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Fractal

Buy When Others Sell, Sell When Others Buy – Time to Reflect.The current market sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish. The anticipation surrounding Trump’s inauguration and the potential for pro-crypto regulations has created massive optimism for continued upside. But isn’t this the perfect time to ask – is now a good moment to lock in some profits? On the chart, I’m showcasing two of my custom indicators: PrimeMomentum Long Term Signal BTC and Weekly Peak Finder. Both indicators are based on long-term analysis and have historically been extremely reliable at identifying key market turning points. Current Situation 🔸 Both indicators have flashed simultaneously. Historically, such occurrences are rare and have consistently signaled significant downward movements. 🔸 Historical correction analysis: For Weekly Peak Finder, after a bearish signal: - The first correction resulted in a 25% drop. - The second correction saw a 65% drop. - Now, with both indicators flashing together, the market has only dropped by around 5%. This is the smallest correction in history following such combined signals. Is this really it, or is the market preparing for a larger move downward? Can we assume this time is different and the correction is over? Or is the current euphoria and optimism masking a potential larger drop? My Decision Considering the historical reliability of these indicators and the fact that both are flashing simultaneously, I’ve decided to lock in 50% of my BTC position. This approach allows me to secure profits while still leaving room for potential further upside. Is the market gearing up for a historic rally, or is this the perfect setup for a deeper correction? I’d love to hear your thoughts – what’s your take on this setup?
Short
by SetKryptoBalans
4
EURUSD OUTLOOK 20 - 24 JANA very simple setup on EU. We have two liquidity points being the Weekly high and low which currently have about an equal chance of being taken. Currently structure on the 1H is bearish and will be looking to short targeting the weekly low. If price starts to give bullish structure then the weekly high will be my target. Strict risk management is key to getting through a setup like this where we have equal chances of going in either direction. Flow with the market and follow your rules
by Keyserfx
LONG on XMR/USDTI'm opening a long position on XMR/USDT based on a broader market narrative. As regulatory frameworks around cryptocurrency are expanding globally, privacy coins like Monero (XMR) stand to benefit significantly. With privacy-focused features becoming increasingly valuable in a regulated landscape, Monero could experience substantial growth. From a technical standpoint, the chart shows , aligning with this fundamental view. Targeting with a stop-loss at to manage risk. Let's see how this idea plays out! 🚀 What do you think of this analysis? Feedback is welcome!
Long
by MasoudEskandari
XTZ Tezos 7x? SeekingPips First Look! TIME & PRICE MEET?ℹ️As noted in the title Tezos XTZ is NOT something SeekingPips has had on his RADAR BUT.... You know by now that for 🟢SeekingPips🟢 PRICE is ALWAYS SECOND to TIME. Our TIME FILTER BELLS are ringing HARD VERY HARD. ✅️Those of you who have been around SeekingPips for sometime KNOW WELL that I care not about any news or fundermental analysis, we are strictly MATH based TIME TRADERS in here so when the stars align and our TIME filters TRIGGER we sit up. ✅️You will know too that when 🟢SeekingPips🟢 decides to use a TRENDLINE that SeekingPips SEES SOMETHING COOKING. ✅️Also I just want to remind you that we only LONG CRYPTO. Any selling we do is strictly to bank something. Therefore the majority of our CRYPTO CHARTS will have a BULLISH BIAS. ⚠️However it DOES NOT MEAN that we necessarily have a valid trigger to enter the market at that moment a chart is shared. ⭐️We have our alerts ready and very clear key levels on the chart NOW WE SIT & WAIT and see how the LOWER TIMEFRAMES STRUCTURE develops around our TRENDLINE TO START.⭐️ No doubt we will have more to talk on this in the NEAR FUTURE. ✅️ SUBSCRIBE TO SeekingPips NOW SO YOU GET OUR ANALYSIS FIRST✅️
BITFINEX:XTZUSDLong
by seekingpips
USDJPY Short IdeaBased on the recent shift in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) stance regarding interest rates, along with the current trends in U.S. Treasury yields, we might see a strengthening of the Japanese Yen in the coming month. The BoJ's potential policy changes signal a more hawkish approach, which could increase demand for the Yen. At the same time, U.S. Treasury yields appear to be stabilizing, reducing the divergence between the two economies' monetary policies. Considering these factors, a short position on USD/JPY could be a viable opportunity. I'll be closely monitoring key levels and economic data releases to confirm this scenario. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions. Masoud Eskandari Trader since 2011
Short
by MasoudEskandari
THE LIQUIDITY PARADOX: Charting the Macro Environment for 2025WEN QE !? TL;DR there will be NO Quantitative Easing this cycle. YES the markets will still go to Valhalla. LIQUIDITY DRIVES MARKETS HIGHER. FULL STOP. Global M2 has a highly correlated inverse relationship with the US Dollar and 10Y Yield. Hence why we have been seeing the DXY and 10YY go up while Global M2 goes down. THE SETUP We are in a similar setup to 2017 when Trump took office. M2 found a bottom and ramped up, which toppled the DXY. Inflation nearly got cut in half until July 2017, where it then slowly started to creep back up as M2 and markets exploded. To much surprise, all this occurred while the Fed continued to RAISE INTEREST RATES. This was in part due to policy normalization with a growing economy coming out of the financial crisis and having near 0% interest rates for so long. In Q4 2014, the Fed paused QT, keeping its balance sheet near neutral for the next 3 years. As inflation started rising, QT was once again enacted, but very strategically with a slow roll-off in Q4 2017. This allowed markets to push further into 2018. THE PLAYBOOK M2 Global Money Supply: Higher Dollar: Lower Fed Funds Rates: Lower 10YY: Lower Fed Balance Sheet: Neutral Inflation: Neutral TOOLS Tariffs Deregulation Tax Cuts Tax Reform T-Bills HOW COULD WE POSSIBLY WEAKEN THE DOLLAR? Trump has been screaming from the mountain tops; TARIFFS. Tariffs will slow imports and focus more on exports to weaken the dollar. The strong jobs data that has been spooking markets and strengthening the DXY will be revised to show it’s much worse than numbers are showing. The Fed will pause QT, saying it has ample reserves, but not enable QE. At the same time, they could pause interest rate cuts to keep a leash on markets and not kickstart inflation. Then once all the jobs data is revised and markets get spooked at a softened economy (Q2), they will continue cutting. WHY DOES THE FED KEEP CUTTING RATES EVEN WITH A STRONG ECONOMY? In short, the Fed has to cut interest rates for the US to manage its debt. THE US government is GETTEX:36T in debt. In 2025, interest projections are well above $1T. That would put the debt on par with the highest line items in the national budget such as social security, healthcare and national defense. The Treasury manages its debt by issuing securities with various maturities. When rates are low, they can refinance or issue new debt. As rates rise, the cost of servicing debt increases, and vice versa. It’s one of the underlying reasons why the Fed cut (but no one will say it out loud)… hence why everyone is so confused and screaming that they cut too early and the bond vigilantes have been revolting. HOW DOES THE MONEY SUPPLY GO UP IF NO QUANTITATIVE EASING? We’ve seen this before. President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have been telling you their playbook. In 2017, deregulation and tax cuts led to an increase in disposable income from individuals and corporations. Banks created more money in the markets through lending based on increased economic activity. Global liquidity increased in other major central banks like the ECB, BOJ, and PCOB who were still engaged in QE, and / or maintained very low interest rates, which created more liquidity in the US money supply. We’re seeing the same thing now with Central Banks around the world. The tax reform allowed for the repatriation of overseas profits at a lower tax rate, which brought a significant amount of cash back to the US. Like 2017, the US Treasury will increase short-term bill issuance (T-Bills), providing an alternative to the Reverse Repo (RRP), which reduces RRP usage. This provides liquidity to the markets because once the T-bills mature, funds can use the proceeds to invest in other assets, including stocks. Banks will buy T-bills and sell in the secondary market or hold til maturity, where they can then lend the cash or invest in equities. Another strategy to inject cash into the banking system would be standard Repo Operations. Here the Fed buys securities from banks with an agreement to sell them back later. This would increase lending and liquidity. Hopefully now you can see why markets DON’T NEED QUANTITATIVE EASING ! That would for sure lead to rampant inflation (see 2021), and blow up the system all over again.
TVC:DXYLong
by jonnieking
TESLA TSLA SeekingPips on FIRE AGAIN TODAY Did You Get Involved?TESLA TSLA SeekingPips on FIRE AGAIN TODAY Did You Get Involved? Participate or Spectate the choice if your by when 🌎SeekingPips🌍 Is in THE ZONE you know the team had a GREAT TRADING DAY. 🟢SeekingPips🟢 Shared the last TSLA STOCK CHART 17 hours ago and to be honest there was only upside from that TIME ONWARDS UNTIL NOW. ✅️Our calls this MORING on the CRYPTOS ADA CARDANO & HBAR HEDERA were on the MONEY TOO. ℹ️ CHECK IT OUT FOR YOURSELF... ✅️ IF YOU LIKE WHAT YOU SEE AND WANT TO STAY IN THE LOOP FOR OUR NEXT MOVE LIKE, BOOST & SHARE THIS POST NOW❗️❕️❗️❕️❗️ ⚠️ DON'T FORGET TO FOLLOW 🟢SeekingPips🟢 NOW TOO
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by seekingpips