USDCAD Bearish Reversal Trade Setup – 3H Chart Analysis (June 26 Entry Zone: 1.37279 – 1.37554
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.37934
🔹 Target: 1.35278
🔹 Risk-to-Reward (RR): ~1:2.5
🧠 Technical Breakdown
Trend Overview:
Overall trend shows a downtrend from earlier June, followed by a corrective bullish move.
Price failed to sustain above the 200 EMA (blue line), indicating continued bearish pressure.
Trade Line Break:
A steep bullish trendline was broken, signaling a potential trend reversal or deeper pullback.
Bearish Rejection Zone:
The purple zone (1.37279 – 1.37554) acted as resistance.
Price formed a lower high and rejected this zone, confirming selling interest.
Entry Strategy:
Short entry is ideally within or just below the rejection zone.
Aggressive entry already in play at current market price (1.36909) after confirmation.
Target Zone:
Projected towards 1.35278, aligning with previous support and fib retracement zone.
Large purple support zone near the target suggests a potential reversal area.
⚠️ Risk Notes
Be cautious of USD volatility due to upcoming economic events (noted with icons on the chart).
Stop loss above previous swing high minimizes risk of fakeouts.
✅ Summary:
This is a bearish swing setup aiming for a significant drop toward 1.35278. The clean rejection from resistance and trendline break supports a high-probability short opportunity with favorable risk-reward.
Foryourpage
(ETH/USD) Bullish Setup: Entry at $2,422 with Target at $2,521 a1. Entry Point: ~2,422.2
This is the suggested buy area based on a recent bounce from the support zone
2. Support Zone (Purple Box):
Bottom boundary: ~2,392.4
Top boundary: ~2,408.4
Price has bounced multiple times here, showing strong buying interest.
3. Resistance Point: ~2,463.9
A clear horizontal resistance line, previously tested.
4. EA Target Point: ~2,522.1
A bullish target if the price breaks above the resistance level.
🔶 Highlighted Patterns / Markers
Orange Circles: Indicate key swing highs and lows — possibly used to identify double tops/bottoms or rejection/wick zones.
Blue Arrows: Illustrate the anticipated move from:
Entry (2,408.1) → Resistance (2,463.9) → Target (2,521.2)
Target gain = +111.7 USD (+4.64%)
🔻 Stop Loss Level
Set just below the support box at ~2,392.4
Protects from false breakouts or deeper pullbacks.
📈 Strategy Outlook
Bullish Bias: The setup expects a breakout from the current price range.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Appears favorable — tight stop and wide target.
Confirmation Needed: A solid breakout and hold above 2,423–2,425 may be the early confirmation signal.
📌 Summary
Element Value
Entry Point ~2,422.2
Stop Loss ~2,392.4
Resistance ~2,463.9
Target (TP) ~2,521.2
R:R Ratio Approx. 3:1
Bias Bullish
XAU/USD) Bullish trand Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a breakout from consolidation supported by key levels and trend structure. Here’s the detailed analysis:
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Technical Breakdown
1. Key Support Zone
Price has formed a strong base around 3,315–3,325, with multiple bullish rejections (green arrows).
This zone has acted as a demand level, reinforcing bullish structure.
2. Ascending Trendline Support
An uptrend line supports higher lows, showing momentum building to the upside.
3. EMA 200
Price is now challenging the 200 EMA (3,353.41) — a key dynamic resistance.
A successful breakout and retest above this EMA will likely fuel continued bullish movement.
4. Breakout & Measured Move Projections
The chart indicates a bullish breakout from a consolidation box (yellow zone).
Measured move targets based on the previous rally:
First target: 3,368.86 (1.17%)
Second target: 3,381.55 (1.75%)
5. RSI Confirmation
RSI (14) is around 57, showing bullish momentum but still below overbought—supporting further upside potential.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion / Idea Summary
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: On pullback into 3,330–3,340 range or breakout retest above EMA 200
Targets:
3,368.86
3,381.55
Invalidation: Sustained close below 3,320 and break of the uptrend line
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USD/JPY) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 3-hour timeframe, highlighting a breakdown from trendline resistance and projecting a move toward a significant downside target.
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Technical Breakdown
1. Trendline Rejection
Price sharply rejected from the descending resistance trendline near 148.00 (red arrow), forming a potential lower high.
This suggests continuation of the broader downtrend structure.
2. Break Below EMA 200
Price has broken below the 200 EMA (144.752), signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
EMA is likely to act as dynamic resistance if price attempts a pullback.
3. Bearish Projection
The chart outlines a measured move downward toward the target point at 139.955, implying a drop of over 5.36% (approximately 770 pips).
The projected path shows lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish structure.
4. RSI Confirmation
RSI (14) is currently at 29.98, indicating oversold conditions, but this often supports strong momentum in trending markets—suggesting a possible continuation lower after minor retracements.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion / Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Entry: After trendline rejection and EMA 200 break (~144.75)
Target: 139.955
Invalidation: Break above 148.00 resistance trendline
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XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe, based on technical signals and price action behavior. Here's the breakdown
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Gold Bullish Reversal Setup – Targeting 3,384
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Key Technical Highlights:
1. Support Zone & Price Reaction:
Price has tested a strong horizontal support level (highlighted in yellow).
Multiple bullish rejection wicks indicate buying pressure at this zone.
The green arrows show successful support bounces, hinting at bullish intent.
2. Trendline Analysis:
Price bounced near the lower boundary of the falling wedge/downtrend channel.
An uptrend line convergence supports potential reversal.
A breakout above the short-term descending trendline is indicated.
3. EMA & Target Projection:
EMA 200 at 3,364.33 may act as dynamic resistance, the next short-term hurdle.
Target zone projected at 3,384.04, offering a potential move of +65.67 pts (~1.98%).
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI(14) is oversold (~29.93), signaling a potential reversal.
A bullish crossover may be forming, supporting upward momentum.
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Trading Plan:
Entry Zone: Near current support area around 3,325
Target: 3,384
Stop Loss (Suggested): Below 3,300, under support structure
Risk/Reward: Favorable based on support hold and breakout projection
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion:
This setup suggests a short-term bullish reversal from a key support area, with confirmation likely if price breaks above the descending trendline and clears the 200 EMA.
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USD/JPY Bullish Reversal Trade Setup – Key Support Test at 145.2Entry Point: 145.273 (highlighted in blue)
Stop Loss: ~144.817–145.260 (purple zone)
Target Point (TP): 148.133 (upper resistance zone)
📉 Recent Price Action:
Price peaked near 148.05 before reversing sharply and breaking the trendline.
The market is currently testing the support zone (near the 145.273 entry level).
Moving averages (red = short-term, blue = long-term) show a crossover to the downside, suggesting short-term bearish momentum.
📈 Trade Setup:
Strategy Type: Long (Buy) Setup
Risk/Reward: Favorable, approximately 1:2+
Entry Zone: The current price is close to the entry level at 145.273, making this a timely area to watch for a bounce or confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Factors:
If price breaks below 144.817, the setup becomes invalid.
Short-term momentum is still bearish; confirmation (like a bullish engulfing candle or support hold) is important before entering.
✅ Confirmation Triggers for Entry:
Strong bullish candlestick pattern near entry zone.
RSI or MACD bullish divergence (not shown but useful to check).
Volume spike on bounce from support.
USD/JPY Long Trade Setup – Key Support Rebound Targeting 148.674Entry Point:
Price: 143.373
The chart suggests initiating a long (buy) position at this level, which is just slightly below the current market price.
Stop Loss:
Price: 141.707
Positioned below a strong support zone. This level protects the trade from excessive downside risk if the price breaks down.
Target Point:
Price: 148.674
The target is clearly defined, indicating a potential gain of approximately 5.991 points, or 4.20% from the entry.
🟪 Support/Resistance Zones
The purple boxes indicate demand (support) and supply (resistance) zones.
The lower zone (entry/stop area) shows a historically significant support range that has been tested multiple times (indicated with orange circles).
The upper purple zone marks the take-profit area, which coincides with previous resistance.
📊 Moving Averages
Blue Line: 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) – acting as dynamic resistance.
Red Line: 50 EMA – price is currently trading below it, indicating bearish short-term pressure but potential for reversal.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bullish (long position)
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable
Risk: ~1.67 points (from 143.373 to 141.707)
Reward: ~5.3 points (from 143.373 to 148.674)
Approx. R:R = 1:3.17
Validation: The setup relies on the price holding the key support zone and bouncing higher, targeting the next major resistance.
⚠️ Considerations
Monitor for bullish candlestick patterns near the entry zone.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic news (like BoJ or Fed updates) that could cause volatility in USD/JPY.
Confirm momentum shift with RSI or MACD if using indicators.
GOLD XAUUSD 1H Chart Idea"Gold is forming a descending triangle pattern, signaling bearish pressure. Price is testing the lower support zone, and a confirmed breakdown below this level could trigger a strong downside move. Bears are likely to dominate if the support breaks with volume confirmation. Watch closely for a retest of the broken support turning into resistance for possible short entries. Risk management is crucial in this setup."
USD/JPY) Bearish reversal analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY 3-hour chart suggests a bearish reversal setup, based on smart money concepts (SMC), resistance rejection, and price action structure. Here's a full breakdown:
Technical Breakdown – USD/JPY
Big Resistance Zone (~145.800–146.300):
Price has tapped into a major resistance zone (yellow box) twice (highlighted with red arrows).
Both rejections indicate strong seller interest.
The latest candle structure shows clear rejection wick, signaling weakness at resistance.
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Bearish Bias Confirmation:
Bearish structure forming after the second rejection.
Break of the rising trendline could accelerate selling pressure.
A measured move projection (-2.58%) aligns the downside target with the support level at ~142.144.
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Support Zone (~141.800–142.400):
Marked as the likely target zone.
Historically acted as a strong bounce area (visible from late May to early June).
Completion of ABC bearish structure aligns here.
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Indicators & Tools:
200 EMA (144.419): Price currently slightly above it — watching for a close below to strengthen bearish view.
RSI (14): Shows signs of bearish divergence and cooling off from overbought (was above 70 previously).
Volume spike during the rejection suggests institutional selling.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Forecast Summary:
Bias: Bearish toward 142.144
Entry Idea: Look for confirmation of breakdown below trendline (~145.00)
Invalidation: Strong bullish close above 146.300 would break this idea.
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XAU/USD) Back Bullish trand Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe based on a price action setup within a rising channel and a key support zone. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
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Technical Overview:
Trend Structure:
The price is moving within a rising channel (marked by the black trendlines). Recent touches on both the top and bottom of the channel suggest that it is being respected.
Key Support Zone (Yellow Box):
Price recently tested a strong support zone around $3,338 – $3,350, which aligns with:
Historical price reaction area.
The 200 EMA (blue line).
An uptrend line support.
A bullish reaction (green arrow) confirming demand.
Bear Trap Breakout:
There’s a false breakout below the support followed by a sharp reversal (green arrow), which could indicate a bear trap, often followed by a bullish rally.
Price Projection:
The projected move suggests a bullish rally toward $3,478.89, offering a potential 3.97% gain (~133 points).
The path includes a possible consolidation before a breakout (illustrated by the wavy arrow).
RSI Indicator:
RSI is recovering from the oversold zone (~45), indicating increasing bullish momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Around $3,350–$3,370 (post-retest of support)
Target: $3,478.89
Confirmation: Bullish price action at support, 200 EMA bounce, RSI reversal
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XAU/USD) Back support level Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar) – 2H Timeframe:
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XAU/USD Bearish Rejection from Resistance – Short-Term Sell Setup
Key Observations:
1. Rejection from Upper Channel & Resistance Zone:
Price was rejected sharply after touching the upper boundary of the ascending channel and the newly established resistance zone (~3400–3420).
A strong bearish candle confirms selling pressure at the top.
2. Support Retest in Progress:
The price is currently descending toward the EMA 200 and the KYY support zone (approximately 3343–3348).
The previous bounce originated from this level, making it a significant retest zone.
3. EMA 200 as Confluence:
The 200 EMA (currently at 3346.92) aligns with the support zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce or at least temporary pause in bearish momentum.
4. RSI Bearish Signal:
RSI has dropped below 50, confirming a momentum shift toward the downside.
Still above oversold territory, suggesting more downside room.
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Trade Idea:
Bias: Bearish (Short-Term)
Entry Zone: Around 3390–3400 (confirmed rejection area)
Target Zone: 3348 – 3343 (KYY support + EMA 200)
Stop Loss: Above 3425 (just above resistance zone)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Gold has faced a clear rejection at a key resistance zone within an ascending channel, and is now targeting the EMA 200 and previous structural support. Short opportunities could be considered toward the 3343–3348 zone, with RSI and price action supporting the move.
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USD/CAD)) Bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD on the 3-hour timeframe, using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and classic technical analysis. Here's a breakdown
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Key Technical Insights:
Overall Trend:
The pair is in a clear downtrend, confirmed by:
Lower highs and lower lows
Price trading below the 200 EMA (currently at 1.37402)
Respect for the downtrend channel
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Resistance Zones:
1. Upper Resistance Zone (~1.38400 – 1.38750):
Strong historical sell area (price sharply reversed here in late May)
2. Mid Resistance Zone (~1.36450 – 1.36750):
Price reacted twice here and dropped.
Aligns with the downtrend line and was recently tested again (red arrow).
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Bearish Projections:
After the latest pullback into the resistance zone, price is expected to:
Reject the zone
Continue following the descending structure
Target marked around 1.35034, which coincides with:
Previous low
Lower boundary of the descending channel
Mr SMC Trading point
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Chart Tools & Features Used:
Trendlines: Clearly marking the downtrend channel
200 EMA: Used as dynamic resistance
Fib-like measured move: Mirrored previous impulse moves (-1.61%) suggesting a symmetric drop
Arrows: Indicating reaction points from resistance
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Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish
Invalidation: Break and hold above 1.36500 would weaken the bearish outlook.
Next Move: Potential sell setups on lower timeframe retests or bearish confirmations within the resistance zone.
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EUR/USD) back to bearish Trand Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of EUR/USD pair on the 2-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind the analysis:
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Trading Idea Summary: EUR/USD Bearish Reversal Setup
1. Rejection at Resistance Zone
Resistance Level (~1.1600): Price has tested this level twice (red arrows) and faced strong rejection, suggesting it’s a firm supply zone.
This double top near resistance signals potential downside pressure.
2. Bearish Market Structure
Price action shows a break in short-term bullish momentum.
Bearish trend arrows and structure indicate expected continuation to the downside.
3. EMA Resistance
The 200 EMA (blue line) at 1.14356 is above the key support zone, acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
4. Target Levels
First Target: 1.13694 (Key Support Level)
Previous structure zone with strong historical price reaction.
Final Target: 1.12025 (Major Support Zone)
Larger demand area where buyers previously stepped in.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion
This analysis suggests a potential short setup with confirmations from:
Repeated resistance rejection
Bearish price structure and trend arrows
EMA as added confluence
Clear downside targets: 1.13694, then 1.12025
> Bearish bias remains valid unless price reclaims and closes above the resistance zone (~1.1600).
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Index/US) Bearish trend analysis Read The caption)SMC trading point update
Technical analysis of U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 30-minute timeframe, with the price respecting a clear downtrend and repeatedly rejecting a resistance zone near the 200 EMA.
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Analysis Breakdown
Key Technical Elements:
1. Downtrend Structure:
The price remains within a descending channel.
Multiple lower highs and lower lows signal sustained bearish pressure.
2. Resistance Zone:
Highlighted near 98.490–98.495, aligned with the EMA 200.
Multiple rejections from this level (indicated by red arrows), confirming strong supply.
3. EMA 200 (98.490):
Acts as dynamic resistance.
Price is below it, reinforcing the bearish bias.
4. Projected Move:
Bearish price path targets the 97.189 level (target point).
A measured move of approximately -1.30% is illustrated.
5. RSI (14):
RSI currently at 46.27, below the neutral 50 mark.
This confirms bearish momentum without being oversold, leaving room for further downside.
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Bearish Thesis:
Repeated failure to break above key resistance + downward channel + RSI weakness suggests a continuation to the downside.
Short-term consolidation expected before breakdown continuation.
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Trade Idea Concept:
Entry: Sell on a minor pullback near resistance (~98.300–98.490), or breakdown below the recent minor support.
Target: 97.189 zone.
Stop Loss: Above 98.500 or EMA 200 to invalidate the bearish setup.
Mr SMC Trading point
Risks to Watch:
A break and strong close above 98.500 would invalidate the bearish structure and could initiate a trend reversal.
Economic events (noted by calendar icons) may trigger volatility – ideal to monitor closely around those times.
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USD/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis iUSD/JPY on the 30-minute timeframe, showing a rejection from resistance zones and a potential move toward lower support levels.
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Analysis Breakdown
Technical Components:
1. Resistance Zones:
Primary Resistance: Near 145.500 (upper yellow box), which has previously been rejected multiple times (red arrows).
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Resistance Level: Around 144.400, also acting as strong resistance, especially near the EMA 200.
2. Downtrend Line:
The price is moving below a downward trendline, respecting bearish structure.
Last rejection from both the trendline and FVG zone confirms selling pressure.
3. EMA 200 (144.075):
Price is hovering around this level, showing indecision.
Bearish bias remains unless price breaks and holds above it.
4. Target Zone:
A clearly marked support level around 142.543, shown as the bearish target.
Includes multiple event markers (potential news catalysts or key dates), suggesting added volatility.
5. RSI (14):
Currently near 55.23, with a prior rejection from higher RSI levels.
Bearish divergence not clear, but no overbought conditions.
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Bearish Idea Summary:
Thesis: Rejection from resistance zones + trendline + EMA suggests continuation to downside.
Expecting: Price to either:
Retest the upper resistance zone (around 145.000–145.500) and reject again, or
Break below current levels and continue lower toward 142.543.
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Trade Idea Concept:
Entry Option 1: Sell on confirmed rejection from FVG zone or upper resistance.
Entry Option 2: Sell on break and retest below 144.000.
Target: 142.543 (support zone).
Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone or trendline (e.g., >145.600).
Mr SMC Trading point
Risks to Watch:
Invalidation: Clean break and close above 145.500 would invalidate the bearish setup.
News Impact: Note the icons near the target zone – monitor economic releases around that time.
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XUA/USD) Bullish trand support level Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe, incorporating a support zone and trendline confluence strategy. Here's a breakdown
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Analysis Summary
Key Technical Elements:
1. Uptrend Channel:
Price is trading within a rising channel.
Higher highs and higher lows indicate bullish momentum.
2. Support Zones:
Key Support Level (near 3,400): A horizontal support zone has been marked where price previously bounced (confirmed by green arrows).
Trendline Support: This upward sloping trendline adds confluence to the horizontal support zone.
3. EMA 200 (3,377.96):
Acts as a dynamic support level.
Price is well above the EMA, supporting bullish sentiment.
4. Projected Price Move:
The chart anticipates a dip back to the support area (~3,400), followed by a bullish bounce.
Target is clearly defined at 3,504.01, with a measured move of about +103.36 points from the support.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 57, which is neutral to slightly bullish.
No overbought/oversold signal yet – supporting potential for more upside.
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Bullish Bias Reasoning:
Confluence Zone: Horizontal + trendline + EMA 200.
Healthy Price Structure: Higher lows being maintained.
Momentum Indicator (RSI) supports continuation.
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Risks / Considerations:
If price breaks below the confluence support (~3,400), bullish invalidation may occur.
Monitor for false breakouts or heavy selling pressure near resistance.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trading Plan
Buy Zone: Around 3,400 (support confluence).
SL: Below the trendline/EMA – e.g., 3,370 or lower.
TP: Around 3,504 (target zone marked).
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USD/JPY) bearish Technical Analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs. Japanese Yen) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
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Trend & Price Action
The chart shows a descending trendline connecting recent lower highs, indicating a downtrend.
Current price: 143.548
Price has recently rejected off the trendline and started to fall, suggesting continued bearish momentum.
A red arrow marks the rejection point, emphasizing a key resistance area.
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Technical Indicators
EMA 200 (Exponential Moving Average): At 144.459 — the price is currently below the EMA, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI (14) values: around 35.45, which is near the oversold threshold (30) but not quite there yet.
Indicates increasing bearish momentum but no reversal signal yet.
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Support Levels Identified
1. Support Level (Target 1): ~142.280
First target point for bears. Likely to see some reaction or consolidation here.
2. Big Support Level (Target 2): ~140.382
A stronger, more significant support zone and a deeper bearish target if the first support breaks.
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Bearish Target Scenario
The projected path (in black lines) suggests:
A further drop into the 142.280 zone.
If that breaks, a continuation toward the 140.382 level.
This suggests a swing trade setup favoring short positions if the price respects the current rejection zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion
Bias: Bearish
Resistance Confirmed: Rejection from descending trendline and below EMA200.
Bearish Targets:
Short-term: 142.280
Medium-term: 140.382
Risk Management: Watch RSI for potential bullish divergence near the second support zone, which could indicate reversal or consolidation.
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USD/CAD) Down Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD (U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar) currency pair on the 2-hour timeframe, and it suggests a potential sell setup based on price action, key levels, and momentum indicators.
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Chart Summary
Pair: USD/CAD
Timeframe: 2H
Current Price: 1.36432
EMA 200: 1.37436
Direction Bias: Bearish
Volume: 6.92K
Key Tool: EMA 200, RSI, Support/Resistance Zones
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Technical Breakdown
1. Resistance Zone / Supply Area (~1.3680 - 1.3700)
The yellow box highlights a strong resistance zone.
Marked by three red arrows, where price has repeatedly rejected.
Indicates clear seller dominance in this area.
2. Break of Support Level
Price broke below the yellow support area and is now trading below it.
This signals a bearish breakout from a consolidation zone.
3. EMA 200 Trend Confirmation
EMA 200 (blue line) is sloping down.
Price is below the EMA, confirming bearish trend bias.
Acts as dynamic resistance.
4. Bearish Flag/Channel Break
A bearish flag or wedge pattern seems to have been broken downward.
The measured move (blue vertical line) suggests the projected drop.
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Target Point
Target Price: 1.34951
This is based on the measured move from the resistance zone.
It aligns with the previous demand/support zone.
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RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI (14) is 36.37, approaching the oversold zone.
This shows strong bearish momentum, but it also means price may stall or bounce slightly before continuing downward.
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Trade Setup Idea
Entry: After confirmation of breakout below 1.3640
Stop Loss: Above 1.3700 (resistance zone)
Take Profit: 1.34951
Risk-to-Reward: ~1:2+
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Risk Management & Caution
If price moves back into the yellow zone or breaks above 1.3700, the setup is invalidated.
Watch for high-impact news events (marked on the chart with U.S. flags) that may trigger volatility.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion
This is a well-structured bearish idea based on:
Resistance rejections
Break of support
Downward EMA slope
Bearish RSI reading
It reflects strong downside potential toward 1.3495, offering a clean shorting opportunity for swing traders
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GBP/JPY) Bearish analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of GBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) based on multiple Technical signals on the 4-hour timeframe. Let's break it down in detail:
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Overall Analysis Summary
Direction Bias: Bearish
Timeframe: 4H
Price (at analysis time): 195.033
Tool Used: EMA 200, RSI, Support/Resistance, Chart Pattern
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Technical Components
1. Strong Resistance Zone (~195.800 - 196.200)
Marked by 3 red arrows.
Price has rejected this level multiple times, forming a Triple Top pattern.
Suggests strong selling pressure and low probability of price breaking higher in the short term.
2. Trendline Break (Structure Shift)
Ascending support trendline (marked with "$$$") is broken.
This is a key market structure break, indicating the bullish momentum is weakening or reversing.
3. EMA 200 (193.661)
Price is currently just above the 200 EMA.
A clean break and close below the EMA would confirm trend reversal.
EMA often acts as dynamic support/resistance.
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Target Zones
Two downside targets are indicated:
Target 1: 192.600
Minor support level, could be the first stop for bearish pressure.
Target 2: 190.733
Strong historical support zone (yellow box labeled big support level).
Also aligns with measured move from the top of the range to the base (height of the range).
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RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI (14): ~43.40
Neutral zone (not oversold yet), meaning there’s room for more downside before oversold conditions are hit.
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Trading Psychology & Risk Management
This setup assumes:
Sellers continue to defend the resistance zone.
Break of structure (trendline + EMA) confirms shift.
Traders may consider short entries below 194.800–195.000 with stops above 196.200.
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Trade Idea (Based on This Chart)
Entry: Below 194.800 (after break confirmation)
Stop-Loss: Above 196.200
Take-Profit 1: 192.600
Take-Profit 2: 190.733
Risk-Reward: Favorable (~1:2+)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Caution
If price reclaims 196.200 and closes above the resistance, bearish setup is invalidated.
Watch for fakeouts near EMA.
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XAU/USD) Breakout strong bullish trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis chart of gold (XAUUSD) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the key ideas presented in the chart:
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Key Support/Resistance Zone
A yellow rectangular zone marks a significant support/resistance level.
This level was previously a resistance and has now been flipped into support ("new support level").
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Trend Analysis
Uptrend line (lower diagonal line): Shows support and higher lows forming a bullish structure.
Downtrend lines (upper diagonals): Show past resistance levels being tested.
Strong downtrend line has now been broken, which is bullish.
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Target Points
Three bullish targets are marked:
1. $3,436.70
2. $3,500.93
3. $3,647.33
These targets seem to be based on:
Breakout above the resistance zone.
Measured move projections from previous impulsive rallies.
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Technical Indicators
200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Currently at $3,261.87, acting as dynamic support.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Current RSI is 54.80, indicating neutral momentum.
Previously touched overbought zone (~69), indicating strong recent bullish momentum.
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Arrows
Green arrows mark strong bullish bounce points.
Red arrow marks a rejection from the downtrend line (previous resistance).
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion (Idea Summary)
Price has broken out of consolidation and downtrend resistance.
If the price holds above the yellow support zone and 200 EMA, a bullish continuation is likely.
Targets: $3,436 → $3,501 → $3,647.
Confirmation of breakout and momentum depends on volume and RSI behavior in coming candles.
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USD/JPY) breakout bearish trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of the USD/JPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen) pair on a 2-hour timeframe. Here's the idea behind the analysis:
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Overall Idea: Bearish Move Toward Support
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Key Levels
Resistance Zone (Yellow Box, Top): Marked with two red arrows — shows strong price rejection around 146.00–147.00 area.
Support Zone (Yellow Box, Bottom): Around 139.85, marked as a target point and support level.
These two zones form the range in which price has been reacting.
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Current Price Action
Price is currently trading at 142.649, well below the 200 EMA (at 144.190), which is a bearish signal.
It has broken below the mid-range and seems to be heading toward the lower support zone (139.85).
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Trend & Structure
The price is following a downward trend after rejecting from the resistance zone.
The channel suggests a further leg down is likely to complete a measured move.
A temporary retest of the broken trendline might occur before continuation down.
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RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Currently around 31.83, nearing oversold territory, indicating the potential for:
A short-term bounce before further downside, or
A reversal near the key support zone.
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Projection
The projection arrow (blue) suggests a bullish rebound from the 139.85 support zone.
This aligns with a potential buy opportunity once support is confirmed.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion (Trade Idea Summary)
Short-Term Bias: Bearish
Medium-Term Setup: Look for a buy opportunity around 139.85, if price reacts well.
Key Steps:
1. Watch for price to reach 139.85.
2. Look for bullish reversal patterns or confirmations at that level (e.g., bullish engulfing, RSI divergence).
3. If confirmed, a potential long trade could target back toward the 144–145 zone.
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XAU/USD) Technical analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas in the analysis:
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Chart Elements:
Support Level (Yellow Zone at ~3,340–3,350):
This area has been highlighted as a key support zone where price has bounced previously.
Price is currently hovering just above this level.
Downtrend Line:
A descending trendline is drawn, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
A breakout above this line could trigger bullish momentum.
Two Scenarios Outlined:
Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks the downtrend and holds above support, it may rally towards the upper target point at 3,419.68.
Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below the support, the next target point is marked lower around 3,300.62, a previous consolidation area and close to the 200 EMA (blue line).
200 EMA (~3,324.72):
Acts as dynamic support. If price moves below it, bearish sentiment may increase.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is neutral (~50.54), not showing overbought or oversold signals, leaving room for movement in either direction.
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Key Takeaways:
Neutral-Biased Setup: The price is consolidating between a clear support level and downtrend resistance.
Confirmation Needed: A breakout from either direction is necessary to confirm the next move.
Bullish Breakout: May lead to a retest of highs at 3,419.68.
Bearish Breakdown: Could push the price toward 3,300.62, aligned with past support and the 200 EMA.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trading Ideas (based on this analysis):
Long Entry: On breakout above the downtrend line + confirmation above 3,360.
Short Entry: On breakdown below 3,340 with strong volume.
Stop-Loss: Just outside the consolidation zone depending on trade direction.
Risk Management: Be cautious around economic news (calendar icons shown suggest upcoming events).
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earish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (BTC/USDT) based on the 4-hour timeframe. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the analysis and the idea behind it:
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Key Components of the Analysis:
1. Resistance Zone (FVG - Fair Value Gap):
The yellow zone marked as “fvg resistance level” indicates an area where price previously dropped quickly, suggesting inefficiency or imbalance in the market.
Price is approaching this zone again, which acts as a strong resistance.
2. Trendline & Lower Highs:
A descending trendline (with red arrows) shows consistent lower highs, indicating ongoing bearish pressure.
Each rejection from the trendline reinforces sellers’ dominance.
3. CHOCH (Change of Character):
The label “choch” signifies a market structure break, where bullish structure turned bearish.
This marks the transition to a downtrend.
4. EMA 200 (Exponential Moving Average):
The EMA (currently around 102,753) acts as dynamic support.
Price is currently trading above it, but a rejection from the resistance may push it below.
5. Target Zone:
A yellow box near 100,817.99 is labeled “target point”, indicating a possible short-term bearish target if price gets rejected at resistance.
6. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is around 47.11, slightly below neutral (50), suggesting bearish momentum could be building.
No clear oversold or overbought conditions yet.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Scenario:
If price reaches the resistance zone (~106,800–107,500) and fails to break above, a sell-off is expected.
First target: 100,800–101,000 zone
Price may also dip below EMA 200 confirming bearish strength.
Confirmation:
Rejection candle or bearish engulfing pattern near resistance.
RSI staying below 50 and starting to dip.
Invalidation:
Clean breakout and close above the resistance zone and trendline (~108,000+).
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion:
This chart sets up a high-probability short trade around the resistance area, leveraging both structural and momentum indicators. It suggests waiting for confirmation of rejection before entering, targeting the previous support and imbalance zone below.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)