade Setup: ✅ Long Entry: Above 6128.89, with confirmation. ✅ Why This Level? A breakout and confirmation could signal continuation of the uptrend. ✅ Extra Tip: Using momentum indicators like SMA & RSI can help filter out fake breakouts. Final Thoughts & Risk Management ⚠ BTC is still ranging—stay patient and wait for clear structure before trading. ⚠ DXY weakness could support stocks & EUR pairs this week. ⚠ SPX breakout setup looks promising but needs confirmation. 💬 I’m Skeptic , and I’ll see you tomorrow with another market breakdown! 🚀 ⚠ Disclaimer: These trade setups are based on my personal analysis and are not financial advice. If you don’t have a solid risk management plan, these triggers may not be suitable for you. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. 💡
by SkepticWise
4
AUDCAD: Bearish Cross kickstarting a decline.AUDCAD is practically neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.879, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 33.394) and got rejected on both the 1D MA100 and MA200 that formed a Bearish Cross. The Channel Down mimics the June 30th 2023 Cross that then pushed the price to the bottom of the Rectangle on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. Go short, TP = 0.86600. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GBPUSD? The price has successfully broken its downward trendline and, after a successful pullback, has also broken through a key resistance level to the upside. Currently, the price is consolidating above the broken resistance, which indicates strong buyer momentum and a potential continuation of the uptrend. Given the current market structure, the price is likely to experience a minor pullback and consolidation before continuing its upward movement. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
8
USD/JPY (Trade Recap -0.5%) and GBP/CAD ShortGBP/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejections. Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold remains in an uptrend, and there are no clear signs that the bullish wave has ended. We still expect the price to reach at least above $3,000 in the coming period. However, on the daily timeframe, gold has entered the overbought zone, leading to the expected corrective phase. At this point, we anticipate a further price correction to lower levels before a new bullish move begins. Stay patient and look for suitable buying opportunities. Monitor price reactions to support levels to identify an optimal entry point. The overall trend remains bullish, and the current correction may provide a good re-entry opportunity. What’s your outlook on gold? Do you think the $3,000 target is achievable? Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
29
TOSH/USD Long Setup: OTE + Fake Supply zone reclaimed I've spotted a great long opportunity on TOSH/USD using a combination of advanced market analysis techniques: 1️⃣ Liquidity grab below recent lows, clearing out impatient buyers. 2️⃣ Entry at the OTE zone (Optimal Trade Entry) between 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, a key area for strong rejections. 3️⃣ A fake supply zone has been reclaimed, signaling bullish intent. 🎯 Trade Details: Entry: 0.0006900 (validated in the OTE zone). Context: Liquidity sweep below support followed by a bullish re-entry. Confirmation: Clean reclaim of the fake supply zone with momentum. Stop Loss: Below the last swing low for proper risk management. Take Profits: TP1: Previous Higher High (HH). 🚀 📊 Plan: I’m watching for strong confirmation in the OTE zone and increased volume as the fake supply zone is reclaimed. Risk management is key—position sizing is based on capital and stop-loss placement. This is not financial advice, just my personal setup idea based on market structure. What’s your take? Let me know below! 👇"
COINBASE:TOSHIUSDLong
by theunscriptedacademy
18
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? The EURUSD pair reacted bullishly after touching the support zone, leading to an upward movement. This support level aligns with an ascending trendline, adding to its significance. Currently, the price is struggling with a key resistance zone. A confirmed breakout above this level would generate a bullish signal, potentially driving the price toward the next target level. However, if the support zone is broken, the bullish scenario would be invalidated. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
19
EURCAD: has bottomed and turned bullish.EURCAD is on a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.274, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 32.435) as it rebounded on the bottom of the inner Channel Up, a pattern inside the 1 year Channel Up. If the price crosses over the 1D MA50, it validates the extension of this bullish wave. In that case, the trade will be long, aiming at a symmetric +2.90% increase (TP = 1.51500) like the previous wave. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
EUR/USD Daily Market Outlook – Here's Why We're Pushing HigherWelcome back, traders! My name is Steven, and this is your daily EUR/USD outlook. Make sure to leave a like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below. Now let’s dive straight into the charts. The Bigger Picture: Weekly Insights On the weekly timeframe, EUR/USD has made a strong bullish statement. After a series of lower lows and retracements, we’ve now broken above the weekly fractal high This move has solidified a bullish structure, setting the stage for further upside. Where did this momentum come from? The pair retraced into a fresh daily demand zone, formed around equal lows just above a key candlestick. Once those equal lows were swept, the demand zone held firm, leading to a V-shaped reversal. This is a textbook liquidity grab, and now the market is pushing back toward the highs. Key Levels to Watch Previous Weekly High – The next logical liquidity target sits above last week’s high, which remains untapped. Monthly High – Just beyond the weekly high lies the previous month’s high, which also holds a cluster of liquidity. Liquidity Bump in the Road – Zooming out, we can identify a minor “bump” in the impulse down, where significant stops and liquidity remain. Lower Timeframe Strategy: Entries and Targets If you’re trading the four-hour or lower timeframes, here’s what I’m watching: Setup #1: The market is currently trading inside a four-hour demand zone, formed after yesterday’s inflation-driven dip. For confirmation, I’ll drop to the 1-hour or 15-minute timeframe and look for a trend shift. This means waiting for lower lows to turn into higher highs, creating fresh demand zones to trade from. Setup #2: Alternatively, if we sweep the previous daily low, I’ll look for a reversal from that level to go long. Both setups rely on lower timeframe order flow aligning with the higher timeframe bullish trend. Be patient—this confirmation is key. What’s Driving EUR/USD Higher? Yesterday’s inflation data sparked volatility, initially strengthening the dollar. However, the rally quickly reversed, with EUR/USD tapping a four-hour demand zone and bouncing higher. Additionally, positive geopolitical developments—specifically talks of peace between Russia and Ukraine—have provided a boost to the euro, as a potential resolution would alleviate Europe’s energy inflation concerns. Technical Takeaways Bullish Trend Intact: Both weekly and daily structures remain bullish, supported by liquidity grabs and demand zone rejections. Targets in Sight: I’m watching for a move toward the previous weekly high and potentially beyond, toward the monthly high. Risk Management: As always, use tight stops and manage your risk, especially when trading lower timeframes. Action Plan for Today Monitor the four-hour demand zone for lower timeframe confirmations. Watch the previous daily low for a potential liquidity sweep and reversal. Stay tuned for any major news updates that could shift sentiment or momentum. That’s it for today’s EUR/USD outlook! Let me know your thoughts in the comments below, and don’t forget to like and follow for more insights. Trade safe and good luck!
Long
by theunscriptedacademy
EURUSD: Channel Up aiming at 1.05750EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.912, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 23.143) as it has been ranging inside a Channel Up for the past month. The pair is now forming a Golden Cross on the 1H timeframe and based on the last one formed on the previous bullish wave (Jan 17th), it should now rise to a new HH. We expect a symmetric +2.70% rise on that move (TP = 1.05750). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
Daily Market Outlook: BTC & Forex Setups (#2)Today’s market saw extreme volatility following the USD CPI data release. Inflation appears to be rising due to Trump’s recent tariff actions on countries like Canada, Mexico, and China, adding further pressure to markets. This led to a major sell-off in crypto and stocks, while pairs like USD/JPY surged. 📉 BTC 4H Analysis – Holding Support or Breaking Down? BTC dropped hard to $94K after the CPI release but found some rejection and is now still holding above the 4H support at $95K. 📊 Potential Scenarios: 1️⃣ If BTC stabilizes above $95K, we could see a breakout above $98,500, triggering long setups. 2️⃣ If $95K fails, expect a test of lower supports at 92K and possibly $85K if rate cuts don’t continue. 📌 Recommendation: Stay cautious and wait for clear structure before entering. 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Bullish Recovery After Support Test Gold remains in a major uptrend and recently completed a price correction to the $2,884 support zone. After a fake breakout, it is now recovering and pushing higher. 📊 Trade Idea: ✅ Long trigger above $2,910 for confirmation. ✅ More aggressive entry: Buy early if we see higher highs forming. ⚪ XAG/USD (Silver) – Momentum Building for a Breakout Silver has been forming an accelerating uptrend curve, indicating increasing bullish momentum. This suggests the potential for high R/R trades if we catch the right move. 📊 Key Trade Setup: ✅ Breakout above $32.19 = Long Entry. ✅ Aggressive traders: Enter before breakout with stop-loss below the trendline. 📌 GBP/CHF Update – Holding for Bigger Move 📊 Our GBP/CHF long position triggered, but we didn’t enter just for a small range move—the goal is to catch a breakout of the daily range for at least R/R 2. ✅ Stop-loss remains below the 4H range bottom. ✅ Holding position unless market structure shifts. Final Thoughts & Risk Management ⚠ Markets are volatile after CPI—don’t FOMO. ⚠ Keep stop-losses tight & follow structure. ⚠ See you tomorrow with another breakdown! 📌 If you missed yesterday’s analysis, go check it out for better context! ⚠ Disclaimer : These trade setups are based on my personal analysis and are not financial advice . If you don’t have a solid risk management plan , these triggers may not be suitable for you . Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. 💡
by SkepticWise
1