FLIR, somewhat undervalued technology stock on trend line watchFLIR Systems makes high-tech imaging systems. The stock has been selling off since its last earnings report, despite the fact that earnings and guidance both beat analyst estimates. Perhaps the selloff was because the company failed to issue forward guidance, or perhaps it was because free cash flow took an 18% hit last quarter and FLIR announced a 2.5% debt issuance in July. Regardless, FLIR now looks cheap, and sentiment has been improving lately.
Valuation
I expect that FLIR's dividend will yield 1.9% in the next 12 months. Its PEG is about 17, so not great, but not terrible. PSG ratio is 2.72. Again, not great, but not terrible. The real case for the stock being undervalued is that it's near the bottom of its three-year valuation range in P/E, P/S, and P/D terms. Despite the decrease in free cash flow, the company has a 77/100 financial health score from S&P Global. S&P Global also rates the stock 72/100 for its valuation, meaning the stock is solidly, but not extremely, undervalued. One reason I like FLIR is its patent portfolio. Patents granted are a leading indicator of earnings growth, and over the last three years, FLIR has been granted and average of 16 patents per billion dollars of current market cap. That very respectable number puts its patents-to-market cap ratio in the same league as Intel, which ranked 4th in the nation for total patents granted in 2019. In short, FLIR is a leading innovator for its market cap size.
Sentiment and Technicals
Analysts have been steadily upgrading FLIR, and it currently has an 8/10 Equity Starmine Summary Score. Options traders are quite bullish on the stock, with a put/call ratio of just 0.29. The technicals on FLIR are still negative, but improved slightly today to "sell" from yesterday's "strong sell" reading on both the daily and weekly charts. I'll be watching for a bullish cross of the trend line FLIR has formed since February as my buying signal.
Freecashflow
Good Div, High expectations & free cash flow : AROC5-star analyst T J Schultz, of RBC Capital, believes AROC has a firm foundation to move forward. He writes of the stock, “We expect lower associated gas production to have an impact on AROC utilization into 2021, but we think manageable debt leverage and ample dividend coverage provide some flexibility… we think the risk-reward is decent at current levels given AROC’s liquidity, lack of near-term debt maturities, and ability to pull additional levers to manage liquidity further if needed.”
Schultz’s Buy rating on the stock is supported by an $11 price target, which suggests an impressive 68% upside potential for the year.
Overall, the Strong Buy analyst consensus rating on AROC is unanimous, based on 3 recent Buy reviews. Shares are priced at $6.55, and the $9.17 average price target implies a one-year upside of 40%.
Upwork Finances.Upwork is a company that mainly makes money as their hired consultants make money. So the more employers hire people through the service the more revenue they generate. This could be problematic long term as after they hire a "temporary employee" because thats whats assumed through the program if they decided to hire them long term after their term is over then Upwork gets nothing. AND they just lost future revenue. PLUS
Over the past few years they have been in the hole.
We have a history of net losses, anticipate increasing our operating expenses in the future, and may not achieve or sustain profitability.
Quote from their SEC filing 10-K
I will be looking for a SHORT when it seems they have peaked.
RED LINES=DAILY support/resistance
PURPLE LINES= Weekly support/resistance
A lot more pricing information at those higher price points. What could've dropped the price is that they've had an offering so that they can manage extending the life of the company. More offerings means a lower price.
SHOPIFY- land gracefully and REFUEL for more HIGH-FLYING ACTWho doesn't like the high-flying act? Sometimes, the proper rest is needed in order to soar even higher.
Shopify needs a deep pullback in order to draw in more trigger-scary investors who wait on the sideline.
Such parabolic movement is not sustainable with RSI hovers above 70 since early 2017 on the monthly timeframe.
Only one red bar in the last 14 monthly bars... It needs to cool down a bit.
For positional and long-term traders, check my pro & con list below.
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Pro-
Strong CAGR
Dominate the e-commerce platform market by capturing the 31% market share
Growing gross merchandise volume- The value of all products sold by merchants on Shopify’s platform
Growing gross payment value through Shopify payment, creating an more integrated platform
Strengthened the Shopify fulfillment network with the acquisition of fulfillment automation company
Con-
Square partners up with UPS
Overvalued according to financial metrics (EV/EBITDA, P/S, P/E)
High burn rate that prioritizes growth over profitability (Weak EPS)
Negative free cash flow despite not heavily invest in R&D
