Unlocking Opportunities: UK100 Supply and Demand AnalysisHello Traders,
Critical Zone Breakout from Supply Zone Indicates Potential Upside Momentum, While Failure to Respect Signals Downside Pressure Ahead.
We have 2 Demand Zones, and A Supply Zone. If The Price Breaks The Supply Zone, Take Entry While Retesting OR Pullback of The Move Otherwise If It Respects The Supply Area Then Look For The Short Entries!
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FTSE
Will this UK100 dip attract bulls?UK100GBP - 24h expiry
Short term bias is mildly bullish.
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A lower correction is expected.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 7640 level.
We look to Buy at 7635 (stop at 7605)
Our profit targets will be 7710 and 7735
Resistance: 7750 / 7880 / 7950
Support: 7640 / 7560 / 7500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
UK100 FTSE Technical Analysis & Trade Idea (see previous video)The UK100 has reached a critical resistance level and is showing signs of being overextended, particularly on the daily time frame. I foresee a potential retracement and am currently seeking a short opportunity against the prevailing trend. For a comprehensive analysis of this setup, please refer to my recent video post.
UK100 FTSE Technical Analysis & Trade Idea#UK100 Observations:
- Monthly and weekly charts indicate weakening bullish momentum.
- Significant resistance encountered at a key level suggests a potential reversal.
- 61.8 Fibonacci retracement zone identified as a logical downside target.
Trade Idea:
- Short position on the #FTSE.
- Place stop-loss above recent swing high.
- Primary target: Previous swing low on the daily (1D) chart for a 3:1 risk-to-reward ratio.
- Consider partial profit closure at the 1:1 risk-to-reward level.
Important Disclaimer:
This analysis offers a technical perspective and not direct financial advice. Conduct thorough market research and implement sound risk management strategies before executing trades.
UK100 8 hours short rips/rallies tp 7350🔸Hello traders, this is 8hour chart of UK100. Recently trading in well-defined
trading range, risk/reward flipped in bears favor after we got rejection near
range highs, therefore recommend to focus on sell setups.
🔸Range highs set at 7660, range lows set at 7350, premium prices overhead
at 7700 and 7750, below at 7250 and 7300. Trading now near range highs.
🔸Recommended strategy bears: focus on short selling rips/rallies, bears
will target re-test of range lows near/at 7350. strong risk/reward on sell side.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
FTSE to find buyers at market price?UK100GB - 24h expiry
The correction lower is assessed as being complete.
Further upside is expected.
Short term RSI has turned positive.
A move through 7725 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 7775.
We look to Buy at 7710 (stop at 7670)
Our profit targets will be 7810 and 7830
Resistance: 7725 / 7750 / 7775
Support: 7700 / 7685 / 7675
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
US30 LongsUS30 is breaking All-Time-Highs.
Trend is still Bullish.
Market opened with bullish momentum; waiting for retracement to enter long positions.
Aggressively enter new long positions once original position is in profit and has found support.
Avoid entering new positions if original position is negative.
Stop loss placed under bullish breakout.
SPX LongsMarket has been breaking All-Time-Highs.
Overall Market Trend is still bullish.
Same sized retracements (indicated by green trend-lines) have printed, along with a subsequent bullish breakout, confirm continuation of uptrend.
Invalidation at 4733.3 (stop loss placed)
No profit target (new highs cannot be accurately determined at this time).
Aggressively enter new positions once original position is in profit and has found support.
Avoid entering new positions if original position goes negative.
Look for similarities in US30, NAS100, FTSE, DAX & NIKKEI.
A downturn is imminent - 10 Year Treasury Note based analysisIn recent years, many of us acknowledge that the term "recession" has been appearing in news and social media outlets at an increasing rate. While it acts as great clickbait, most sources tend to avoid to avoid a more fundamentals data driven approach, but rather are preferential an opinionated viewpoint from which their viewers can relate. Here I propose a more decisive graphical proof of why I believe some sort of downturn is on the (medium term) horizon, using the 10 year US treasury bond as the foundation, and comparing its recent movements to other typical recession indicators at a long timeframe.
The top graph shows the US YoY interest rate divided by the US 10 year note. Bonds and the interest rate are very closely economically correlated, deviations in the ratio between these two factors provides a very strong indicator (historically) for recession territory. 7 out of 8 times where the white line around 1.2 has been crossed on the 3M chart, as shown by the bottom graph, unemployment is quick to follow with rapid and sharp increases (beginning from red vertical lines).
This white line acts as the point of no return for the economy medium term. The maximum threshold by which historically the balance of the economy tips in one direction, bursting bubbles in favor of what people call a recession, and eventual return to an equilibrium (stability). This was hit in December 2022. While its very hard to tell the exact point where the downturn begins after this point, its obvious (based off this chart alone) one is around the corner.
By no means is this solid proof of anything in the future, but a very simplified graphical comparison between the ratio of two major economic data trends and their historical impact on the rate unemployment. If these historic trends continue to remain strong (as they have done with 88% accuracy since 1971) we should expect a significant economic downturn on the medium term timeframe, between 3-18 months from now. This is not financial advice, derive what you will from this data, let this idea act only as a point of interest - however, I urge sensible and thoughtful investing/trading on medium/short term timeframes with a bias towards the downside and continues high volatility.
FTSE Close to a major bullish break-out. Be ready.It's been almost 2 months since we last looked into FTSE 100 (UK100) but the index didn't fail to deliver as it hit our 7535 target (see chart below) and got rejected inside the 6-month Resistance Zone:
Despite the inability so far to break above the 7690 - 7750 Resistance Zone, the index did succeed at making the first important bullish break-out above the Lower Highs trend-line of the All Time High (ATH). Breaking above the Resistance Zone would be the second and final bullish signal but the rejection so far has made it test the first Support on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) right below. In fact the two are close to forming a 1D Golden Cross, with the last registered occurrence being on December 28 2022.
In fact as you can see, the two sequences (current and October - December 2022) are so far quite similar. Once the Resistance Zone broke in January 2023, the rally extended almost as high as the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. As a result, any pull-back after the current Resistance Zone breaks, is technically a buy signal. Our long-term target is 8300 (slightly below the 1.382 Fibonacci level).
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UK100 to continue in the upward move?UK100 - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
The trend of higher lows is located at 7400.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 7575 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 7620.
We look to Buy at 7545 (stop at 7505)
Our profit targets will be 7645 and 7665
Resistance: 7575 / 7600 / 7620
Support: 7540 / 7525 / 7510
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FTSE to find buyers at market?UK100 - Intraday
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Short term RSI has turned positive.
A move through 7425 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 7525.
We look to Buy at 7365 (stop at 7315)
Our profit targets will be 7485 and 7515
Resistance: 7425 / 7475 / 7525
Support: 7400 / 7340 / 7320
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FTSE REMAINS INDECISIVEIn the reported financial update, the FTSE 100 index experienced a slight decline of 0.11% to close at 7,401.72 on Wednesday. This drop was primarily driven by weaknesses in the financial and mining sectors but was partially offset by robust results in the retail sector. Notable companies such as National Grid, BP, Shell, Anglo American, and Fresnillo contributed to the index's decline. In contrast, Marks & Spencer reported a significant surge in first-half profits, leading to an almost 9% increase in its share price. Other retailers like JD Wetherspoon saw strong sales growth, while ITV reported modest revenue improvement but faced a 6% drop in its share price.
Additionally, the economic news highlighted Eurozone retail sales declining for the third consecutive month, with notable drops in non-food products and automotive fuel, though August's figures were revised upward.
On the technical side, RSI is in the neutral zone, but MACD is showing buy signals. In case of Bullish movement, the price might reach levels of 7491. As a pivot point might be considered 7409, from where the price might fall to 7351.
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FTSE100 - Long Signal (Relief Rally)FTSE100 D1
Buy some came into play late last week, following the latest stock dump, we have since started to bounce following an upside gap, pushing as much as 1.7R, but sat at a current 1.3R.
Eyes on FTSE100, we may see a second attempt bounce from that 7265 support price. It's going to be a busy week, I can't stress that enough, with all the risk events, economic data and earning figures to come out, NFP, AE and UE figures Friday too.
FTSE Last drop before buying for the medium-term.The FTSE 100 Index (UK100) delivered a strong short-term buy signal last time we looked at it (see chart below):
The index has been since rejected twice on the Lower Highs trend-line of what is almost a year long Descending Triangle. We will wait for a test of the Support Zone, ideally when the 1D RSI tests its Higher Lows trend-line and buy for the medium-term. Our target is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 7535.
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