When will the FTSE 100 be in a Bear market?Looking for when the FTSE 100 may enter a Bear Market. Despite the media saying a 20% drop is a signal for a Bear market, the real number is 16%.
Taking a measurement of 16% from the previous high in the summer of 2018 and a 16% drop comes to around 6442.
If price drops below this mark, (red dash line) this could signal the Bears are in full control.
Taking a measurement (purple line)from how far the FTSE dropped in the last recession and price could move to around the 4800 mark.
Ftse100
FTSE 100...Next Buy LevelThis weeks recovery rally is spluttering, and sentiment remains bearish, FTSE 100 is being held down by the downtrend line and Bulls are getting tired, next buy level is 2775, watch and wait, I would guess that we will hit this level by the end of the week or Monday, I think this will be the low and we will see stocks pick up over the next few months in line with my last post on the FTSE index. Don't take my word for it, trade your own plan.
FTSE100 DOWNSIDE CONTINUATIONFTSE looks set for further downside technically despite the current bid we are seeing due to PM May currently being supported by MP's. However, the actual vote does not take place
until this evening and could be a very different story by 5pm GMT. If we see bearish price action at the resistance we could look for further downside to come in this market.
FTSE 100 (UKX) Monthly Timeframe BuyThe FTSE100 index is approaching a critical 2.6 retracement level of the previous uptrend, and it could be good time to buy. However, with the Brexit news and Theresa May woes, just hold your horses for a bit. The index is still largely in a sell-off fueled by the lack of confidence surrounding the Brexit deal and seemingly the vote to be held tomorrow. The trendline shows a perfect uptrend with around 7 touches, so maybe the trend is about to end. Who knows.
SP500, Similar fractals, Is this the comming financial crisis?
Hi folks, this is my first time posting an idea/"short" analysis publicly, hope you'll enjoy it
This is the chart from SP500, I mirrored 2007 financial crisis structure, unedited, raw and pure, pasted it below our chart, checked the fractals/similarity, and it's deadly alike.
With the somewhat positive sentiment from OPEC and 90 Days truce between president Xi Jinping and Donald Trump we have something that might bring the SP500 back to "normal" comming weeks, months.
Once the truce resolves, I bet we'll get into a "fear" phase... Nothing is new in the stock market... said J Livermore... and I concur.
Not sure of how it was back in 2007, but perhaps some of you older folks remember what caused the "back to normal" phase... and we can compare...
Stay safe or play it safely folks.
cdn-images-1.medium.com
Possible Bearish UK MarketLast post: May 17th. See chart .
Review: Price was trying to make new all-time highs.
Update: The market has reversed since then and has now broken below a major support area.
Conclusion: We need to see if price will remain below the support area then we can look for shorting opportunities.
Any comments or questions, do not hesitate to leave them below. Give us the thumbs up if you share our sentiments!
Sublime Trading
UK banks outperform FTSE 100 before stress test resultsUK banks outperformed the benchmark for UK shares during the rout in global stock markets that began in October. UK bank share prices are down over the past two months, but by less than the FTSE 100 index.
Positive expectations for stress test results have played a role in limiting the damage to UK bank shares.
FTSE100 - Invesre H&S - Longer-term tradeTaking in account the latest positive developments around Brexit talks and the return of the global risk-on scenario (US elections, US-China trade war), the FTSE 100 index has a positive fundamental outlook for the upcoming weeks. From the technical perspective, it can be seen that an inverse head and shoulders pattern is being formed, which indicates a downtrend reversal. Alongside with a bounce of an important support zone, it is reasonable to open a long trade.
The idea is to trade the break of the neckline with a 4h candle serving as a time filter for additional confirmation. Furthermore, the trade to be initiated we should get a break of the downtrend line on the RSI (Daily) + a buy signal on the STCH (4h), which I tried to project. Stop level below the second shoulder and target 1 based on the minimum price objective. After the 1st target will be achieved the SL can be moved to break even level and new targets as seen on the chart.
Support my analysis be giving LIKES and FOLLOWS. It helps the channel grow and motivates me to post free content.
FTSE 100: SHORT TARGET AT 7109 MADE.TRADE REVIEW : -Technicals; Previous target of 7109 made as a result of a technical resistance at the 7186-7235 S/R zone in combination with an RSI oscillation spike to 85 signalling overbuying of the market from algos. Entry modelled after previous spike to the ~7186 resistance level on the 2nd November and stop set at 7216
modelled at previous flat price action at the bullish-bounce capitulation between the 9-10th October.
-Fundamentals; global sell-off in equities especially in the US with tech stocks leading (Nasdaq 2.8% lower) demonstrating bearish sentiment. Pound weakness in conjunction with fears over divide in Parliament as a result of PMs Brexit deal causing resignations and pressure from hardliners and moderates. This
has caused investors to purchase gilts driving yields lower.
-Result; 74 pips profit, 2.44 risk/reward.
-Evaluation; took profits way too early as the move continued for 126 pips. Any feedback on how to avoid taking early would be hugely appreciated.
NEXT TRADE : Price found support at the 6983 level easily breaking the resistance at 7039 and is currently forming a bearish descending triangle. Always cautious when trading obvious technical patterns due to algos, stop-hunting etc. so will wait for confirmation of price direction before entering direction caused by a break of
the horizontal support backed up by at least two more confluences. Please feel free to criticise/give feedback, thanks.
Italian FTSEMIB compared to US S&P500, Dax30 and UK's FTSE100Just a simple comparison for the italian index starting from its highest peak in 2000 with the US S&P500, Dax30 and FTSE100
FTSE UK Stock Index (Nov 2018) *Wacth 6,980 level!This will be my views of FTSE UK 100 (Nov 2018)
Please make sure to read the "update" comment as there will be changes along the way.
Cheers.
S0nic
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FTSE 100What do I see from the charts..
The FTSE 100 is the highest its been ever. Mainly due to the fact a weaker pound has improved the price competitiveness of our exports which has pushed the ftse over the last two years.
Of course, the main factor of this chart is going to be news on brexit, so concentration on brexit news will be important. The relationship between GBPUSD and the ftse also has some similarities.
Now for the price action and technicals.
FTSE clearly broken down out of a rising wedge. It has retested and rejected of the 21 ema on the weekly time frame, and is struggling to maintain price above the 200 ema on the weekly at 6950.
Personally I have a bearish outlook. It's touched the .382 fib retracement level for this move down and is coming up to the 55 ema on the daily which has confluence with the rising wedge. There is strong support at 6750, but should that break, a deep dive is likely to around 6300. I think there is room to retest the 7500 region, which is the golden fib zone for a retracement. There is also a nasty shooting star, which indicated its heading back down to retest support. The RSI is finding resistance and has just made a nose. I expect it to see 6800 again this week, and should this support not hold and make a triple bottom, we will see more bearish momentum.
Price at 7300 would be good Risk to reward for a short with a stop above the 200ema on the daily, targeting the 6300 zone, which is also the golden fib zone for the move up from 5700 to 7800, providing us with good confluence. Depending on its strength, we may or may not reach 7500 at that blue box, but either way, it's a bearish outlook from me.
SP-500I started trading in 2013 and I followed the American indices, SP-500, DOW-30, NASDAQ - 100 (they look about the same) .European indices DAX-30, IBEX-35, FTSE-100. And each of them shows the economic situation of the country .
I love Economics, but what I've seen over the years – it was a bubble blowing, a cycle. Now there are a lot of offers to invest in shares of companies, my vision, you need to run from the market! The whole market is overbought, and if everyone is already talking about stocks as the best investment at the moment, be careful. These are shouts from which you need to be protected and to keep a cool head.
I have a training schedule explaining the speed of information dissemination.
In addition to this, I know that one of the most important theories in the financial markets is the Elliott wave theory, which I showed on the chart. If the schedule really comes true, we will see a new financial crisis over the next 3-5 years.
The largest banks JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Fidelity and financial institutions are already preparing platforms, platforms in order to integrate even more into the digital economy with digital money in the form of cryptocurrencies.
ALSO DAX-30
Party's Over in Merry Old EnglandThe English stock market is tracing out a Super Cycle Strong B Wave IV flat since the top in 2000. Notice the length of the correction is greater than for other countries that have been in existence for a shorter period of time.
Looks like the upwards correction has run out of waves and the final C Wave down has started.
FTSE 100 LONGS SHORT TERM LONG As we have seen of recent the indices have had what Donald Trump is calling a 'correction'. As a technical trader this looks likely to continue to the downside but we must ask ourselves where the high probability trade is from. So looking at key resistance levels will be key, seeing that the 50% Fib is sitting at the resistance zone of around 7250.0 looks promising for trend traders. So, if we expect price to go short from here we could look at price going long short term to that level. Looking at the 4hr timeframe we can see the market changing cycles here giving us a potential opportunity if it can re-test the previous structure highs at 7055.0.