Persimmon - Looks set to re-build its share price.Technicals
Persimmon is holding at key support and showing signs of attracting value hunters. I also note the bullish divergence on the relative ratio (Persimmon share price / UKX). The price of sterling has been a drag on the shares and with GBP moving higher yesterday it could offer some relief to domestic stocks. Technically and fundamentally, Persimmon looks good value here.
Fundamentals
Persimmon currently ranks towards the top of our fundamental model with exceptional scores on value, profitability, momentum and quality metrics. The shares have underperformed the market over the past 1 to 3 months but we do not expect this to continue.
Pros
Ranks in the top 5 of our fundamental ranking model.
Canaccord Genuity reiterated ‘Buy’ advice on the 20th August with a price target of 2720p.
The business continues to produce steady cash flow and boasts a healthy dividend.
Cons
Sales have slowed in recent months.
Peel Hunt reiterated its hold rating on the 1st May 2019 with a price target of 2025p.
Complaints have been raised about the quality of Persimmon homes, this may act as a drag in the short term.
Stop: 1790p
Target: 2430p
Ftse100
Babcock - Potential bottom forming.Buy Babcock (BAB.L)
Babcock International Group PLC is a holding company. The Company provides engineering services. Its segments include Marine and Technology, Defence and Security, Support Services and International. The Marine and Technology segment delivers support to the United Kingdom Royal Navy's submarines, naval ships and infrastructure. It also offers solutions in engineering, equipment management, consultancy, information and knowledge management. The Defence and Security segment offers engineering and training support services.
Market Cap: £2.68Billion
Babcock appears to be in the process of forming a bottom pattern on the daily chart. A break above 576p is needed to confirm the bottom pattern. Buying now is a pre-emptive move but it offers fantastic risk/reward at the current levels. The company is likely to benefit substantially on a Brexit deal.
Stop: 490p
Target 1: 576p
Target 2: 740p
Target 2: 800p
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IG Group - Inverse head and shoulders bottomBuy IG Group (IGG.L)
IG Group Holdings plc is a United Kingdom-based company, which is engaged in online trading. The Company provides contracts for difference (CFDs) in over 17 countries globally. The Company's segments include UK, Australia, Europe and Rest of World. The UK segment consists of its operations in the United Kingdom and Ireland, and derives its revenue from financial spread bets, CFDs, binary options and execution only stockbroking. The Australian segment derives its revenue from CFDs and binary options. The Europe segment consists of its operations in France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland, and derives its revenue from CFDs, binary options and execution only stockbroking.
Market Cap: £2.2Billion
IG has completed an inverse head and shoulders bottom pattern on the daily chart. The move higher stalled at 648 and has corrected lower towards the neckline of the pattern at around 580p. This also lines up with a couple of Fibonacci support levels. The bullish outside candle that has formed today suggests that further upside could be seen in the short term.
Stop: 555p
Target 1: 630p
Target 2: 733p
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Clean up with Reckitt BenckiserBuy Reckitt Benckiser (RB.L)
Reckitt Benckiser Group plc is a manufacturer and marketer of health, hygiene, post-natal and home products. The Company's segments include ENA and DvM. The ENA segment consists of Europe, Russia/Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), Israel, North America, Australia and New Zealand. The DvM segment consists of North Africa, Middle East (excluding Israel) and Turkey, Africa, South Asia, North Asia, Latin America, Japan, Korea and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). Health, Hygiene, Home and Portfolio Brands categories are split across the geographical segments of ENA and DVM. Its range of hygiene products includes disinfectant cleaners, automatic dishwashing detergents, pest control, depilatory products and acne treatments. The Company's portfolio of brands includes Durex, Mucinex, Scholl, Strepsils, Cillit Bang, Clearasil, Dettol, Harpic, Lysol, Mortein, Veet, Air Wick, Calgon, Vanish and Woolite.
Market Cap: £44Billion
Reckitt Benckiser has had an indifferent few months. So often it’s a mainstay of investors portfolios with its predictable growth and solid stream of income. In recent months the share price has been in consolidation mode and not really offered investors very much. In recent weeks a bullish channel has formed, and we are beginning to see investors return on spells of weakness. The latest move from the lower end of the channel could be the beginning of a fresh move higher towards resistance at 7175p
Stop: 5980p
Target 1: 6710p
Target 2: 7165p
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Vodafone - Rising at 5G speed.Buy Vodafone (VOD.L)
Vodafone Group Plc is a telecommunications company. The Company's business is organized into two geographic regions: Europe, and Africa, Middle East and Asia Pacific (AMAP). Its segments include Europe and AMAP. Its Europe segment includes geographic regions, such as Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom, Spain and Other Europe. The Other Europe includes the Netherlands, Portugal, Greece, Hungary and Romania, among others. Its AMAP segment includes India, South Africa, Tanzania, Mozambique, Lesotho, Africa, Turkey, Australia, Egypt, Ghana, Kenya, and among others. The Company provides a range of services, including voice, messaging and data across mobile and fixed networks.
Market Cap: £43.13Billion
Vodafone has had a terrible couple of years as the share price has plummeted from 240p to lows of 122p. There are some encouraging signs appearing, which began with the break of the bearish channel and the formation of a rounded bottom on the daily chart. The break of resistance at 147.86p confirmed the bottom pattern and suggests further upside will be seen over the medium term. The first target is the measured move of the bottom pattern at 174p, beyond that we see the price reaching closer to 200p. In the very short term, the shares are trading in a neat channel, buying interest looks set to continue.
Stop: 151.95p
Target 1: 174p
Target 2: 190p
Target 3: 193p
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IAG - About to flyBuy IAG (IAG.L)
International Consolidated Airlines Group, S.A. is an airline company that holds the interests in airline and ancillary operations. Its segments include British Airways, Iberia, Vueling, Aer Lingus and Other Group companies. It combines the airlines in the United Kingdom, Spain and Ireland. It has approximately 550 aircrafts to over 280 destinations. The Company operates various aircraft fleet services, including Airbus A318, Airbus A319, Airbus A340-600, Boeing 787-800, Embraer E190 and Boeing 777-200, among others. The Company, through its subsidiaries, is engaged in providing airline marketing, airline operations, insurance, aircraft maintenance, storage and custody services, air freight operations and cargo transport services.
Market Cap: £9.25Billion
International Consolidated Airlines share price has been hit hard over recent months. Following the sharp move lower we are now beginning to see the shares consolidate and potentially forming a bottom pattern. A break above the resistance at 4878p would confirm the bottom pattern and offer upside potential towards 560p. In extension of that, there is an unfilled gap at 643p, which may act as a magnet for the price over the medium term. The risk/reward is favourable from here.
Stop: 432p
Target 1: 560p
Target 2: 605p
Target 3: 640p
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Vodafone Reversing??Vodafone ran into a solid confluence zone of resistance in Friday. It has since retraced over 5%. Today it fell over 2.3% and, crucially, it fell below the 1:1 trendline on the Fibonacci Fan shown. This is important because this trendline has acted as the greatest source of support throughout this uptrend. In addition, there has been a bearish divergence on the RSI since August 21st. The resistance was also provided by a 1.618 extension of the range between points A and B (not shown).
As far as targetting how far the market MAY go, the strength of resistance indicates there's a good chance the market will retrace to the 0.382 level or more. Note that this is one of the strongest horizontal price barriers on this chart. If the market reaches the 0.382 level, it could do so at a point of intersection with another diagonal price barrier such as the example in the pink circle where the 0.75 fan line intersects the 0.382 level.
Equally, breaking through this level to the downside would be a sign of strength in the downward pressure. If the market reaches this level, watch how the price behaves around the level. It will leave very important clues.
Vodafone Reversing??Vodafone ran into a solid confluence zone of resistance in Friday. It has since retraced over 5%. Today it fell over 2.3% and, crucially, it fell below the 1:1 trendline on the Fibonacci Fan shown. This is important because this trendline has acted as the greatest source of support throughout this uptrend. In addition, there has been a bearish divergence on the RSI since August 21st. The resistance was also provided by a 1.618 extension of the range between points A and B (not shown).
As far as targetting how far the market MAY go, the strength of resistance indicates there's a good chance the market will retrace to the 0.382 level or more. Note that this is one of the strongest horizontal price barriers on this chart. If the market reaches the 0.382 level, it could do so at a point of intersection with another diagonal price barrier such as the example in the pink circle where the 0.75 fan line intersects the 0.382 level.
Equally, breaking through this level to the downside would be a sign of strength in the downward pressure. If the market reaches this level, watch how the price behaves around the level. It will leave very important clues.
Confluence of resistance for RBSFor a more in-depth analysis, see:
www.quantiumresearch.co.uk
RBS ran into an almighty price barrier on Friday. Today it reversed over 2%. Look at the significance of this resistance. 3 components are shown in the chart:
1) Fibonacci fan line
2) 100-day moving average
3) 2.618 extension of a price gap.
The market has retested and responded to the 0.382 trendline from the fan 3 times before now. That makes it a validated trendline and solid resistance in its own right. When this was combined with the 100-day moving average, it gained even more significance. Now, the Fibonacci extension is measured not from a price range, but from a non-price range: a gap! The high of the top candle landed right on the 2.618 extension. This degree of confluence means something.
That being said, the market had completed 5 waves down and developed a bullish divergence on the RSI . If this means the downtrend is over, then today's turn to the downside may be short lived, even it it was initiated by a very strong area of resistance. A very interesting chart to keep an eye on.
An almighty price barrier for RBSRBS ran into an almighty price barrier on Friday. Today it reversed over 2%. Look at the significance of this resistance. 3 components are shown in the chart:
1) Fibonacci fan line
2) 100-day moving average
3) 2.618 extension of a price gap.
The market has retested and responded to the 0.382 trendline from the fan 3 times before now. That makes it a validated trendline and solid resistance in its own right. When this was combined with the 100-day moving average, it gained even more significance. Now, the Fibonacci extension is measured not from a price range, but from a non-price range: a gap! The high of the top candle landed right on the 2.618 extension. This degree of confluence means something.
That being said, the market had completed 5 waves down and developed a bullish divergence on the RSI. If this means the downtrend is over, then today's turn to the downside may be short lived, even it it was initiated by a very strong area of resistance. A very interesting chart to keep an eye on.
FTSE - Limited upsideTrade Idea
Prices are extending higher from the bullish flag/pennant formation.
We have a 61.8% Fibonacci pullback level of 7458 from 7020 to 7729.
Bespoke resistance is located at 7461.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a possible turnaround is possible.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
We look to Sell at 7460
Stop: 7495
Target 1: 7375
Target 2: 7300
UK Stock Index FTSE (Is the "Dead Cat Bounce" in a making?)View On UK Stock Index FTSE (9 Aug 2019)
Back Ground: A strong BEAR action is met with a strong reaction. Some people call it "Dear Cat Bounce".
Target(s): It can go UP to 7360/7400 as retest (or) you can wait at these regions for a possible SHORT.
SHTF: 7100/7170 region is good support.
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
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JD Sports Now Out Of ConsolidationLast post: See link below.
Review: Price was in a period of consolidation.
Update: Price is currently trading out of consolidation.
Conclusion: As long as price can remain out of the consolidation zone, we should see a continuation of the previous uptrend.
Any comments or questions, do not hesitate to leave them below. Give us the thumbs up if you share our sentiments!
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Boohoo Looking Strong AgainLast post: See link below.
Review: Price was stuck in a large period of consolidation and was not presenting any trading opportunities.
Update: Price has now broken out of consolidation, which lasted over 2 years, and looks interesting again.
Conclusion: We want the current support level to hold followed by a break of the previous high before we look for any long opportunities.
Any comments or questions, do not hesitate to leave them below. Give us the thumbs up if you share our sentiments!
Sublime Trading
FTSE - Forming a right shoulder?Trade Idea
Trading has been mixed and volatile.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
We have a 50% Fibonacci pullback level of 7374 from 7729 to 7020.
Negative overnight flows lead to an expectation of a weaker open this morning.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 7375, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
We look to Sell at 7375
Stop: 7425
Target 1: 7235
Target 2: 7170
Tesco - Bouncing from the 61.8% Fibonacci supportBUY – TESCO (TSCO)
Tesco PLC (Tesco) is a retail company. The Company is engaged in the business of Retailing and associated activities (Retail) and Retail banking and insurance services.
Fundamentals
It’s been a tough few months for Tesco shareholders with the shares having slumped over 13% from the 2019 high. The business has embarked on a massive overhaul over the past 5 years to make the operation a lot more efficient, which has put the company in a good position overall. The operating margin is continuing to rise, and management believe 4% is achievable in the short term. The company looks set to maintain its position in the market and continue to grow its earnings.
Best Broker Target Price: 285p (Deutsche Bank 19/06/2019)
Worst Broker Target Price: 230p (Goldman Sachs 02/04/2019)
Technical Analysis
2019 started off so well for Tesco share holders with the shares rising from 187p to 254p in the space of just over 4 months. The recent decline from those highs has not been so impressive, but some support appears to be forming around the 61.8% Fibonacci support level at 212.7p. There have been a number of bullish candle around this price, which is an indication that buyers are returning.
Recommendation: Buy
Buy between 215-225p
Stop: 210p
Target: 250p
£20 Round Number Supporting GreggsLast post: August 13th 2019. See chart .
Review: Price was on the decline and was approaching £20.
Update: Price has now found support at the £20 round number.
Conclusion: We want to see if the support zone holds and pushes price back up. If it does, then we may see some long opportunity setups appear in the near future.
Any comments or questions, do not hesitate to leave them below. Give us the thumbs up if you share our sentiments!
Sublime Trading