Market next move
🔍 1. Weak Confirmation for Target Level
The marked "TARGET" area lacks strong technical confirmation such as:
Resistance zone retest.
Fibonacci level confluence.
Moving average alignment.
Without solid technical backing, this target may appear speculative.
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📉 2. Bearish Momentum is Strong
The last few candles show strong red (bearish) momentum.
The price has broken short-term support levels (e.g., local lows from the 29th).
Volume is increasing on bearish candles, signaling strong selling pressure.
Setting a bullish target while in a bearish momentum phase might be premature.
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🕒 3. Timeframe Limitations
This is a 1-hour chart, which is more prone to noise and false signals.
Higher timeframes (like 4H or Daily) should be checked to validate this upward target.
Forextradingacademy
Market next target Original Analysis Summary:
Support Area marked: Price bounced from this level.
Bullish Target: Expectation is for the price to rise after retesting support.
Arrows: Indicate potential bullish continuation (yellow) or slight drop before rising (blue).
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Disruption / Counter Analysis:
1. Weak Volume Support:
Volume in the support area is not significantly higher, which can indicate weak buying interest. This weakens the case for a strong bounce upward.
2. Double Top Risk:
The chart could be forming a double top pattern near the 33.60–33.80 region. If price fails to break above, a bearish reversal might occur.
3. Bearish Divergence:
If RSI or MACD (not shown but assumed) indicates bearish divergence, upward momentum may not sustain.
4. Support Could Break:
If the support area is tested too many times (as appears here), it may eventually fail, causing a sharp drop to the next demand zone, possibly near 33.00 or lower.
5. Macro Uncertainty:
News events (e.g., U.S. economic data or interest rate news) can abruptly reverse expected trends regardless of technical setups.
TARGET SUCCESSFULLYThis chart highlights a textbook liquidity sweep and reversal pattern in Gold (XAU/USD).
Key Levels:
- Resistance Zone: Clearly defined above 3,360, with multiple rejection points.
- Support Level: Around 3,250, acting as a strong demand area.
- Liquidity Zone: Price dipped below the support to trigger stop-losses and trap sellers before reversing upward.
Price Action Insights:
- After grabbing liquidity below the support zone, the price rallied back, confirming a reversal setup.
- The move reached the target zone at 3251.225, fulfilling the projected bullish objective.
Outcome:
The trade idea played out successfully with the target marked as complete. Now, price is hovering at the former support-turned-resistance zone.
Next Steps:
Traders should monitor for:
- A potential breakout above this zone for continuation.
- Or rejection signals for a short-term pullback.
Top-Down Analysis of AUDUSDTop-Down Analysis of AUDUSD
Understanding the Chart:
The provided chart displays the AUDUSD pair on a 4-hour timeframe. We can observe price action, support and resistance levels, and potential trend directions.
Overall Trend:
* Short-term: The market appears to be in a downtrend based on recent price action.
* Long-term: A broader perspective (not visible on this chart) is needed to determine the long-term trend.
Key Levels:
* Resistance: The price has been facing resistance around the 0.67000 level.
* Support: The 0.65500 level appears to be a potential support area.
Entry Strategies
Using Fibonacci Retracements (Below Discount)
* Identify a recent swing high and swing low: Determine the highest and lowest points of the recent price movement.
* Draw Fibonacci retracement levels: Create Fibonacci retracement levels between the swing high and low.
* Look for potential entry points: Consider buying near the 38.2% or 50% retracement levels if the price shows signs of bullish reversal.
Caution: Using Fibonacci retracements alone can be risky. It's essential to combine them with other technical indicators for confirmation.
Break of Structure and Retest
* Identify a clear structure: Determine the recent price action's higher highs and higher lows (uptrend) or lower highs and lower lows (downtrend).
* Wait for a break of structure: Observe if the price breaks above a resistance level (uptrend) or below a support level (downtrend).
* Look for a retest: After the break, wait for a pullback to the broken level (now acting as support or resistance) for a potential entry.
Example: If the price breaks below the 0.65500 support level and then retraces back to this level, it could be a potential entry point for a short position.
Additional Considerations
* Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
* Timeframes: Analyze multiple timeframes to confirm trends and potential entry points.
* Other Indicators: Consider using additional indicators like RSI, MACD, or Bollinger Bands to support your analysis.
Remember: Trading involves risks. It's crucial to develop your trading strategy and manage your risk effectively.
Would you like to delve deeper into any specific aspect of this analysis or explore other potential entry points based on different indicators?
Xauusd buy all time high XAUUSD will hold its March meeting this week Although the central is largely expected to keep its policy settings unchanged the institution led by Jerome Powell could modify its forward guidance and adjust its outlook in the quarterly summary of economic projections in light Of gold
Timeframe Tango: Finding Your Trading RhythmWelcome to the thrilling world of timeframes—a place where every minute counts and every candlestick tells a story. You've probably asked yourself a million times, "What's the best timeframe to trade?" Well, buckle up because we're about to dive deep into the mesmerizing world of timeframes and trading strategies!
Picture this: timeframes are like puzzle pieces. Lower timeframes, such as the 100 or 500-piece puzzles, are intricate and require patience. Think of them as the fast and furious lanes of trading where every tick matters. Conversely, higher timeframes resemble those 10 or 20-piece puzzles—quicker to solve and offer a broader market perspective.
Now, let's talk strategy. It's all about how fast and efficiently you piece those puzzles together. Whether crafting your unique strategy or borrowing a page from the pros, the goal remains: wait for the market to paint your perfect setup.
But here's the kicker: you've got to be strategic with your timeframes. Let's break it down with some juicy details!
Imagine you're a 9-5 warrior or a student hustling through classes. Your time is precious. So, let's talk hours. How many trade opportunities can you snag in an hour?
If you thrive on adrenaline and lightning-fast decisions, the 1- and 5-minute timeframes might be your playground. You're in for a wild ride with 60 to 12 candlesticks printed each hour! Scalping and day trading become your middle names as you seize opportunities left and right. When analyzed correctly, you could see 1-3 opportunities within an hour.
But if you've got more wiggle room in your schedule, let's talk swing trading. Picture the 15-minute to minutes—a sweet spot for those seeking a balance between action and analysis. With 4 and 2 candlesticks printed each hour, you've got time to breathe and plan your moves.
Now, let's zoom out a bit. Say hello to the 1 and 4-hour timeframes—the realm of short-term swing trading. Here, you're not watching the clock; you're watching the trend unfold over hours and days. With 24 to 6 candlesticks printed in a day, you've got ample opportunities to spot those juicy setups. Think 3-4 trade opportunities a week on the 1-hour timeframe and 1-2 on the 4-hour timeframe. It's the sweet spot between day trading and short-swing trading!
Finally, we arrive at the granddaddy of timeframes—the daily chart. Here, we're talking about long-term swings and big-picture analysis. With three to four great opportunities a month, you have time to breathe, plan, and execute precisely. It's like watching the market paint its masterpiece, one candlestick at a time.
So, what's your trading style? Are you a scalping sensation, a swing trading maverick, or a long-term visionary? Find the timeframe that fits your schedule like a glove, and let's embark on this epic trading journey together!
Catch you on the charts,
Shaquan
USDJPY INDUCED SWING SHORTOn our HTF we have a clear bearish bias after liquidity pool has been swept and retraction trend coming to end with a supply rejection zone giving us a confirmation for the short... in addition, fundamental view, we have a weaker USD giving us a sure entry assurance for our swing short position.
EURUSD made EZ3 High Reward Trades(1:12RR + 1:3RR + 1:21RR). Pay attention to the annotations made on the chart. And see how easy it is to harvest the markets. The long trades are still running. Target is M15 HH. If it break evens, then one more entry can be scaled at the extreme lower leg.
Happy Trading
-Team Lamda
EURUSD ANALYSIS/MARKET REPORTOANDA:EURUSD
Looking at EURUSD as it is currently on the 4HR timeframe, no doubt we've been on a long paused of price continuing the uptrend that started on 14th Jul where we seeing price on a wide consolidation between 1.0097 - 1.0275. However, price can't range forever which has brought the report to us from our analysis that: we may continue to see further rise in price action breaking out of the range to hit our zone spotted around 1.0347 - 1.0407 as at the time of this analysis, then we have possibility of price falling drastically from the zone as we believe its a strong price level price action may choose to respond to in continuing the Downtrend we've been playing on the Daily Timeframe.
ADVICE FOR TRADERS
For Intraday traders looking for trades opportunity in the currently situation in the market, we'd strongly advice to wait on the spot of price reversal to a structure level looking down at either 1hr or 30mins to spot LONG position as price pushes to our strong reversal level.
Also, swing traders may wait on price getting to our strong reversal level to hold SHORT positions as price falls.
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The Master Jedi Sniper CREED*The Market has different moves I call them 'Plays' that it sets in the Forex Market Daily.
The Market only has 3 moves:
1. Up aka UP Trend
2. Down aka DOWN Trend
3. Sideways aka Consolidation
No more. No less.
The market has key patterns, rhythms, and channels known as 'Liquidity pools" "Order Blocks' and the like. These are simply areas in the market where liquidity is and wherever there is liquidity that is where the market flows to. After the Market makes enough money and "Orders" need to be filled it will then move to fill imbalances along the way to those places of Liquidity aka "THE MONEY".
A Snipers MAIN job is to WACTH the market with discipline, consistency, and relentless attention to intricate details that your pair does at KEY times in the trading day.
US base pairs are anchored by the DXY. It is a Snipers RSI.
Every Sniper has their own threshold for pain this is knows as a SL. A Sniper's average SL is 3-5PIPS. Once that threshold is breached it is time to re evaluate the trade set up and either "Pull and SWITCH" or "Pull and WAIT".
By allowing you trade aka SNIPE time to develop you allow your trade set up to develop. Remember it takes time for the Market to move in your direction. Therefore pull backs and consolidation are all apart of normal market movement aka Price Action.
By identifying key areas in the market within "Structure" a Sniper formulates strategies to Trap and Snipe Price.
I Am the Alchemist of these Formulas and Strategies.
I AM: Trading Made Simple
As always never over leverage.
Trust your Trade Set Up.
Have Fun!
Long on CADJPYWith the CADJPY`s consolidation around the 101 area, we are anticipating breaking the levels and aiming at 100 - 120 pips upward movement in the currency pair. The trade would require you to keep a close eye on the parameters due to the market volatility and once in 30 pips our way, we will be looking at adjusting our SL to Entry. The levels that we have set behind this idea are as below:
TP: 102.272
SL: 100.340