CAC 40 Drops Hard! Fed's New Tone Sparks Sharp DeclineCAC 40 (French Index) on a 1-hour timeframe initiated a short trade using the Risological Trading Indicator. The sharp decline aligns with fundamental market dynamics influenced by the Federal Reserve's policy stance.
Trade Highlights:
Entry : Short position initiated based on bearish sentiment.
Current Trend: Sharp downward movement observed.
Reasons for Decline:
At 8:15 AM, the December futures contract for the CAC 40 fell 110.5 points, settling at 7277.5 points, indicating a 1%+ decline at the open.
The Federal Reserve cut its key interest rates for the third time this year, reducing them to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a "new phase" of monetary policy, characterized by a slower pace of rate cuts, contrary to market expectations.
Updated projections show only two rate cuts next year, compared to the four previously anticipated by investors, fueling bearish momentum.
Frenchstocks
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Expecting a decent rally from the monthly imbalance at 11 euros per share.
MC (LVMH) in a decisive situationThe long term consensus for EURONEXT:MC is still bullish . In this bullish context , it has formed a flag pattern on the daily chart which is a continuation pattern looking to be confirmed by a breakout . If this pattern is confirmed by a significant breakout and a close above the upper line , then the price would have a high probability to continue upwards toward the (847-852) area .
If price fails to break above the upper line and breaks below the lower line , then we could wait for price to return and find support on the 598-602 area , and look for a potential buy opportunity depending on the market conditions .
If price fails to find support on the 598-602 area ,the. we could expect a return to around the 558-562 area , and look for a potential buy opportunity depending on the market conditions.
Stay tuned for any upcoming updates .
Requests,Suggestions and Remarks are all welcomed .
HERMES-STRATEGIC MEDIUM/LONG TERM BUY !Following the sharp decline (-30.85 %), since the ATH @ EUR 1678.00 reached on December 1st, 2021, the price action triggered an HAMMER (reversal pattern) coupled
with a RSI BULLISH DIVERGENCE, which is a first positive signal calling for a trend reversal towards higher levels.
Important to also note that a potential DOUBLE BOTTOM is in progress (first bottom having been reached on October 1st, 2021 @ 1'166.50 !
Today's ongoing price action (long white candle) is, for the time being confirming this reversal and a closing level, on a DAILY BASIS, ideally above the Tenkan-Sen or Conversion line (@ 1'257.80) would
add further support to this expected bullish scenario.
IMPLICATIONS :
UPSIDE :
Once this first resistance level will be broken, focus will be on the second resistance area (cluster of both Kijun-Sen or Base line (1288) and the MId Bollinger Band-(1298) -"my own Barometer !", for further development
(on this daily time frame, BULLISH above and BEARISH below the Mid Bollinger Band (MBB).
The ongoing downtrend resistance line (in red), currently around 1'380 would be the next resistance level to look at ahead of the Daily clouds area (currently very thin) and close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement @ 1480.50.
A clear upside breakout of the top of the clouds would reopen the door for a new attempt of ATH.
DOWNSIDE :
Former low @ 1'160.50 is the first support to look at and any dips towards this level should be seen as consolidative move in a new uptrend.
Main focus will remain on the WEEKLY CLOUDS SUPPORT AREA (1'200-1'025) with intermediate support @ 1'097,00 this level being the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the big rally which started @ EUR 516.00 in March 16, 2020
CONCLUSION :
HERMES is a diamond, very well managed and fundamentally exceptional !
Therefore, STRATEGIC LONG EXPOSURE SHOULD BE BUILT FROM CURRENT LEVEL AND ON DIPS AS A REAL VALUE ADDED ON ANY PORTFOLIO.
CAC 40 best performing indiceI think the top 5 of US stocks that went up the most is made of Moderna (MRNA) and 4 energy companies including 3 Oil companies. The typical big tech stocks did not do that well. Google is up 70% in a straight line. AMZN & AAPL that broke new highs (notably in price and market cap) have not gone up compared to the rest.
The best indice is France CAC 40 which was undervalued (compared to the rest) and sleeping. As far as I know France has been in the top 6 exporters since forever and dropped out of that in 2020 only time will tell if they go back up. France followed the US example "Wow looks pretty cool to be in debt to the neck. We hate kids let's make them work hard in 50 years to pay for our lazy lifestyle today" as well as "Who cares what happens after I did my 2 (president, ministers) or 20 (congress) terms? This will get me lots of votes from ignorant zombies.". Now all I see France paying China with is heavy/advanced armament (planes...) and luxury which the chinese really love.
I don't know if these useless expensive products companies are expensive (do I look like a stock investor?) but the price keeps going up. CAC 40 is in a bull market and finally beat 2000 high. Up we go. Going up even more than the US pyramid scheme now. Maybe I'll just buy the indice on the next pullback.
Chubby ugly women want to feel pretty what can I say? Too blunt? Sorry. Too hard not to push chips and soda down a funnel placed in your month I guess. Capitalism/consumerism ❤️
I have no idea what I'm doing but unlike 2018-2019 where I got destroyed I think I now have a fair shot at making money with stocks. RNA companies in the long term look too good, with all the zombies mindlessly vaccinated I lose my words. Indeed how can so many be vaccinated and no one be hyped, or even give a rat's ass, about RNA? Like 1 billion people got injected at least once, often several times, and no one speaks about the tech, no one cares 🤦. Almost seems like cheating... Did somebody use cheat codes to make money? Well anyway there will be a pullback (significantly, multi year bear market) at some point, and years after this the zombie herd will suddenly understand what RNA is and the possibilities (because someone explained it to them - slowly - on television) and they will get VERY EXCITED ("we will erradicate all illness and live forever"). Trolls (Pomp) will shout "Pfizer can go to 1000/10,000" and the herd will FOMO.
Since I have no idea what I am doing I will OTP kinda. Going to stick to the S&P 500 indice + the french 4 stocks I mentionned. Read about those, study those... Over time surely I'll add a bit more. So I won't be so reliant on Forex doing something.
Tech stocks are not the future anymore. Now the future is (no surprise) energy production (it's always the future) and biotech. Energy production including EV batteries. And luxury will always sell (as long as people are full of cash, not broke).
L'Oreal is in a complete bubble so I'm not saying hold no matter what in your retirement account.
It's going completely vertical. It's basically Bitcoin. And the CAC 40 is only just starting a bull trend.
Danone, Quick Trade or Long-term Buy. Both work here.EURONEXT:BN is showing signs that it has already bottomed out and on its way up. We have a relatively safe trade here.
RSI divergence suggests a reversal of trend. It suggests that the low of 29 October 2020 at €46 is the lowest Danone will reach in the short- to mid-term (few months).
An ascending triangle is showing upward momentum. This suggests a target of €60.
At €60, we see strong resistance that has contributed to major reversals in the past. So that's a line to watch. I suspect a reversal at this line back to the top of the triangle.
Just above the €60 line is the 50% Fibonacci level from the recent swing. Crossing this 50% Fib indicates a stronger probability of returning to the swing's top rather than its bottom.
If the resistance at €60 is crossed, then it's a very encouraging sign of the bullish momentum and we set our next target at the resistance above at €65.
The trade should go like this:
You should go long as soon as the triangle breaks upwards, and set a stop loss at either €51.50 or €50.50 depending on your risk appetite.
If the first target of €60 is reached, then we raise our stop loss to the top of the triangle or slightly below it, perhaps at €53.50
Once we cross the resistance at €60 by a full daily green candle above it, we raise our stop loss to that level.
Cheers.
Equity line closed, long aim for €0,35 midterm (+105%)Last idea went very well from €0,06 to €0,32. After that it went down again to €0,12. The business (DBT) clarified that they stopped the equity line, so this should be a new bottom with strong potential upside. ( link )
Aim short-term €0,185 mid-term €0,35 (+105%), long-term €1+
High risk, high potential, especially in case the the EV-market continues to grow and there will be a much bigger need of high quality high KW/voltage electric vehicle chargers (50kw/150kw/350kw+).
CLOSE TO PULLBACK UP ZONES SANOFI - SAN - 240MNThe price has been ranging widely, coming back to its pre-pandemic trend.
The price is coming very closely to two different important "pullback up" line.
Probability of nice entry for a long direction trade.
In the flip side, if it breaks down those two lines further, there is a risk to see the price approaching the horizontal black line.
For the moment, the probability stays in the direction of the pitchfork, up trending.
BEARISH - LVMH 60MN - IDEAS WHYSuper strong resistance up there at 362.60.
Atfer a series of testing the market breaks the uptrend support
to end out breaking also the VWAP with strong volumes as a backup.
Last volume is the biggest and the tentative of new uptrend signal has been rejected at the VWAP.
Coming next:
- Most likely a bearish movement targeting first the 328.30 level.
-Possibility to go further down.
- Otherwise the market could again test the VWAP.
Decision will then to be taken after observation of new pullback or break.
RNO is very likely to go up .EURONEXT:RNO is very likely to go up .I think this is a good time to buy it . I expect it to go up to around the 36 area as a first target (100% growth) .I strongly recommend it also for a long term investment because price has the potential to go up to around the 60 area .
CAC 40: Very strong long term upside potential. 6700 on sight.CAC is quite strangely printing on the big 1W/1M time frames a similar trading pattern with the early - mid 90s. The MA50/200 sequence is identical within a Channel Up with two distinct peaks that broke the Channel momentarily before testing again the supporting trend line.
What stands out in particular is the +46.50% rebound from the first Higher Low on both cycles. What follows after is a giant Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which gave rise to the second peak outside the Channel Up.
CAC40 is currently on that Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern attempting to price the Right Shoulder.
With such striking similarities it is only natural to assume that the current cycle will follow to a large extent the 90's cycle. Which means that after the Inverse Head and Shoulders is completed a +49.50% rise may follow (second peak outside the Channel) bringing the index close to 6,700. This is our long term target for CAC and the candle action times this by March 2020. After that the final Higher Low takes place which should pave the way for the new hyper aggressive cyclical bull market similar to the late 90s - 2000.
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CAC40 Rejoins Channel, Technicals Flash OverboughtWhile the CAC40 gave traders an almost perfect technical upward channel for January February and most of March, that channel was broken last week only to be somewhat regained over the past few sessions. It still does not know however if that channel support line is now resistance or still support. Moving averages all signal upward momentum while bull bear sentiment and RSI flash that this index is overbought. I'm not confident in equities right now. They all seem overbought and tend to be universally stagnant. Let's see how much further we can go though.
Former Support Channel as Resistance?This is such an interesting technical channel that we saw stemming back from December 2018. While, it failed to continue and broke through, it seems like now price action wants to use that former lower section of the channel that was support as resistance. However, this one is not as perfect as the channel that had formed as price action is creeping back into the channel. Either way, this one is still a fun one to watch considering how technically perfect it was acting for quite a while.
Channel broken a bit early, but could indicate bear marketMy call on CAC40 is changed from long to neutral now that global markets are increasing their fear on a global slowdown. This is evident in markets around the world as Asian markets plunged today as did European. US is set to be down as well. Overall, the channel break is incredibly disheartening for those expecting higher gains as it was a huge move down (3 percent). If you were not in this trade closer to the bottom, you may have missed your chance. If you didn't sell before this dip then you may have made some money. For those shorter-term traders, you may have already missed the train. We could get back in this channel tomorrow, but that seems unlikely. I'm actually more neutral to short than neutral, but Trading View only gives us three options so I prefer not a drastic shift from long to short. Let's see what happens over the next few days.