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EUR/GBP 30M Order Block Mitigation -Waiting for sweep then EntryDescription: EUR/GBP is following my 30M bullish bias after mitigating a key order block. Initially, I dropped to the 5M timeframe for entry and spotted a clean CHoCH confirmation, but price moved too fast before I could execute. Instead of chasing, I followed price action and noticed it mitigated a few inducements (IDM) on the way up. Now, I’m patiently waiting for a fresh liquidity sweep to confirm re-entry for the next 30M continuation to the highs. Key Observations: ✅ 30M Mitigated Order Block – Confirms bullish bias. ✅ 5M CHoCH Formed – Entry was possible but moved too fast. ✅ Inducements Mitigated – Following price to see a fresh sweep for better entry. 📌 Next Step: Watching for a clean liquidity grab before confirming my entry. Let me know what you think—are you seeing the same liquidity moves? Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
Altcoin Season - 2017 vs 2021 vs 2025OTHERS/BTC is a good barometer for "Altcoin Season" OTHERS charts the total market cap of every crypto excluding the Top 10 by market cap tokens BTC is charting BTC by market cap It's obvious we are in 4 year cycles, and obvious this season starts after BTC breaks all-time high. The idea is simple - BTC breaking all-time high increases awareness from the public. People then enter into BTC. After they enter into BTC, they look further down the risk curve (altcoins). 2017, then 2021, now 2025. The "Altcoin Season" typically lasts for ~1 year. Everyone in the crypto world is freaking out right now, calling for the cycle to be over with and that "altcoins are dead" --- this happens at this point every cycle. If you have been here for 8+ years, you will notice the same pattern repeating in people's emotions/psychology. Steady Lads, "Altcoin Season" is coming soon. - CURB (@CryptoCurb)
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by CryptoCurb
2
GpPa Model / EUR/USD Dynamic Limit Order Long EntryGpPa Analysis / Entry Justification under the GpPa Model *The Analysis is the same as the conservative and dynamic entry* The main entry is conservative, so, the analysis remains beside this part: A long entry can be considered at the strong minimum, but I'll not go too far with the SL or TP. It can be used as a hedge if you're holding a position that performs well as the US Dollar does (like Magnificent 7 or other shorts in x/USD currency). Beside that, I'll consider this position the riskier of all. 1. Liquidity a. Liquidity Related to Structure The price’s liquidity is distributed within a relatively narrow range, marked by several highs and lows and a false manipulative bias (indicated as internal liquidity in a lighter color). This liquidity distribution suggests a long-term and mid-term bearish trend (notably from the M3 and M1 timeframes backward) that has weakened in the short term, evolving into a chaotic structure. b. Liquidity Related to Directionality The diagonal liquidity—responsible for driving the price to manipulate highs and lows—is more pronounced at the highs. However, the directional bias appears to favor mitigating the lows. c. Decision Regarding Liquidity Recent price action indicates the development of a retracement. This retracement could either continue the bearish trend or lead to a range-bound structure due to an exhausted bearish trend. 2. Trajectory / Direction (Structure) a. Coefficient of Trajectory, Direction, and Validation (-41.20%; -58.80%) 19.10% These coefficients confirm the signals derived from the liquidity analysis. While the price shows a clear long-term and mid-term bearish trend, the opposing validation factor may indicate an exhaustion of the retracement—or even of the trend itself—thus reinforcing the possibility of a range-bound market. 3. Entries a. Conservative Entry The VWAP is placed alongside an additional FRVP at the major fractal preceding the M1 structure to define a conservative entry. Once positioned, this setup confirms the bearish character and the established range, allowing the identification of a high-probability entry at the manipulated high. This entry is validated by: - Long-term volume - A high-probability VWAP zone for shorts within the range - A long-term order block (M1) i. Coefficients of the Conservative Entry - Fractal Quality Coefficient: 50.00% - Entry Quality Coefficient: -19.82% - Entry Probability: -50.00% - Stop Loss Probability: -100.00% - Take Profit Probability: -50.00% The entry is highly likely to be mitigated over the long term, with the conservative analysis expiring on March 25, 2025. Although the quality is decent, it is not optimal since the evaluation was based solely on the VWAP. The Stop Loss is set at 2 ATR from the last manipulated high (calculated from the median of the data) and is strongly protected by volume, two highs, two order blocks, and the VWAP level. This setup reflects an extremely optimistic scenario for the euro, which does not fully align with recent fundamental news—suggesting that a significant move would be necessary to breach this level. The Take Profit should be seen not as a final objective but rather as a target for partial profit-taking and for moving the stop to breakeven once the objective is reached. 4. Other Comments - The price is currently in a zone that attracts little interest from swing traders. As of February 10, 2025, the price is in a well-developed retracement, which discourages taking shorts lightly. - A long trade might be considered at the manipulated minimum below the structure; however, given the euro’s recent fundamentals and the prevailing long-term and mid-term bearish trend, such a trade should only be executed with carefully adjusted Stop Loss and Take Profit levels. Do you like my analysis? Follow me on social media: thewayofrichie Let's trade, Richie
Long
by ricardo_ndns
GpPa Model / EUR/USD Balanced Limit Order Short EntryGpPa Analysis / Entry Justification under the GpPa Model *The Analysis is the same as the conservative and dynamic entry* The main entry is conservative, so, the analysis remains beside this part: If we're not sure if the conservative entry can be mitigated, we can use the balance one. It uses the same VWAP level at the following fractal, just one maximum below. 1. Liquidity a. Liquidity Related to Structure The price’s liquidity is distributed within a relatively narrow range, marked by several highs and lows and a false manipulative bias (indicated as internal liquidity in a lighter color). This liquidity distribution suggests a long-term and mid-term bearish trend (notably from the M3 and M1 timeframes backward) that has weakened in the short term, evolving into a chaotic structure. b. Liquidity Related to Directionality The diagonal liquidity—responsible for driving the price to manipulate highs and lows—is more pronounced at the highs. However, the directional bias appears to favor mitigating the lows. c. Decision Regarding Liquidity Recent price action indicates the development of a retracement. This retracement could either continue the bearish trend or lead to a range-bound structure due to an exhausted bearish trend. 2. Trajectory / Direction (Structure) a. Coefficient of Trajectory, Direction, and Validation (-41.20%; -58.80%) 19.10% These coefficients confirm the signals derived from the liquidity analysis. While the price shows a clear long-term and mid-term bearish trend, the opposing validation factor may indicate an exhaustion of the retracement—or even of the trend itself—thus reinforcing the possibility of a range-bound market. 3. Entries a. Conservative Entry The VWAP is placed alongside an additional FRVP at the major fractal preceding the M1 structure to define a conservative entry. Once positioned, this setup confirms the bearish character and the established range, allowing the identification of a high-probability entry at the manipulated high. This entry is validated by: - Long-term volume - A high-probability VWAP zone for shorts within the range - A long-term order block (M1) i. Coefficients of the Conservative Entry - Fractal Quality Coefficient: 50.00% - Entry Quality Coefficient: -19.82% - Entry Probability: -50.00% - Stop Loss Probability: -100.00% - Take Profit Probability: -50.00% The entry is highly likely to be mitigated over the long term, with the conservative analysis expiring on March 25, 2025. Although the quality is decent, it is not optimal since the evaluation was based solely on the VWAP. The Stop Loss is set at 2 ATR from the last manipulated high (calculated from the median of the data) and is strongly protected by volume, two highs, two order blocks, and the VWAP level. This setup reflects an extremely optimistic scenario for the euro, which does not fully align with recent fundamental news—suggesting that a significant move would be necessary to breach this level. The Take Profit should be seen not as a final objective but rather as a target for partial profit-taking and for moving the stop to breakeven once the objective is reached. 4. Other Comments - The price is currently in a zone that attracts little interest from swing traders. As of February 10, 2025, the price is in a well-developed retracement, which discourages taking shorts lightly. - A long trade might be considered at the manipulated minimum below the structure; however, given the euro’s recent fundamentals and the prevailing long-term and mid-term bearish trend, such a trade should only be executed with carefully adjusted Stop Loss and Take Profit levels. Do you like my analysis? Follow me on social media: thewayofrichie Let's trade, Richie
Short
by ricardo_ndns
GpPa Model / EUR/USD Conservative Limit Order Short EntryGpPa Analysis / Entry Justification under the GpPa Model 1. Liquidity a. Liquidity Related to Structure The price’s liquidity is distributed within a relatively narrow range, marked by several highs and lows and a false manipulative bias (indicated as internal liquidity in a lighter color). This liquidity distribution suggests a long-term and mid-term bearish trend (notably from the M3 and M1 timeframes backward) that has weakened in the short term, evolving into a chaotic structure. b. Liquidity Related to Directionality The diagonal liquidity—responsible for driving the price to manipulate highs and lows—is more pronounced at the highs. However, the directional bias appears to favor mitigating the lows. c. Decision Regarding Liquidity Recent price action indicates the development of a retracement. This retracement could either continue the bearish trend or lead to a range-bound structure due to an exhausted bearish trend. 2. Trajectory / Direction (Structure) a. Coefficient of Trajectory, Direction, and Validation (-41.20%; -58.80%) 19.10% These coefficients confirm the signals derived from the liquidity analysis. While the price shows a clear long-term and mid-term bearish trend, the opposing validation factor may indicate an exhaustion of the retracement—or even of the trend itself—thus reinforcing the possibility of a range-bound market. 3. Entries a. Conservative Entry The VWAP is placed alongside an additional FRVP at the major fractal preceding the M1 structure to define a conservative entry. Once positioned, this setup confirms the bearish character and the established range, allowing the identification of a high-probability entry at the manipulated high. This entry is validated by: - Long-term volume - A high-probability VWAP zone for shorts within the range - A long-term order block (M1) i. Coefficients of the Conservative Entry - Fractal Quality Coefficient: 50.00% - Entry Quality Coefficient: -19.82% - Entry Probability: -50.00% - Stop Loss Probability: -100.00% - Take Profit Probability: -50.00% The entry is highly likely to be mitigated over the long term, with the conservative analysis expiring on March 25, 2025. Although the quality is decent, it is not optimal since the evaluation was based solely on the VWAP. The Stop Loss is set at 2 ATR from the last manipulated high (calculated from the median of the data) and is strongly protected by volume, two highs, two order blocks, and the VWAP level. This setup reflects an extremely optimistic scenario for the euro, which does not fully align with recent fundamental news—suggesting that a significant move would be necessary to breach this level. The Take Profit should be seen not as a final objective but rather as a target for partial profit-taking and for moving the stop to breakeven once the objective is reached. 4. Other Comments - The price is currently in a zone that attracts little interest from swing traders. As of February 10, 2025, the price is in a well-developed retracement, which discourages taking shorts lightly. - A long trade might be considered at the manipulated minimum below the structure; however, given the euro’s recent fundamentals and the prevailing long-term and mid-term bearish trend, such a trade should only be executed with carefully adjusted Stop Loss and Take Profit levels. Do you like my analysis? Follow me on social media: @thewayofrichie Let's trade, Richie
Short
by ricardo_ndns
XRPUSD Still Bullish? SeekingPips XRP Ripple Long Term BUY ONLYIs XRP still a BUY? 🟢SeekingPips🟢 says keep it SIMPLE. ✅️If one was accumulating XRP Ripple for the LONG TERM and liked it at $3 why do you not like it NOW?✅️ ℹ️ Like I said before EVERYONE WAITS for the PULLBACK but when it turns up TRADERS/INVESTORS get SCARED to enter at these LOWER PRICES and some EVEN go SHORT and TRADE AGAINST their OWN BIAS. 💡It is a strange phenomenon but its VERY TRUE. Do what the 1% do and you will be OK.
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by seekingpips
BEARISH SWING SETUP ON EU The last setup I posted was bullish and did give a good reaction that I took as confirmation however the trade did not play out. This then caused a bearish choch on the daily and price has since pulled back and is now showing bearish structure. Both swing and internal structure on the 4H timeframe and above are bearish so that is the direction I'm following right now. Fractal structure on the 4H is currently bearish and I will continue trading in that direction targeting January's low.
Short
by Keyserfx
Total Crypto Market Capitalization prediction for 2025 v.2.0☀️ A ray of hope from us and what is drawn on the chart of total capitalization in the crypto market. But first, re-read the post from 31/12/24 👇 Pay special attention to paragraph 5️⃣ 📊 And now let's move on to the same chart - 1.5 months later, in a zoomed-in version. The minimum was recorded at $2.81 trillion with an estimate/forecast of $2.85t So, based on the fractal we proposed and built earlier, it turns out: 1️⃣ A “trial” wave of growth is coming soon 2️⃣ Then a short consolidation 3️⃣ In mid-March - the beginning of the alt-season. (Earlier we wrote that it would be a “miracle” if, despite the pessimistic forecasts that the Fed rate will not be reduced in the near future, it will be reduced on March 19) P.S: ❓ so, do you believe in what the charts are showing?) Do you believe in growth? ⁉️ If so, which “cluster” of altos will set the growth trend, in your opinion?
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by P_S_trade
5
DXY updatePreviously on DXY......... We had identified the potential for a retracement back into bearish move and we had highlighted some key point surrounding order flow. fast-forward Price action is chilling at the range midpoint, probably waiting for someone else to make the first move. Recent price action has been pretty efficient on approach, which sounds great until you realise that efficiency often means price can slip right through given enough volume. The same goes for the area above current price. It’s weak, like my new year's resolutions. If the market decides to push, it won’t take much effort to break through. Takeaways: Price will leave the range. Eventually. Just don’t expect it to RSVP first. Direction remains uncertain. Flip a coin? No. Wait for more data. We need more evidence before making informed decisions—unless you enjoy trading on pure gut And remember, stay hydrated, because watching your P&L evaporate is bad enough without your kidneys joining in.
TVC:DXY
by SERVER_SEVEN
BTCUSD - M15 Short-Term Downside - Timing Today's USD NewsAnalysis of overall situation: We had a strong push up (to the left) We're now in a retracement phase. Usually there are 3 pushes down before the retracement is done. We're on that 3rd push phase. I'm looking to Buy overall, so this is a short-term scalp in line with the retracement. (The Buy scenario is the orange SnDR zone lower) H4 candles still showing weakness, indicating the retracement isn't done yet. Also, the spike from the previous M15 low happened at the new day, which hints it's not the real low. Waiting for the market to first take liquidity off the high of today, ideally enter into the gap (blue zone) then create strong Bearish candles. Entry will be on any M5/M15 retracement - after a break of structure. Also eventually breaking the current upward trendline. Targeting the M15 low Timing for this entry is after the USD News at NY Session. If market hits the invalidation level marked, then this idea is discarded.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by The_Peaceful_Trader
ETH is trying to get back into the falling wedge !Hello Traders 🐺, First of all, I want to thank you all for your incredible support recently! My last idea about ETH is going absolutely viral , and now I’ve decided to share a quick update on the short-term price movement. As you can see in the picture above, ETH is currently below an orange resistance line and above a key support level , which, in my personal humble opinion, could be very bullish for the following reasons: 1️⃣ A falling wedge is usually considered a bullish pattern , but what makes it extremely bullish ? When the price breaks below the falling wedge’s support line and comes back into it with a huge wick to the downside. 💡 But why is that bullish? Because it can be considered a bear trap , shaking out weak hands, and showing us that the bulls are here and ready to take control. This could result in a strong move to the upside. 📈 As you might know, the price target for a falling wedge is typically the top of the wedge , which in this case is around $4,000 . 2️⃣ The second reason is very simple , and we already discussed it in my previous idea about BTC.D (you can find the link below this idea). So, make sure to read it carefully because the overall condition of altcoins depends on it. 📌 Also, I plan to publish a new update about BTC.D in the near future , so make sure to follow me for upcoming updates! ( this is not a financial advice ! )
Long
by Kiu_Coin
1
NVIDIA: Fib Fractal MappingConsidering all those observed fractal patterns from: A fractal to narrow in would be: Let's unfold: This means we have identified scalable structural basis. Fibonacci Mapping Validation of Metrics via Resonation: Validation of Fibonacci channel tilt: Fractals of Previous Cycle: Scalable Fractals: Fractal patterns are approximations and are not solely about predicting price movements on the Y-axis; they also encompass the frequency of reversals on the X-axis. The timing of smaller cycles, which serve as the building blocks of these patterns, holds greater significance than the overall composite price changes.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by fract
9
APPLE: Fibonacci Fractal Mapping IApple Inc has some complex cycles which we're about to breakdown to composite phases via fibonacci ratios. REGULARITIES Continuous Fractal Since start 00's, bearish trends in Apple have notably shrunk in percentage terms, painting the past two decades as a period of ever growing optimism. Many long-term cycles remain incomplete for an extended time amplifying the opposing force. A linear extensions through local tops can serve a future support level. A parallel line of that same angle carries the same deterministic properties. This unlocks use of Fibonacci channels to further analyze the structure factoring in specific side tilt. Continuous Fractal Type - forces alternative approach in interconnecting critical points Fibonacci Fractal Mapping Fractal Hierarchy
NASDAQ:AAPL
by fract
1
TSLA: Fractal-Based Timing [FA]Coverage of the chart as a reflexion of reality without TA bias because the chart is already a self-referential source. Visualizing the relativistic structure of price movements using Fibonacci Channels, mapping historical significance onto a probabilistic framework. The intersections of these channels define areas of probability density, highlighting potential attractors and repellers for price. This structured projection offers a fractal-based roadmap of price behavior, where past cyclical relationships guide future targets. Frames of Reference: HH 2021 × LL 2023 → LL 2024 Regressive HH 2021 → LL 2024 Regressive LL 2023 → HH 2024 Interconnected historic prices project probabilistic levels at intersections (Interference Pattern in QM). Use them to evaluate your own targets.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by fract
Sell Bitcoin and Altcoins during 2025 and don't look back!Hello Everyone, This is my first public post since the last one, which I published on Sep 28, 2022, and you can see that here: My cycle analysis (TA) proved spot-on the last time I accurately predicted Bitcoin’s behavior. To avoid overcomplicating things, I’ll keep this brief. As the yearly chart indicates, we’ve seen a consistent pattern: a three-year bull market followed by a one-year bear market. History appears poised to repeat itself, and we’re now entering the final phase of the current bullish cycle. This year will likely be your last opportunity to exit the crypto market strategically, as historical fractals suggest a bearish downturn is due next year.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ir0nhand