How key markets have performed either side of a US electionI wanted to see how major markets have performed in the days before, during and after US elections. So I coded up a new spreadsheet. Here are the results...
Please note:
- Price data supplied by Refinitiv
- Most markets go back 8 elections
- US futures and VIX are the exception, which go back 6 elections
MS
Forwardtesting
NZDCAD short ideas (swing and intraday)Trending down. Daily we reached 78.6 fib & daily OB. On 4H chart we can see how price has reacted off a 4H OB. Asian range has been pierced through the upper side and now price is trading below it. Trade is on if we see a clear displacement down off current level and a retest of the 0.85030 level. Ideally right after NY open and NFP.
For the swing: SLwould be above Daily OB. TP1 @ 0% D fib. TP2 @ -27% D fib.
For the intraday: SL would be above 4H OB. TP1 and 2 as marked on chart.
Trade invalidated if price doesn't displace down and comes back into asian range instead.
Managing Risk Using Probabilities 3 In part 2 of this series, we discussed the probability of a coin flip and how the odds that you land on heads "x" number of times in a row significantly decreases each time the coin is flipped. Therefore, it is important to understand the difference between "the probability the chart goes up or down" and "the probability that you (the trader) find yourself in a winning trade."
The brings me to my next point of gathering your data. There is a difference between gathering data to calculate the probability an asset will rise or fall versus gathering data on a specific trade set-up and determining whether or not it will win or lose. Backtesting and forward testing are both excellent methods to calculate probabilities. In my honest opionion, backtest at least 100 trades in order to best calculate probability. Ask yourself if you are okay with losing more than 3 times in a row. If your set up loses more than 4 times in a row, it is very likely your odds of being in a losing trade are worse.
Please take the time to think and meditate on this matter. If there are no questions concerning this, I may begin to go into details of my own personal trading set ups on the next article.
Be blessed!
Handy
STEP 1 to MASTER TRADING: Hindsight trading. Train your eyes.A common mistake that traders make after learning any kind of trading setup is jumping into backtesting using a replay tool, or even live trading.
However, if you think about it, trading is very much about pattern recognition. And when you force yourself into live trading without a proper understanding of what your patterns look like, most likely you’ll need much more time to succeed.
A different approach and much more effective would be using hindsight, that’s when you see what actually happened.
During this process, try to find at least 50 high-quality setups, that represent your trading system. So you actually see everything that happened and find situations, where your edge played out, document it in your journal. That’s great training for your eyes and brain.
You don’t need to guess, you will not feel anything, because you already see what happened, you’ll notice that sometimes your edge, your system doesn’t give you entries and price goes without you, sometimes, you’ll see a loser or a breakeven after your entry, start to get used to this, as it’s all part of your system.
After that, you'll have a much better understanding and vision for your setup - and that could be the time to try some backtesting and forwardtesting.
I’ll talk more about a different kind of backtesting in future posts. Meanwhile, take care, send your questions, and comments, will be glad to chat with you.
Dima
** GBPAUD ** sell trade currently heading toward TPHi all, hope your having a great week, really happy with current performance for the strategy, forward testing is showing solid results across the board.
The entry price, stop loss (in pipettes) and take profit are shown on the chart itself.
Just something I'm working on in Pine script, I'll share as many trading ideas as and when I can, so I can document my progress.
My name is Al, I'm 40 and from the UK.
I've been trading for a few years, my key goal is to automate my strategies and remove as many decisions as I can.
Any questions, feel free to drop me a direct message if I can help.
These ideas, aren't specific advice from me - so if you enter, of course do your own due diligence - always manage your risk like a pro too.
This is all for information and education.
Have a great day,
Al.
🙂
PS. Check my other 'Related Ideas' too.
Strategy Report
OverviewPerformance SummaryList of TradesExport
$ 3089.95
3.09 %
Net Profit
22
Total Closed Trades
63.64 %
Percent Profitable
2.199
Profit Factor
$ 2016.48
1.99 %
Max Drawdown
$ 140.45
0.14 %
Avg Trade
13
Avg # Bars in Trades
** AUDCAD ** buy trade currently open lets see how plays out Hi all, hope your having a great week, really happy with current performance for the strategy, forward testing is showing solid results across the board.
The entry price, stop loss (in pipettes) and take profit are shown on the chart itself.
Just something I'm working on in Pine script, I'll share as many trading ideas as and when I can, so I can document my progress.
My name is Al, I'm 40 and from the UK.
I've been trading for a few years, my key goal is to automate my strategies and remove as many decisions as I can.
Any questions, feel free to drop me a direct message if I can help.
These ideas, aren't specific advice from me - so if you enter, of course do your own due diligence - always manage your risk like a pro too.
This is all for information and education.
Have a great day,
Al.
🙂
PS. Check my other 'Related Ideas' too.
Strategy Report
OverviewPerformance SummaryList of TradesExport
$ 3089.95
3.09 %
Net Profit
22
Total Closed Trades
63.64 %
Percent Profitable
2.199
Profit Factor
$ 2016.48
1.99 %
Max Drawdown
$ 140.45
0.14 %
Avg Trade
13
Avg # Bars in Trades
** EURUSD ** sell trade currently open lets see how it plays outHi all, hope your having a great week, really happy with current performance for the strategy, forward testing is showing solid results across the board.
The entry price, stop loss (in pipettes) and take profit are shown on the chart itself.
Just something I'm working on in Pine script, I'll share as many trading ideas as and when I can, so I can document my progress.
My name is Al, I'm 40 and from the UK.
I've been trading for a few years, my key goal is to automate my strategies and remove as many decisions as I can.
Any questions, feel free to drop me a direct message if I can help.
These ideas, aren't specific advice from me - so if you enter, of course do your own due diligence - always manage your risk like a pro too.
This is all for information and education.
Have a great day,
Al.
🙂
PS. Check my other 'Related Ideas' too.
** GBPCAD ** trade currently in drawdown lets see how plays out.Hi all, hope your having a great week, really happy with current performance for the strategy, forward testing is showing solid results across the board.
The entry price, stop loss (in pipettes) and take profit are shown on the chart itself.
Just something I'm working on in Pine script, I'll share as many trading ideas as and when I can, so I can document my progress.
My name is Al, I'm 40 and from the UK.
I've been trading for a few years, my key goal is to automate my strategies and remove as many decisions as I can.
Any questions, feel free to drop me a direct message if I can help.
These ideas, aren't specific advice from me - so if you enter, of course do your own due diligence - always manage your risk like a pro too.
This is all for information and education.
Have a great day,
Al.
🙂
PS. Check my other 'Related Ideas' too.
** AUDUSD ** short trade currently openHi all, hope your having a great week, really happy with current performance for the strategy, forward testing is showing solid results across the board.
The entry price, stop loss (in pipettes) and take profit are shown on the chart itself.
Just something I'm working on in Pine script, I'll share as many trading ideas as and when I can, so I can document my progress.
My name is Al, I'm 40 and from the UK.
I've been trading for a few years, my key goal is to automate my strategies and remove as many decisions as I can.
Any questions, feel free to drop me a direct message if I can help.
These ideas, aren't specific advice from me - so if you enter, of course do your own due diligence - always manage your risk like a pro too.
This is all for information and education.
Have a great day,
Al.
🙂
PS. Check my other 'Related Ideas' too.
** EURJPY ** trade currently in drawdown lets see how plays out.Hi all, hope your having a great week, really happy with current performance for the strategy, forward testing is showing solid results across the board.
The entry price, stop loss (in pipettes) and take profit are shown on the chart itself.
Just something I'm working on in Pine script, I'll share as many trading ideas as and when I can, so I can document my progress.
My name is Al, I'm 40 and from the UK.
I've been trading for a few years, my key goal is to automate my strategies and remove as many decisions as I can.
Any questions, feel free to drop me a direct message if I can help.
These ideas, aren't specific advice from me - so if you enter, of course do your own due diligence - always manage your risk like a pro too.
This is all for information and education.
Have a great day,
Al.
🙂
PS. Check my other 'Related Ideas' too.
** EURUSD ** its been a nice month so far for eurusdHi all, hope your having a great week, really happy with current performance for the strategy, forward testing is showing solid results across the board.
The entry price, stop loss (in pipettes) and take profit are shown on the chart itself.
Just something I'm working on in Pine script, I'll share as many trading ideas as and when I can, so I can document my progress.
My name is Al, I'm 40 and from the UK.
I've been trading for a few years, my key goal is to automate my strategies and remove as many decisions as I can.
Any questions, feel free to drop me a direct message if I can help.
These ideas, aren't specific advice from me - so if you enter, of course do your own due diligence - always manage your risk like a pro too.
This is all for information and education.
Have a great day,
Al.
🙂
PS. Check my other 'Related Ideas' too.
** AUDJPY ** currently in drawdown lets see how this plays out Hi all, hope you all had a great weekend and ready for a fresh week on the charts.
The entry price, stop loss (in pipettes) and take profit are shown on the chart itself.
Just something I'm working on in Pine script, I'll share as many trading ideas as and when I can, so I can document my progress.
My name is Al, I'm 40 and from the UK.
I've been trading for a few years, my key goal is to automate my strategies and remove as many decisions as I can.
Any questions, feel free to drop me a direct message if I can help.
These ideas, aren't specific advice from me - so if you enter, of course do your own due diligence - always manage your risk like a pro too.
This is all for information and education.
Have a great day,
Al.
🙂
PS. Check my other 'Related Ideas' too.
** EURCHF ** SL hit for the short on H1 timeframeHi all, hope you all had a great weekend and ready for a fresh week on the charts.
The entry price, stop loss (in pipettes) and take profit are shown on the chart itself.
Just something I'm working on in Pine script, I'll share as many trading ideas as and when I can, so I can document my progress.
My name is Al, I'm 40 and from the UK.
I've been trading for a few years, my key goal is to automate my strategies and remove as many decisions as I can.
Any questions, feel free to drop me a direct message if I can help.
These ideas, aren't specific advice from me - so if you enter, of course do your own due diligence - always manage your risk like a pro too.
This is all for information and education.
Have a great day,
Al.
🙂
PS. Check my other 'Related Ideas' too.
** EURJPY ** currently in drawdown lets see how this one goes.Hi all, hope you all had a great weekend and ready for a fresh week on the charts.
The entry price, stop loss (in pipettes) and take profit are shown on the chart itself.
Just something I'm working on in Pine script, I'll share as many trading ideas as and when I can, so I can document my progress.
My name is Al, I'm 40 and from the UK.
I've been trading for a few years, my key goal is to automate my strategies and remove as many decisions as I can.
Any questions, feel free to drop me a direct message if I can help.
These ideas, aren't specific advice from me - so if you enter, of course do your own due diligence - always manage your risk like a pro too.
This is all for information and education.
Have a great day,
Al.
🙂
PS. Check my other 'Related Ideas' too.
** XAUUSD ** a look back at the last few trades for gold M30Hi all, hope you all had a great weekend and ready for a fresh week on the charts.
The entry price, stop loss (in pipettes) and take profit are shown on the chart itself.
Just something I'm working on in Pine script, I'll share as many trading ideas as and when I can, so I can document my progress.
My name is Al, I'm 40 and from the UK.
I've been trading for a few years, my key goal is to automate my strategies and remove as many decisions as I can.
Any questions, feel free to drop me a direct message if I can help.
These ideas, aren't specific advice from me - so if you enter, of course do your own due diligence - always manage your risk like a pro too.
This is all for information and education.
Have a great day,
Al.
🙂
PS. Check my other 'Related Ideas' too.
** EURUSD ** a nice monthly review so far for EU Hi all, hope you all had a great weekend and ready for a fresh week on the charts.
The entry price, stop loss (in pipettes) and take profit are shown on the chart itself.
Just something I'm working on in Pine script, I'll share as many trading ideas as and when I can, so I can document my progress.
My name is Al, I'm 40 and from the UK.
I've been trading for a few years, my key goal is to automate my strategies and remove as many decisions as I can.
Any questions, feel free to drop me a direct message if I can help.
These ideas, aren't specific advice from me - so if you enter, of course do your own due diligence - always manage your risk like a pro too.
This is all for information and education.
Have a great day,
Al.
🙂
PS. Check my other 'Related Ideas' too.
How to approach a pair during its consolidation period!-When there is a consolidation happening on a pair, this would be an excellent opportunity to look for a breakout and a reversal of the support/resistance of the consolidation box.
-For these types of setups we need be patient and see how price will move to either the upside or downside.
-Once we see a breakout of the consolidation box then it is essential to wait for a retest and enter when we see a strong candle stick confirmation depending on which way price breakout the box.
-Make sure to do loads of backtesting and forward testing this strategy to become more confident in the strategy.
-Make sure to journal all the trades to see how well you perform and look back to see what you can improve on.
If you need any more advice, support or mentoring then give me a message to see how best I can help you.
Please make sure to follow, leave a like and a comment on your opinion/ideas on how to approach these types of strategy.
In the near future, I will be hoping to post more educational posts to help my followers or anyone who wants to learn and get a better understanding on how to approach markets.
Forward Testing : BTCUSD 2H Automated StrategyHey guys I create automated strategies, and in this post I will share the trades, so make sure to leave a like if you want to see how it goes!
The script is configured for COINBASE:BTCUSD in 2h timeframe.
> > > READ HOW IT WORKS < < <
Alright let's get started, I have the alerts up running. Let's see how it goes !