Franc
USDCHF - SUPPLY & DEMAND ZONE ANALYSISHi traders.
Whenever you are looking at a technical level, always ask yourself the following:
- Am I buying at a potential bargain/wholesale/discount price? (supply or demand zones)
- Why is there more likely to be more supply/demand orders at that area? (new traders entering/traders taking profit)
- What are the underlying fundamental/sentiment drivers that should push price in my favour? (interest rates, business cycle, risk on/risk off)
If all 3 are in your favour, take the trade, manage your risk and go for more than you've risked.
Always remember this trade is only 1 trade in the next thousand you're going to take.
Process over outcome!
NZDCHF 11.11-11.16Here we have NZDCHF on the Daily time frame. Over the last week and a half this pair has been shooting to the moon and I believe its time for a retracement.
Price couldn't push through and stay above quarter level 0.675 giving us a failed quarter transition.
I see price returning to around the halfway point between quarter level 0.675 and 0.65. Around the 0.6625 mark. This falls just before the 61% fib level so taking a bit of overshoot into account, I think this is a safe level to look to go long back up to the -27 fib level. Which also lands just past the half way point of quarter level 0.675 and 0.7.
Trade at your own risk. I am not qualified to give investment advice.
Happy trading :)
~TraderTrev
USDCHF STRONG STRUCTURE ZONE (WATCH THIS PAIR) USDCHF STRONG STRUCTURE ZONE
I don't only want to post trades on here for you guys I also want to be able to post market outlooks and analysis as well. As you can see USDCHF is just starting to come into a very strong structure zone. Back in January of 2015 you can see that this market had a 16%+ drop in a matter of a week. THAT IS HUGE and as you can see it's something the market hasn't forgotten about and has been struggling to recover ever since. Market prices have not been able to break above this zone in years and this leads me to the fact that it is more probable that it will not any time soon. Now I could be wrong, but I let the market tell me what it wants to do and by the past few years it had shown me it can't break above that January 2015 high.
Keep an eye out on price in this zone in the upcoming months to watch and see how this pair plays out and if we can potentially capitalize on what the market tries to show us. Keep and eye out and keep it on your watch list because it is a really significant zone based on the data it is showing us from the past market conditions.
Cheers! Please like and follow my profile for more posts of trades, analysis, and big profits! Cheers!
USDCHF Bearish scenario breakdownSince we're still below a major resistance, it's also possible to look for bearish scenarios. We will know what's going to happen once we have a break on either side.
If we break down from here and below the daily breaker (+ daily horizontal level), we'll be looking to short the retest and aiming for those lows there.
Again, wait for confirmation and trade carefully.
For the bullish side check out my previous idea.
EURCHF, Double Top & Long Wicked CandleEURCHF has formed the double top and the yesterday's candle shows rejection of the horizontal resistance. We should short the pair if price drops below the yesterday's low. Stop loss should be above the top of the yesterday's candle. Take profit 1.5x - 2x from it.
Bullish Gartley Completed On Weekly Chart NZDCHF. Still Valid!On the weekly charts of NZDCHF The bullish gartley was completed 4 weeks ago but however the pattern is still valid. It has to be understood that harmonic patterns do NOT immediately reverse from the point D, they need time and market reaction in the real world is everything. i am awaiting for some technical confirmation before taking this trade on. The risk to reward seems to be very healthy too on this one. stay tuned
Long term harmonics pattern are very reliable and i will be keeping a close eye on this one.
GBPCHF LongQuite clear inverse H&S pattern forming here. Best R/R is to go take longs especially if look at the Daily and Weekly timeframes. Heavily oversold and CHF futures are somewhat stretched and primed to be sold off any time now. I'll be looking to add to my long positions on this pair.
Good luck!
4hr Range Breakout PlayOn the daily, price showed a massive bull run from Aug 21-29th with overextension to 115.00 key resistance and a small double top.
The 4hr shows a range breakout and retest along with a 50ema break and retest at 4hr resistance and 38.3% fib.
The 1hr shows a downtrend forming along with a break and retest of 50ema and 4h/1h resistance.
Profit target is at the 1hr support (113.30) which is above Daily key support at 113.00
USD/CHFUchf looks like it made a contracted flat at this point. If it is gonna drop, watch for a possible small flag at the .9900 level/trend line... It seems like we are still gonna finish this correction. I prefer to see those corrections break the high before they drop, but it can be considered completed now. The real entry was at that smaller flag.
Will The AUDCHF Break The Neckline of H & S ?This symbol features the Australian Dollar - Swiss Franc cross pair. While less popular than the AUDJPY cross, the AUD/CHF has similar characteristics in that it can be used as a carry trade. Some may also view this pair as a reflection of risk sentiment due to the risk-on nature of the Australian currency and the safe-haven characteristics of the Swiss franc.
Source of above information: www.dailyfx.com
There is no doubt that the head and shoulders pattern have been forming on multiple currency pairs especially the EUR pairs, more specifically the EURUSD. Today the long standing Head And Shoulders pattern on the EURUSD should be completed as the bears are on rampage!. If the EURUSD tumbles in the coming weeks to record LOWS then we should see multiple safehaven FX pairs most notably the CHF and JPY gain momentum as well. This has everything to do with the currency correlation when trading.
Many traders are watching the EURUSD pair at the moment and a potential break to the downside is almost imminent in the coming week and therefore we take a look at the AUDCHF pair in this part of the analysis!. It has rejected the crucial resistance level on multiple occasions (see the blue lines) and its looking to head down. Currently the one of the most prominent confluence factor to support this fact is the formation of the H & S Pattern that is on the verge of completion and the only thing holding is the break of the neckline!
If and only if the weekly candle closes below this neckline (the red line on the chart) we will potentially see the pressure build up to the downside in the coming weeks. Personally for the entry criteria to be met, i would want the weekly candle to close below the neckline and the support level, followed by a slight retracement on the daily charts or 4 hours charts before i can enter this trade SHORT. The TP target is also favorable as the next crucial support level lies far down at 0.7000 psychological level!
It remains to be seen what happens in the coming week and this pair is highly dependent the EURUSD head and shoulders pattern. Personally the EURUSD is a great trade to take but i am already LONG on the USD (NZDUSD). See the related link. Due to this AUDCHF represents the best opportunity to trade if you already have an open position on the USD,
Stay tuned for any updates and signals. Follow me for more indepth analysis and signals. Cheers
CADCHF ShortAs we can see from the diagram, a nice Head and Shoulders pattern unfolding on the Daily timeframe on this pair. BoC's hawkishness provided us the spike up today to form the right should and the price was stopped at old broken support that has now become resistance. Moreover, the price is capped on the topside by the 200EMA. We also have the bearish crossover on the MACD.
I expect the price to move down over the coming days.