Trading week recap for NASDAQ, DOW, DAX & FTSE (22/07/2023)Let's look back at the past trading week and learn from it. What went well? What could be better?
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Ftse100
FTSE 100 BOUNCES BACK ON UK INFLATION NEWSParticipants in financial markets were closely watching yesterday the data on inflation in the UK, where it is at the highest level among the G7 countries. The news turned out to be positive:
→ CPI was 7.9% (forecast = 8.2%, last month = 8.7%) in annual terms;
→ core CPI dropped from 31-year high from 7.1% to 6.9%.
Consequently:
→ the price of the British pound fell against the US dollar and other currencies;
→ the price of the FTSE 100 index rose sharply, rising from the July lows by about 5%.
Thus, the quotes demonstrate the expectations of market participants — they suggest that the Bank of England has received a reason to ease the ongoing tight monetary policy aimed at suppressing inflation.
The publication of the decision of the Bank of England is scheduled for August 3, and the interest rate can be raised only by 0.25%, although earlier 0.5% was called more likely.
The sharp rise in the price of the FTSE 100 has led to the fact that the descending channel is broken, as is the resistance level at 7,555. It is possible that after such a sharp impulse, we will witness a consolidation period, which may be limited to the levels of 7,555 and 7,690.
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FTSE Elliott Wave Analysis Higher Timeframe (15/07/2023)The pullback in the higher timeframe is ongoing. We had 5 waves up as an impulse in the weekly and daily. Investors should wait for the completion of the pullback to buy. Traders should analyze the lower timeframe. There might be a good short opportunity next week.
FTSE just broke below two Bearish Patterns -Target 6,981Inverse Rev Cup and Handle has formed on the daily.
And a Symmetrical Triangle too.
Now the Symm Triangle is normally a continuation pattern. But because of the state of the markets world wide, they are bringing down the main indices like FTSE 100.
These are bearish signals along with these indicators.
21>7
Price<200 (Red zone)
RSI<50 (Red zone) and lower highs.
Target 6,981
FTSE Elliott Wave Analysis Higher Timeframe (01/07/2023)A pullback in the higher timeframe seems likely. We have 5 waves up as an impulse in the weekly and daily. However, as divergence in the weekly is not really outspoken, a new high is still possible. Investors should wait for the pullback to buy. Traders should analyze the lower timeframe.