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XAUUSD strong bullish mode opportunity all time high market (gold big flying soon) 1. Resistance Area May Not Hold The marked resistance area could be weak if bullish momentum continues strongly, especially with a breakout above recent highs. If price consolidates near resistance without strong rejection, it may indicate accumulation rather than reversal 2. Support Areas Could Fail The support zones might not hold if there's a strong bearish catalyst, like economic news or a shift in market sentiment. A breakdown below the strong bullish support area could signal a deeper pullback. 3. Alternative Scenarios Instead of bouncing from the lower support, the price might consolidate and range before a clear breakout direction. A false breakout above resistance could trigger a liquidity grab, leading to a sharp drop instead of an upward move. 4. Indicators & Confirmation Needed The chart does not include indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages, which could provide additional confirmation
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
ETHUSD surely flying around Resistance Might Hold Stronger Than Expected: The analysis assumes a breakout above the resistance area. However, if market sentiment weakens, sellers might defend this level aggressively, leading to a rejection and price reversal. 2. Liquidity Grab and Fake Breakout: Instead of a clean breakout, price could exhibit a false move above resistance to trigger stop-losses before reversing sharply downward. 3. Support Might Not Hold: The identified support area assumes bullish strength, but if macroeconomic factors or market conditions worsen, ETH could break below support and trend lower. 4. Trendline Trap: The projected price movement suggests a higher high formation. However, if institutional traders manipulate price action, we might see a deeper retracement before any actual bullish continuation
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
GBP/USD Analysis & Key Trading Zones🚀 GBP/USD is at a crucial point, showing signs of potential movement. Here’s what to watch: 🔹 Daily Structure: GBP/USD remains in a choppy range, showing indecision at key price levels. Major liquidity zones remain below recent lows, making downside sweeps possible before any bullish continuation. 50% retracement level aligns with the next area of interest, suggesting a potential reaction point. 🔹 4H Structure & Liquidity Grabs: The pair has tapped into a fresh 4H demand zone, which could fuel the next upside move. Internal liquidity sweeps suggest GBP/USD may be gathering momentum for a push higher. If price breaks a key 1H fractal high, it could confirm a shift in structure. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Support Zones: 1.2600 - 1.2580: Potential liquidity grab & bounce zone. 1.2550: Deeper support for high-probability longs. ❌ Resistance Zones: 1.2680 - 1.2700: A key supply area. 1.2750: Break above = bullish confirmation. 🔹 Trading Plan: 📊 If GBP/USD retests demand & holds, long positions targeting 1.2680+ are valid. 📊 If the dollar index weakens further, GBP/USD may see additional bullish momentum. 📊 If support fails, look for a break-and-retest of 1.2550 before considering longs again. ⚡ What’s your bias on GBP/USD? Bullish or Bearish? Drop your thoughts below! 👇📉📈 #GBPUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoney #Liquidity #TradingView
by theunscriptedacademy
Martingale and Anti-Martingale Position Size Trading StrategiesMartingale and Anti-Martingale Position Size Trading Strategies Martingale and Anti-Martingale trading strategies are contrasting approaches to risk management. While one doubles down on potential losses to recover with a single effective trade, the other scales up on potentially effective trades and reduces positions when suffering losses. Both have their strengths and challenges, making them intriguing options for traders. In this article, we’ll break down how each strategy works, so you can decide which or none suits your trading style. What Is Martingale Trading? The Martingale trading strategy originated in the casino industry in the 18th century. In the 20th century, French mathematician Paul Pierre Levy introduced it into probability theory. Later, it was adapted for trading. At its core, the strategy involves doubling the size of a trade after every loss. The idea is simple: one eventual effective trade will offset previous losses and generate a net return. While it can seem appealing in theory, the Martingale method requires significant capital to sustain, as losses can quickly escalate. This makes it particularly risky in volatile markets or without strict loss limits. It’s most commonly used in lower-volatility settings where price movements might be easier to gauge, but even then, the financial risks should not be underestimated. How Martingale Works A Martingale algorithm works by increasing the size of a trade after every loss, aiming to recover all previous losses with one trade. Once an effective trade occurs, a trader returns to the original position size and repeats the process. Here’s an example: - You start by risking $10 on a trade. - If it’s a loss, you double the next trade size to $20. - If that trade also loses, you increase to $40 for the next trade. - Suppose this $40 trade is effective. It covers all previous losses ($10 + $20 = $30) and leaves a $10 return. - After this trade, you reset your trade size back to $10. This approach relies on the assumption that consecutive losses won’t continue indefinitely and that one effective trade will balance the account. However, if multiple losses occur, the required position size increases rapidly. For instance, after just six consecutive losses, the next trade would need to be $1260, with the total exposure already exceeding $1,000. Key Considerations When using the Martingale strategy, it’s crucial to weigh the risks and choose the right conditions for its application. Choosing the Right Market The Martingale strategy is popular in low-volatility markets, where prices are potentially less prone to extreme swings. Instruments like currency pairs with narrow trading ranges could be more suitable. Highly volatile assets can cause significant losses before a recovery. Assessing Capital Requirements The strategy demands a large capital reserve to sustain consecutive losses if they occur. Each losing trade doubles the position size, and costs can escalate quickly. Before using Martingale, traders check if their accounts have enough balance to absorb potential losses without hitting margin limits. Setting a Maximum Loss Limit To prevent devastating drawdowns, traders often establish a hard stop on the total amount they’re willing to lose. For instance, if your account is $10,000, you might set a cap at $1,000. Once reached, the strategy halts. This keeps losses manageable and avoids the risk of depleting the account entirely. What Is Anti-Martingale Trading? Anti-Martingale strategy, also known as the reverse Martingale strategy, uses the opposite approach. It involves halving the size of each position after a loss and doubling it after an effective trade. How Anti-Martingale Works The Anti-Martingale strategy takes the opposite approach to Martingale, adjusting position sizes based on the effectiveness of a trade rather than failure. After each trade where a trader gets returns, the position size is increased to capitalise on potentially favourable conditions. Following a losing trade, the position size is reduced to potentially minimise further losses. This method balances potential risks and rewards. Here’s an example to break it down: - You start by risking $10 on a trade. - If you get a return, you double the next position size to $20. - If you get a return again, you double the position to $40. - If the $40 trade loses, you halve your position size to $20 for the next trade. - After another loss, you halve the size again, returning to $10. This dynamic scaling should ensure that you could maximise returns during strong market trends while potentially limiting losses during weaker periods. For instance, if you got returns in three consecutive trades followed by two losses, you would end up with a net gain, as larger position sizes during effective trades offset smaller losses. However, the risks of the Anti-Martingale strategy include overexposure after effective trades, where larger positions can lead to significant losses if the market reverses, and undercapitalisation after losing trades, which makes recovery challenging. Key Considerations When using the Anti-Martingale strategy, careful planning and risk management are essential. Here are the key considerations to keep in mind: Choosing the Right Market The Anti-Martingale strategy is popular in trending markets. Traders could choose instruments like major currency pairs, indices, or commodities with clear directional movement. Choppy or range-bound markets are less popular for this strategy. Evaluating Capital Needs While this strategy typically requires less capital than Martingale due to its risk-reduction approach in the period of losing trades, you still need sufficient funds to navigate potential fluctuations. Having a comfortable buffer allows you to continue trading even after a series of losses. Setting a Loss Cap Establishing a maximum loss limit is critical to potentially protect a trader’s account. For example, if a trader risks a small percentage of their account on each trade, they might ensure that even scaled-down trades don’t exceed their overall risk tolerance. This might help them keep losses manageable and prevent overexposure. Comparing the Martingale and Anti-Martingale The Martingale strategy involves increasing position sizes after a loss, aiming to recover past losses and secure a net return with one trade. While this approach could deliver quick recoveries in low-volatility markets, it’s inherently risky. Consecutive losses can lead to exponentially larger trade sizes, depleting capital rapidly. Traders using Martingale need substantial account balances and strict loss limits to avoid catastrophic drawdowns. In contrast, the Anti-Martingale strategy focuses on increasing position sizes after a trader gets returns and reducing them after they experience losses. This method leverages favourable trends, allowing traders to maximise potential returns while limiting losses. However, this strategy leads to increasing exposure after effective trades, which can magnify losses, and potentially slow recovery due to reduced position sizes after losses. Is it worth combining Martingale and Anti-Martingale techniques? As these are opposite approaches, the theory states a trader should choose the one that meets their requirements. Start by defining your risk tolerance and trading objectives, and then adapt your strategy to changing market conditions. By doing this, you will understand whether it’s more important for you to increase potential returns or reduce potential risks. Pros and Cons of Each Strategy Both Martingale and Anti-Martingale strategies have unique advantages and challenges, making them suitable for different trading styles and risk profiles. Martingale Pros - Potential recovery with a single trade: One effective trade could recover all prior losses. - Simplifies decision-making: The fixed doubling method removes complexity in adjusting position sizes. - Popular in low-volatility markets: This strategy is popular in markets with generally lower volatility where extreme price swings are less likely. Martingale Cons - High capital requirements: Losses can snowball quickly, requiring significant funds to maintain positions. - Risk of large drawdowns: A long period of losing trades can wipe out an account without strict limits. - Unpopular for volatile markets: Extreme market movements make it even riskier. Anti-Martingale Pros - Risk management focus: Reducing position sizes after losses could limit potential drawdowns. - Popular in trend trading: Larger trades in solid trends could potentially maximise returns. Less demanding on capital: Scaling down after losses conserves funds. Anti-Martingale Cons - Less popular in sideways markets: Struggles in sideways or inconsistent market conditions. - Lower recovery potential: Halving position sizes after losses makes it harder to recover quickly. - Discipline-dependent: Requires precise execution to avoid over-adjusting positions. Final Thoughts Although both strategies have their own benefits and drawbacks, it’s vital to determine the most important aspects for yourself as there is no one-size-fits-all approach. Remember, trading is not just about strategy; it’s also about discipline, patience, and continuous learning. To develop your own trading approach, open an FXOpen account to trade with low commissions and tight spreads. FAQ What Is a Martingale Strategy? The Martingale strategy involves doubling the size of a trade after each loss, aiming to recover losses and secure potential returns with one trade. It’s high-risk and requires substantial capital to withstand potential losing trades. Does Martingale Strategy Work in Forex? Using the Martingale strategy in forex can work, especially in low-volatility currency pairs, but it bears high risks. Forex markets are volatile, and a series of losses can quickly escalate, requiring significant funds to continue trading. Is Martingale a Good Strategy? Martingale is not inherently good or bad—it depends on the trader’s risk tolerance and capital. While it offers recovery potential, the risks of large drawdowns or account depletion make it unsuitable for most. What Is the Alternative Martingale System? The Anti-Martingale strategy, or reverse Martingale, is a common alternative. It takes the opposite approach by increasing trade size after effective trades and reducing it after losses, focusing on capitalising on trends while minimising risks during downturns. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
GBP/CAD Potential short opportunity 📉 Price is back into a key supply zone, signaling a potential reversal. Before executing, I’m watching for: ✅ Further confirmation on H1 or H4 ✅ A clear Change of Character (CHoCH) ✅ Liquidity sweep to trap early buyers ⚠️ Patience is key! Let the market show its hand before entering. A strong rejection and lower timeframe breakdown could confirm the setup. 📊 What’s your take? Are you seeing the same setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇 #GBPCAD #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #CHoCH #PriceAction #ForexSetup
Short
by theunscriptedacademy
2
Daily Market Outlook: BTC, Forex & SPX Setups (#4)Hope you’re all having a great start to the week! I’m Skeptic , and today we’ll break down BTC, Forex, and a key setup on SPX. 📉 BTC Analysis – Stuck in a Range, But Not for Long! BTC is currently range-bound after getting rejected from $107K. The range is wide and indecisive, signaling that the market is waiting for a strong catalyst before making its next move. 📊 Key Observations: Low volume & high volatility = poor R/R for trades inside the range. Breakout traders should wait for confirmation: ✅ Bullish Breakout : Above $98,455, or even earlier if momentum kicks in. 🔻 Bearish Breakdown : Below $95K, which could trigger a stronger move down. ⚠ Until a breakout happens, trading inside this range isn’t ideal due to stop hunts and fake moves. 📊 BTC.D Dropping – Is Altcoin Season Heating Up? BTC dominance (BTC.D) has been declining recently, which suggests capital rotation into altcoins. 📊 Why This Matters? Coins like XRP, BNB, and CAKE have started to gain traction. Watching BTC.D is crucial—it helps determine if money is staying in BTC or shifting to alts. A continued BTC.D drop could mean more upside for alts. 📉 DXY (Dollar Index) – Entering a Deeper Correction? We’ve been talking about DXY weakness for a while, and now, after breaking below 107.311, we’re seeing a deeper correction. 📊 Potential Targets Based on Fibonacci: ✅ 105.677 (first level) ✅ 103.306 (deeper retracement) 💡 Since DXY is weak, we might see strength in EUR pairs and stock indices this week. 📈 SPX500 – Major Breakout Watch! SPX500 has been in a long consolidation phase after hitting an all-time high of 6113.92. Now, it’s approaching 6128.89—its key resistance level. 📊 Trade Setup: ✅ Long Entry: Above 6128.89, with confirmation. ✅ Why This Level? A breakout and confirmation could signal continuation of the uptrend. ✅ Extra Tip: Using momentum indicators like SMA & RSI can help filter out fake breakouts. Final Thoughts & Risk Management ⚠ BTC is still ranging—stay patient and wait for clear structure before trading. ⚠ DXY weakness could support stocks & EUR pairs this week. ⚠ SPX breakout setup looks promising but needs confirmation. 💬 I’m Skeptic , and I’ll see you tomorrow with another market breakdown! 🚀 ⚠ Disclaimer: These trade setups are based on my personal analysis and are not financial advice. If you don’t have a solid risk management plan, these triggers may not be suitable for you. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. 💡
by SkepticWise
4
AUDCAD: Bearish Cross kickstarting a decline.AUDCAD is practically neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.879, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 33.394) and got rejected on both the 1D MA100 and MA200 that formed a Bearish Cross. The Channel Down mimics the June 30th 2023 Cross that then pushed the price to the bottom of the Rectangle on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. Go short, TP = 0.86600. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GBPUSD? The price has successfully broken its downward trendline and, after a successful pullback, has also broken through a key resistance level to the upside. Currently, the price is consolidating above the broken resistance, which indicates strong buyer momentum and a potential continuation of the uptrend. Given the current market structure, the price is likely to experience a minor pullback and consolidation before continuing its upward movement. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
8
USD/JPY (Trade Recap -0.5%) and GBP/CAD ShortGBP/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejections. Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold remains in an uptrend, and there are no clear signs that the bullish wave has ended. We still expect the price to reach at least above $3,000 in the coming period. However, on the daily timeframe, gold has entered the overbought zone, leading to the expected corrective phase. At this point, we anticipate a further price correction to lower levels before a new bullish move begins. Stay patient and look for suitable buying opportunities. Monitor price reactions to support levels to identify an optimal entry point. The overall trend remains bullish, and the current correction may provide a good re-entry opportunity. What’s your outlook on gold? Do you think the $3,000 target is achievable? Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
29
TOSH/USD Long Setup: OTE + Fake Supply zone reclaimed I've spotted a great long opportunity on TOSH/USD using a combination of advanced market analysis techniques: 1️⃣ Liquidity grab below recent lows, clearing out impatient buyers. 2️⃣ Entry at the OTE zone (Optimal Trade Entry) between 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, a key area for strong rejections. 3️⃣ A fake supply zone has been reclaimed, signaling bullish intent. 🎯 Trade Details: Entry: 0.0006900 (validated in the OTE zone). Context: Liquidity sweep below support followed by a bullish re-entry. Confirmation: Clean reclaim of the fake supply zone with momentum. Stop Loss: Below the last swing low for proper risk management. Take Profits: TP1: Previous Higher High (HH). 🚀 📊 Plan: I’m watching for strong confirmation in the OTE zone and increased volume as the fake supply zone is reclaimed. Risk management is key—position sizing is based on capital and stop-loss placement. This is not financial advice, just my personal setup idea based on market structure. What’s your take? Let me know below! 👇"
COINBASE:TOSHIUSDLong
by theunscriptedacademy
18
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? The EURUSD pair reacted bullishly after touching the support zone, leading to an upward movement. This support level aligns with an ascending trendline, adding to its significance. Currently, the price is struggling with a key resistance zone. A confirmed breakout above this level would generate a bullish signal, potentially driving the price toward the next target level. However, if the support zone is broken, the bullish scenario would be invalidated. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
19
EURCAD: has bottomed and turned bullish.EURCAD is on a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.274, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 32.435) as it rebounded on the bottom of the inner Channel Up, a pattern inside the 1 year Channel Up. If the price crosses over the 1D MA50, it validates the extension of this bullish wave. In that case, the trade will be long, aiming at a symmetric +2.90% increase (TP = 1.51500) like the previous wave. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
EUR/USD Daily Market Outlook – Here's Why We're Pushing HigherWelcome back, traders! My name is Steven, and this is your daily EUR/USD outlook. Make sure to leave a like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below. Now let’s dive straight into the charts. The Bigger Picture: Weekly Insights On the weekly timeframe, EUR/USD has made a strong bullish statement. After a series of lower lows and retracements, we’ve now broken above the weekly fractal high This move has solidified a bullish structure, setting the stage for further upside. Where did this momentum come from? The pair retraced into a fresh daily demand zone, formed around equal lows just above a key candlestick. Once those equal lows were swept, the demand zone held firm, leading to a V-shaped reversal. This is a textbook liquidity grab, and now the market is pushing back toward the highs. Key Levels to Watch Previous Weekly High – The next logical liquidity target sits above last week’s high, which remains untapped. Monthly High – Just beyond the weekly high lies the previous month’s high, which also holds a cluster of liquidity. Liquidity Bump in the Road – Zooming out, we can identify a minor “bump” in the impulse down, where significant stops and liquidity remain. Lower Timeframe Strategy: Entries and Targets If you’re trading the four-hour or lower timeframes, here’s what I’m watching: Setup #1: The market is currently trading inside a four-hour demand zone, formed after yesterday’s inflation-driven dip. For confirmation, I’ll drop to the 1-hour or 15-minute timeframe and look for a trend shift. This means waiting for lower lows to turn into higher highs, creating fresh demand zones to trade from. Setup #2: Alternatively, if we sweep the previous daily low, I’ll look for a reversal from that level to go long. Both setups rely on lower timeframe order flow aligning with the higher timeframe bullish trend. Be patient—this confirmation is key. What’s Driving EUR/USD Higher? Yesterday’s inflation data sparked volatility, initially strengthening the dollar. However, the rally quickly reversed, with EUR/USD tapping a four-hour demand zone and bouncing higher. Additionally, positive geopolitical developments—specifically talks of peace between Russia and Ukraine—have provided a boost to the euro, as a potential resolution would alleviate Europe’s energy inflation concerns. Technical Takeaways Bullish Trend Intact: Both weekly and daily structures remain bullish, supported by liquidity grabs and demand zone rejections. Targets in Sight: I’m watching for a move toward the previous weekly high and potentially beyond, toward the monthly high. Risk Management: As always, use tight stops and manage your risk, especially when trading lower timeframes. Action Plan for Today Monitor the four-hour demand zone for lower timeframe confirmations. Watch the previous daily low for a potential liquidity sweep and reversal. Stay tuned for any major news updates that could shift sentiment or momentum. That’s it for today’s EUR/USD outlook! Let me know your thoughts in the comments below, and don’t forget to like and follow for more insights. Trade safe and good luck!
Long
by theunscriptedacademy