Confluence of resistance for RBSFor a more in-depth analysis, see:
www.quantiumresearch.co.uk
RBS ran into an almighty price barrier on Friday. Today it reversed over 2%. Look at the significance of this resistance. 3 components are shown in the chart:
1) Fibonacci fan line
2) 100-day moving average
3) 2.618 extension of a price gap.
The market has retested and responded to the 0.382 trendline from the fan 3 times before now. That makes it a validated trendline and solid resistance in its own right. When this was combined with the 100-day moving average, it gained even more significance. Now, the Fibonacci extension is measured not from a price range, but from a non-price range: a gap! The high of the top candle landed right on the 2.618 extension. This degree of confluence means something.
That being said, the market had completed 5 waves down and developed a bullish divergence on the RSI . If this means the downtrend is over, then today's turn to the downside may be short lived, even it it was initiated by a very strong area of resistance. A very interesting chart to keep an eye on.
Ftse100
An almighty price barrier for RBSRBS ran into an almighty price barrier on Friday. Today it reversed over 2%. Look at the significance of this resistance. 3 components are shown in the chart:
1) Fibonacci fan line
2) 100-day moving average
3) 2.618 extension of a price gap.
The market has retested and responded to the 0.382 trendline from the fan 3 times before now. That makes it a validated trendline and solid resistance in its own right. When this was combined with the 100-day moving average, it gained even more significance. Now, the Fibonacci extension is measured not from a price range, but from a non-price range: a gap! The high of the top candle landed right on the 2.618 extension. This degree of confluence means something.
That being said, the market had completed 5 waves down and developed a bullish divergence on the RSI. If this means the downtrend is over, then today's turn to the downside may be short lived, even it it was initiated by a very strong area of resistance. A very interesting chart to keep an eye on.
FTSE - Limited upsideTrade Idea
Prices are extending higher from the bullish flag/pennant formation.
We have a 61.8% Fibonacci pullback level of 7458 from 7020 to 7729.
Bespoke resistance is located at 7461.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a possible turnaround is possible.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
We look to Sell at 7460
Stop: 7495
Target 1: 7375
Target 2: 7300
UK Stock Index FTSE (Is the "Dead Cat Bounce" in a making?)View On UK Stock Index FTSE (9 Aug 2019)
Back Ground: A strong BEAR action is met with a strong reaction. Some people call it "Dear Cat Bounce".
Target(s): It can go UP to 7360/7400 as retest (or) you can wait at these regions for a possible SHORT.
SHTF: 7100/7170 region is good support.
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
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Thank You!
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JD Sports Now Out Of ConsolidationLast post: See link below.
Review: Price was in a period of consolidation.
Update: Price is currently trading out of consolidation.
Conclusion: As long as price can remain out of the consolidation zone, we should see a continuation of the previous uptrend.
Any comments or questions, do not hesitate to leave them below. Give us the thumbs up if you share our sentiments!
Sublime Trading
Boohoo Looking Strong AgainLast post: See link below.
Review: Price was stuck in a large period of consolidation and was not presenting any trading opportunities.
Update: Price has now broken out of consolidation, which lasted over 2 years, and looks interesting again.
Conclusion: We want the current support level to hold followed by a break of the previous high before we look for any long opportunities.
Any comments or questions, do not hesitate to leave them below. Give us the thumbs up if you share our sentiments!
Sublime Trading
UK100 (FTSE 100) is in a second leg of a correction to hit 6710 The UK100 could have finished the flat correction and now it is heading south.
The wave C blue could drop to the 6710 where C=A.
FTSE100TVC:UKX
As old saying goes from false move comes fast moves.
Broke big range yesterday morning and back test it again today.
Chances are for drop back to bottom of the range.
FTSE - Forming a right shoulder?Trade Idea
Trading has been mixed and volatile.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
We have a 50% Fibonacci pullback level of 7374 from 7729 to 7020.
Negative overnight flows lead to an expectation of a weaker open this morning.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 7375, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
We look to Sell at 7375
Stop: 7425
Target 1: 7235
Target 2: 7170
FTSE100 SELL/BEARISHi don't believe this hype happened this morning. there aren't any actual positive prospects. I believe the bears will come and take over again.
Tesco - Bouncing from the 61.8% Fibonacci supportBUY – TESCO (TSCO)
Tesco PLC (Tesco) is a retail company. The Company is engaged in the business of Retailing and associated activities (Retail) and Retail banking and insurance services.
Fundamentals
It’s been a tough few months for Tesco shareholders with the shares having slumped over 13% from the 2019 high. The business has embarked on a massive overhaul over the past 5 years to make the operation a lot more efficient, which has put the company in a good position overall. The operating margin is continuing to rise, and management believe 4% is achievable in the short term. The company looks set to maintain its position in the market and continue to grow its earnings.
Best Broker Target Price: 285p (Deutsche Bank 19/06/2019)
Worst Broker Target Price: 230p (Goldman Sachs 02/04/2019)
Technical Analysis
2019 started off so well for Tesco share holders with the shares rising from 187p to 254p in the space of just over 4 months. The recent decline from those highs has not been so impressive, but some support appears to be forming around the 61.8% Fibonacci support level at 212.7p. There have been a number of bullish candle around this price, which is an indication that buyers are returning.
Recommendation: Buy
Buy between 215-225p
Stop: 210p
Target: 250p
£20 Round Number Supporting GreggsLast post: August 13th 2019. See chart .
Review: Price was on the decline and was approaching £20.
Update: Price has now found support at the £20 round number.
Conclusion: We want to see if the support zone holds and pushes price back up. If it does, then we may see some long opportunity setups appear in the near future.
Any comments or questions, do not hesitate to leave them below. Give us the thumbs up if you share our sentiments!
Sublime Trading
FTSE 100 Short Trade *4hr TREND CONTINUATION*Simple trend continuation trade.
- Lower highs and now lower low
- Price rejecting 4hr 50ema
- Fib 0.618 retracement level
- Price rejecting 7200 price level
Looking for a new lower low and price to finally reach 7000.00
Ocado - Looking ripe for buying.Technical
Ocado has had a dramatic rise in price over the past 18 months. The breakout level at 1163p has been retested and has so far been well supported. The shares have been in a consolidation phase for the past few weeks, but some signs are emerging that could put an end to the sideways price action. A move back to and above the previous highs is expected from here.
Fundamentals
The company continues to make strides into technology, which offers potential medium-term growth.
Numis reiterated thier 'Buy' rating on the 10th May 2019 with a price target of 1700p
Ocado has announced a string of deals and recently tied up a joint venture with Marks and Spencer.
Stop 1105p
Target 1500p
UK100, BREXIT,BEARISH WOLFE WAVE #RRR of 1:5 (AUTOLINES TEST4)HI BIG PLAYERS,
here I present a new Wolfe Wave in the UK100 chart.
This chart represent the 100 biggest share-companies of Great Britain. In any way we listen about the Brexit and the results of this decision is clear to understand for everbody. A big downtrend will build.
The Wolfe Wave pattern show a bearish incoming side. In addition, the reason for a bearish Wolfe Wave is the rebounce on Fibonacci line 1.382
Acutally the pattern give a Risk-Return-Ratio of 1:5, but this are a weekly chart and shows a longterm bearishtrade.
King regards
NXT2017
==============
MY PERSON:
I'm the second winner of the official German Forex Trading Conpetition in 2018.
Look here to the ranks:
deutsche-trading-meisterschaften.de
I speak german, english and russian.
My strength in trading are Wolfe Wave pattern.
FTSE 100 Short Trade *TRENDLINE BREAK & RETEST*FTSE100 is making some nice consolidation on the 1hr timeframe and is now breaking the lower TL.
I will wait for a clean break and then short on the retest and lower high. Targeting new lower lows at 7000
FTSE100 GBP hits the channel support | Upto 5.8% potentialAfter Jan 19 the priceline of FTSE100 GBP is hitting the support of up channel.
The price action has also support of 100MA and 200MA.
There is also a golden cross formation expected beneath the candle sticks which will produce a massive bullish divergence insha Allah.
I have used Fibonacci sequence for sell targets as below:
Sell between: 650.3 to 669.2
Regards,
Atif Akbar (moon333)
FTSE 2 hour ideaSimilar to my Dax idea just posted, a lot of world equities are bouncing...remember central banks can still cut rates and do QE/stimulus which means there will be nowhere to go for yield except the stock markets. The party might not just be over yet.
Similar description to the FTSE as with the DAX, a prolonged downtrend and basing at a support zone. We had a wedge and broke above the resistance zone and even the previous lower high swing.
7375 zone is a flip zone you should watch and then 7575 above.
FTSE100 UKX Long Trader / OpportunityFTSE100 Fell more than 7% from the recent highs from 7700 without any retracement. We can expect this whole move to retrace at least 38% from the bottom towards 7400.
We can go long on this if FTSE gets above 7200 after stock market open. Stops 6990 target 200pts
FTSE100 OVERVALUED - BULL TRAP - SHORT ITThe FTSE100 index is selling at a P/E of 17.2. This is quite high in a low interest rate, low growth scenario. The UK is in a mess, with Brexit problems, neighboring countries teetering on recession and Boris taking over the leadership. A DCF valuation of the FTSE100 using 3.2% growth, 8.6% discount rate it shows the index is 11% overvalued. I think the German DAX and US markets are going to tank soon, don't be fooled by the cut in interest rates in the US. The ECB can't really cut rates much more with low or negative rates already in Europe. Negative rates are a desperate attempt to inflate a sagging economy, European markets are ripe for a fall. The FTSE100 has jumped up a bit lately, this is a bull trap above the downward sloping trendline. The technicals are hinting at a coming fall. If you do short, I'd prefer to short the DAX as it has a lot foreign trade exposure with its auto industries. However, for those watching the FTSE100 index, a short now could be a winner.
FTSE 100 - Still long aiming for all time highsOn our analysis on the 24.07 we indicated that we were long the FTSE100 due to pressure GBP/USD due to the uncertainty surrounding Brexit which would be positive for the FTSE100 as a large proportion of profits for FTSE 100 companies are made in dollars. Since then the FTSE 100 has risen by nearly 3% and with the expected US rate cut on Wednesday we anticipate the index to reach all time highs at around the 7796 Fibonacci level.
FTSE 100 - Long We are currently long the FTSE 100 which has dropped over the past day on the back of Boris Johnson's appointment and the subsequent strengthening of the pound. The pound strengthened as the market hopes that initial comments by Michel Barnier the European Union's Chief Negotiator would open the door to positive negotiations between the UK and the EU. However, we believe that with the UK set to leave the EU on the 31st of October there will be pressure on sterling in particularly GBP/USD which would be positive for the FTSE100 as a large proportion of profits for FTSE 100 companies are made in dollars. Therefore we are long and will look to add to our long position just above the 7298 Fibonacci level with a view towards starting to take profit above 7700.
UKX FTSE100 1hr rejection from 7600FTSE 100 has rejected 7600-7590 area in the 1hr time frame, 3 consecutive times suggesting that a correction is possible.
If FTSE100 breaks below 7550 (23% fib level) we can see a correction upto 60% Fib levels at 7440-7430 levels.
But FTSE needs to break below 7550 to trigger this trade.
Stops should be above the recent highs.
