France40
France index will go upToday, the central bank of France has announced the bouncing of the economy is occurring faster than earlier forecast. Technically, the price is at the earlier resistance level and will bounce off from here.
Wait for confirmation before entering in any trading (Price action confirmation)
Please trade carefully and do not risk more than what you can afford (1% of Maximum).
Disclaimer : This is just an analysis of the trend, the price can move in both ways so please, don't consider it as 100% correct signal.
Short France40 Index
I expected today that the French index will go through correction after overextended buy, but seems like, this buying frenzy hasnt stopped .
Which brings me to a good trading idea, to short this double top formation and wait for it to reach its bottom 0.681 fibo retracement after overbought levels.
Open Short FRA40 5756
Tp1 5700
Tp2 5650
Tp3 5600
Tp4 5500
CAC40 - Indices Trading | Elliott Wave Structures | Q2 2019*Please support this idea with a LIKE if it helps you. Thanks!
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CAC40 - Elliott Wave Outlook
Bearish Swings - Patterns:
Triple Three structure in Cycle Wave IV (green)
W (purple) - Zig-Zag
X (purple) - Three (false break-out)
Y (purple) - Simple Flat
X (purple) - Contracting Triangle
Z (purple) - Zig-Zag
Bullish Swings - Patterns:
Impulse in Intermediate (1) (blue)
Extension in Minor 3 (green)
Next expected swing:
Bearish sequence in Intermediate (2) (blue)
Structure change:
Bullish continuation in an impulsive manner could lead towards more up-side for an Ending Diagonal.
CAC 40: Very strong long term upside potential. 6700 on sight.CAC is quite strangely printing on the big 1W/1M time frames a similar trading pattern with the early - mid 90s. The MA50/200 sequence is identical within a Channel Up with two distinct peaks that broke the Channel momentarily before testing again the supporting trend line.
What stands out in particular is the +46.50% rebound from the first Higher Low on both cycles. What follows after is a giant Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which gave rise to the second peak outside the Channel Up.
CAC40 is currently on that Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern attempting to price the Right Shoulder.
With such striking similarities it is only natural to assume that the current cycle will follow to a large extent the 90's cycle. Which means that after the Inverse Head and Shoulders is completed a +49.50% rise may follow (second peak outside the Channel) bringing the index close to 6,700. This is our long term target for CAC and the candle action times this by March 2020. After that the final Higher Low takes place which should pave the way for the new hyper aggressive cyclical bull market similar to the late 90s - 2000.
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FRANCE40 INDEX (FRA40Cash) (CAC40) A quick scalp idea:
Price is currently moving in an rising wedge, and we will be looking to place short trades when the RSI indicator becomes relatively overbought. The price had already broken out of a ascending trendline from the monthly timeframe, therefore, short positions are highly feasible on this index.
Kick The CACThe French stock market is painting an inverted triangle formation. Though not yet confirmed, this can portend lower prices ahead. We are currently rounding over. A weekly close above the prior weeks' high would negate bearishness for now, whilst a weekly closing below the last swing low would confirm the pattern and target the purple area.
While pundits claim the US stock market rally, it is far more prudent to short markets that are seeing material capital outflows, especially in failed states such as France.
France 40 - Get Ready To SellAt the moment I think we are nearing the peak of France 40's uptrend. As you can see by the ADX the trend is strong however we can look at the RSI and see that it is currently being overbought, this mixed with the fact that we are at a key point of resistance indicates to me that we are about to see a dive in the price. If we can push through this resistance level then I think the price will grow higher. If it does It will be a 10 year high. If we do continue to rise then the I would see the next key resistance level we need to watch out for is the 5880 level and I would say major resistance the very top of the market would be that 6177 level which we haven't seen in 11 years .
Please Mind the CACOn the 24th April the CAC 40 made a huge gap up, from 5050 to 5260. An incredible 4%. In fact it is the largest gap we can see historically as far back as 2008.
Gaps, as trades know, 'always' get filled. Statistically its more like 90% of the time.
Whether bullish or bearish on the European reflation story, this trade is the same.. French stocks are likely to pull back to close this gap, before either continuing on their rally, or otherwise.
Trade execution:
A conservative way to play this would be see the actual gap as being highest high previously, which is actually 5140 (blue line). A more aggressive short target would be the 5050 from where it jumped.