XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, projecting a bullish outlook. Here's a breakdown of the main ideas conveyed:
1. Support Level & Double Bottom
A strong support level is marked around the 3,177 area, with the price bouncing from it twice (highlighted by two black dots), indicating a potential double bottom pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal signal.
2. EMA 200 Support
The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) lies just below the current price (~3,177), acting as dynamic support. The fact that price is holding above it adds strength to the bullish argument.
3. Bullish Divergence on RSI
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows a bullish divergence, where the price made lower lows but RSI made higher lows—another potential reversal indicator.
4. Price Projection
If the bullish move plays out, the chart outlines two upward targets:
Target Point: ~3,501.67
Next Target Point: ~3,729.23
These are based on measured moves from previous impulse legs (shown by vertical blue projections).
5. Entry Setup
The chart suggests a break above the short-term consolidation could trigger the bullish run toward the first target, aligning with bullish price structure and support confirmation.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Overall Idea: The chart expects a bullish reversal from support, confirmed by double bottom, EMA 200 support, and RSI divergence, targeting higher resistance zones.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Foryou
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation Setup (read-caption)📊 Chart Overview:
Asset: Unspecified (likely XAUUSD or a crypto asset).
Timeframe: Looks like 4H or Daily.
Tools Used:
EMA 50 (🔴 Red Line) — 3,283.978
EMA 200 (🔵 Blue Line) — 3,185.603
Resistance & Support Zones (🔴 Highlighted boxes)
Price: 3,335.415
🔍 Technical Analysis:
🟩 Trend Direction:
📈 Uptrend Confirmed: Price is above both EMA 50 and EMA 200 → Strong bullish momentum.
✅ Golden Cross: EMA 50 is above EMA 200, confirming long-term bullish bias.
📌 Key Levels:
🧱 Main Support Zone (🟥 Bottom Box - ~2,950–3,050):
Historical strong bounce zone.
Acts as a bullish base in case of a deeper pullback.
🔄 Mid Resistance/Support (~3,180–3,260):
Now acting as support after price bounced above it.
Also aligns with EMA 200 ➕🟦 – adds confluence.
📌 Main Resistance Zone (~3,300–3,380):
Current area of consolidation.
If broken, price likely to retest upper resistance.
🚧 Top Resistance Zone (~3,450–3,500):
Target area if bullish breakout continues.
✈️ Next take-profit zone for bulls.
🧭 Market Forecast:
🔁 Retest Expected: Price might pull back slightly to the main resistance area (~3,300), retesting previous resistance as support.
🚀 Upside Potential: Upon successful retest, price is projected to head toward the upper resistance (~3,480).
📉 Bearish Scenario: If price breaks back below 3,260 and EMA 50, expect a dip toward 3,180 or even the main support zone.
📈 Summary:
Bias: ✅ Bullish
Watch for:
🔍 Retest of 3,300 zone
✅ Breakout above 3,380
❌ Breakdown below 3,260 invalidates bullish scenario
GBP/USD Short Trade Setup: Reversal from 1.34370 with Target at Entry Point:
Marked at 1.34370, where the analyst anticipates a reversal or price rejection.
Stop Loss:
Positioned above at 1.34975, covering a 2.62% risk margin. This is a protective level in case the price moves against the trade.
Target (Take Profit):
Set at 1.31015, just above a strong support zone around 1.30818. This is where the analyst expects the price to eventually fall.
Resistance Point:
Noted around 1.33007 – 1.32859, acting as an intermediate level of interest and possible price reaction zone.
USD/JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY chart shows a bullish reversal setup. Here’s a breakdown behind the analysis:
1. Downtrend & Channel Breakout:
Price was trending downward within a descending channel (marked “channel trend”).
Recently, the price broke out of the channel, signaling a potential trend reversal.
2. Demand Zone (Diamond Zone):
The yellow box labeled “Diamond Zone” represents a demand/support zone where price previously found buyers.
A retest of this zone is expected before the bullish move.
3. EMA (200):
The EMA (200) is currently above the price but close. A break above this level (142.522) could add to bullish momentum.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI is showing a bounce off a mid-level (~50), suggesting bullish momentum is gaining.
5. Target Level:
The analysis targets 147.838, which aligns with a prior resistance zone.
The move projects a 5.19% gain (~778.5 pips) from the current setup.
Trading Idea Summary:
Entry: Around the “Diamond Zone” after a successful retest.
Confirmation: Watch for bullish candlestick patterns or a break above EMA 200.
Target: 147.838
Stop Loss (implied): Below the Diamond Zone (~140.000)
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
(XAU/USD) 1H Chart: Long Setup Targeting 3,500 with Key Support Entry Point: Suggested near 3,301.51 USD (marked with the purple support zone).
Stop Loss Zone: Below 3,266.87 to 3,221.67 USD (marked in blue and purple). This is where you limit your loss if the trade goes wrong.
First Target (Target Point One): 3,376.65 USD.
Final Target (EA Target Point): 3,523.55 USD (~8.26% potential gain from entry).
Main Setup Idea:
The price is consolidating around the support zone.
There's a plan to buy (go long) at the purple zone (Entry Point) and aim for the two target points
EUR/USD Bullish Breakout Trade Setup – Targeting 1.18089Entry Point: 1.13860
Stop Loss Zone: 1.13642 to 1.12578
Resistance Point: 1.14320
Target (TP) Point: 1.18089
🔍 Observations
Support Zone: Marked in purple near the entry and stop-loss area, suggesting a strong demand zone.
Resistance Zone: Around 1.14320, indicating a potential breakout level.
Trend: Short-term uptrend after a consolidation range.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Quite favorable, targeting a move of approximately 470+ pips (4.20% gain) from entry to target.
📊 Technical Indicators
Moving Averages:
Red (likely 20 EMA): Price recently crossed above, showing bullish momentum.
Blue (likely 50 or 200 EMA): Serving as dynamic support.
Price Action: Formation suggests a potential breakout from resistance toward the 1.18 target.
🧠 Conclusion
This is a long (buy) setup expecting a bullish breakout:
Buy entry above the support zone.
Stop-loss placed below major support (1.12578).
Target set significantly higher, aligning with prior structure or resistance at 1.18089
BTC/USD) Short Setup: Triple Top Formation Targeting 86,023 USD You’re seeing a potential Head and Shoulders structure (or at least a triple top) — with the orange circles marking failure to break higher around $95K.
The neckline (support) is slightly diagonal down toward the $94K region.
A breakdown is anticipated once the neckline fails.
2. EMAs Interaction:
30 EMA (red) is currently flattening, showing weakening momentum.
200 EMA (blue) is far below, around 88,181 USD, acting as a major support zone — and it aligns with the projected EA TARGET POINT.
EMA compression usually precedes a strong move.
3. Zones and Key Price Levels:
Entry Point: ~95,145.60 USD → high-probability short sell.
Stop Loss: ~96,000–96,957 USD → protects against unexpected breakout.
Target: ~86,023 USD → aligns with past accumulation zone and EMA200.
4. Risk/Reward Ratio:
Potential reward is about 9–10%.
Risk (from entry to stop) is about 1–2%.
Excellent Risk/Reward (>4:1).
5. Momentum and Volume (implied, not shown):
Given the topping pattern and lack of higher highs, buying momentum is weakening.
If volume increases on a breakdown, confirmation will be strong.
📊 Strategic Points:
Aspect Analysis
Trend Still bullish, but topping signs visible
EMA Behavior Short-term EMA flattening, long-term EMA rising slowly
Pattern Formed Triple Top / Head and Shoulders
Risk/Reward Very good (>4:1)
Recommendation Short bias around entry level, with strict stop-loss
⚡ Quick Trading Plan:
Entry: Short at ~$95,145
Stop Loss: ~$96,000–96,957
Target: ~$86,023
ETH/USD Breakout Trading Setup – Long Entry with 16% Target PoteEntry Point: $1,593.08
Target Point: $1,807.83
Stop Loss: $1,472.68
Risk/Reward Ratio: Roughly 2.1:1
Indicators Used:
EMA 30 (Red Line) at $1,593.08 (near entry point)
EMA 200 (Blue Line) at $1,605.09
Analysis:
1. Consolidation Phase:
ETH is in a sideways range after a prior downtrend, consolidating within the purple support zone.
This zone (~$1,555 to ~$1,593) has been tested multiple times, suggesting a strong base.
2. Bullish Breakout Anticipation:
The setup expects a breakout above consolidation, targeting a 16.11% move to $1,807.83.
A breakout strategy is being applied, assuming ETH will reverse from this consolidation area a
XAU/USD) orderblok key Support Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Gold Spot against USD (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas presented:
Chart Analysis Summary:
1. Price Zones:
Supply Zone (Resistance): Around the 3,355–3,365 level.
Demand/Support Zone (Doer Block Support Level): Around 3,282–3,291.
2. Current Price Action:
Price is currently at $3,331.96, close to the supply zone, and bouncing between the zones.
There’s a sharp downtrend, which seems to be slowing down near the support level.
3. Projected Move:
The chart suggests a short-term dip back into the demand/support zone, followed by a bullish reversal.
Target Point: A move back up toward $3,498.36, which is marked as a significant resistance.
4. Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently around 36.64 and recovering, suggesting potential bullish divergence or an oversold condition.
200 EMA: Around $3,291.52, providing dynamic support — aligning with the lower demand zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
Trade Idea:
Buy Setup (Long Trade):
Entry: Near 3,282–3,291 (support zone).
Target: 3,498.36.
Stop Loss: Below the support zone (~3,270).
Overall Idea:
This is a reversal-based setup. The price is expected to retest the support before launching a bullish leg toward the target. The confluence of the EMA, support zone, and RSI near oversold adds weight to the potential for a bounce.
Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BTC/USD) breakout up trand analysis Read The ChaptianMr SMC Trading point update
bullish analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, showing a potential breakout and rally scenario. breakdown:
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1. Market Structure:
Downtrend Channel: Price has been moving within a falling channel.
Double Bottom Pattern: Marked by two green arrows — a bullish reversal signal.
Breakout Attempt: Price is testing the upper trendline and 200 EMA (~$83,952), suggesting possible breakout.
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2. Key Zones:
FVG (Fair Value Gap): Around $78,678 — a demand zone where price could retest before moving higher.
Breakout Confirmation Zone: ~$85,130 — breaking above this with volume signals strength.
Target Point: $95,206 — an upside target projecting ~31.77% gain from the breakout.
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3. Indicators:
200 EMA: Currently acting as resistance. Break above it confirms bullish momentum.
RSI: Around 60 — pointing upward with bullish divergence from recent lows, showing increasing buying pressure.
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4. Scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation):
Breaks above trendline and 200 EMA.
Retest (optional) and then heads toward $95,206 target.
Scenario 2 (Retest First):
Price dips into the FVG/demand zone.
Finds support and launches upwards, confirming a strong base.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of the Idea:
This is a buy setup on breakout or on pullback:
Aggressive Entry: Break and close above $85,130.
Safe Entry: Pullback into $78,678 area (FVG).
Target: $95,206
Risk Zone: Below $78,000 (invalidates bullish structure).
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAU/USD Target Achieved – $3,500 Successfully Hit 🔥 XAU/USD Target Smashed – $3,500 HIT! 🎯💰
Gold has officially reached $3,500, perfectly hitting our projected buy target!
This move confirms the strength of the bullish momentum and technical breakout setup.
🔹 Entry: Above $3,430
🔹 Final Target: ✅ $3,500 – Hit
🔹 Result: High-conviction setup delivered with precision
🔹 Trend: Remains bullish, but profit-taking expected at round number resistance
👏 Massive congrats to all who followed the plan — another clean win on XAU/USD!
AUD/USD) Resistance level pullback Short Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
analysis of the AUD/USD pair on the 2-hour timeframe, showing a possible bearish setup. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind it:
Key Observations:
1. Current Trend:
The pair was in an uptrend, as indicated by the rising channel (parallel trendlines). However, it has now broken out of that channel.
2. Resistance Level:
The price has reached a resistance zone around 0.64000, and it seems to be rejecting this level.
3. 2 Timeframe Demand Zone:
Around the 0.63300 – 0.63400 range, this area previously acted as a demand zone (support), and the chart suggests price might retest it.
4. Projected Move:
First, a pullback up into the resistance zone could occur.
Then a drop to the demand zone.
If the demand zone fails to hold, the price could head down toward the key support/FVG (Fair Value Gap) around 0.61000 – 0.61500.
5. EMA (200):
The 200 EMA is below the price, suggesting longer-term bullish pressure, but it's starting to flatten, which could signal weakness in the uptrend.
6. RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 52, showing neutral momentum—neither overbought nor oversold, allowing room for movement in either direction.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Idea Summary:
The chart suggests a potential reversal from the uptrend into a downtrend, triggered by a failure to break above resistance. The two key targets for a bearish move are:
First: the 2TF demand zone
Final: the key support/FVG zone
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAU/ USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
analysis for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) on the 2-hour timeframe appears to suggest a bullish continuation setup after a correction. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Points from the Chart:
1. Rising Channel:
The price is moving within an ascending channel.
After a breakout and strong rally, it is currently in a flag or wedge-like correction pattern.
2. Correction Zone:
The price is consolidating downward inside a small descending wedge (a bullish pattern), potentially forming a bull flag.
This is typically a sign of continuation after a strong upward impulse.
3. Support Zone:
A 4H support level is marked around 3,301.416, which aligns with the lower boundary of the flag pattern.
This is a potential buy zone for price to react and bounce.
4. Target Point:
The target is projected at 3,404.254, implying a breakout to the upside if the support holds.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is currently around 65, with previous values near 80, suggesting a slight cooldown but still in bullish territory.
A slight drop in RSI might occur before the next bounce.
6. EMA 200:
The EMA 200 is well below current price (around 3,137), indicating a strong bullish trend.
Mr SMC Trading point
Possible Trade Idea:
Entry: Around the 3,301–3,305 support area.
Confirmation: Wait for a bullish reversal pattern (engulfing candle or strong bounce).
Target: Around 3,404 (as per the marked target zone).
Stop Loss: Below the support zone (e.g., below 3,295), depending on risk tolerance.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
EUR/USD) resistance level rejected) Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
updated chart provides a more refined bearish outlook for EUR/USD. Here's the idea behind this analysis:
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Market Structure Overview:
Resistance Level: ~1.14292
Mid Support Zone: ~1.13500
Major Support (Target Point): ~1.12658
Current Price: 1.13787
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Indicators:
EMA 200 (1.12174): Price is above the 200 EMA, indicating an overall bullish bias, but that may be weakening.
RSI (14): Around 54.37, slightly bullish but neutral—no strong momentum.
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Trading Idea:
1. Short-Term Bullish Move:
Price is expected to rise to test the resistance level around 1.14292.
2. Bearish Reversal at Resistance:
From there, a rejection is anticipated, leading to a drop back to the mid support (~1.13500).
3. Break Below Mid Support:
If the price fails to hold the mid support zone, a breakdown is likely to continue toward the target point at 1.12658, which aligns with the previous big support level.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Strategy Suggestion:
Sell Setup 1: At resistance (~1.14292), with confirmation like bearish candles or divergence on RSI.
Sell Setup 2: On breakdown and retest of the 1.13500 support zone.
Take Profit: Target at 1.12658.
Stop Loss: Above 1.14300 or above the most recent swing high.
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Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USD/JPY) demand and supply analysis ); Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
shows a bearish setup for USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown
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1. Trend Context:
Downtrend: The pair is clearly in a bearish channel, forming lower highs and lower lows.
200 EMA (~146.297) is above price and sloping down — confirms bearish bias.
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2. Key Zones Identified:
Supply Zone (~144.800–145.200): A strong area of resistance where sellers may re-enter. If price returns here, it’s a potential short setup.
Demand Zone (~142.800–143.100): A possible reaction point where short-term buyers may provide a bounce.
Target Point (~141.168): A projected target if the downtrend continues and demand zone fails.
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3. Expected Scenarios:
Primary Bearish Move:
Price may react from current levels or from the demand zone.
A pullback to the supply zone is expected before continuation downward.
Then, sell-off toward the target zone around 141.168.
Alternate Play:
Price could bounce between the demand and supply zones a bit more before breaking down.
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4. Indicators:
RSI (~46.37): Shows room to the downside before oversold, aligning with bearish momentum.
Mild bullish divergence in RSI recently, suggesting potential for a small pullback or bounce.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of Idea:
This is a sell setup:
Sell entries: Ideal around the supply zone (144.8–145.2).
First target: Demand zone (~143.0)
Final target: 141.168
Invalidation: Break above 146.30 (200 EMA and channel resistance).
pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow,)
XAU/USD) Flag Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Analysis presents a bullish outlook for XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here’s a breakdown of the key elements:
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Key Analysis Points:
1. Order Block + Key Support Zone:
Price recently tapped into a bullish order block around the $3,166.74–$3,208.62 zone.
This area is also marked as a "key support level", suggesting a strong demand zone.
The confluence of the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and order block gives this zone higher validity for potential reversal.
2. Bullish Market Structure:
The chart shows higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish trend.
Price action broke above a small consolidation, showing bullish momentum is resuming.
3. Projected Target:
The target point is set at $3,283.01, suggesting about a 55-point upside from the current price.
This target sits above a previous high, indicating anticipation of a liquidity grab or breakout.
4. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is at 57.94, which is a neutral-to-bullish zone. It supports the idea that there's still room for price to move up before being overbought.
5. EMA 200 (Exponential Moving Average):
The price is well above the 200 EMA, confirming a bullish bias in the higher timeframe.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Possible Strategy:
Long (Buy) Entry Zone: Between $3,166–$3,208 (ideal near the order block/FVG).
Target: $3,283
Stop Loss: Below the order block, ideally below $3,166 to avoid getting wicked out.
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Final Thoughts:
This is a well-structured bullish setup based on institutional concepts like order blocks and FVGs. The price is aligned with the trend, and RSI supports more upside. However, watch for any major news catalysts (especially with those economic event icons shown).
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
EUR/USD Bullish Setup – Targeting 1.16950Entry Zone (Buy Area): Between 1.12729 and 1.13101
Stop Loss: 1.12100
Target (TP1): 1.16950
Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R):
Risk: 1.13101 - 1.12100 = 101 pips
Reward: 1.16950 - 1.13101 = ~385 pips
R:R ≈ 1:3.8 — excellent risk-to-reward
📈 Technical Observations
Bullish Momentum: Strong bullish candles leading into the setup suggest buyers are currently in control.
Support Zone (Entry Area):
The purple zone has acted as a previous resistance, now turned support.
Price may retest this zone before moving higher (as indicated by the blue path on the chart).
Moving Averages:
Red (likely 50 EMA) and blue (possibly 200 EMA) are showing a bullish crossover.
Price is above both MAs, reinforcing a bullish trend.
Projected Move:
The setup anticipates a pullback before a continuation to the upside toward 1.16950.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary
This is a buy-the-dip strategy within a bullish trend.
Entering on the pullback allows for:
Tighter stop loss
Better entry price
Higher R:R ratio
⚠️ Risk Considerations
A break below 1.12100 would invalidate the setup.
Monitor for bearish reversal patterns or news around the EUR/USD that might shift sentiment.
BTC/USD Short Setup – Triple Top Reversal with EMA Confirmation Entry Point (Sell): Around $85,699.52
Stop Loss: $86,741.44 (above resistance zone)
Target (Take Profit): $82,982.09
This provides a Risk-Reward Ratio of approximately 1:2, a commonly acceptable ratio in trading.
📈 Indicators:
EMA 30 (Red) is currently above the EMA 200 (Blue), indicating bullish momentum—but this setup anticipates a trend reversal.
If price breaks below the EMAs, that would confirm bearish strength.
🧠 Conclusion:
This setup is based on:
A strong resistance zone,
Bearish reversal pattern (triple top),
Risk management via stop loss and take profit levels.
If you're trading this:
Wait for confirmation with a bearish candlestick below the EMAs or a break of recent support.
Manage position size based on stop distance and your account risk tolerance.
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup – Targeting 3,394.56 After EMA 30 (Red Line): Currently at 3,109.56
EMA 200 (Blue Line): Currently at 3,064.85
Price is above both EMAs, indicating bullish momentum in the short and long term.
📈 Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Around 3,162.15
Stop Loss Zone: Below the purple support box around 3,109–3,141 (right above the 30 EMA)
Target (Take Profit): 3,394.56 — marked as "EA TARGET POINT"
📊 Strategy Outlook:
Bullish Setup: The price recently broke out of a resistance zone (purple area) and retested it, confirming the breakout.
The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, as the target is significantly higher than the stop loss.
The upward price projection suggests confidence in a strong bullish continuation.
⚠️ Things to Watch:
Volume confirmation and price action near the entry level.
If price closes below the 30 EMA, it may invalidate the setup.
Always consider broader macroeconomic or fundamental factors when trading gold (e.g., USD strength, interest rates, geopolitical tension).
EUR/JPY Short Setup – Bearish Reversal Targeting 161.134 with TiEMA 30 (red): Currently at 162.470
EMA 200 (blue): Currently at 162.071
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Around 162.978
Stop Loss: Slightly above 163.016 (highlighted in purple zone)
Target (Take Profit): 161.134 (labeled as “EA TARGET POINT”)
Analysis:
Trend: The pair has been trending upwards recently, as shown by the price staying above the 200 EMA.
Current Price: 162.604, just below the proposed entry.
Risk/Reward:
Risk: ~3.8 pips (entry to stop loss)
Reward: ~184.4 pips (entry to target)
This implies a favora
EUR /USD) resistance level rejected support level Read The ChaptSMC Trading point update
analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe, and it presents a potential bearish setup. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Elements:
Resistance Zone (around 1.14182):
The price is currently approaching a marked resistance area. The analysis suggests this could be a turning point where price may reverse.
Projected Movement (Black Arrows):
The chart predicts a double top formation or a rejection from the resistance level, followed by a strong move downward.
Target Point:
The drop is expected to reach the key support zone around 1.10942, aligning with a previous structure and a potential liquidity zone.
EMA 200 (around 1.10389):
Price remains well above the 200 EMA, suggesting the trend is still bullish overall, but the setup targets a potential correction or short-term reversal.
RSI Indicator (~60):
RSI is above 60 but not overbought yet. This supports the idea that there's room for one more push up into resistance before a drop.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary of the Idea:
1. Watch for price reaction around 1.14182.
2. If there's a clear rejection or double top, a short position may be considered.
3. Target area is around 1.10942.
4. The setup assumes a corrective move in a broader bullish trend.
plase support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GBP/JPY) Bearish analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
GBP/JPY 2-hour chart outlines a clear bearish setup within a well-defined downtrend. Here's a breakdown of the trading idea:
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Technical Overview:
Downtrend Channel:
The pair is respecting a downward-sloping channel, with repeated rejections at the upper boundary, confirming bearish control.
Resistance Zone (~187.8 - 188.5):
Price has reached a highlighted resistance area that aligns with previous swing highs and trendline resistance — marked with red arrows for prior rejections.
Bearish Projection:
The analysis anticipates a rejection from this resistance zone followed by a downward impulse move. A pullback is expected, but continuation toward the target support zone around 179.150 is likely.
Target Zone (~179.150):
This level lines up with previous price action and matches the measured move (blue vertical box), adding confluence.
EMA 200 (around 190.36):
Price is well below the 200 EMA, reinforcing the bearish structure and trend bias.
RSI Indicator (~52):
RSI is slightly above 50 but not bullish — this neutral reading suggests the pair has room to drop if resistance holds.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trading Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: 187.8 – 188.5 (resistance)
Confirmation: Bearish candlestick pattern or rejection signal
Target: 179.150
Invalidation: Break and close above 190.365 (above EMA 200 and prior highs)
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plase support boost 🚀 analysis follow)