FTSE MIB - next probable target below 17,000FTSE MIB continues on its way down to new lows. In the shorter term view, it seems to have finished, or nearly so, minute counter-trend wave 2. The next move should be minute 3, where the most probable target is is below 17,000. If prices crosses up 20,400, this analysis should be reviewed. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
FTSE MIB Index
FTSE MIB - tracing last leg of counter trend rallyFTSE MIB seems to be tracing intermediate wave (C ) up that will complete primary wave 2. Most probable target before the trend is reversed lyes in the range 20,350 - 21,200. A move below 17,600 would indicate the trend already reversed. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
SPX vs other markets since 2020Hi Guys,
following my post dated Apr.14th (red arrow before n.3), the Index continued to climb up towards the SMA with a four legs movement made by 4,5,6 and 7.
So far the pullback from A or, in my view, the "Bear Rally" retraced 0,618 Fib.
1) from X to A represents the fall caused by pandemic;
2) A was made when the FED used its "bazooka" (2200 same level when Trump was elected US President);
3) a pullback or "bear rally" is happening from A into Fibonacci Retrecement levels or 200SMA or even beyond.
The idea remains the formation of a W-Shaped recovery as favoured by many FED Members incl.Powell. However a V-Shaped recovery cannot be excluded as the letter B is yet to be confirmed as the "Bear Rally" may not be over yet.
As the pandemic event originated by Covid19 triggered an enormous amount of "FEAR", please keep an eye on the VIX ("Fear Gouge" or "Fear Index").
Here below I will post snapshots of other markets for comparison.
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
FTSEMIB the Buy of the centurySome pull back may happen in the next few months but the index is ready to reverse to the mean, and align itself to the other global indexes. Enjoy if you dare!
FTSE MIB - Italy - cycle wave 3 down under wayThe Italian stock index recently concluded cycle wave 2 counter trend up and it is developing primary wave 1 down. The current upward movement is a counter trend that could be labeled intermediate wave 4 or primary wave 2. The log-term forecast is the same in either cases, after this counter trend up the index should go for a long-term downward path. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
CAC 40 Index - heading towards 2012 lowEurope Markets entering strong bearish momentum.
France is at the beginning of the COVID-19 Pandemic, number of infected people expect to grow exponentially in the upcoming weeks.
France, Spain, Germany following Italy's state of emergency.
We expect now a lower low of the CAC 40 Index.
At the correction move to 4600, we can start shorting the Index with the price target of 2012's low at 2800.
Europe will enter in recession if serious state economic measures are not taken.
"Two of the EU's biggest states, France and Spain, have followed Italy in announcing emergency restrictions to combat the spread of coronavirus. France, a country of 63.5 million, ordered the closure of all non-essential places used by the public from midnight (23:00 GMT)." 15 March - bbc.com
Let me know your view in the comments down below!
IT40 tomorrow will be 25600A possible retracement will be possible but from tomorrow morning we will go long to 25560
FCA ANALYSISHi traders :) I'm Guario, and here are some thoughts about FCA possible future price action. Today FCA bought PSA becoming the fourth biggest automobile group in the world. Talking about its price analysis we can se that the italian title has broken a resistance level along with a Stochastic oscillator divergence. With the last candle, the price has also overtaked an important volumetric level, giving us an other bullish signal. Look at the chart for possible entry, stop or target points. Write me in the comment for any thought, question or critic. Good luck :)
ISP ANALYSISHi traders :) I'm Guario, and here are some thoughts regarding ISP possible future price action. Although I prefer analyse forex, cryptocurrency or commodity markets, I've decided to bring this analysis to you traders because this title is giving pretty interesting signal. Infact ISP has just reached the volumetric level of 2.3425 along whit a very visible Stochastic divergence. ALso notice how price is perfectly reacting with the red up trendline which is now acting as support. I suggest to set your entry position just a little bit below the support level of 2.3215. Look at the chart for possible stop and targets levels. Write me in the comments for any question, thought or critic. Good luck :)
UKX Price Action Analysis | Distribution SchematicThe Distribution Schematic #2, by Richard Wyckoff:
bit.ly
UK100 is currently in Phase D and has already done a Bearish SFP, which indicates a possible downtrend. This seems like a nice example of the Distribution Schematic #2 and also has a fundamental background due to #Brexit. Rest is Risk Management.
Entry: 7390
SL: 7810
TP-1: 6910
TP-2: 6610
TP-3: 6360
R/R: 2.44
Please let me know if you have any suggestions or any ideas to add. I can also give you more detailed explanation for this specific trade setup.
The ideas published here are not financial advices.
FTSE MIB Triangle Breakout!INDEX:FTSEMIB is clearly breaking out a perfect triangle pattern, and this is a confirmation that a long position would be the best opportunity for a long term investment for this year... I think the best would be:
Open a long position
Keeping it up for one year max
Closing the position before (10 days before min) the falling wave that comes after the triangle pattern.
Happy trading to all!
What do you think it'll happen after the triangle breakout? Would you do a totally long position or maybe use some oscillations to maximize profit? What about the leverage? I think that a 2x leverage would be the best and the safest option for this position.
FTSE MIB - Buy intraday pullbacks!The Italian political scene
seems to be calming down
with some kind of agreement
between 5-Star movement and
the Democratic Party.
Traders would very much like to
see the cautious DP back in power
as they would likely defuse the tension
between Italy and Brussles.
We like continued upside today, with the
US being away for Labour Day.
Buy intraday dips ahead of the continuation
level.
FTSE MIB - Sell Rallies as Political Uncertainty Rises!European Indices trading lower across the board,
with the FTSE MIB under-performing due to
Banking sector as BTP yields rise sharply. Italy
Dep PM Salvini is calling for a General Election
Sell on pullbacks towards the most recent support
zone, looking for 19600s.
FTSE MIB - Continuation Breakout in Play!The risk of a battle between the EU and Italy is looming after the EU signalled the
launch of an EDP on the deviation of Italy’s 2018 fiscal figures from the EU targets.
Statements from the Italian government suggest Italy will not stand down.
Sell at market, since we have broken through the continuation point!
FTSE MIB - Looking to Short on Pullbacks!Italian markets came under strong pressure yesterday as
Bloomberg ran a story that the EUCommission June 5th will
consider a disciplinary procedure over Italy’s failure to rein
in debt. An Excessive deficit Procedure is a lengthy process,
but if the story is true, the standoff between Italy and the
EU that we had expected in the autumn could start much
earlier.
We remain with a negative bias on FTSEMIB and BTPs.
Sell short-term pullbacks today.
FTSEMIB - Strong Selling on Italian Political Issues!Bloomberg reported that Italian PM Conte accused Salvini of bringing down the coalition government in an end to a bad week for the Italian bond market. Meanwhile ramped up tension on the global trade front should continue to be a drag on investor sentiment.
Technically we have dropped through our first target and selling continues. We favour continuation breaks to the downside today.
FTSEMIB - Downtrend Intact, Consider AddingItaly's stock market is the weakling in Europe due to the risk-off sentiment and on the back of the downward revision of growth
in 2019 from 0.2% to 0.1% and a deficit in 2020 above 3%. The 10Y spread to Germany widened.
We have broken through a key daily sup/res level.
Momentum is negative.
Consider adding shorts on a pullback.
FTSE MIB Elliott Wave Analysis UpdateThe FTSE MIB has consolidated the double WXY correction of Minor grade that we were following. The longer-term scenario has affirmed the conclusion of the bearish movement started in May 2018 and the structure that seems to be forming is that of a triangle ABCDE. Therefore the main scenario is that of a triple correction of WXYXZ Minor grade, agreeding with the bull market scenario in the American markets. The Minor correction that has been formed so far is a double correction, composed of a flat (W), an expanding triangle (X) and a zig zag (Y). Inside we can highlight the following Fibonacci ratios: X = 0.382 * W and Y = 1.618 * W. Within Y, the sub-wave B retraced the 0.382 of A and C ended on level 0.618 of A. Within C Minute: 3 = 2.618 * 1 and 5 = 0.5 * 1. Currently, we are inside the first sub-wave of X Minor. From the central graph we note that the correction has already touched the 0.236 level from which it rebounded. At least another short-term move is expected in the short term before the end of the first sub-wave of X Minor.