Small Cap - Froth Few Away ??? :) :) :)Nifty Small Cap - Remember Madam Madhabi's speech on Mar 11 and the great fall....Marked in BLUE Arrows. We are back to same Level. So, where is the Froth ? Flew away with the wind ?
Look at how many RED LINES (Supports) were broken from Mar 11 till Mar 14th. All of them turned back as Resistances.
Guys - why is no one asking this question yourselves ? If the Market is Indeed weak - Breaking support is ok, but how can it take a V shaped U turn and Break all the Resistances on the upside ? Please don't fall prey to Panic Selling Messages.
Remember - we think we are outsmarting the market, preserving our capital, waiting for market to come down to do bottom fishing. But when the market is falling like crazy - how many of you know when to do Bottom Fishing ? Do you all have confidence to buy when market is still falling ? When market turns back quickly and gives sudden upward move - how many of you feel you missed your entry points ? LC to UCs
I have given so many examples of LC to UCs. We can't time the market, neither can we outsmart the market. We need to Learn to Ride the Tide irrespective of its side. To do that, we need to have conviction first, then follow support and resistances and then make informed and rational decision
I know one thing for sure - very limited folks in this group sold off their positions at levels higher than Mar 11. Many sold after the Mar 11 instigated crash. Now most of our Ex-Holdings would have come above our sell-off zone ? Isn't it
there could always be few exceptions which still might be struggling. Out of my 94 stock portfolio which is Small and Mid Cap heavy - most of them recovered to Pre-Mar 11 levels. And many are not so Fundamentally strong. But how did I get back the recovery ? Because market is not rational between Fundamentals and Technicals always. Over a long run it might equalize, but by that time, I will make my money and say TA TA to those stocks.
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Froth
ADI. Consider Taking Profits.Breakdown of ADI. Any feedback welcome. The perfect time to make predictions is before the thing happens.
Maybe there is some key price activity I am not taking into account or not fully understanding?
Maybe there is some fundamental information such as PE that I don't know how to factor in...?
Any takers how to explain the upward shifting value area? Is that like a reverse bull flag?
I'm long ADI at the moment, and after analyzing my conclusion is I'm moving stop up to lock in gains. Thinking the race to the upside might be over.