FTSE morning fallLast time FTSE do the same pattern fall fairly down , I suggest it will do the same pattern.
FTSE
FTSE trade updateAfter yesterday's news from USA, that they back Hong Kong's bill, China said they will retaliate if it becomes a law. Tensions arise and we are back in risk off mood.
Now approaching big support soon and 200SMA. A break lower for a short. A bounce of support before continuation may offer earlier entry with better risk-reward.
Good Luck!
SSE - Electrifying potential gainsBuy SSE (SSE.L)
SSE plc is engaged in producing, distributing and supplying electricity and gas, as well as other energy-related services to homes and businesses in Great Britain and Ireland.
Market Cap: £13.35Billion
SSE broke above resistance on a move above 1237p back in October. The shares have since corrected to retest the new support and now appear to be attracting fresh buying interest. The close above the 10EMA and the completion of a bullish flag suggests that more upside is likely in the short term.
Stop: 1223p
Target 1: 1330p
Target 2: 1477p
Target 3: 1625p
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Bellway - Building momentumBuy Bellway (BWY.L)
Bellway plc is a major UK residential property developer based in Newcastle upon Tyne. It is listed on the London Stock Exchange and is a constituent of the FTSE 250 Index.
Market Cap: £3.9Billion
The medium-term trend is bullish on Bellway. The shares have corrected lower in recent weeks and appears to have found some support at 3125p. There was strong move higher in yesterday’s session and further upside towards resistance at 3710p is expected in the short term.
Stop: 3078p
Target 1: 3600p
Target 2: 3710p
Target 3: 3800p
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FTSE MIB Triangle Breakout!INDEX:FTSEMIB is clearly breaking out a perfect triangle pattern, and this is a confirmation that a long position would be the best opportunity for a long term investment for this year... I think the best would be:
Open a long position
Keeping it up for one year max
Closing the position before (10 days before min) the falling wave that comes after the triangle pattern.
Happy trading to all!
What do you think it'll happen after the triangle breakout? Would you do a totally long position or maybe use some oscillations to maximize profit? What about the leverage? I think that a 2x leverage would be the best and the safest option for this position.
A50 hit A new high this year, A bull market is far away?Today, the a50 futures index of Singapore hit a new high in 2019, which represents the Chinese blue chip stocks. In the past four years, the index has been showing strong characteristics. A big convergence triangle has reached the end, and if it breaks through 15000, it will form a breakthrough trend. We know that China is revamping A series of financial regulations to attract international capital inflows, and the continued increase in flows through Hong Kong over the past few months shows that foreign investors are bullish on China's a-shares.
So what is the logic? After China's economic stagnation, actually I have been calling for everyone to see how A shares, when economic recession period, the theory of capital outflow is inevitable, but China is not the same, because there are all kinds of control measures, leading to the freedom of capital flows to the developed market, so in the case of domestic capital couldn't go out, can only choose A relatively safe investments, and the economic recession period, the influence of real estate investment and industrial investment suffered more serious, and as A light assets of the securities investment become relatively flexible choice. So from this point of view, A shares are more suitable for the current capital choice. And we also know that after Japan signed the plaza accord with the United States, the economy suffered a major blow, but the nikkei index has a bull trend, this is the characteristics of securities assets.
But on the other hand, China still has A lot of room for reform. Financial reform is one of the most important targets. Therefore, in the context that the Chinese government is in urgent need of capital securitization, a-shares naturally become the first choice for investment.
So I believe in the next 3-5 years, A shares will show A slow bull trend, but this slow bull trend will have several characteristics
1, differentiation is more and more obvious, garbage shares will lie down on the floor, and will not appear before the reincarnation phenomenon, do not hope garbage shares pheasant into phoenix, because the board has implemented the quasi-registration system, shell resource value dropped significantly
2, innovation is the main melody, with the deepening of China's economic reform, technology innovation is an inevitable trend, whether import substitution, or the industrial upgrading, has a huge space, and 5 g based on Internet of things will be in 10 years to become the foundation of the global economy increase, China will not give up this chance, relevant industry faces huge opportunity
3. The correct exchange rate of capital will be greatly improved, and the quality of Chinese listed companies will also be greatly improved. With the entry of international capital, the standard level will be continuously improved, and the mode of forcing reform will be more obvious
Above all, I think the a-share market is full of opportunities, we should grasp well, look at the past four years, although after the crash, A series of deleveraging brings the pain, but we also see the a-share phenomenon is more and more good, maotai such soft gold value recognition is A good phenomenon, and apple so great company, also can appear in China.
WH Smiths - Travelling towards 2600p?Buy WH Smiths (SMWH.L)
WH Smith PLC is a United Kingdom-based retailer in convenience, books and news for travelling customers. The Company is a high street stationer, bookseller and newsagent. The Company operates through two segments: High Street and Travel. The Company's Travel business sells its products to cater for people on the move or in need of a convenience offer.
Market Cap: £895Million
WH Smith's share price appears to have completed a triple bottom on the move above resistance at 2164p. In recent days the shares have corrected lower to find support at the neckline of the pattern. The projected upside target is at 2436p and beyond that 2604p. The momentum continues to be positive following upbeat results posted on the 17th of October. Higher prices are expected.
Stop: 2130p
Target 1: 2324p
Target 2: 2436p
Target 3: 2600p
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Elementis - A break above 167.9p and it will be in its element.Buy Elementis (ELM.L)
Elementis plc is a United Kingdom-based specialty chemicals company. The Company operates through two segments: Specialty Products and Chromium. The Specialty Products segment provides functional additives to the coatings, personal care and energy markets.
Market Cap: £895Million
The bearish momentum in Elementis appears to have slowed in recent weeks. It’s an early call, but I think a bottom pattern could be about to complete. The shares posted an impressive turnaround from the lows in yesterday's session to form a large hammer candle. A break of resistance at 167.9p should get things going on the upside. The medium-term target is up at 209p.
Stop: 139.6p
Target 1: 175p
Target 2: 198p
Target 3: 209p
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Just Group - Just about to explode?Buy Just Group (JUST.L)
Just Group plc, formerly JRP Group plc, is a financial services company. Its segments are insurance, other segments and corporate activities. The insurance segment writes insurance products for the retirement market, which include guaranteed income for life solutions and defined benefit de-risking solutions, care plans, and drawdown contracts, and invests the premiums received from these contracts in corporate bonds, lifetime mortgage advances, and other financial investments.
Market Cap: £660.9Million
Just Group has been in the process of forming a bottom pattern for the past couple of months. The break above resistance at 57.50p confirms the pattern and projects an upside move to 79.30p over the short to medium term. There is also an unfilled gap at 96.50p, which formed when the company posted disappointing results. I like the prospects of recovery from here.
Stop: 54p
Target 1: 72.75p
Target 2: 79.30p
Target 3: 96.50p
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Balfour Beatty - Share price about to crumble?Sell Balfour Beatty (BBY.L)
Balfour Beatty plc is an infrastructure company that provides maintenance, upgrade and management services in power transmission, utilities infrastructure, and road and rail. The Company operates through three segments: Construction Services segment, which is engaged in the physical construction of an asset; Support Services segment, which is engaged in supporting existing assets or functions, such as asset maintenance and refurbishment, and Infrastructure Investments segment, which is engaged in the acquisition operation and disposal of infrastructure assets, such as roads, hospitals, schools, student accommodation.
Market Cap: £1.57Billion
Balfour Beatty is trading in a long-term downtrend on the chart and is currently at the upper end of a bearish triangle pattern. The price action has been slightly bullish in recent weeks as the shares gapped higher in August on results. Crest Nicholson today posted a profit warning and expect profits to dip over the next 2 years. That could be a warning shot to all construction companies in the UK. We would prefer to reduce exposure to anything construction related at present and look at speculative short positions.
Stop: 242p
Target 1: 202.4p
Target 2: 184.6p
Target 3: 168.2p
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easyJet - Ready to take off again?Buy EasyJet (EZJ.L)
easyJet plc is a United Kingdom-based low-cost airline carrier. The Company operates as a low-cost European point-to-point short-haul airline. The Company operates through its route network segment. The Company operates on over 820 routes across more than 30 countries with its fleet of over 250 Airbus aircrafts.
Market Cap: £4.77Billion
Having completed a large inverse head and shoulders bottom in the middle of September the shares have been on a great run. The recent spike to highs of 1330p was met with some profit-taking. The correction lower has been quite shallow, and the price now appears to have broken higher from a pennant pattern. This is considered a continuation pattern and therefore the expectation is for further upside in the short to medium term.
Stop: 1171p
Target 1: 1383p
Target 2: 1505p
Target 3: 1600p
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UK Market - Impulse move in the making.Two points of view are provided in the chart as two scenarios are both likely.
Upside has a target of £10,000, Pivot level at £6,000 and downside target of £4,500.
The wedge, price stalling and curvature of the price action up to the wedge, tells that there is a possibility for a rejection from a recovering bull market and into a financial recession. Fundamental data will appropriately explain and show which direction the FTSE takes.
Personally neutral on this, both are likely in my playbook - however I think there's more reason for recovery and continuation upwards because of geopolitics more than technical analysis.
Ultra Electronics - Attack the best form of defence?Buy Ultra Electronics (ULE.L)
Ultra Electronics Holdings plc provides solutions and products in the defense and aerospace, security and cyber, transport and energy markets, by applying electronic and software technologies. The Company operates in three segments: Aerospace & Infrastructure, Communications & Security, and Maritime & Land. Its market facing segments are Aerospace, Infrastructure, Nuclear, Communications, C2ISR, Maritime, Land and Underwater Warfare.
Market Cap: £4.79Billion
The medium-term trend is bullish on Ultra Electronics. The shares have consolidated in recent weeks, forming an ending wedge pattern on the daily chart. The break above the upper boundary of the wedge is a bullish signal. We expect to see further upside over the coming weeks and months with a move towards new highs.
Stop: 1830p
Target 1: 2290p
Target 2: 2350p
Target 3: 2500p
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Hikma Pharmaceuticals - Injecting some bullish momentum.Buy Hikma Pharmaceuticals (HIK.L)
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC develops, manufactures, and markets pharmaceutical products. The Company offers branded and non-branded generic and in-licensed pharmaceutical products. Hikma Pharmaceuticals serves customers worldwide.
Market Cap: £4.79Billion
The long-term trend on Hikma remains bullish. The corrective move lower in recent weeks has found some support at the 38.2% Fibonacci level. The posting of a bullish engulfing candle while simultaneously breaking from a wedge pattern is bullish for short term sentiment. Further upside is expected from here, targeting the previous highs at 2345p from 15th March 2017.
Stop: 1920p
Target 1: 2210p
Target 2: 2345p
Target 3: 2400p
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FTSE100: Double Buy Target.The index has broken above both the 1D MA50 and MA200 this week and 1D turned bullish (RSI = 57.795, MACD = 3.690, Highs/Lows = 85.3366) towards the 7,440 Resistance. It appears to be repeating the April - July sequence, currently being at the start of the final (and most aggressive) bullish leg. The obvious short term target is the 7,440 Resistance but in our opinion, and with the 1D RSI potential, if the 1D candle that breaks the Resistance closes above that level, we can extend the uptrend as high as 7,620.
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FRES Coiling Long TermFresnillo is still coiling on the weekly, likely to last into 2020 before any sign of a true breakout. Significant weakening of the USD - likely given their 'not-QE' $120B stimulus package - will lead to a rush to relatively cheap gold.
Compass Group - Buying the dip to the long term trend line.Buy Compass Group (CPG.L)
Compass Group PLC provides food and support services. The Company's segments include North America, Europe, Rest of World and Central activities. The Europe segment includes Turkey and Russia. The Rest of World segment includes Japan. The Company delivers services in sectors, including business and industry; healthcare and seniors; education; defense, offshore and remote, and sports and leisure.
Market Cap: £31.19Billion
Compass is trading in a fantastic long-term uptrend and this is showing no signs of stopping. The latest correction appears to have found some buying support at the long-term trend line. We expect the shares to rally towards the upper end of the corrective channel before eventually breaking higher towards new highs.
Stop: 1890p
Target 1: 2050p
Target 2: 2145p
Target 3: 2250p
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Bearish Idea on FTSE China A50 by ThinkingAntsOk4H CHART EXPLANATION:
We observe that price has bounced at the Daily Top level and was rejected strongly. We are waiting for a breakout of the Ascending Trendline to take short positions here. In the short term, the potential targets are the Support Zone, and the main ascending Trendline.
NMC Health - One to watchBuy NMC Health (NMC.L)
NMC Health plc is a private healthcare services provider in the United Arab Emirates. The Company operates through two segments: healthcare and distribution & services. The healthcare segment is engaged in providing professional medical services, comprising diagnostic services, in and outpatient clinics, provision of all types of research and medical services in the field of gynecology, obstetrics and human reproduction and retailing of pharmaceutical goods. It also includes the provision of management services in respect of a hospital.
Market Cap: £5.68Billion
NMC Health appears to be forming a bottom pattern on the daily chart. A break above resistance at 3016p is required to complete the pattern, which as this stage is still in the ‘one to watch’ category. The completion of an inverse head and shoulders bottom pattern targets a move to 4325p over the short to medium term. Investors with a more speculative nature could buy at current levels to improve the upside potential. The idea would be invalidated on a move below 2420p.
Stop: 2420p
Target 1: 3015p
Target 2: 3760p
Target 2: 4325p
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Persimmon - Looks set to re-build its share price.Technicals
Persimmon is holding at key support and showing signs of attracting value hunters. I also note the bullish divergence on the relative ratio (Persimmon share price / UKX). The price of sterling has been a drag on the shares and with GBP moving higher yesterday it could offer some relief to domestic stocks. Technically and fundamentally, Persimmon looks good value here.
Fundamentals
Persimmon currently ranks towards the top of our fundamental model with exceptional scores on value, profitability, momentum and quality metrics. The shares have underperformed the market over the past 1 to 3 months but we do not expect this to continue.
Pros
Ranks in the top 5 of our fundamental ranking model.
Canaccord Genuity reiterated ‘Buy’ advice on the 20th August with a price target of 2720p.
The business continues to produce steady cash flow and boasts a healthy dividend.
Cons
Sales have slowed in recent months.
Peel Hunt reiterated its hold rating on the 1st May 2019 with a price target of 2025p.
Complaints have been raised about the quality of Persimmon homes, this may act as a drag in the short term.
Stop: 1790p
Target: 2430p
IG Group - Inverse head and shoulders bottomBuy IG Group (IGG.L)
IG Group Holdings plc is a United Kingdom-based company, which is engaged in online trading. The Company provides contracts for difference (CFDs) in over 17 countries globally. The Company's segments include UK, Australia, Europe and Rest of World. The UK segment consists of its operations in the United Kingdom and Ireland, and derives its revenue from financial spread bets, CFDs, binary options and execution only stockbroking. The Australian segment derives its revenue from CFDs and binary options. The Europe segment consists of its operations in France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland, and derives its revenue from CFDs, binary options and execution only stockbroking.
Market Cap: £2.2Billion
IG has completed an inverse head and shoulders bottom pattern on the daily chart. The move higher stalled at 648 and has corrected lower towards the neckline of the pattern at around 580p. This also lines up with a couple of Fibonacci support levels. The bullish outside candle that has formed today suggests that further upside could be seen in the short term.
Stop: 555p
Target 1: 630p
Target 2: 733p
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Flowtech - Go with the floBuy Flowtech Fluidpower (FLO.L)
Flowtech Fluidpower plc is a United Kingdom-based distributor of technical fluid power products. The Company operates through two divisions: Flowtechnology, which is geographically split into Flowtechnology UK (FTUK) and Flowtechnology Benelux (FTB), and Power Motion Control (PMC). FTUK and FTB focus on supplying distributors and resellers of industrial maintenance, repair and operation (MRO) products, primarily serving urgent orders rather than bulk offerings. The PMC division is engaged in the design and assembly of engineering components and hydraulic systems, which are managed by component supply along with a service and repair function.
Market Cap: £64.98Million
Flowtech is trading in a neat range between 98.5p to 165.5p on the daily chart. The company pays a dividend, which is quite rare of a small cap business. The recent ex-dividend date has been shrugged off with no real impact on the share price. There is an unfilled gap at 120.5p, which is our first target, beyond that we believe the share price could climb towards 149.5p, then 165.5p.
Stop: 95p
Target 1: 120p
Target 2: 149p
Target 3: 165p
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