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EURUSD Technical AnalysisWhen the EURUSD 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the trend line with a possible cup-and-cup formation. While it is evaluated that EURUSD may retreat to the level of 1.08920 in price movements below the level of 1.10152, it is evaluated that it may target the level of 1.13750 by exceeding the level of 1.12015 in price movements above the level of 1.11120, as long as the level of 1.10152 is not broken down.
Long
by profitake
KPIGREEN : PENNANT FORMATIONNSE:KPIGREEN has recently experienced a significant bullish run, pushing its stock prices to new highs. Following this surge, the stock appears to be forming a classic pennant pattern, which is a continuation pattern often indicating that the prior trend will resume after a period of consolidation. Breakout Potential: If NSE:KPIGREEN breaks above the upper trendline of the pennant with increased volume, it could signal the continuation of the bullish trend. Traders might look for a breakout above the resistance level as a buy signal. Target Price: The height of the initial flagpole (the previous uptrend before consolidation) can be projected from the breakout point to estimate the potential upside target. Stop Loss: To manage risk, consider placing a stop-loss order just below the lower trendline of the pennant. This helps protect against downside risk if the pattern fails and the price breaks below support. As always, proper risk management and due diligence are essential when trading pattern formations.
KLong
by VanshikaUdeshi
Update XAU price movements today May 13, 2024The world price of XAU is returning to an upward trend thanks to the simultaneous decrease in USD and US Treasury bond yields. Currently, the Dollar Index, a tool to measure the strength of the USD, has decreased Although there are many influencing factors, it can be concluded that the factor strongly influencing the current gold price is the expectation of the Fed cutting interest rates. New signs show that the future of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) through reducing interest rates is not far away. After two weeks of consolidation, gold is attracting some renewed bullish attention after holding initial support above around $2,300 an ounce, according to some analysts. Coming off lows at the start of the week, gold ended last week near a two-week high. June gold futures prices last traded at 2,375.40 USD/ounce, up nearly 3% compared to last Friday's closing level (May 3). Some analysts note that gold is benefiting from flexible interest rate expectations following disappointing economic data. On May 9, the number of weekly applications for unemployment benefits soared, showing that the US labor market is increasingly stagnant and reinforcing market concerns about the week's disappointing non-farm payrolls report. before.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
How to Trade Triangles.________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Hello, Traders Investors And Community, here I show the important triangle-formations and how to trade them properly. These formations come in every-shape from big to small in today's markets and are sometimes quite often spotted. There are however some important and significant differences in trading them which I explain further. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1.) Bullish Ascending Triangle 2.) Bearish Ascending Triangle 3.) Bearish Symmetrical Triangle 4.) Bullish Symmetrical Triangle ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1.) Bullish Ascending Triangle This formation is a typical known textbook bullish uptrend-formation. Normally it develops within a bullish trend and is a continuation-formation. Suggesting that the bulls make a break before going higher upward. It is formed by the typical horizontal higher boundary with steady-highs and the rising lower boundary with higher-highs. It is a logical mechanism that this formation breaks to the upside because the bulls are clearly stronger. The price projection range is taken by the first touch with the higher boundary and the ground of the lower boundary to project the minimum target in the breakout-zone where the triangle broke out to the upside. The triangle can be traded with immediate entry and stop-loss below the last low or conservative with the breakout to the upside. 2.) Bearish Ascending Triangle This formation is the logical and coherent counterpart of the ascending broadening wedge, the main difference here is that it breaks to the upside and is normally seen as a continuation to the downside. Here we see steady lows with a horizontal lower boundary and lower highs with a declining upper boundary. The formation breaks to the downside because the bulls getting weaker every new lower high is formed. When projecting the price to the downside we can take the measure from the first touch with the lower boundary and the equivalent point with the higher boundary to project our minimum. target. The triangle can be traded aggressively with entry before the breakdown or with confirmation after the breakdown. 3.) Bearish Symmetrical Triangle Here we have an interesting formation that must conform to the downside to give us the proper signal that it is actually really a bearish symmetrical triangle. Here we get lower highs with a descending upper boundary and higher lows with an ascending upper boundary. This formation has also an end-date, it is the date in which the lower and upper boundary come together which means that the formation has definitely ended at this date. We can measure our target from the touch with the lower boundary and its equivalent point at the upper boundary. The wisest way tot trade the triangle is after the breakout and confirmation. 4.) Bullish Symmetrical Triangle This formation is the bullish counterpart to the bearish symmetrical triangle and the difference here is that we get the first price touch with the upper boundary indicating a bullish outcome. We see lower highs with a descending upper boundary and higher lows with an ascending lower boundary before breaking to the upside. The breakout can be heavy which depends on the time symmetrical triangle has confirmed, the longer we stay in the triangle the stronger the breakout will be. We will get a minimum target when projecting the first touch of the higher boundary and its equivalent point of the lower boundary to the point where the triangle broke to the upside. The best way to trade the triangle is after breakout and confirmation of the boundary. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ If you like this tutorial feel free to support. I also made an tutorial about broadening wedges which you find when scrolling down on my account. Will be great to see you there. Have a good day and all the best. Thank you. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ “An investment in knowledge pays the best dividend” ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by VincePrince
6
My Forecast Played out the Bullish Way and the Flag Confirmed.__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Hello my friends! This is a update-analysis on a idea I made november last year! I called that we are trading in a huge bull-flag with two possible outcomes. Now we can see that the bull-flag I observed is playing out the bullish way just right the coming days. Highly recommend that you watch this analysis to have a full overview of the situation: __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ We are looking at the daily chart and can see that the huge bull-flag I suspected to confirm also in a bearish way is confirming the bullish way now. We made a possible final lower low and otherwise when we can't find bearish signals signaling a fake break-out of the flag or heavy supply we can expect a good growth period with a higher high in the structure. __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ I expect a consolidation the next days above the last blue trend-line which you can see in my chart before moving steadily higher. This is a middle-term analysis, in the next weeks and month we can expect bitcoin to test the upper resistance levels at 10600 to 11900, for now, I can't say that we are out of the woods for sure but we can expect some bullish movement. A possible target of the bull-flag would be 12700 with more upside potential, we have to watch if this plays out! __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Thanks for watching everybody. I hope you found this analysis useful. Feel free to support my work for more market insight. All the best! __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by VincePrince
17
LTCUSD - bears looking to the ground! Hello traders and community! Looking on the current cryptomarket situation, LTCUSD is forming an interesting pattern which is worth to look at. On the daily timeframe you can see that LTCUSD is forming an triangle-formation. This is a pretty worthy signal because we have several factors which make clear that LTCUSD will make some more legs down. In my chart you can see that LTCUSD already confirmed the blue trend line and is now in a triangle-formation which normally in this situation breaks to the downside. The blue trend line is important because it is a 202 days old one which is broken now! In my chart you see the 38.2 % retracement of the overall bullish trend LTCUSD set in the past, it is also the triangle target! So two important levels to look at. The 38.2 % retracement is also an important psychological price level at 100 USD, normally at those price levels support and resistance is found! After this target is reached, (which is highly possible that it does) we have to look what LTCUSD does next. There are two other meaningful levels which LTCUSD may reach in the future! Once it is the 50 % retracement and second the 61.8% retracement of the recent bull move. This formation can be traded in several ways, there is an aggressive approach with immediate entry without waiting for confirmation, there is also an conservative approach to wait until the triangle has confirmed and broke out. The second option would be smarter because it is possible that the triangle breaks to the upside which it rarely will do! After a confirmation of the triangle down i will look for a good entry to place a short position. Other people may be bullish on LTCUSD now but at my point i cant see a decent long opportunity here! Thank you for watching! Of course this is only educational information and should not be used to buy or sell in the markets! Peace and love to everybody! ;D
BITFINEX:LTCUSDShort
by VincePrince
8
FSL : PENNANT FORMATIONUptrend Observation: The first notable aspect of NSE:FSL stock is the sustained uptrend it has displayed over a significant period. This bullish movement is characterized by higher highs and higher lows, indicating a strong buying interest in the market. Identification of Pennant Pattern: A Pennant is a technical analysis pattern that resembles a small symmetrical triangle, often forming after a strong price movement. The Pennant is typically considered a continuation pattern, suggesting that after a brief consolidation period, the prevailing uptrend is likely to resume. Key Characteristics of a Pennant: Symmetrical Triangle: The Pennant pattern is characterized by converging trendlines, forming a symmetrical triangle. This indicates a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. Decreasing Volume: During the formation of the Pennant, there is often a decline in trading volume. This reflects a contraction in market activity as the stock consolidates. Duration: Pennants are generally short-term patterns, with the consolidation phase lasting anywhere from a few days to a few weeks. Traders and investors who recognize the Pennant pattern in NSE:FSL stock may consider implementing a trading strategy based on a breakout. The breakout occurs when the stock price breaches either the upper or lower trendline of the Pennant pattern. Long Position: A trader might take a long position if the stock breaks out above the upper trendline, signifying a potential continuation of the uptrend. Short Position: Conversely, a short position could be considered if the stock breaks below the lower trendline, suggesting a possible reversal or downtrend. Regardless of the chosen direction, implementing a sound risk management strategy is crucial. Setting a stop-loss order just outside the boundaries of the Pennant pattern can help mitigate potential losses in case the breakout does not follow through as expected.
NSE:FSL
by VanshikaUdeshi
Price-Action-Channel-Formation: Key Projection-Types!Hello Traders Investors And Community, Welcome to this tutorial about Price-Action-Channel-Formation. In markets, there are often price-actions forming that move into channel-formations which can shape into different forms. In this tutorial, I am looking at important channel structure types and how the projections can be assigned to properly object a taget-zone in the various types. As it is most often the case such formations can show up with a great potential signal to enter when they rightly complete and the final confirmation shows up, therefore it is important to keep patient on these confirmations and do not hesitate to enter into the market when no solid setup and opportunity is given. Range-Breakout-Projection: - Such ranges form quite often in the market and they can develop on smaller timeframes such as the 1-hour timeframe or higher timeframes such as the daily timeframe always with the proper time perspective given with the certain range. The pattern starts with a downtrend or in the reverse with an uptrend marking a new low or high which is the support/resistance in the range then the price bounces back to form the counterpart high or low which then creates the counterpart support/resistance in the structure. After a period of consolidation, the price finally breaks out of the range above the support/resistance level and closes there. When the final breakout emerges there are two possible target-projections, firstly the range height from the support to the resistance that is projected from the breakout point and secondly the width from the initial range entry to the breakout which is projected from the low to the upside, both projection can have different targets that can be assigned as target one and target two. Tripple-Channel-Target-Projection: - This is a very interesting channel-formation that is forming in the markets. Firstly the uptrend channel develops as seen in my chart(this can also happen in the bearish direction), within this channel a new high marks in the structure before the price-action actually reverses and breaks out below the lower boundary of this main ascending channel. The first breakout below the lower boundary of the channel activates a target with the projection to the downside and after that it is not seldom seen that the price-action moves back into the lower boundary and tests again as seen in my chart, in this case two further channels can be drawn, the second channel in the structure which is projected from the high to the structure lows and highs to the downside and the third channel projected from the new downtrend low to the new downtrend high, when the price-action now moves into the lower boundary of the main channel again this is a tripple-resistance-pullback as seen in my chart and the price-action moves on to the targets by the breakout and when the price-action then moves below the second channel the next target is activated. Classical-Descending-Channel-Projection: - This is the most classical channel in the market, it can form as a descending channel marking a potential bullish reversal as well as an ascending channel marking a potential bearish reversal. In both types, the channel is formed by the trend lows and highs which are ranging in the channel and as the downtrend (or in the reverse the uptrend) moves on the market gets oversold and the possibility for a reversal gets higher as the market has not the ability to continue this way for every. Such a formation also often inhabits a elliot ABCDE-wave-count which can offer additional confirmation for a breakout. This final breakout emerges when the asset gets that much oversold that demand enters and a breakout above the upper boundary settles as it is shown in my chart. When this breakout shows up the channel heights from the up to the downside is projected to the final breakout to the upside and the price-action is ready to appoint these zones. Range-Triangle-Channel-Projection: - This is a pattern that combines two formations, firstly an ascending channel and secondly an ascending triangle which is forming within the channel. Firstly the ascending-channel establishes with higher highs and higher lows and within this channel, the price-action makes something interesting as it does not move on further in the structure and stops making new highs it pulls back and forms a horizontal line of highs in the structure which then develops into this ascending-triangle seen in my chart in orange. Such an ascending triangle has the ability to form a dedicated breakout to the upside when the price-action moved on to range in the triangle and possibly also completes the wave-count within. When the price-action finally breaks out above the upper boundary of the triangle this will activate the further developments and targets at the upside especially amazing is the double projection here which projects the triangle height to the upside and is also at the same time the target at the upper boundary of the ascending-channel which can approve the target not only in price but also in time. Bull-Flag-Channel-Breakout-Projection: - This type of formation projection can show up with a very good solid signal however there are some very important determinations that need to confirm rightly before assessing the formation in the right manner. When the bull flag does not complete properly and the price-action increases bearishly or also bullishly when it is a bear-flag such a flag-formation can also invalidate with the breakout into the reverse direction which can often lead to heavy volatilities into the other direction as traders get trapped. Nevertheless when the formation completes rightly which will happen with the final breakout above the upper or lower boundary the target projection is made from the previous low in the wave to the upside to the high which is then projected from the lowest price-action point in the flag to the upside, always possible with the counterpart formation into the other direction. Double-Channel-Triangle-Breakout-Projection: - Now comes a very amazing formation as there are some interesting points given in this formation that can lead to a very strong breakout signal and the activation of the targets ahead. This formation basically consists of an initial channel to the downside in which the price-action ranges and after that can fall below the lower boundary and continue bearishly to reach the target, this initial price-action in the descending channel does not necessarily need to show up. After that when the price-action reached the targets the price backs up and continues to the upside to finally move into the previous descending-channel again in which it continues to consolidate and now also forms a bunch of lower lows that mark an ascending-trend-line in this channel, both the first descending-channel and now the second ascending-channel form a symmetrical triangle formation which is more likely to break out into the direction it came from which in this case is the bullish direction, this can also be measured into the reverse direction. The breakout then strongly activates an upside target which is the price-projection of the triangle to the upside and also the upper-boundary of the channel-formation that can also show the target in time. In this manner, thank you for watching my analysis about these important price-action-channel-formation types that can be spotted in today's market, will be great when you support it with a like and follow or comment, great contentment for everybody supporting, all the best! Information is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PEducation
by VincePrince
14
Candlestick-Formations: How To Spot The Patterns Like A Pro!Hello, Welcome to this tutorial about Candlesticks and in particular the very various candlestick patterns that form in the financial markets. The charting technique under which Candlesticks operate are candlestick charts and the candlesticks firstly came up in the 18th century, till today they established as a widespread technique that many traders use for their charting. What is so amazing with these candlesticks compared to a line or point-and-figure charting is that they can determine very precisely if a market is trending, if a reversal is establishing or the momentum of price-action is slowing down. The various single candlesticks can add up to decisive candlestick-patterns that can be used for trading and trading decisions, especially with other indicators such as oscillators or channeling they can be a strong tool for today's trading principally also in modern markets where there is decent liquidity and not many gaps such as Cryptocurrency or Forex. __ Characteristics: - In my chart, I have listed 34 contrasting cryptocurrency patterns that can be spotted in the markets. On the left side, there are 16 bearish candlestick patterns and on the right side, there are 16 bullish candlestick patterns together with the 2 candlestick patterns in the middle which have the same name regardless of direction. - From the 17 patterns for each side are 15 possible in both directions bullish as well as bearish while there are only 2 patterns in each direction that only form in this bearish or bullish direction. - The patterns can be divided into continuation patterns and reversal patterns. Continuation patterns can be used to make sure the established trend moves on and reversal patterns can be used to spot actual reversals to properly prepare on it. - The patterns are functioning in the underlying timeframes similarly with the trend established in this timeframe however from a broader perspective the bigger the timeframe in which the particular pattern forms the more consistent and strong this direction is for the bigger trend. So when for example a reversal pattern forms on the weekly timeframe it is stronger than patterns forming on the daily timeframe. __ Candlestick-Patterns: Bearish/Bullish 3 Continuations: - A very typical continuation pattern. The first big candle sets the tone for the pattern following up with 3 minor little candlesticks with no strength in the reverse direction till a further major candlestick emerges pushing the price toward the established direction. Bearish/Bullish Harami: - This is a good example of a reversal pattern. The first candlestick is a candle against the trend direction followed up by a new candle in the trend direction showing still possible continuation till a final smaller candlestick with a smaller body than the previous one sets the tone for the reversal. Bearish/Bullish Harami Cross: - A great continuation pattern. As the first candle is a big candle setting the pattern up with strength a little cross following up with the same close and open which is showing a consolidation in this range to build up and continue with the further volatility into the established direction. Dark Cloud Cover/Piercing Line: - A very very strong reversal pattern. While the two trend candles still suggest that the previous trend is ongoing the next third candle is very weak as it is small and does not rally the full length of the previous candle and shows up win the ends of the previous candle signaling high weakness of the bulls or bears and setting up the determined reversal. Engulfing Bearish Line/Engulfing Bullish Line: - The next substantial reversal pattern. It happens in a developed up or downtrend with the last candles low forming a line, the body of the next candle is bigger than the previous however it's close or open exactly forms there where the previous candle had its low, when the next individual candles moving to continue in this reverse direction then the pattern fully confirms. Evening Doji Start/Morning Doji Star: - This is a very interesting reversal pattern. As one normal candle into the trend directions sets up the pattern one continued weak start Doji is formed above the top or bottom of the previous body showing exhaustion and momentum slowing down, when the next candle moves into the reverse direction the pattern and continuation are validated. Evening Star/Morning Star: - A great reversal pattern. The first candles close or open set up a line where the next close or open travels outside the line with the candle showing a weak breakout while the next line into the reverse direction confirms the reversal and the formation to set up further volatilities into the reverse continuation-zone. Gravestone Doji/Dragonfly Doji: - These candles signal the initial exhaustion of the trend with a candlestick with a long shadow and the smallest possible body with the same open and close, they can be reversal as well as continuation patterns. Either the body is in the upper range or the lower range of the shadow, this is which direction the next movements will likely go. Separating Line Bearish/Separating Line Bullish: - This is a strong continuation pattern. As the first candle's body with the open or close sets up a line the next candle's close or long is below or above the line which means a weakness of this next candle regardless of the direction and estimates the further continuations into the trend direction. Evening Window Star/Morning Window Start: - This is a good example of a reversal pattern including a gap in the structure. As the first candle moves into the established direction there comes a gap before the next candle emerges which closes outside the body of the previous candle above or below, after that following candles into the new direction validate the final reversal of the previous trend. 3 Bullish Soldiers/3 Bearish Soldiers: - This is a very typical reversal pattern as the established trend exhausts with three small candles the momentum of this trend gets smaller and when the next candles follow up with a much bigger body into the other direction the pattern is completed and will determine the bearish or bullish continuations into the reversal direction. Inverted Hammer: - This is a reversal pattern that stops the previous trend and moves in the other direction. It has a high similarity with the hammer however in this case the small bodies close or open is at the same price as the low of the candle showing the exhaustion of the previous trend direction and builds the setup for the full reversal. On-Neck Line: - This is a pattern that shows the incoming bullish reversal of a previously established bearish trend as one first bullish candle signals the possible reversal it is followed by a bearish one still pushing downward and forming a new low till a snap-back move on finally confirming the reversal. Shooting Star/Inverted Hammer: - This is a pattern that determines a strong reversal as the first candles open or close forms a line, the following candles move above or below this line and then close or open is exactly on this line just outside after that the next big candle forms into the reverse direction again below or above this line and the final reversal is formed. Long Upper Shadow/Long Lower Shadow: - This pattern can move in the bearish or bullish direction showing up a reversal, as the price-action is exhausted in the particular direction a long shadow builds up while the body of the candlestick is very small in the previous direction weakens further and the reversal is easily established. Tweezer Tops/Tweezer Bottoms: - This reversal pattern can come in two variants in both it is important on where the close of the new candle lies to the previous candle or in reverse the open to the new candle, similarly with the low or high of the new candle. When these are at the same price action the reversal is determined into the new direction. Hanging Man/Hammer: - This pattern signals a determined reversal and in comparison to the long upper shadow/long lower shadow fills out the complete end of the shadow with the close or open at the same price level as the high. Tri-Star: - The Tri-Star is a pattern that shows a reversal with three candles each one with very small shadows as well as a same-close-and-same-open body, in the bearish reversal two bullish candles are followed by a third bearish and in the bullish reversal, the reciprocal determinations hold true. Spinning Top: - This pattern is an amazing reversal pattern with a very large shadow and the body exactly in the middle. Depending on whether the candlestick is green or red this will be the direction in which the further continuations move. __ As we can see now there are a lot of great patterns to be formed in modern markets and when done right they can be spotted and can provide the proper informational inputs for trading planning especially in combination with other technical analysis tools they can function exceptionally well and building a solid alternative for the other charting techniques, the success story tells itself as they have established well in the trading world. In trading these types of candlestick patterns it is necessary to recognize in which timeframe they form, as bigger timeframes can invalidate lower and in which trending constellation they are forming, therefore it is also good to look at previous candles and their patterns in the individual asset. __ In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, support the idea with a like and follow or comment, have a good day, and all the best to you! Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets. __
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by VincePrince
69
USDJPY - Huge formation in progress - Look at the chart! Hello dear traders and community. Looking on the daily chart of USDJPY we see an interesting setup forming here. On my chart you can see the huge head and shoulders formation forming. It is a complex head and shoulders formation with two minor left shoulders already formed in the major left shoulder. Also it is inverted that means it can complete with a bullish trend to the upside. The pink trend lines are showing the origin of the left minor shoulders, in the right major shoulder it shows the potential origins of the two minor right shoulders (which are forming now). In the bottom of my chart you can see a major support level, where USDJPY already bounced 3 times now: The first time at the beginning of the uptrend showed in my chart on the left bottom, where USDJPY formed a bottom formation and moved to the upside with some healthy green candles. The second time at the head of the head and shoulder formation which is in progress. The third time at the first minor right shoulder It is highly possible that USDJPY will bounce in this area again when completing the head and shoulders formation Also there is an psychological support zone at 100 - 105, normally full numbers like 50,100,200,300 etc. have a high probability to form support or resistance in this price ranges. There are several ways to enter this possible long trade, the aggressive approach would be to open a LONG position as soon USDJPY hits the major demand zone, a more conservative approach would be to wait until the head and shoulders formation has confirmed. Thank you for watching! Of course this is only educational information and should not be used to buy or sell in the markets! Peace and love to everybody!
Long
by VincePrince
Market cycle psychology🔍 The psychology of the markets is a discipline that studies the different mental scenarios that investors often face when making their investments. 📚 Psychology in the market is one of the major pillars (for many, the primary one) that influences the success of the investor. The other two pillars are capital management and the applied investment system (strategy, routines, etc.). 📊 This cycle most frequently affects beginner investors/traders due to their inexperience and mental vulnerability to market movements. ❓ And you, have you experienced all the stages of this cycle? (🇬🇧)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by JRiquelmeTrading
6
Chart pattern: ChannelA channel is a pattern used in the technical analysis of financial markets that defines the movement of the price of an asset between the upper and lower lines of the pattern (parallel lines). Channels can be bullish, bearish, or sideways. They are reversal patterns, meaning they indicate a signal for a change in trend. When it comes to trading them, there are different ways to do so. We can trade within the channel, aiming for the opposite end of the line we are situated on. Alternatively, we can trade the trend change. The trend change can be traded once the channel is broken, either within it or by waiting for the price to break the pattern. This latter option is riskier, but it can lead to greater profits as the trading begins at a point with a higher projected movement. (🇬🇧)
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by JRiquelmeTrading
Metrics: Expected Value (EV)Expected Value (EV) is a statistical concept that indicates whether our trading system or strategy will yield positive, negative, or neutral results in the medium or long term. It is based on previous results. As we know, past performance does not guarantee future results, but it helps us get an idea of how it might work and allows us to base our decisions on objective terms. The formula for calculating Expected Value (EV) is as follows: Expected Value (EV) = (Win Rate * Average Win) - (Loss Rate * Average Loss) When interpreting the result, it indicates whether you will gain or lose in the medium or long term per unit of currency at risk. An example: A trader achieves an expected value of 0.5 with their trading operations. This means that every time they risk 1€ in the market, they gain 0.5€ in profit.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by JRiquelmeTrading
1
Metrics: DrawdownDrawdown is the metric used to measure the decline in a performance curve relative to a previous peak. It represents the distance between a maximum point in the capital curve and its subsequent minimum. This indicator can be visualized in relative terms (%) or absolute terms (€, $...). In my opinion, I always recommend using relative data as it makes the analysis more intuitive. From this concept arises the maximum drawdown of a strategy, which indicates the maximum percentage loss between a peak and a trough over a specific period of time. This period can range from the last month to the entire historical series, known as the drawdown from origin. Therefore, drawdown is used in the risk assessment of a system, both on its own and in combination with other related measures that provide a higher degree of information.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by JRiquelmeTrading
1
Why do Patterns fail so often?To answer this question, let's try to take a classic Pattern as an example: the "Head and Shoulders" . Typically Traders take short position (in this example) on neckline breakout and place stop loss above right shoulder or head. If we only take these elements into consideration, it often happens that pattern fails. Why does this happen? Because these elements are not enough and we need to use some "filter". One of these filters, and perhaps the most important, is the "placement". For example, the Head and Shoulders is considered a Reversal Pattern that should only appear at the end of a Trend, and this is where the "Elliott Waves" come into play. In fact Elliott claims that a Trend is formed of 5 waves (3 + 2) and often the first signal of the end of the trend is the first bearish leg after wave 5 (Wave A). Another important filter could be RSI indicator because often some divergence also appears in wave (5). In conclusion, the Patterns work very well on the market but you also need to learn how to use them correctly, trying to use some filters to get some more confirmation and limit losses as much as possible. Naturally these considerations are personal and come only from my experience, but they are absolutely subjective and therefore open to criticism. ...I hope I was helpful.
Education
by TheAnonymousBanker
4