FTT to lose another 70%?Please 1st of all click the boost 🚀 button if you want me to post more ideas and follow me to support my work! It's absolutely for free.
Hi guys! Hope you are doing well even after the FTT/ FTX liquidity debacle which has been sort of indicated by the chart below two months ago:
Now it seems we are not done yet, as FTT broke down this triangle 📐 and I think there is chance for run to 0.527 and even lower. This would mean another -70% for FTTUSDT from the actual level! Price is currently sitting at key support trendline (blue) but in my opinion it's just matter of time when it will be broken down which could start another brutal selloff. Stay safe!
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FTTUSD
FTT is gone!Please 1st of all click the boost 🚀 button if you want me to post more ideas and follow me to support my work! It's absolutely for free.
Over a month ago I posted prediction that FTX Token will lose 70% of its value against USDT...
At that time the price was 1.8, and now it's already almost another -50% down! As the FTTUSDT pair has been delisted from Binance, you can't "play" the original idea anymore, it doesn't load the new data. Anyway here comes new bearish setup in form of triangle breakout with target @ 0.46 which is another 50% loss of value from current level. I guess we will get there sooner or later with pullbacks along the way.
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Please boost🚀, comment🗣️, follow me✒️, enjoy📺!
⚠️Disclaimer: I'm not financial advisor. This is not a financial advice. Do your own due dilingence.
FTT God Line vs Descending TriangleRed line is a good support but we know that descending triangles are bearish. Often ends with a crash but also marks an important bottom.
So I don't know what would trigger it but a crash below the god line can mark the bottom. God line would probably be the resistance line in the next bull run. Or maybe they will just buy the support and start the bull run. Who knows?
Cycles Exchange giants FTT (FTX, Alameda Research)+BNB (Binance)Comparative analysis. The main trend of the two exchange coins BNB and Alameda Research, and yes the exchange FTX. The time interval is one month. Logarithm.
Coins of two liquid exchanges: Binance and FTX .
Coinmarketcap: FTX Token
Coinmarketcap: BNB
Here's what it looks like on a line chart of the price.
Is Sam Bankman-Fried a young potential "grandpa" Warren Buffett or a fintech criminal with a life sentence?
Could Alameda replicate the success of Binance, led by future PR wunderkind Sam Bankman-Fried, i.e. a young Warren Buffett? A joke? Ta, no... That's his role after his grandfather died. Or is it? Think about it...
Do you think the pseudo-asset market, the various cryptocurrency scams, can be compared to the tokenized stock market ? Can you smell XRP?)
Right now, in 2022, Binance is a mastodon in terms of cryptocurrency trading. Just like Poloniex in 2017).
Think about who is behind companies like Alameda Research ? Why are they allowed to do what others are not? Why can some liquidate, ostensibly for their own benefit, entire projects with billions of dollars in capitalization and a community of millions of people with impunity, while others can't even breathe a breath?
Who has the right to pardon or punish? Who can claim such a huge piece of the fat pie as the tokenization of stocks or the materialization of money from nothing (stabelcoins) but the state?
Exchanges. Hype and liquidity. Changing market leaders.
Therefore, for conservative traders and investors, it is more rational to pay attention to the non-random mastodons of the crypto market. But, keep in mind that they tend to gain or lose fat over time. I didn't write about Poloniex as an example for nothing. It's an example of hype and decline from previous times of popularity. In 2017 there was such an influx of traffic to the exchange that it was impossible to trade. Five years later, things have changed. Liquidity flowed to the new mastodon of hype, Binance.
Market cycles of cryptocurrency market spikes/declines .
In the price chart, I have shown the time cycles of the cryptocurrency market. This is probably the most important thing everyone wants to know. Most market participants want to scroll through money and increase the amount available "here and now in the moment" - emptying their pockets. Typically, the market of such "burps up" before the next peak in the cycle. Don't be that kind of person.
Very few people draw conclusions from their previous mistakes. They admit their mistakes and look for ways to solve them, rather than cite randomness. There is no randomness in non-accidental actions.
Notice how the "crypto hamster traffic" has decreased in the market nowadays. I may be writing crudely, but it's understandable. Local reversals occur at times like this.
Major FTT trend
FTT/USD (FTX, Alameda Research). Main Trend.
This is what this zone looks like on the line price chart on a larger scale.
Pay attention to what zone the price is in now and at what values of profit. Take this into account in your trading.
Main trend of BNB .
FTT/USD (FTX, Alameda Research). Main trend. The main trend. Time frame 1 week. Logarithm. Cycles are also shown.
Coinmarketcap: FTX Token
Note that the price is currently in the distribution zone. Over +1600% Which in case of a break-up (downtrend secondary) could act as a partial reset zone. The first potential target is shown.
In the case of a breakout of the neck zone (in the case of a return of the price)—temporary sadness. In addition to the currently existing trend line, I have also shown a future potential trend line (the direction of the main price trend) of the negative scenario, depending on the stopping in some of the zones shown on the chart.
Just for clarity, I overlaid the chart BNB/USD (Exchange Binance). Time frame and scale are the same.
This is what this zone looks like on a line chart.
Secondary trend.
FTT/USD Local work in the reversal zoneLocal trend. Bowl. Time frame 1 day. Logarithm.
Coinmarketcap: FTX Token
This is how this zone looks on the linear price chart.
Agree how beautiful. Beauty, even where it is not seen, must also be able to do.
This zone is in a secondary trend.
FTT/USD (FTX, Alameda Research). Secondary trend
How Sam Bankman got Fried Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Losing $22 Billion in one day is probably a record for the books. Let's take a closer look at the Sam Bankman-Fried story...
At 30, SBF is(was) the youngest billionaire in the US. In 5 years, he managed to start the fastest growing DEX (FTX), as well as Alameda Research. He is also well connected. VERY well connected, with political ties to big names such as actors including Tom Brady, Naomi Osaka and financial institutions including Coinbase Ventures and Binance Labs. So how is it then that he got burnt and lost it all overnight? Let's take a closer look at the intricacies.
First, let's take a closer look at just how big and interconnected FTX really was:
💰 44 Active investors deposit $1.8 Billion in just a year
💰 Celeb Ambassadors including actors such as Stephen Curry, Tom Brady and Naomi Osaka
...hopefully we've learnt our lesson about trusting actors on crypto with Matt Damon on BTC and Ashton Kutcher with his XRP endorsement right before major crashes.... no?
💰 FTX has a combined value of $40 Billion in 2022
💰 FTX sponsors Mercedes in F1
💰 FTX sponsors Major League Baseball, FTX printed on all shirts (guess who's getting a new wardrobe...)
💰 Fortune Magazine Face - "Next Warren Buffet"
After the SEC forced shutdown in 2018 of crypto exchange broker 1Broker, many crypto moguls decided to take their companies elsewhere. This is also true for Sam, who decided to open FTX in Hong Kong later moving to Bahamas, away from the restrictions and regulations of the US. Binance followed a similar path, later moving it's company from China to Cayman Islands. SBF continues to keep favor with the US as he makes large contributions to Joe Biden's campaign, over $11 million. He reportedly spent over $47 million supporting democratic political campaigns. SBF networking progresses and he often testified to congress about how crypto regulations should proceed, even though he moves his business to the Bahamas (not the US). He positions himself as the voice of reasoning for the future of crypto regulations. During 2021, SBF reaches the peak of his wealth and fame. He nd 9 other youngsters are leading the FTX empire from the penthouse in the Bahamas.
Some say he became overconfident, others say he was sloppy. It seems as though the start of his downfall was due to Rival, CZ from Binance. Back in 2019, CZ hinted on Twitter that SBF was involved in an attempted attack on Binance futures platform. CZ later drives down the price of FTT by publicly stating their exit from FTX after "certain revelations came to light". SBF responds with a tweet "you won, well played".
When the bear market arrives late 2021, SBF is portrayed as a saint as he "invests hundreds of millions" in companies such as BlockFi, Voyager and Celcius whilst they face liquidity problems. A research report from September 2022, reveals a different story. He, infact, invest miniscule amounts or even nothing at all to help these companies! But this article does not make headlines, yet. Then a whistle blower breaks the news - Alameda Research uses $10 billion of customers FTX funds to make a risky investment, which is totally illegal. This is the complete opposite of the terms and conditions on his website as well as the opposite of what he said to Congress during his talks about how regulations should be. This is where the saying "not your keys, not your crytpo" shines. Crypto users and SBF fans are heart broken... How could he??
The final blow: Recently, continuous rivalry on crypto twitter between CZ and SBF fuels the price drops on FTT as CZ claims to sell all remaining tokens. Alameda Research (one of the 9) jumps in and claims to "buy back" whatever CZ has left to sell. But then, another stroke of bad luck - the balance sheets of Alameda Research leaks. As it turns out, they have NO liquidity, especially not enough to make any FTX buyback. And so, overnight, the price drops a whopping 89% and there goes most of SBF's wealth.
Final Thoughts...
If you're smart enough, have the right support structures and a great PR team, you can grow your fortune with fake virtue signaling. Infact, many philanthropes ( unlike Jeff Bezos 's ex wife whom you probably don't even know about ) will only donate when the camera's are on. They also ensure that they are highlighted as kind hearted saints by the media. They do whatever it takes to hide all the corruption and money laundering behind the scenes. SBF was portrayed as the humble, young billionaire face op crypto, and everyone wanted him in their corner due to his trading brilliance and profitable partnerships. Sometimes, however, when the bad deeds start outweighing the good ones exponentially, it becomes increasingly hard to hide the true events from the public .It has, somehow, come to light that instead of being a humble and charitable public servant, SBF was the leader of a group of kids living the highlife in a penthouse in the Bahamas. Misusing funds for corruption and illegal activities including but not limited to money laundering. And so came the fall of Sam Bankman Fried. His downfall involves deception, illegal activities, large political contributions and the misuse of customer funds. It is noteworthy that most of his wealth was in FTT, native crypto to FTX decentralized exchange (DEX) .
💭...This is no uncommon thing. Many people do the same illegal stuff, probably even on a larger scale but somehow, SBF got burnt. You can't help but wonder... Who Fried Sam Bankman ?
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🔥 Future FTT price FTX token under threat 👇Why the FTTUSDT price directly depends on the result of the "showdown" between Binance CZ CEO and Sam Bankman-Fried with FTX ?
On 06.11 evening, the head of Binance published a series of tweets in which he wrote that Binance as part of a strategy to exit investments in FTX received $2.1B in BUSD and FTT. And due to "unethical" actions, Sam Bankman-Fried plan to sell their stake in tokens FTT of $ 600M within 1-2 months on the open market.
CEO at Alameda Research, Caroline Ellison, has publicly called for CZ to sell all FTT tokens at $22 to reduce the market impact on the FTX exchange's native token rate.
The current showdown between owners of major cryptocurrency exchanges is happening when the cryptocurrency market is "fragile" and tough regulation from the U.S., including DeFi market, is still looming.
Sam Bankman-Fried with FTX has taken a proactive regulatory stance, trying to significantly limit the rights and freedoms of DeFi protocol creators so that US users / other territories with strict laws cannot use DeFi infrastructure. And the winning side of course would be centralized exchanges a-la FTX.
He also hinted in one of his tweets that he lobbies for interests in Washington, and for the head of Binance - entry to those chambers is closed, which has caused the current CZ / FTX / Alameda feud.
The principle of the current actions of the head of Binance is quite simple - collapsing quotes FTTUSD. Also actions CEO Binance causes a mass "flight" from the exchange FTX in its favor, and also many lenders may withdraw their loans from FTX, due to the depreciation of collateral in the FTT.
Better that CZ / FTX as soon as possible stopped this "war" because such a battle will not only hurt the price of FTT or the exchange FTX, which is being abandoned by the traders and their liquidity.
A lot more crypto community participants are likely to suffer. Because in such a weak crypto market, coins with smaller liquidity and capitalization can go down very, very hard, and almost all of us have them.
If we look at the global chart of the FTTUSDT price, it becomes clear why the price of $22 per FTT is critical. Below you can see the liquidity level is only about $10. In general, the strong liquidity area where "big money" was taking a long position is in the $2.5-4 range.
We don't want to see another collapse like with "Luna".
We hope for a quick and peaceful outcome of this conflict, but each participant in the crypto community should make conclusions for themselves.
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FTT looks like it may trigger this weekly h&s patternIs FTT about to meet the same fate LUNA did earlier this year? Luna also had a pretty nasty looking head and shoulders that it validated a breakdown from. FTTs is similar although the full measured move is negative 42 dollars which isn’t possible…that doesnt mean the pattern won’t still trigger, it just cant reach the full target….it could very easily drop deeply enough to go multiple decimal point places close to zero though if what CZ from binance seems to be suggesting is true about it being worthless. Also a chance that if this did drop to several decimal places close to zero like luna did, that I could try to time it just right and go in on it right before a big dead cat bounce like luna had…then there’s also the chance that this is unsubstantiated FUD and the h&s breakdown ends up being a fakeout, but at the moment that seems like a low probability. Either way I’m not touching this thing. *not financial advice*
FTT - Are resumption purchases real?After all the news and events, the price of the asset has returned to its original accumulation. Maybe we will see a local rebound in the price range of 1-4, a re-accumulation and an exit with an excellent momentum after a long trading session.
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P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profits in installments. Withdraw profits in fiat and make yourself and your loved ones happy.
🔥🔥 Futures on ETH: The roof, the roof, the roof is on fireBitcoin, Ethereum and most other cryptocurrencies fell on Tuesday 08-11-2022 following Binance's announcement of its intention to acquire FTX, heightening concerns about liquidity in the industry.
According to TradingView, the Total Market Cap - the global value of the entire crypto sector was down 15% on the past day, reaching $813 billion.
Bitcoin lost 12%, Ethereum lost 17.5% and Dogecoin lost 25%.
The FTX token crashed 84% and Binance's BNB also reversed a sharp previous 17% gain and turned negative, falling 6%.
“To protect users, we have signed a non-binding Letter of Intent, planning to fully acquire FTX.com and help manage the liquidity crisis,” Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao tweeted.
Zhao added that the deal is pending confirmation of his firm's ability to conduct due diligence on the FTX purchase and the exchange itself.
A liquidity crisis plagued the FTX exchange at the beginning of the week amid a sharp decline in FTX Token.
A CoinDesk report last week suggested that FTX-owned Alameda Research's balance sheet is heavily dependent on FTT, raising concerns that the two parts of the Bankman-Fried e mpire depend on illiquid cryptocurrencies rather than cash or other liquid assets.
The liquidity problems of the crypto sector arose after the crash at the beginning of the year, which erased $340 billion of market capitalization and lowered ETH from $3,900 to $2,200, followed by the collapse of the “stable” Terra UST coin, forming a steady series of crashes in the industry, following behind the increase in interest rates of the Federal Reserve against the backdrop of its fight against "indomitable inflation".
The technical picture in ETH futures points to potentially increased risks of further erosion and disruption of the crypto market as the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate cycle nears its climax and logical conclusion before the end of 2022.
The left scale shows market expectations for a Fed rate by the end of Q1'23. That is well above 10-year US Government Treasuries yield.
FTT - Long position - High Risk On this chart we can see the massive drop from FFTUSD as we all know FTX is in big trouble. So this trading setup is a really high risk setup.
If we ignore the fundamentals, the indicators are showing that the price will go up. The indicators we used are the Bollinger Bands, RSI and stochastic. They´re all suggesting the price is oversold. So hopefully the price will have it´s last convulsion before it continues to go down.
All further details are shown on the chart.
FTT a lot of FUD today. Short?Today , on crypto twitter there´s a lot of FUD regarding FTX exchange insolvency.
CEO of Binance announced that they will be selling their ftt tokens (do your own research on twitter to learn more).
If we see more FUD in the near term, it may result in a big drop. So far support holds.
Short it only if key support breaks.
Don´t forget to place a stop loss.
Target: 10 $
Make a note that this trading idea is likely to happen only if we see more FUD regarding FTX insolvency or anything bad about FTX, Sam Bankman-Fried or alameda research.
Does FTT go to zero?hi! I hope you are well
Note: Don't forget capital management and stop loss setting
Note: This scenario is probable and not certain.
Considering the negative news that has been published for this coin, it is better to consider this correction as a wave of great magnitude.
Due to the pessimism of this currency among traders and the exit of its investor, Binance, this currency can remain bearish in the medium term.
I have identified two important supports for the not-too-distant future.
FTTUSD ❕ important psychological levelBitDAO and FTX have settled the sale.
OKX founder urges CZ to stop FTT sale.
The token's fall has led to a decline in the crypto market.
The asset is oversold at the 4H Timeframe.
TD Sequential has formed a reversal signal upwards (30m TF)
I expect the asset to hold the psychological level and start bouncing back.
FTT, where to go?The chart is displayed on a weekly logarithmic scale.
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FTT fell below the H&S in May this year. With 31.266 and 84.746 as lows and highs, the price stepped back to 51.695 (0.618) and then fell below the neckline of 31.266. After that, FTT tested 22.000 many times without falling below.
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After the problem with CZ, the support at 22.000 was broken and the lowest was at 14.955.
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Because of the market news, FTT fell, so you can pay attention to the closing price this week to judge whether it will come to the lower support 10.837.
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