France 40 - Get Ready To SellAt the moment I think we are nearing the peak of France 40's uptrend. As you can see by the ADX the trend is strong however we can look at the RSI and see that it is currently being overbought, this mixed with the fact that we are at a key point of resistance indicates to me that we are about to see a dive in the price. If we can push through this resistance level then I think the price will grow higher. If it does It will be a 10 year high. If we do continue to rise then the I would see the next key resistance level we need to watch out for is the 5880 level and I would say major resistance the very top of the market would be that 6177 level which we haven't seen in 11 years .
France40
Please Mind the CACOn the 24th April the CAC 40 made a huge gap up, from 5050 to 5260. An incredible 4%. In fact it is the largest gap we can see historically as far back as 2008.
Gaps, as trades know, 'always' get filled. Statistically its more like 90% of the time.
Whether bullish or bearish on the European reflation story, this trade is the same.. French stocks are likely to pull back to close this gap, before either continuing on their rally, or otherwise.
Trade execution:
A conservative way to play this would be see the actual gap as being highest high previously, which is actually 5140 (blue line). A more aggressive short target would be the 5050 from where it jumped.