Fractal
XAUUSD 9/11/24💹 Commodities:
👁️ Outlook
30m Context Time Frame: Price has been breaking bullish with multiple fractal breaks inside this 30m range. Price is currently re-accumulating and taking out lows.
Daly Bias: Bullish
Tokyo: Accumulation
London: Manipulation taking out Tokyo Lows
New York: Distribution taking out London Lows and mitigating yesterdays NY session zone.
Waiting for price to show its hand first for longs.
Keeping an eye on this. 👁️
US30 9/11/24💹 Indices:
👁️ Outlook
30m Context Time Frame: Price has been breaking bullish. Currently Re-accumulating under 40757.1
Daly Bias: Bullish/Longs
Tokyo: Distribution
London: Manipulation taking out Tokyo Lows
New York: Manipulation taking out London Lows. Expecting NY longs out of NY.
Keeping an eye on this. 👁️
NAS100 9/11/24💹 Indices:
👁️ Outlook
Daly Bias:
30m Context time frame: Price has been breaking bullish so expecting a re-acc.
Tokyo: Distribution
London: Accumulation
NY: Re-accumulation taking out London Lows. I am expecting Longs coming out of NY for a continuation on the 30m.
Keeping an eye on this. 👁️
SPX500 9/11/24💹 Indices:
👁️ Outlook
Daly Bias: Bullish
Tokyo: Distribution into accumulation
London: Accumulation heading towards Tokyo highs
New York: We are opening inside the london and tokyo range. We also have CPI in about 2 min so we just wait for that to clear then look for longs.
Keeping an eye on this. 👁️
QQQ & J225 Wyckoff Distribution I'm seeing Wyckoff Distribution Patterns on lots of index and mega cap charts, including QQQ J225 & MSFT. It seems pretty obvious that the next bear market is about to start, between Sept Trip Witch and March Trip Witch.
I have no association with Trading Coach, just borrowing their graphic for example.
12 Wins in 13: Mastering the Weekly Breakout Strategy⚡ 12 wins in 13 trades on the weekly chart! That's right, I'm talking about a strategy that exploits the breakout of the previous weekly candle's extremes with impressive precision.
The logic is simple but powerful: I identify the trend direction with an objective approach, enter the trade after the breakout in favor of the trend, and aim for a 1% price move . The stop loss? Always set at the high of the previous candle.
Right now, I see this opportunity on the weekly chart of $NASDAQ:COIN. I will buy a PUT option as soon as the low of 146.11 is broken, with a target at 144.66 and a stop at 182.70 (the high of the previous candle). Once the low is broken, the trade will be triggered, following the successful pattern: 12 out of 13 trades have hit the target so far.
Have you tried applying such an effective strategy on the weekly chart? Share your thoughts , and let's exchange ideas!
Disclaimer: This is my objective approach to identifying trends using candlesticks, and this is not a trade recommendation . High-probability setups usually have lower payoffs , so risk management is essential . I recommend always running a backtest of the strategy to ensure it generates a positive expectancy, even with a lower payoff. Do your own research , and before replicating any idea, understand the principles and ensure it is replicable. Without replicability, a strategy cannot be properly studied or effectively used.
Riding the Bull: My Probability-Based Approach to Trading GER30The German DAX (GER30) is showing promising signs for potential upside movement, supported by several key fundamental factors:
1. European Central Bank's accommodative stance
2. Improving economic indicators in the Eurozone
3. Strong performance of German export-oriented companies
4. Increasing investor confidence in the European market recovery
To capitalize on this bullish outlook, I'm employing a probability-based approach to enter long positions on GER30.
Take a look at these analyses to see the details behind this trade idea.
12M:
3D:
1H:
SPX Daily bounce underway?Price abruptly started weekly consolidation after failing the bull flag.
I expect the price to continue bouncing until we find a daily lower high.
For the bounce to start, surpassing the previous day high at 5,487 is a must.
Can we hold the last week low at 5,386? otherwise weekly consolidation will continue.
US30 9/10/24💹Indices:
👁️ Outlook
Daly Bias: Bullish
Tokyo: Consolidation
London: Manipulation/Distribution taking out Tokyo Lows
New York: Manipulation into Accumulation/Continuation into the upside
Of course bias can still change since we have the privilege to see what London did before NY session.
Bitcoin's price action is strikingly similar to Gold'sBitcoin is following the same price path from the 2021 cycle peak to present to Gold's price action from the 2011 cycle peak to present. When you factor in that Bitcoin trades 24 hours/day and 7 days/week it makes sense that the timelines would be compressed. I'll be following this fractal to help guide me on possible short term Bitcoin price action. I believe there's a case that Bitcoin will revisit the 42K area in the short term, but have a strong reaction off those lows to reclaim the $50k range.
Shifted bearishFrom the bullish market price mitigated the 4h order block at 0.84736 and reduced to provide us with displacement. The shift engineered a flip to supply zone for a bearish distribution. With the two break of structures in hand, this data tells us that we have a strong bearish market. Looking for a hike to sweep the liquidity and mitigate the rejection block for a clean bearish entry at 0.83955, with stop loss at 0.84355 and our target at 0.82155…