FTSE - Strength to continue? UK100
Intraday - We look to Buy at 7500 (stop at 7445)
Previous support located at 7550. Previous resistance located at 7620. A lower correction is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Our profit targets will be 7620 and 7650
Resistance: 7620 / 7650 / 7700
Support: 7550 / 7500 / 7450
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FTSE
FTSE 31st MAY 2022OANDA:UK100GBP have no power to breakout above the highest resistance area Aug 2019 - Jan 2020. Last month UK100 was bearish to the diagonal trendline support, and returned to the horizontal resistance area . However, at the end of 2021 there was a bearish divergence signal. where the price is bullish but the flat indicator value tends to bearish.
Bearish potential on the UK100 Weekly, Check this out :
UK100 Weekly
Timeframe. According to the stochastic 5 3 3, it seems to be back in the overbought area, it will be strengthened to bearish if the indicator crossover.
FTSE100 One of the best index buysThe FTSE100 index is approaching its 2022, a rare feat among the leading global stock indices, the majority of which are making Lower Lows. This strength is technically derived by the bullish dynamics of the Fibonacci Channel Up it has been trading in since 2021, which only broke during March's correction.
The price action since April 10 is similar to the sequence of August 11 - October 11 2021. The bottom on both pattern was made after the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) broke. The latter sequence went on to make a Higher High on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. That extension on the current pattern is around 7860 and that is our Target by July.
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IMPERIAL by name & nature - BUYREASONS TO BE BULLISH
Price just reclaimed the 50 MA and is hovering right at the 100 also (£1,817).
RSI on the 2 week chart recently turned bullish, coinciding with reclaiming the 50 MA.
Trend line + MA cross = Bullish Entry. These are my favourite trades when the two signals cross the threshold on the same candle. Double confirmation.
Further upside will see both cross above the 200 MA (the top of the purple channel at £2,575), which will further cement its place in a bull market.
Imperial Brands are currently paying out a 7.8% dividend yield. Fundamentally, investors wire going tol flock to dividend paying stocks en masse.
They have a price to earnings ratio of 7.27 which is very low by market standards. UK FTSE is trading at
The stress of a downturn in market, trade & geopolitical conditions is likely to increase people's dependency on the products they produce.
UK stock market is not over-leveraged, particularly not in value stocks like IMB.
Has already endured a 6 year bear-market.
Initial profit target is at £4.2k-£4.7k (the mid-point), which also coincides with it's prior all-time high. Here it will likely take a breather and form a cup and handle for a year or two (like April 2012 to April 2014).
Has the potential to approach the top of the channel at £7k to £14k in the decade ahead.
REASONS TO BE BEARISH
Across many other assets, I am seeing potential capitulation in stocks going into June/July this year.
It could retrace 10-20% along with more risky assets, but I suspect it will hold it's own for years to come.
Stop would be at £338 - which would represent a 33% loss. That would put-in a new lower low and likely lead to more downside and a negated bull-run.
SUMMARY
In times of market conditions and the stagflation that we find ourselves subjected to, IMB is a solid buy and a great risk-reward entry here. Despite it's low expected volatility, it will likely provide a decent dividend and return on investment. IMB has a chance of keeping-up and in fact exceeding inflation. That is not to be sniffed-at, with the meme stocks facing their day of reckoning. We'll keep an eye on this one, as this indicator has provided 2 entries at £1,671 and £1,770 recently. Enjoy and thanks for reading!
UK100 12th MAY 2022Bullish potential on the OANDA:UK100GBP Daily Timeframe , The price have no power to breakout below the support area Aug 2019 - Jan 2020.
Last month UK100 was bearish to the diagonal trendline support, and returned to the horizontal resistance area . However, at the end of 2021 there was a bearish divergence signal. where the price is bullish but the flat indicator value tends to bearish .
UK100 4th APRIL 2022
UKX Also In The Crosshair, Move To Crypto!The UKX, FTSE 100 Index, is also in the red.
This is the main index for the top 100 companies by capitalization in the UK.
We see prices going below EMA50 after a lower high. (Feb. vs Apr.)
Going below EMA50 is always bad news.
Since we have a lower high after the EMA300/100 bounce, this can lead to a lower low.
The next target on this drop should be around 6600 and 6250...
It can go lower but it will recover only after a long term after this low.
(Apr. 22) UKX Lower High
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Elliott Wave View: FTSE Looking To Turn LowerShort Term Elliott Wave View in FTSE suggests cycle from March 7, 2022 low ended at 7672.16 in wave (1). Internal subdivision of wave (1) unfolded as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from March 7 low, wave 1 ended at 7260.40 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 7075.82. Index then extended higher in wave 3 towards 7595.42, and dips in wave 4 ended at 7508.92. Final leg higher wave 5 ended at 7669.56 which completed wave (1).
Wave (2) pullback is in progress as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave (1), wave ((a)) ended at 7543.03 and rally in wave ((b)) ended at 7656.47. Wave ((c)) lower ended at 7339.53 which also completed wave W. Wave X corrective rally is now ongoing with internal subdivision as a flat. Up from wave W, wave ((a)) ended at 7463.15 and wave ((b)) ended at 7344.89. Expect wave ((c)) of X to end soon as 5 waves and the Index should then turn lower. Near term, as far as pivot at 7669.56 high remains intact, expect wave X rally to fail in 3, 7, 11 swing for further downside.
FTSE Trading The CorrectionIn this update we review the recent price action in the FTSE and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target.
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FTSE EXPECTED DOWNTURNFTSE might be headed for correction after slowed down growth among supply problems due to the war in Ukraine and the COVID outbreak in China, which is pushing up costs to a levels last seen in 1970s.
FTSE will most likely drop to its previous low of 7339 and from there it might try to test its previous low of 7050. If it decides to reverse, it will most likely test its previous high at 7675.
Both technical indicators MACD and RSI are showing slow down of the bullish trend.
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FTSE UK100 could go downWe have not very good situation with inflation
Still there is a war
All major indexies had bigger corrections but uk100 has not
and of course we are going up and hitting to ATH resistance soon
so in my opinion the price could drop a little bit 2-4% to the downside.
we will see, it's not a recomendation but I'm curious what do You think. It here any other 'someone' who is shortin this index? hm.. ?
FTSE100 - UKX - WHERE TO NEXT?FTSE100 - Where to next?
Technical pattern break out to either direction!
It's been my favourite trade since 2019. However, it does look a little overextended but let's see which way it breaks out towards and that's trade I will be taking short term
Don't forget - Follow your trade plan!
Trade Journal
UK100 4th APRIL 2022Bearish potential on the UK100 Weekly Timeframe, The price have no power to breakout above the highest resistance area Aug 2019 - Jan 2020. Last month UK100 was bearish to the diagonal trendline support, and returned to the horizontal resistance area. However, at the end of 2021 there was a bearish divergence signal. where the price is bullish but the flat indicator value tends to bearish. According to the stochastic 5 3 3, it seems to be back in the overbought area, it will be strengthened to bearish if the indicator crossover.
FTSE UK100:FUNDAMENTAL+TECHNICAL ANALYSIS|LONG SETUP ⭐️FTSE 100 remains green but pegged back by Next disappointment, US markets open higher
US stocks open higher but the positive US tech sentiment isn't global
FTSE 100 up 11 points at 7,471
Sunak holds back £32bn 'war chest' claim
P&O boss may accept bonuses despite mass and immoral sacking
As expected, US stocks opened slightly higher, rebounding from some of the losses they have taken over the last few days.
The Dow Jones was up 186 points, or 0.54% to 34,544, while the tech-laden Nasdaq gained 0.28%, climbing 38 points to 13,960.
S&P 500 was inched 0.55%, rising 24 points to 4,480.
The Nasdaq’s positive start has done little for the Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, however, which continued to fall in afternoon trading.
The trust was down 2.80%, changing hands at 997p, offsetting some of the gains made over the last week or so.
Positive tech sentiment in the US isn’t echoed globally, with Hang Seng down 0.94% to 21,945 points, a 208 point decline.
2.19pm: One month since Russia invaded Ukraine
A month on from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, stocks market globally are generally better off than just before the invasion, which shouldn’t come as a surprise according to Lee Wild, head of equity strategy at interactive investor.
Footsie has regained most of its losses, and is only 20 points behind the close on 23 February, the night before the invasion began, having fallen as low as 6,959 in the week after war broke out.
Over in America, the Dow Jones is up nearly 2.38% or roughly 2,600 points over the same period.
“If anyone doubted the resilience of stock markets, the past month has demonstrated just how quickly they are able to overcome the impact of shocking events, and this can be uncomfortable for some.”
“History proves this to be the case over the long term. Just look at stock markets over the past 100 years. World Wars, pandemics, terrorism, and financial crashes have been brushed aside. Why would massive economic sanctions and threat of nuclear war in 2022 be any different?”
1.51pm: Calls for crypto regulation
The Bank of England urged for tighter cryptocurrency regulation on worries of the potential detrimental impact it could have on global financial markets.
Its Financial Policy Committee insisted the regulators of the £1.3tn digital currency market must grow and become more coordinated.
Deputy governor Sam Woods wrote to several lenders to flag up that crypto long-term regulation would need to be significantly altered to prevent threats to worldwide economic stability.
It also said it will advise the Treasury on how best to oversee digital assets – something beyond the realms of the Financial Conduct Authority.
1.20pm: British Airways owner and Wizz Air retreat on Deutsche Bank downgrade
International Consolidated Airlines Group (LSE:IAG) SA, owner of British Airways, fell 3.1% on Deutsche Bank’s downgrade of its stock from a ‘buy’ recommendation to ‘hold.’
Wizz Air Holdings PLC (AIM:WIZZ), which is not FTSE 100-listed but also received the same demotion, retreated 2.6% and had its price target slashed to 2,900p from 5,450p – still a 16% premium on Thursday afternoon’s share price though.
The German-based investment bank also lowered easyJet PLC’s target to 570p from 680p, which caused a 1.1% drop in its share price.
12.47pm: FTSE remains stagnant
The FTSE 100 remained relatively flat, up 10 points to 7,469, as the Budget reaction continued to flood in and Russia opened its stock market, for limited trading, for the first time since it invaded Ukraine.
Mexican-based gold and silver miner, Fresnillo PLC (LSE:FRES), led the risers - up 3.3% - while global investment manager M&G PLC (LSE:MNG) was close behind with a 2.7% climb.
Shell PLC (LSE:SHEL, NYSE:SHEL) and BP PLC (LSE:BP.) continued to advance, 0.6% and 0.8% respectively, following Rishi Sunak’s Wednesday announcement of a record 5p fuel duty slash to alleviate soaring prices.
Meanwhile, British Airways owner International Consolidated Airlines fell 3.31% to 134p, with Schroders PLC (LSE:SDR) also down about 3%, with share changing hands at 3,125p in afternoon trading.
12.16pm: US preview
US stocks look set to open higher on Thursday, rebounding from losses in recent days, though gains are likely to be capped amid ongoing worries over high oil and commodity prices and as investors look toward US weekly jobless figures and manufacturing data.
Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average were up 0.5% on Thursday, while those for the S&P 500 added 0.6% and contracts for the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 rose 0.7%.
Among commodities, international benchmark Brent crude added 0.3% to $118.09 a barrel, while gold gained 0.4% to $1,945.30 a troy ounce.
US major averages took a breather on Wednesday as concerns over the war in Ukraine and its impact on oil prices, and economic uncertainty at home continue to undermine investor sentiment.
‘’There is little sign the pedal is coming off the accelerator for energy prices amid a fresh round of volatility that has hit markets after Russia moved to retaliate in the economic war being waged,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.
In a tit-for-tat move, Moscow announced yesterday that it will only accept payment for its exports in roubles after its foreign currency reserves were frozen.
“This (Russia’s move) has sent European futures surging and the fear is that this move would deepen the energy crisis and clog agreements worth hundreds of millions of euros every day. In simple words, we are likely to see higher energy prices which means more inflation and gold traders are watching that closely,” said Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at AvaTrade.
Economic data due out later will keep investors sidelined, Aslam added, forecasting weekly jobless claims at around 210,000 and US durable goods orders down by 0.5%.
“Investors are (also) keeping a close watch on the NATO's emergency meeting. President Joe Biden is traveling to Europe to increase pressure on Russia and provide support for a ceasefire,” he concluded.
11.45am: P&O boss may accept bonuses despite mass and immoral sacking
P&O boss Peter Hebblethwaite admitted he receives a £325,000 base salary per year and is in contention for two bonus schemes, which he was undecided on whether to accept.
When questioned on bonuses by MPs following the company’s mass sacking of 800 employees without any notice, Hebblethwaite commented "I can't tell you how far that is from my thoughts."
"I don't know the answer to that. I don't know," he added, which brought uproar on the potential of his acceptance of possible bonuses.
He also admitted that the company’s average hourly pay for new workers is £5.15 an hour, and when asked if he could survive on that, he failed to respond.
Hebblethwaite said it did not consult unions as the company knew they would not approve the sackings.
11.10am: Barratt, Berkeley and Persimmon fall as they're urged to fund cladding repair
Housebuilders Barratt Developments PLC (LSE:BDEV), Berkeley Group Holdings PLC (LSE:BKG) and Persimmon PLC (LSE:PSN) are all down today as one of the city’s largest investment firms call on them to fund the cladding repair.
According to Sky News, a letter from abrdn to the Footsie listed companies said it wanted them to “carefully consider providing additional financing for all affected buildings built by in the last 30 years, regardless of their height or current ownership, in order to accelerate remediation work to remove the burden on leaseholders".
Pressure from the investment company adds to comments made by Michael Gove earlier this year, who wanted the industry to pay £4bn to repair the properties across the country that required improved cladding.
A paper commissioned by PwC earlier this month, however, estimated the bill to come in at less than £1bn which boosted the property developers at the time.
The report also noted that the government and private companies would be expected to chip in, with the former to contribute because of regulatory failing that allowed the housebuilders to cut corners in the name of profits in the first place.
Barratt is down 1.12% to 530p, Berkeley is down 0.58% to 3,960p and Persimmon is down 0.31% to 2,220p.
10.38am: Shell to invest in green energy
Shell PLC (LSE:SHEL, NYSE:SHEL) rose 1% on news that it intends to plough £25bn into UK energy over the next decade, with 75% of that on low-carbon products including hydrogen and offshore wind.
"These investments, subject to board approval, aim to propel the UK closer to net-zero and help to ensure security of supply whilst stimulating economic growth and jobs," David Bunch, Shell UK country chairperson, said.
He added that it will need “stable political discourse” and urgency from the government to accelerate the shift away from non-renewable energy sources.
This came following the company’s decision to sever ties with Russia, via its vows to stop buying the country’s oil, offload its Rosneft (LSE:ROSN) stake and end its Gazprom joint venture, following its invasion of Ukraine.
10.05am: UK sanctions 65 more elite Russian individuals and businesses
The UK foreign secretary announced a further 65 sanctions on Russian individuals and businesses, targeting strategic industries, banks and business elites.
According to a statement, the sanctions “target key industries supporting Russia’s illegal invasion, including Russian Railways and defence company Kronshtadt, the main producer of Russian drones.”
“Six more banks are targeted, including Alfa Bank whose cofounders include previously sanctioned oligarchs Mikhail Fridman, Petr Aven and German Khan. The world’s largest diamond producer Alrosa is also sanctioned.”
“Individuals sanctioned include the billionaire oil tycoon Eugene Shvidler, and Galina Danilchenko, who was installed by Russia as the ‘mayor’ of Melitopol is also sanctioned - the first time an individual has been sanctioned for collaboration with Russian forces currently in Ukraine.”
Foreign secretary Liz Truss said “All those sanctioned today will have their assets in the UK frozen which means no UK citizen or company can do business with them, and individuals subject to travel bans are also prohibited from travelling to or from the UK.”
“Today’s sanctions will bring the total global asset value of the banks the UK has sanctioned since the invasion to £500bn and the net worth of the oligarchs and family members in excess of £150bn.”
9.45am: Oil stocks lead Footsie
Footsie continue to trade healthily led by oil stocks after the crude price headed up towards US$120 barrel overnight. Results were mixed though private equity firm Bridgepoint was an early riser on its results.
Shares have been disappointing performers since its float but perked up 12% today as revenues rose by 41% and underlying profits by 72%.
The group’s main private equity funds committed €1.9bn to new investments and returned €2.9bn to its fund investors.
FTSE 100 up 21 at 7,482.
08:40:Footsie heads higher
The FTSE 100 was nudged higher in early trade on Thursday, though it was being put in the shade by the stock market in Moscow, which leapt higher after being closed for a month.
One month on from Russia's invasion of Ukraine the siege continues, with world leaders today convening for emergency summits of Nato, EU and European Council.
Moscow marked the passing of the month with the reopening of its stock market, which fell 45% on the first day of the invasion before being shutters, and was up 10% in early trade today, with a ban on short-selling and Russian brokerages also banned from allowing foreign clients sell securities.
Back in London, blue-chip shares had less support, but the Foosie was up 22 points or 0.3% to 7,483.
Top of the leaderboard were precious metals miner Fresnillo PLC (LSE:FRES) and drinks bottler Coca-Cola HBC, which has larges exposure to Russia.
Clothes retailer Next PLC (LSE:NXT) was down 3% after cutting it profits and sales forecasts for 2022/23 on the back of the war in Ukraine and slowing growth (read more).
6.32am: Slight rise expected
The FTSE 100 was being called slightly higher before trading got underway with picking over Rishi Sunak’s Budget likely to be the main focus.
Financial spread bet firms had the index up 11 points an hour before trading got underway, but that leaves a lot of time for the mood to change.
BP and Unilever going ex-dividend will also be a drag on the early movements.
The day after the Budget (read more) is often more instructive than the big headlines as economists pore over the detail, which is where the devil normally lies.
Already the Telegraph has pointed out that the chancellor is raising £33bn through an effective stealth tax on students after freezing the level at which their loan repayments begin.
This will help more than pay for the income tax cut planned for 2024 and the rise in national insurance thresholds, added the paper.
Elsewhere, US markets weakened after the hawkish tone of recent statements from Fed chair Jerome Powell concerning interest rates.
Asian markets were mixed towards the end of trading with Japan ahead but Hong Kong still overhung by the uncertainty over the Evergrande situation.
UK100 - A Big Test AboveIt's been a highly volatile period in the markets, with equities coming under severe pressure as a result of high inflation, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and the sanctions against it that followed.
The UK100 has shown more resilience than its European peers during that time, in part as a result of the UK having fewer trade ties - particularly oil and gas - and due to the weight of commodity stocks within the index. Soaring commodity prices are naturally beneficial for those companies, which has to an extent shielded them during the declines.
Of course, they haven't been entirely immune, particularly those with direct exposure to Russia. The weakness in the pound may have also helped given how much revenue from FTSE 100 companies is generated outside of the UK.
That said, the index has still fallen into correction territory during that time and below the 200/233-day SMA band. After seeing support around 6,800 we have seen a partial reversal of those losses, buoyed by talks between Ukraine and Russia which both sides suggest are making positive progress.
It is now running into resistance in a very interesting area on the chart. The 50% Fibonacci retracement - February highs to March lows - falls around the 200/233-day SMA band which is now being tested as resistance, having previously been support. A rejection of this level could be a very bearish signal while a break above here could be quite the opposite.
Ultimately, this is a very headline-driven market and volatility is expected to persist. If we do see a move above, 7,335-7,400 is the next big test, with the 61.8 fib, 55/89-day SMA band and prior resistance combining. A failure at the 50 fib could see attention shift back to 7,000 - a major psychological barrier, prior support and resistance, and roughly the mid-point of the recent lows and highs.
FTSE 100 - Continuing the slide lowerThe UKX ran above Jan 19 2022 highs only to reject, breaking the Feb 4 2022 low, initiating a market structure shift on the daily timeframe. Price continued to decline with Feb 24 being an extreme down day due to the events transpiring in Ukraine. I am looking for a retrace to 7280 -7360 before price continues to the down-side with Target 1 reaching for 7100, Target 2 reaching for 7000-6950 and the third and final target at 6800.
FTSE 100 (UKX) | The best target for correction🎯Hello traders, FTSE 100 (UKX) in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
It should be said that this symbol has entered a new phase and this is a descending phase.
But in the definition of the previous trend, three waves are formed in a zigzag pattern, the last wave of which, the c wave, is explained.
This c-wave formed its leading waves in the form of a channel and in the shape of a triangle, and we said that this structure is completed when the purple trend line and the bottom of our channels are broken down, and this happened.
Now, based on our count, we have formed five waves, which we recognize as wave 1 or wave a, depending on the continuation of the process.
We are now waiting for the correction of this wave, which is confirmed by breaking the trend line and the green circle, and then continues to make a wave as small as the current wave.
🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
FTSE Down But At SupportLast week we witnessed a 6.78% decline in the FTSE 100 and just a few hours into
this week, price has already declined 2.81%.
The major support of the daily 200 simple moving average failed to hold price up
last week so we must look at further levels of support.
Since May 2021 a low was formed at 6823 and has held strong ever since. There was
an attempt to break this level in July and September 2021, but they both failed.
Price has hit this level this morning and appears to be holding for now.
If there is strong buying at this point, it should be enough to push price back to the
upside, but for now, we just need to stand aside and see which direction price heads next.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
UKX | FTSE 100 (Additional 15% Drop)- The falling wedge is broken.
- Break below EMA50.
CRITICAL SUPPORT at EMA100/MA200 or 6959-6984.
If this support breaks, the 15% drop mapped on this chart becomes inevitable.
These markets close on weekends which means that this week we will have the worst close in years.
Nothing new here...
It is the same as with the SPX (S&P 500 Index), DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Average), NDX (Nasdaq), etc.
(Check Related Trade Ideas below this post.)
It is all going to crash BUT, it will recover after the crash.
Consider it a "financial detox".
Namaste.
FTSE FCPO Palm Crude Oil Futures #FCPO #FCPO1!Palm Crude Oil Futures FCPO short-term still looking bullish.
Profit Chip of PFT indicator at 38%, if surpass 50% greater chance to reach upper trend line resistance @5500
Bull Bear Energy (BBD) indicator show Dark Green bar turning into Light Green (momentum turns weak) - short term correction on way.
#fcpo #fcpo1! #bursasaham #palmoilfutures #commodities #tradingfutures #ftseklci
#technicalanalysis #technicalindicator #technicalchart #mcdx #bbd #trendline #chartpattern
Disclaimer:
This published Idea is solely for the purpose of opinion sharing only, and should not be used as investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Get your trade advise from a legit broker, your trade is solely your own responsibility.
Thank you.
UK 100 CORRECTION AND VWAP BOUNCE, GOOD R:R SHORT OPPORTUNITYThe risk off is continue. USD very strong while indeces drops in previous session. Incoming rate hike.
UK100 VWAP BREAK SHORT OPPORTUNITY, GOOD R:RMarket are reacting to the persistence/implications of inflationary pressures which are still building. With the rise oil price and 10Y above 1.80%. This will create Risk-Off today for Indeces.