Fractal
BTC Support Resistancethe graph shows the historical swing powers at each range, used indicator is:
Practical Use Cases:
Identifying Critical Support/Resistance Levels:
The importance score indicates how much volume was traded at specific fractal levels, giving an idea of where price might react. For example, a high-importance score at a specific price range suggests that it is a strong support or resistance zone. If price approaches this range, you might anticipate a bounce (support) or a reversal (resistance).
Example:
Price approaches a bin with a high importance score of 25, while the bins above have much lower scores (e.g., 5 or 10). This suggests that the price may face strong resistance at this level. You could plan to sell or tighten your stop-loss, anticipating a reversal or retracement.
Predicting Breakouts:
If price moves into a high-importance bin and surpasses it, and the following bins have much lower scores, it suggests that the price may "pump" up toward the next significant high-scored bin. This can be used to anticipate breakouts in bullish or bearish directions.
Example:
Price is hovering around a high-importance score bin (e.g., 20) with low importance levels above it (e.g., 2, 3, or 5). This suggests that once the price breaks above this high-importance range, there’s little resistance in the near term, and the price may quickly rally toward the next high-score bin.
Using Volume to Confirm Price Moves:
Traders can use the importance score to confirm the strength of a price move. If a significant volume of trades occurred during a fractal at a specific price range, this adds credibility to that level. Trading breakouts or reversals at these levels becomes more reliable.
Example:
If price drops toward a bin with a high importance score and rebounds, you could take a long position anticipating a reversal. Similarly, if price breaks through a high-score range on strong momentum, you might enter a short position, expecting further declines.
Adjusting Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels:
Use the importance scores to set stop-losses and take-profit levels around key support and resistance ranges. The normalized scores allow you to see where price is most likely to stall or reverse, helping you place your exits more effectively.
Example:
Set a stop-loss just below a high-score support zone if you're long, or just above a high-score resistance zone if you're short, minimizing risk. For take-profit levels, target bins with lower scores after breaking through a high-importance range.
Volume-Based Market Sentiment:
This indicator gives a sense of market sentiment by showing where significant volumes were traded. If the current price range has low importance, it may indicate low interest or participation, suggesting that the price could be more volatile or prone to rapid movements once it breaks out.
btc wyckoff accumulationblah blah blah this ones for all the fans out there
-- btc is at mid range support after finding its way back up from range lows, its clear to me that bulls are in control at the moment and have been forming nice accumulation at the middle of the range, hoping for a good push up to the top. no reason for bears to be in control so lets just have fun guys
BCO💹
Outlook: Crude Oil has been looking really good breaking bullish since yesterday. We have this 30m Impulse Correction and I am currently waiting for the 6m to show a correction inside this 30m A. Then I will wait for the 1m to do the same Impulse and correct. Lets see if we show signs of bullishness that this thing wants to go up.
NY session bias: Bullish
2-Oct-24 UpdatePrice has bounced on $60,000, so I think we will oscillate here to form a bear flag, before dropping lower to reach the next demand zone.
The bounce from $54,000 should provide a great trade opportunity as it returns to the big even at $60,000, before dropping back down for a retest of $54,000.
XAUUSD💹
Outlook: XAUUSD looks like it is doing exactly what we want broke bullish during Tokyo and London session. For NY I want to see a re-accumulation and it looks' like we are doing it now on the 30m time frame. I want to see price start creating demand on my 6m time frame before scaling down to my 1m entry time frame.
NY session bias: Bullish
2-Oct-24Now that price has returned to the previous range, I expect the limits to be broken down, then up, without breaching the support/resistance zone on the other side.
We might then be ready to drop to find support at the next demand zone, providing a bounce to return to the current level, which appears to be an equilibrium point for now.
Accumulation, Manipulation and DistributionPrior to overcoming the 4-hour rejection block, price formed a consolidation phase, indicative of accumulation. This was followed by a volatile bullish move that successfully mitigated the rejection block, entering a manipulation phase.
Subsequent price action led to a displacement, clearing the swing. Currently, we observe a bearish sentiment, anticipating a corrective hike to fill the imbalance and respect the fair value gap at 1.51200. The fair value gap shall be our entry with the demand zone at 1.50200 as the target from this expected distribution phase delivery…
XAUUSD💹
Outlook: XAUUSD needs to show some conviction on the 30m while inside this 5hr IC for me to be interested in longs because at the moment the 30m is bearish so staying away until then.
NY session bias: Bullish for NY tomorrow as long as we stay inside this 5hr IC range. And show some conviction on the 30m.