FTSE 100 Medium Term Short: Divergence, BB, Missed PivotsThe FTSE 100 is trading near 6950, up more than 1200 points from the post-Brexit low of 5727.
Fundamentally, this is because of the sharp fall in Sterling.
However, technically, the FTSE 100 may be due for a correction.
It has relentlessly traded upwards, however:
1) There is strong resistance to be expected at 7000, a psychological round number.
2) There is divergence on the 4H chart at 6950.
3) The FTSE 100 has traded outside its 800-period BB on the 4H chart for more than 2 weeks.
4) There are multiple missed pivots, monthly and weekly, amidst the FTSE's post-Brexit rally.
This might suggest that we are due for a correction in the medium term, perhaps to the 6700 level.
If Sterling recovers, the correction may extend to 6300. However this is unlikely given a dovish BoE, quantitative easing and the market pricing in further interest rate cuts.
FTSE
7000 will be key weekly resistance zone for the FTSEAs "Brexit" vote didn't even happen, the UK index FTSE reached almost 2015's highs without even stopping at the 200 weeks MA line that should have acted as some sort of resistance... and failed.
Now, near 7000, the FTSE completes a bearish Bat pattern (weekly) and also testing the bottom of a trading channel that held the price in it throughout most of 2013-2014.
Interesting potential Sell Zone for the FTSE near 7000
See more details in this video - www.youtube.com
FTSE If the current high on the FTSE holds, i will be anticipating a 61.8% re-tracement (from the last area of supply and demand to the current high) this 61.8% also coincides with a daily breaker
Short Europe - FTSEShort risking last week's high. The central banks doing all they can but the world is in disarray and needs a breather.
FTSE 100 full recovery and ATH Inverted H+S - A break and close above 6818 would confirm further uptrend up to a possible of 7500 (considering 7128 is broken and closed above).
A retest of the neckline is a great buy opportunity and shorts should be below this neckline. If the neckline is broken, the pattern is invalidated at the downward pressure will commence.
GBPAUDPRICE ON THE DAILY CURRENTLY SITTING WITHING A MAJOR BUY ZONE, AS YOU CAN SEE BY THE POINTS HIGHLIGHTED IN SEPT 2015 AND ALSO 2014
ZOOMING IN A LITTLE THE DAILY CANDLE FOR FRIDAY TIRED A STRONG PUSH BEARISH POST NFP BUT THE 8/1 FAN ZONE KEPT IT IN CHECK FORMING A NICE DOJI. A BULLISH DAILY CANDLE TOMORROW WOULD INDICATE A HIGHER LOW AND WOULD INDICATE FURTHER BULLISH MOVES, ATLEAST TO THE .1.77 LEVEL.
I PERSONALLY AM LOOKING FOR AN EVENTUAL PUSH TOWARDS THE 0.51 FIB MARK AREA WITH A SL BELOW THE DAILY TRENDLINE WE BOUNCED OFF.
OVERSOLD POUND OVERBOUGHT FTSE
FTSE SHORTAn overbought ftse is due to fall, i am short at 6700 and todays strong test and pull back from the 3/1 level further confirms bearish sentiment, first tp is at 6400 and the second set just above major support zone 6200..
AEX daytimeframe february - july compare to FTSE index
If we look at the AEX we are seeing an uptrend, but if we look at the FTSE, we are seeing an breaking-out above the upward trendline. If we look at the RSI index we are seeing an really long trend the last time above our upper band. If we look at the MACD we have some pression the last semair.
If are looking aging at our stockimage in the bollinger bands there could come some moment were the MA will cross under the basis line of the Bollinger bands. This means that there could be some pression what can results in a downtrend.
Also Bloomberg has been uploaded some content about the bad politic situation in the UK when the prime minister is getting out. This can also result in a shockwave in financial markets (most likely is the markets that are in correlation with the FTSE)
Bearish FTSE from 7000There is every chance the FTSE could reach 7000. However, I am bearish the market (and global equities in general) and so would not be a buyer of this until there is indication that the market can come off. If we see the European banking crisis speeding up, or corporate debt issues coming to the fore, then this would certainly impact the FTSE and we would see the February low at 5489 be taken out.