TESLA: Fractal Metrics
Fractal Cyclicality
Cycle I
The chart displays fractal cyclicality leading up to a major breakout. It emphasizes the progression of swing percentages and cyclic patterns, potentially identifying the foundational structure for a larger trend. The use of layered channels adds depth to the analysis, showing both minor and major fractal levels.
Cycle II
The upward and downward swings in this cycle demonstrate increased volatility and amplitude compared to the initial cycle. This suggests a stronger market reaction and more pronounced trends within the fractal structure.
The price action aligns closely with the channel boundaries, indicating the preservation of the fractal framework while showcasing expansion within the structure.
The swings are visually more aggressive, with higher peaks and deeper corrections, highlighting the market's larger movements leading up to the breakout.
The cyclical patterns and overlapping fractal waves are more intricate, suggesting a maturing market phase with more participants and liquidity.
Cycle III
All three cycles exhibit a fractal nature with nested waves, maintaining consistency in cyclic progression through identifiable peaks and troughs.
The price movement continues to respect the broader channel boundaries, reinforcing the fractal geometry's framework.
Similar to the first two cycles, the third cycle shows distinct swings with well-defined percentage movements, suggesting a rhythmic market behavior.
Like the earlier cycles, the third cycle builds on the previous fractal structure, with larger amplitudes and deeper corrections, indicating scaling behavior.
Phi remain prominent and rooted across all cycles, suggesting persistent harmonic proportions.
Evolutionary Growth in the Third Cycle
The swings in the third cycle appear to be significantly larger than those in the first two, reflecting an increase in market volatility and participation.
The third cycle seems to be emerging over a more extended period, indicating maturation in the fractal evolution.
The deeper corrections, such as the -75.44% retracement, highlight stronger mean reversion tendencies before significant expansions.
Fractal
$FET Move IdeaI've been wrong on NYSE:FET before, so don't take this to the bank or leverage :) ... I'm in spot from much lower.
This recent CRYPTOCAP:BTC dump had NYSE:FET testing $1.34 lows. I was personally expecting a final dump in this area if price action repeats the prior big move from 1Q24.
If this plays out, you would see a thrust to $6.50-$8.50 in 1Q25 (6x), perhaps with an "AI" narrative revival.
When is altcoin season?When examining the “ CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D ” 12-monthly chart, a clear pattern emerges for altcoin seasons. We observe three years of downward ▼ momentum and consolidation, followed by a year or more of upward ▲ momentum.
This pattern could be attributed to market cycles and investor behavior, where extended periods of consolidation are followed by explosive growth. During the consolidation phase, prices stabilize, creating a base for future gains. Once market sentiment shifts, upward momentum takes over, often leading to significant price increases.
In previous cycles, we noticed that the altcoin season typically starts after major market cycles. For example, the 2017 altcoin season followed the 2016 cycle, and the 2021 altcoin season followed the 2020 cycle. When zoomed in on the monthly chart, both the 2017 and 2021 altcoin seasons started in January. This consistent timing suggests that the next altcoin season could commence in January 2025.
However, there has already been a bullish candle close in November, which could indicate a shift in the pattern. If December also closes bullish, we might see a two-month variance in the current cycle.
By examining fractals from past cycles, we can attempt to predict where the current altcoin season might peak. The 2017 fractal indicates a duration of 151 days, with dominance potentially reaching 22% around May or June 2025. In contrast, the 2021 fractal suggests a longer cycle of 365 days, with dominance peaking at approximately 24.5% around December 2025 or January 2026.
All charts 📈 indicate that the bottom is in, and all dips are opportunities for buying. Next year's growth looks incredibly promising. 🚀
What do you think? Will the 2024/2025 Altcoin cycle follow the same pattern, or will we see a deviation?
$SOL Breakout could be soon, 3 Opportunities SOL Has been consolidating since Mid-December, and now it could be gearing up for a bullish continuation to the upside.
I have provided three potential paths for the chart, red being most degenerate, and green being the best long opportunity in my eyes. If SOL was to retest the range lows, it would be a beautiful setup for a long, but I don't think it is likely to happen, nor do I expect the red path to happen. Yellow, a breakout and retest of the current channel, would set us up well in the macro timeframe, with a potential scalp short when we near the POC at $240.3 USD
Key Points:
- 50D SMA- SOL is pushing to reclaim the 50D SMA, ~$228, if it gets to $228 I think one could go long with a stop loss at $223
- 100D SMA- $233, given the momentum on the short term, I think if SOL reclaims the 50D, it is likely to take the 100 as well as potentially push to range highs near $263 with a potential short scalp at the POC @$237.2
NFA DYOR Let me know your thoughts
GOLD: Exponential Scaling 1.618^1/5Gold's natural growth patterns have apparent alignment Fibonacci progression.
Exponential Scaling using a constant phi (1.618) raised to 0.20 power exponent:
The lines follow historical movements with exponential accuracy, aiding the identification of swing points of major momentum shifts.
Major swings metrics:
SILVER: Exponential Scaling 1.618^1/4Expansion based on 1.618 from lowest - Rate of Progression 1 in Exponential Grid indicator:
This suggests the market structure for Silver has strong Fibonacci-based tendencies aligning with natural growth patterns.
Exponential scaling using a constant phi (1.618) raised to the 0.25 power exponent.
This adjustment results in finer granularity while maintaining the underlying fractal structure. It smooths out the expansions to capture intermediate cycles more effectively.
A clean structure inside a 1 Hour Structure As we know, BTCUSD has been bullish for a while now. And market recently bounced-off from a 3H TF structural zone signifying a strong bullish trend. But what most people don't see is that price created a 1hr structure and price is currently trading within that same structure so I want price to retrace to the structure inside 1hr structure (x) before I will go bullish again.
WITH GBPUSD FURTHER BREAKDOWN, LIKELY TARGETING BELOW 1.25000After micro double top, Cable further closed below 1.26178 indicating more weakness of the pair. The pair is now targeting to go lower...
N.B!
- GBPUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#gbpusd
#cable
ETHUSD: Progressive FractalREGULARITIES
Emerging Fractals
Progressive Fractal Type
Increased fractal's playback frequency
Fibonacci Fractal Mapping
Fib Channels Y-axis - Price scale incline
Fib Channels X-axis - Time scale incline
Fractal Interference Pattern
Producing Structure-based Probabilistic Fibonacci Targets
Validation of Fractal Metrics via Resonation
BTC Correction Levels in Short TimeBTC most awaited 100k was just $500 away but had been slowly coming down today.
Following Higher Lows are as of now the holding levels to keep the trend bullish for BTC on M15 and H1 .
To break structures and form bear trends, both levels need to be broken and closed below first.
M15 level is 97.5k
H1 level is 95.6k
Disclaimer - Use risk management while trading and prepare your own analysis as well before placing trades.