VUKE Daily - trimmed back to u/weight waiting for better levelsI had used the green accumulation zone to add to my positions - after a successful run I have taken profit on the majority of holdings leaving me net underweight. I am hoping for a dip back to the red zone where I will look to start re-entering.
Ftse100
Will FTSE 100 finally breakout??!?!With a start of a new quarter..keep an eye on the FTSE 100.
Price has been consolidating since the start of the year, trading inside value for '21.
After selling off early in the year, price is back retesting 6800 yet again. A break above would be a very bullish signal, with continuation towards yearly highs a good possibility.
We are currently opening near last months VAH & POC, so should show its hand soon.
Watch and see how it plays out.
$UKX Hourly - Possible consolidation before final push higherMinor bearish RSI divergence has appeared on the hourly. Trend is still clearly up and full target of 6870 BUT momentum appears to be slowing. Taking some profit here on my longs and will look to add on a test of the green zone at 6780/6790.
FTSE 100 Edging Towards 7000The FTSE 100 has failed to break and close above the February 2018 low at 6536 for a number of months now.
You can see the December 2020 candle and the candles for January and February 2021 traded above this level
but ended the month by closing below this level.
With one more trading day of the month left to go, we may well finally see that close above 6536 and if this
is achieved then we should continue to see bullish moves in UK stocks.
Although the move up has been rather sluggish, price has gained good ground following the 22% decline we
experienced in February and March 2020 at the peak of the global pandemic. In March 2020 price continued
down and found support around the 5000 round number before moving back to the upside.
With a bullish end to this month’s candle, the next level of resistance is 7000 and following that we have
the all-time high at 7903, which is the May 2018 high. We will be able to get a better perspective of price
action once the candle for March closes and decide on which opportunities we want to take positions in.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
$UKX Hourly - Backtesting channel break We are currently testing Friday's channel break. Good RR levels to go long for those who currently don't have a position. Nice gap at 6780 I would like to see filled, as well as the full target of the bull flag and inverse H&S of 6870. We have seen some month end selling during the previous few months which is something to keep an eye on and more reason to keep stops tighter. On the other hand, this month may be different given it is tax year end in the UK. Summary: Long with a tight stop
UKX Hourly - Bullish picture intact despite yesterday's wobble Bottom of the red lateral support held despite yesterday's brief wobble lower. In hindsight it was a great buying opp for those that missed the morning's bullish confirmation. Still looking for full target of 6870 - however not in a straight line
CAD slides with oil as WTI slips back below $58 per barrelDuring today’s European trading session, the risk tone soured with EMEA indices negative across the board and measures of volatility elevated; although, safe haven currencies remained broadly weaker.
Leading European indices to the downside is the IBEX 35 at -1.13%, followed by the FTSE 100 at -0.94%, the Euro Stoxx 50 at -0.65% and the DAX and CAC 40 at -0.62% and -0.47%, respectively.
In the FX complex, despite the moderation from the risk on tone seen in the Asia-Pacific session, JPY is still the session’s laggard. However, with that said, against most counterparts, the safe haven has pulled off its worst levels.
Another notable underperformer on the session is CAD, with Reuters noting, “Canadian dollar holds near two week low as oil slides.” Indeed, WTI has relinquished the $60.00, $59.00 and $58.00 per barrel levels.
In contrast, GBP is currently leading the FX majors to the upside; however, analysts continue to voice concerns over tensions between the UK and EU which threaten the UK’s vaccination rollout.
Looking ahead, expect central bank rhetoric to remain a key theme of the day with numerous Fed speakers on the docket. Of course, expect developments in WTI to remain key for CAD and the overall risk tone to remain key for the antipodeans and safe havens.
VUKE Daily - Breaking higher but testing NB lateral resistanceI started scaling back in and increasing my weighting around 29 (green box) in the hope we would get the break higher we seeing now. Yesterday we saw the VHYL ETF be the first to break higher and VUKE appears to be following suit. Red lateral resistance is quite significant and I wouldn't be too surprised to see the ETF pause a bit at this level, consolidate, before powering higher. I have been adding and trimming continuously to this position (see comments on prior chart). I am happy to take profit on 25% of my holding here (given the resistance), and will look to re-add
FTSE100 - Triple bottom formedFollowing on from my previous idea, the FTSE has continued to show strength at this level of support.
A triple bottom has formed at what looks like the bottom of the cup in a cup and handle pattern.
If FTSE traders were bearish, the drop from the rising wedge would've been steeper. The news around the vaccine spat with the EU would've also likely caused a steepeer slide. However, because the bad news has been absorbed, we can assume traders are bullish (for now).
I think the only thing stopping the FTSE from moving up is the current fears around lockdown on the continent. Technically speaking, I like how the chart looks. Bulls seem to be defending the 6700 level well. Fundamentally, the fears over lockdowns worries me about this setup, but I'm still confident it will play out.
See chart for entries and exits
FTSE100 - Fresh highs incomingThe FTSE is currently sat at strong support. Sellers tried to push price lower, but the index was bought back up to form a pinbar (red arrow). Lower BB also sits at this point (see %B in bottom window).
Considering the lacklustre fall from the rising wedge and the subsequent pin bar, we can expect 6800 to break (see how long price spent lingering around the level).
The next resistance is ~6838, so a break and restest of the 6800 is likely and will be the perfect high probability entry.
An aggressive entry would be at open on Monday (I personally will probably take this based on the pinbar with a stop below the low).
Target is the psychological level of 7000, which acted as a strong support throughout 2019.
High prob:
Entry = 6805 when retesting the level
Stop = 6735
TP = 6800
R:R = 3
Aggressive:
Entry = 6720
Stop = 6642
TP = 6800
R:R = 4
Happy trading:) follow for more of this kind of stuff!
FTSE100 - Bullish long-term setup and the possible Nest- Possible Nest configuration with a double 1-2 of different degrees
- Regular Flat correction in wave 2 Sub-minuette
- Leading diagonale in wave 1 Micro and double Flat WXY in wave 2
- Price actually trying to cross the EMA's and to consolidate above them
- Breakout and consolidation above the ATH would let the market go!
Next important long term target around 12.000 area and invalidation level @ 3460.7
F T S
Friendly. Trading. System.
British Petroleum *BP Long Setup Long Setup at the bottom of a ascending channel for BP
4HR TF
Areas of confluence too include 200EMA
0.618 Fib pull from High to Low
Volume Profile *POC Point of Control
.618 Fib Speed fan
All confluences within the orange Box in the chart
Be responsible for your SL and Invalidation
Like and Follow is always appreciated
FTSE - Sell Signal 📉Entry details are shown on the chart.
We're only looking for TP3.
Trade history can be seen below this trade idea too for full transparency.
This isn't one of our main timeframes, but I'll be doing more testing on the H2 chart over the weekend.
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Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
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The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren
UKX Hourly - Bull flag targets 6870 Successful break and re-test of bull flag on the hourly chart. Higher lows in place, as well as a potential bullish inverse H&S building which will be confirmed with a close above 6700. A number of SL levels available depending on time frame and risk tolerance - index has been very volatile last few trading sessions. I will look to re-evaluate on an hourly close below 6590
UKX Hourly -Bearish engulfing BUT on triple support My natural bias would like to see the index pullback further here - as we have seen the 6600 level has been a magnate the past few trading sessions. The hourly bearish engulfing would support a short position, but we do have the index on a triple set of supports. I'm waiting on the sidelines hoping for better levels to buy into my ISAs and SIPPs