Will CAC 40 See a Bullish Turn? Key Levels to Watch nextThe CAC 40, the benchmark French index, continues to trade around 7,496 during Friday's London session. Currently, the price is retesting a previous demand area, sparking interest in a potential bullish reversal pattern. I’m closely monitoring lower timeframes and daily charts for confirmation of a possible long position.
Market dynamics show retail traders are predominantly short, while smart money has shifted to long positions, signaling potential upward momentum. Additionally, the forecast indicator suggests a possible bullish seasonality for the index. However, it’s crucial to wait for a confirmed bullish reversal before entering any trades.
Patience remains key, and the next few days will be critical in determining the direction of the CAC 40. Stay tuned for potential entry opportunities as the index tests this significant demand zone.
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FRA40
FR40 to find sellers at current resistance?FRA40 - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Pivot resistance is at 7700.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 7625 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 7700 (stop at 7772)
Our profit targets will be 7520 and 7485
Resistance: 7700 / 7750 / 7775
Support: 7600 / 7550 / 7525
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
A Traders’ Week Ahead Playbook – Managing political risk• Month and quarter-end flows to impact price action
• The US Presidential elections kick up a gear
• Managing risk around the French 1st round vote
• US Core PCE is the marquee data point of the week
• Australia's monthly CPI a potential kicker for the AUD
• Central bank meetings due this week
• Long MXN back in vogue
For the week ahead there is a fair bit for traders to prepare for and to manage, with event risk spanning economic data, politics, and central bank meetings. We also gear up for month- and quarter-end, so the usual opaque portfolio rebalancing flows impacting price action, as well as the aftermath of a monster options expiry (OPEX) and ETF rebalance on Friday.
I’ve never personally found any edge aligning trades to what I’m hearing for the needs of portfolio rebalancing flows. However, as the big portfolios rebalance (e.g. from pension funds) the flows can impact equity, FX and fixed income and produce moves that can’t readily be explained by the data and news flow – any factor that alters our trading environment needs to be considered.
The US election kicks into gear
On the political front, the US Presidential election kicks into gear with the first debate held between Biden and Trump (21:00 EST / 02:00 BST / 11:00 AEST) likely getting sizeable attention. Prediction markets currently have Trump ahead by 5ppt, which is partly a function of Trump’s superior polling in the six key battleground/swing states (Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia). While the debate may not stoke market volatility, it will be symbolic given it’s the earliest live debate since 1960, and Biden will be out to prove a point to the American voters. As the gloves come off it could get ugly on the podium, and we watch to see if the debate affects polling.
Managing exposures into the French first-round vote
For those trading the EUR, FRA40, and European equities more broadly, the first round of voting in the French election plays out on Sunday. This will have many assessing the risk of holding exposures into the weekend vote, with the very real prospect of gapping on the Monday open. We can take a stab at the outcome and base-case scenario the market is currently pricing based on the French-German 10y yield spread and current pricing in EU assets, and from that loosely devise a playbook for a potential market reaction upon learning who will go through to the second-round vote scheduled for 7 July.
Given recent polling, I’d argue the broad consensus is currently seeing two outcomes – either Le Pen’s RN party gaining a working majority and cohabiting with Macron as President or a hung parliament with the RN party the largest contribution. I’m not sure we get a massive market response if this remains the base case after the first vote. The big reaction comes with a better outcome for the left-wing NFP coalition, where they seem to have momentum with recent polls have shown greater support for the coalition - the greater sway the left has on fiscal policy the more negative the reaction in the EUR, FRA40 and broad EU assets.
EURUSD holds below 1.0700 but is finding some support below the figure. Should the France-German 10yr yield spread widen past 85 to 90bp this week (its currently at 80bp) then EURUSD could be headed towards the 16 April lows of 1.0601, with EURCHF rolling over and eyeing a move back down to 0.9500. ECB 1- & 3-year CPI expectations (due on Friday) could promote some EUR volatility, but it will be trumped by market participants positioning ahead of Sunday's vote.
US core PCE inflation a risk event
On the US data side, US core PCE inflation is on Friday and is the marquee event risk, with expectations the Fed’s inflation gauge prints +0.1% m/m, and +2.6% y/y. The last two US PCE inflation prints have come in above expectations, but historically the outcome of the data falls in line with consensus. That said, if we do get an upside surprise and a year-on-year pace at or above 2.8%, this outcome would likely impact be taken badly by equity markets and result in solid USD buying. We get relief in risky assets, USD selling, should we see the month-on-month pace come in at 0.00% m/m and certainly if we see a decline.
We also get US consumer confidence where the consensus sees a lower read at 100 (vs 102 in the prior read), a Q1 GDP revision, personal income, and spending. We also get 9 Fed speakers through the week, although I don’t see these being too much of a risk, and we need to hear speeches post-PCE inflation data.
USDJPY and USDCNH both get focus, where the upside moves in USDCNH seem to be spilling over into strength in other USD pairs – the PBoC should look to curb yuan weakness this week, but higher levels in the USDCNH cross-rate should see lend upside support for the USD.
On the data side, we see Japan's Tokyo CPI (due Friday) and China PMIs (on Sunday), where the latter offers some degree of gapping risk in Chinese markets and the China proxies (AUD, NZD, CLP) on Monday. The client’s focus is on a potential break of ¥160 (in USDJPY) and whether we start to hear more from the MoF on JPY intervention – Japan rates now only price 4bp of hikes for the July BoJ meeting, and the market is happy to hold JPY shorts despite the likelihood the BoJ drastically reduce the pace of JGB buying. The rate of change and slope of the trend in USDJPY is the bigger issue though.
Aussie CPI in play
AUD and AUS200 traders will be watching the May monthly CPI read, with the consensus eyeing a lift in headline CPI to 3.8% (from 3.6%). The notable focus will be on services inflation, which keeps the threat of an August hike on the table, so this monthly print will set expectations for the all-important Aus Q2 CPI (due 31 July), which could go some way in influencing if the RBA do consider a hike in August. We also hear from RBA members Kent (Wed 09:35 AEST) and Hauser (Thursday 20:00 AEST). Prefer AUD upside vs currencies where the central bank is cutting or holds an easing bias (EUR, GBP & CHF).
I also like AUDNZD from a central bank divergence play and would be adding to longs on a daily close above the 50-day MA (1.0883).
On the central bank front, we see meetings in Sweden (expected to leave rates at 3.75%), Mexico (unchanged at 11%), Turkey (unchanged at 50%) and Columbia (50bp cut to 11.25%).
The MXN is certainly looking perky, with a blend of short covering and aggressive longs emerging late last week – USDMXN eyes support at 18.0514 and should test this soon. Driving the MXN we’ve seen several more market-friendly appointments in the AMLO cabinet, but we’re also seeing carry trades working well as a strategy, and this week should refocus the market on MXNs compelling fundamental characteristics, with high real policy rates and improved forward rates offering excellent carry. Long MXNJPY is in beast mode at this point but comes with intervention risk.
With the moves seen in US equity on Friday, we start the week with the ASX200, HK50, and NKY225 all looking like they open on the back foot, with our opening call 0.2% lower a piece. I remain biased to trade a range in the ASX200 (7850 to 7650) and NKY225 of 39,340 to 37,860, with a small bias that we see lower levels of these ranges tested.
Good luck to all.
France's 40 to find buyers at current dip?FR40EUR - Intraday
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Momentum is flat, highlighting the lack of clear direction.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 8100 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 8150.
We look to Buy at 8025 (stop at 7975)
Our profit targets will be 8145 and 8165
Resistance: 8100 / 8125 / 8150
Support: 8050 / 8025 / 8000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FR40 to continue in the upward move?FRA40 - 24h expiry
There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 8250 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 8300.
We look to Buy at 8165 (stop at 8125)
Our profit targets will be 8265 and 8300
Resistance: 8250 / 8275 / 8300
Support: 8200 / 8175 / 8150
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FRA40 to find support at market?FRA40 - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 8200 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 8275.
We look to Buy at 8150 (stop at 8110)
Our profit targets will be 8250 and 8275
Resistance: 8200 / 8250 / 8275
Support: 8175 / 8150 / 8125
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FR40EUR to find sellers at market levels?FR40EUR - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Short term RSI is moving lower.
A move through 7400 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 7350.
We look to Sell at 7450 (stop at 7490)
Our profit targets will be 7350 and 7330
Resistance: 7450 / 7475 / 7490
Support: 7400 / 7370 / 7350
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
France40 to continue in the upward move?FRA40 - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Dips continue to attract buyers.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 7300 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 7350.
We look to Buy at 7240 (stop at 7196)
Our profit targets will be 7350 and 7375
Resistance: 7300 / 7340 / 7350
Support: 7240 / 7200 / 7175
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FR40 to turnaround at previous stem dip?FRA40 - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
We expect a reversal in this move.
A move through 7025 will confirm the bullish momentum.
Short term RSI has turned positive.
The measured move target is 7050.
We look to Buy at 6950 (stop at 6890)
Our profit targets will be 7100 and 7140
Resistance: 7025 / 7050 / 7075
Support: 6975 / 6950 / 6925
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
short #fra40 around 7550 with minimum 200 pts target at 7350i wont say much stuff,but what i will say ,its full fundamental and what happens in the country
#cac40 (fra40 outperform many index,if its not all) while in France all gone bad since many weeks
Big protest and it is not finish..
next data will surely be down as protest had block few sector
the President public opinion had never been so low u can go on twitter every day in the best trend have aty least 2 tag for him and all are bad.
so i dunno but many gap still open far down
and at anytime i big drama protest can happens too
but technically have so much gap to fill
No clear indication that FR40 downward move is coming to an end.FRA40 - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 7170 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The RSI is trending lower.
We look to Sell at 7230 (stop at 7280)
Our profit targets will be 7110 and 7080
Resistance: 7200 / 7230 / 7250
Support: 7170 / 7130 / 7100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Trading Under The Spotlight: My Open Analysis Odyssey #10Greetings once again, TradingView community!
Our ongoing quest through the markets unfolds another intriguing chapter, serving as a testament to the unpredictability and dynamism that is trading. If you're joining this journey for the first time or have been a steadfast companion, here's a brief rundown of the principles driving this series:
Transparency, Not a Tutorial : Through these posts, I aim to pull back the curtain on my trading thought process. However, the intricate mechanisms and strategies at play remain undisclosed. This isn't trading advice per se, but more a personal diary of market exploration.
Frequency & Execution : Every day presents its unique blend of setups. However, not all are destined for execution. This series predominantly mirrors my mental excursions in the market, rather than constituting actionable advice.
Purpose & Growth : The bedrock of this initiative is my aspiration to refine and amplify my market analysis prowess, all the while basking in the invaluable feedback from this vibrant community.
Diving into the next analysis of the day:
Instrument : FRA40
Bias : Short
Overall Trend : Long
Thoughts : My current observations have spotlighted two intriguing price action setups within this asset. Admittedly, my knowledge regarding the prevailing fundamentals of FRA40 is scant. Given this gap, I'm leaning towards abstaining from the first setup. The second does exude a certain allure; however, it's imperative to understand that fundamentals often steer the broader market direction. The trading adage of not swimming against the river's current rings true here — to defy it invites potential peril. My stance is one of observation, cataloging, and learning, aligning with the core tenets of this series.
Engaging with this platform and its diverse group of traders and enthusiasts remains a cherished aspect of this endeavor. Onwards we march, uncovering market nuances and fostering collective growth, one setup at a time!
CAC40 to find sellers at current levels?FRA40 - 24h expiry
The move higher is mixed and volatile, common in corrective sequences.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 7300 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 7200.
We look to Sell at 7350 (stop at 7390)
Our profit targets will be 7250 and 7200
Resistance: 7350 / 7375 / 7400
Support: 7300 / 7250 / 7200
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Will FR40 find buyers at market?FRA40 - 24h expiry
Previous resistance located at 7350.
Previous support located at 7250.
The trend of higher lows is located at 7100.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 7250, resulting in improved risk/reward.
A move through 7350 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 7250 (stop at 7210)
Our profit targets will be 7350 and 7375
Resistance: 7350 / 7400 / 7425
Support: 7250 / 7225 / 7200
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Will FRA40 find buyers at market?FRA40 - 24h expiry
Trend line support is located at 7400.
Previous resistance located at 7450.
Price continues to trade within the triangle formation.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
We look to Buy at 7400 (stop at 7370)
Our profit targets will be 7470 and 7500
Resistance: 7450 / 7470 / 7500
Support: 7400 / 7370 / 7350
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Did FRA40 find a local bottom? FRA40 - 24h expiry
Previous support located at 7350.
Previous resistance located at 7425.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Short term RSI has turned positive.
We look to Buy at 7325 (stop at 7275)
Our profit targets will be 7445 and 7450
Resistance: 7425 / 7450 / 7500
Support: 7350 / 7325 / 7300
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CFD Update: FRA40 pushing at a new leg higher?Today's focus FRA40 CAC
Pattern – Support hold - continuation - HL
Possible targets – 7465 - 7600
Support – 7315 - 7360
Resistance – 7460 (ST)
Indicator support – CCi close to 0 cross – 38.2 fib area
Could we see a new leg higher on the FRA40? After Monday's holiday, price has opened lower on Tuesday, but there are a few bullish signs we are watching that could suggest a new push higher. Price formed an HL in the 38.2 fib area, support has been formed, and we see the support hold from a previous point of resistance. Price broke through the trendline, but we still need to see a new rally to confirm that.
A new lower that closes below support is worry and could invalidate the idea. Another factor is tomorrow's US CPI data. Depending on what’s released, this could impact US indices and, in turn, move European indices. The Core is expected to come in lower, with Y/Y flat at 5.0% and the M/M higher at 0.4%. The CPI data is due to be released at 8:30 am EST tomorrow.
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
CAC to find sellers at market?FRA40 - 24h expiry -
Previous support at 7500 now becomes resistance.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
We look for a temporary move higher.
A higher correction is expected.
Short term bias has turned negative.
We look to Sell at 7509 (stop at 7569)
Our profit targets will be 7361 and 7331
Resistance: 7470 / 7500 / 7535
Support: 7420 / 7400 / 7370
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CAC40 to breakdown?FRA40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 7509 (stop at 7561)
Previous support located at 7500.
Previous resistance located at 7570.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Short term momentum is bearish.
A move through 7500 will confirm the bearish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 7385 and 7365
Resistance: 7570 / 7600 / 7650
Support: 7500 / 7350 / 7300
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CAC to breakdown?FRA40 - 24h expiry -
Doji-style candle has been posted at the high.
Previous support is located at 7475.
Previous resistance is located at 7525.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Short-term momentum is bearish.
A move through 7475 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell a break of 7479 (stop at 7545)
Our profit targets will be 7325 and 7300
Resistance: 7525 / 7550 / 7600
Support: 7475 / 7400 / 7300
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CAC to stall at previous support?FRA40 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 7200 (stop at 7300)
Previous support located at 7050.
Previous resistance located at 7150.
Price action has stalled at good resistance levels and currently trades just below here (7150).
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 7050 will confirm the bearish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 6950 and 6900
Resistance: 7150 / 7200 / 7300
Support: 7050 / 7000 / 6950
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.