FTSE has broken out of a channel - Looking to sell a re-test. UK100 is Bearish - We look to Sell at 5867
▪️ Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
▪️ We have a 38.2% Fibonacci pullback level of 5872 from 6209 to 5664.
▪️ Negative overnight flows lead to an expectation of a weaker open this morning.
▪️ Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 5867, resulting in improved risk/reward.
▪️ Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Stop: 5917
Target1: 5637
Target2: 5530
FTSE
FTSE Triangle pattern breakout oportunityOANDA:UK100GBP [/symbol Triangle breakout opportunity
several indications on eminent breakout
- Last two weeks candles closed bearish hanging man
- Seems like we finaly reached the end of this triangle patter build up
- Macd divergency
- RSI divergency
it can go either way but the last two week candles combined with the MACD & RSI divergencies indicate a possible breakout on the short side.
The fundamentals are also no good so we have a good oportunity here to set up our shorts long.
Strategy:
- wait for confirmation of the breakout and possibly a retest
- Place small position for long target Profit2
- Place a normal position aiming the Profit1 target
UK100 - Late Rally Changes Nothing (Yet)We've seen a bounce in the UK100 in the final hours of trading on Monday but I'm far from convinced this changes the near-term outlook for the index.
Firstly, the MACD and stochastic on the 4-hour chart don't suggest there is enormous momentum behind the move, even if it is still early on.
Secondly, no key resistance levels have been broken. Of course, there's plenty of time for this to happen but until it does, this is still a chart that looks vulnerable to the downside.
Should the downside materialize, the same levels apply, with 5,500 being the first test and 5,350 below looking an important level.
As far as the upside goes, small gains don't change the outlook unless we see a clear break of 6,000. This would wipe out the previous highs and break the 200/233 simple moving average band in the process, at which point the outlook would look much more bullish.
At this point, 6,200 would appear to represent the next test for the index, with 6,500 being a major level above.
FTSE 100 - Top of the shop?Short sellers squeezed out?
Head and shoulders top forming?
I personally like speculating on what I think could be a right shoulder in a head and shoulders top pattern. Especially when the (potential) right shoulder squeezes into a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Selling FTSE between 5860-5877 if I can. Stops above the highs.
The measured move target is at 5110.
UK100 - Bear Market Rally or Market Bottom?It's been quite a 24 hours in stock markets, with risk appetite suffering due to a combination of factors including earnings and global recession warnings. This was always going to test this new-found bullishness in the markets.
As always, these may have been the catalyst for the sell-off but there will be other underlying factors as well. For example, just prior to stocks turning red, the Dow has made up 50% of those remarkable losses incurred in late February/early March and peaked around 24,000. It's not altogether surprising that this was viewed as a good time to take some cash off the table, especially going into an incredibly unpredictable earnings season.
Whatever the reason, the break of the trend line suggests the near-term trend has shifted and stocks may come under a little pressure. The 55 and 89 SMA band on the 4-hour chart could be an interesting first test, coinciding with prior support and resistance, potentially even triggering a little retracement to the upside. But if that's all it is - and I suspect it may be - the real test lies around 5,350.
This is the 50% retracement level of the move from the lows to this week's peak and could tell us whether this is a bear market rally or a bottomed market with strong upside potential. A break of 50% doesn't confirm the former, it should be stressed, but it would certainly strengthen the case. Below here 5,200 will be interesting (61.8%).
FTSE EURO TOP 100 new lows ahead - critical junctureFollowing the path previously posted here, E100 is starting minor wave 5 down that should push the index to around 1972. The alternative scenario is tat where we read 4 it is wave A up, in this case we could see another leg up before this decrease. Keep tuned ! FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
FTSE100 Targeting Major Support Level Global indices have all be selling off and Europe has been one of the most affected areas. Technicals are showing that the FTSE100 is ready to retest sub 5,000 levels.
Look for short around 5600 - 5450, The formation of a descending wedge has been broken wait for a spike higher before entering any short positions.
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Really appreciate it
Connor
CN50 Bullish Continuation!China commerce ministry says production of auto, auto parts have fully resumed! This is china's way of saying that they have defeated the virus and we have moved on, so expect that to be reflected in the data.
FTSE CHINA A50 Possible Price Rebound?Price was within the descending channel for this equity index and lately, china had done very well combating the virus outbreak and it has lower death rate comparing to Italy and thousand have already been recovered where new cases weren't escalating the way it used to like past. This all proves that china is one of a great nation around the world which may prolly rise back first from this global pandemic chaos in the near future. It was the origin of that cruel virus and people have suffered a lot in the past which I believe the virus cases have reached its peak till today and nothing can get more worst if they continue holding this virus within the jar till the vaccine development. The easing of restrictions comes as Hubei reported that new infections dropped to zero on March 19. A dramatic plunge from the height of an epidemic that’s infected around 81,171 Chinese and killed over 3,277 but recovered 73,159 (which is a great achievement) on the date report 2020 March 24. China to lift lockdown over virus epicenter Wuhan on April 8 allowing transportation to resume for the city. All these positive changes in china let me feel that it may help domestic equities to run smoothly in the near weeks or months creating a rebound on the price action for this index. At least for short to mid-term even if it's not an overall reversal it may have probabilities to create new swing highs.
FTSE Decision Time...I believe this downward trend line is extremely significant, I would not consider a long position until it has broken it, and even then I would expect a retest if this structure.
I would target a profit in the region of 5850-6030 if it does break.
Should the TL hold firm I would expect a move to 4,000 fairly sharpish.
FTSE potential pullbackSo today USA pours massive funds into the system and markets responding by a having a good pullback.
We are massively oversold, a pullback could be due.
Seeing a technical resistance here to potentially pullback to 5700 and 6000.
Of course still dependant from the virus, any news about spikes in UK area could drag it down.
Good Luck!
FTSE100 Long Trade AnalysisI am looking at a potential bullish set up for the FTSE100.
Technically there is a nice key price level at this zone around 6000. The lower 1hr timeframe shows price bouncing off an intraday support level and if the upper bearish trendline is broken then we could see some movement to the upside.
There is also a lot of fiscal stimulus coming from the UK government budget and preparations for corona virus to be controlled.