FTSE
FTSE Elliott Wave View: Buying Opportunity SoonHello Traders,
In this short-term analysis, we will have a look at the FTSE100.
FTSE cycle from 3/28 low is proposed to be completed at 7904 high in black wave ((1)), below from there the index is correcting that cycle & expected to find buyers in 7-11 swings provided the pivot at 6867 low in our proprietary distribution system stays intact.
Short-term it has ended the cycle from 05/22/18 peak (7904.55) at 05/29/18 low (7609.8) in blue wave (W) and ended the correction to that cycle in blue wave (X) at 06/04/18 peak (7774.2). While pullbacks stay below blue wave (X) peak, it is expected to see more downside to the equal legs - 1.236 extension area of blue ( W ) - ( X ).
We don’t like selling it and prefer buying the dips at the extreme areas in 7-11 swings as far as pivot at 3/26 low (6865.8) stays intact.
FTSE Biased Long for the 6th week in a rowWe've been suggesting FTSE long to clients for the past 6 weeks and the bias is still in play.
7800 is the main support zone currently. So long as it holds on any retracement,
the bias remains intact. GBP weakness is also helping this trade, since FTSE is priced in GBP.
FTSE100 UKX LONG WEEKLY TREND CONTINUATIONVery good opportunity to hop on the trend. Resistance becomes support previous High. Bullish on equities. 38.2% fib retracement. Target1 retest of structure T2 127.2% fib extension. 4H 2618 trade double topped with break of structure + retracement. GOOD LUCK
FTSE Upside limited, eyeballing a 30% correction via Hard BrexitHere actively looking to build a full sized position in UK Equities on the sell side.
=> Hard Brexit now sitting in 'done deal' territory.
=> All UK sectors are starting to cough and beckoning for help.
=> Expecting the shock to be felt in both the Equities market as well as the Pound (see related ideas).
=> This will detonate soon and provide a category 5 hurricane for little England.
There is a more detailed description in the related Sterling idea covering the political side as well as the fundamental side, I would highly recommend reading this for those tracking Brexit in FTSE and Pound. Things are going to get dark very soon.
FTSE (UKX): Its At A VERY Important Point! +320 Points Profit! If you follow the FTSE at all and you also follow my trades, well, you've been KILLING IT! We just closed our LONG trade on the Footsie and bagged another +320 points to go along with that +635 points whooper of a trade when we caught that collapse back in January. That is a +955 points profit on 2 trades! Yep, we are 100% on our trades in the FTSE so far since we started offering analysis on it. Do the math. Each point is worth £5.
Anyway, I'm not here simply to toot my own horn. Others here do that more than enough! I tell you about what I and my subscribers did simply so you will at least pay attention to what I have to say so that you may have some confidence that I know what I am talking about. Then maybe you might learn a thing or two from my posts. After all, I don't post for my own health!
Ok, so now that we have closed our trade and done everything EXACTLY according to our trading plan (do you have one? You BETTER before you ever take any trade!), we are out and are now waiting on what is to come next. And what is that? A possible BIG reversal back down! Maybe even bigger than what we made on the way up! It is now retesting that broken trend line of the broken trading channel it had previously been in for a some time. This is very typical price action in that prices will usually (but not ALWAYS! Nothing is 100%) retest whatever level, zone, formation, pattern or trend line it broke from. And then IF it gets rejected again (like a jilted lover), it will react violently and usually forcefully in moving away from that rejection point. And usually, that move in the opposite direction is not a simple retracement but rather a complete reversal in direction. That makes for a strong move away.
Yes, it certainly takes some skill, experience and expertise to recognize and differentiate from different types of price action in this setup but when you can recognize it and MORE IMPORTANTLY take advantage of it, you can score your self BIG WINNERS like we do!
So watch the trend line and prices and see what happens BEFORE you leap and take a SELL! You need PATIENCE! I can't emphasize that enough! PATIENCE! Remember also that this has been a strong uptrend and you don't want to go against such a move! Let it prove that it is done first!
FTSE 100 Interesting movementI do not trade this, neither I'm keen on it but looks interesting after a long way down, till where? perhaps boxes are the answer.
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7215 resistance now becomes supportWhilst its still volatile, the bulls have managed to break above the 7215 resistance level overnight on the TVC:UKX . That should in theory now become support and as long as the bulls can defend this level then a rise towards the next key resistance area at 7325 is possible. The S&P 1.10% has defined the drop to 2610 yesterday and testing 2650 again. Ball is firmly in the bulls court. A break lower below 7215 leads back towards 7100.
FTSE 100 LONG OR SHORT?!We could really go either way here guys!
Both Lucrative.
I think that prices could possibly go either way!
What have we got here...
You see if we went long, we could potentially reach highs of 7400.0, long term - 7600.0.
Which is much more lucrative than going short and buying back our shorts, as we could comfortably double up/triple up on our already winning position.
Let's wait and see what happens guys!
BHP Billiton - Short tradeBHP Billiton, is a trade that we are currently short on from 1408, utilising our absolute return strategy - Trend Following.
The chart shows lower highs and breaks to the DS of key horizontal & ascending TL support levels, which the market has failed to hold and has in turn broken further to the downside, after watching the pair consolidate within an equidistant price channel, Price broke down, outside of the EPC and closed below the 200 day EMA ! Giving scope for further downside, subject to price continuing to trade and hold below these two previous key levels of support, now resistance !!! Price closed below these two key levels.
As we are trend-following, we don't have a set 'take profit' area, however, if we look at where the market could be heading, we look towards the support levels at 1313. Here we expect price to enter a phase of consolidation / distribution, whilst the market digests the fundamentals and other technical patterns. IF price fails to hold this support level, we could look for BLT to be retesting the lows of April 2016 around 1100 !
A long-term trading opportunity to sell in E100. Wait to Hunt!!Technical analysis:
FTSE is in a downtrend, and the continuation of downtrend is expected.
The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
The RSI is at 45.
Trading suggestion:
The price is still in a downtrend and we forecast the downtrend would continue.
There is possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance zone (2900 to 2933), if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Beginning of entry zone (2900)
Ending of entry zone (2933)
Entry signal:
Signal to enter the market occurs when the price comes to "Sell zone" then forms one of the reversal patterns, whether "Shooting star" or "Peak" , in other words,
NO entry signal when the price comes to the zone BUT after any of reversal patterns is formed in the zone.
To learn more about "Entry signal" and special version of our "Price Action" strategy FOLLOW our lessons:
(We have started to prepare these lessons in TradingView. If you want us to continue, give us feedbacks!)
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 2851
TP2= @ 2806
TP3= @ 2764
TP4= @ 2717
TP5= Free
GVC looking for a bounce (not yet)News - #GVC GVC Holdings PLC, the multinational sports betting and gaming group, is pleased to announce that it has agreed to initially acquire 51% of the equity capital of Mars LLC
Analysis - Market discounting some sector consolidation and regulation - Im looking for price to bounce once we get through some of the noise - there is also a good fib S/R confluence to watch out for marked on the chart.
Trinity Mirror mat have based out #TNINews this morning
Group revenue fell by 12.6% to £623.2 million. On a like for like (2) basis revenue fell by 8.8% impacted by the weak print trading environment. Strong management of the cost base enabled adjusted operating margin to increase by 0.7 percentage points to 20.0% delivering an adjusted operating profit of £124.7 million. Statutory operating profit increased by 4.7% to £97.9 million.
Analysis - Although the news was not the best, it beat some analyst expectations. I think the market reaction shows we may have been expecting worse. longer term looks fo the 85p to provide some resistance - if the breaks it could be confirmation of a move higher.
London Stock Exchange post resultsLondon Stock Exchange plc reports FY17 Adj Op £812M vs exp £828M, Rev £1.77B vs exp £1.93B
- Organic Rev 10% y/y
- Capital makrets Rev £391M, +6% y/y
- Dividend 19% increase to 51.6p/shr
Could be a test of the recent value are look out for support levels as there has been a miss on expectations