France 40 Ascending Channel - Long PositionFrance 40 Ascending Channel - Long Order
Entry: €5,668.1
TP & RR: €5,760.5 (1.89)
Stop Loss: €5,619.3
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
Again, this is a trade that I would like to take, but will not due to already having enough positions. However, I am sharing this idea for those of you looking for a trade setup, especially if you are trading FR40.
This is a similar ascending channel to a recent trade idea I posted on Oil (from yesterday). I am expecting the price to slide up and then do a move up, at least forming a double top and possibly reaching the upper trendline.
Further, I am seeing a crossover on the Market Flow indicator, so I believe the bulls have enough strength to push the price up.
The Stop Loss is set just below the recent low. Generally speaking, if it breaks down from the lower trendline then I would be looking to close the trade since that invalidates the initial setup.
Fr40
(FR40) Index to hit 4600 EUR Pretty SoonFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion based basis and not meant to be taken seriously. That being said, let me get into my opinion. FR40 which is a French stock index for the Euronext Paris, have been hit pretty significantly as a result of Covid19 after being on a bullish recovery for almost a year prior. Now, as the markets are weighting in and people are starting to "panic sell less", I believe it is about to pass the 4600 euro threshold and likely to go on a stable price recovery trend. The 4600 EUR threshold crossing is likely within a week or so at most, but the recovery process is more of a long afterwards.
Confirmed Broadening Top. Partial recovery is generally to be expected following the completion of a broadening pattern. In most cases, a rally will develop shortly after the level of the fourth reversal has been broken. This rally seldom gets beyond the half-way level between the last top and the last bottom of the pattern.
When it works, this rare pattern is exceedingly important, and generally marks a critical turn from bull to bear market.
When it comes to taking a short position, the conservative policy is to wait for the rally and to sell when prices have recovered about 40% of the decline which completed the broadening top.
CAC40 - Bullish trend can restartThe configuration of the CAC40 index is very interesting, buyers and sellers are fighting around the temporary support of the 5350 points (red dotted line). The very strong support of the 5300 has been tested 1 time last week. In the coming days the 5300 support line will rejoin major ascending support @5300 points, if the CAC40 price haven't break the 5300 support before the 2 line rejoin, a super support will be created and it will become very difficult to break it. This can initiate a new strong bullish trend for end 2017 / beginning 2018.