Trump's Odds Drop to 33%, Easy 3x in 1 Month?Trump was diagnosed with COVID last night. His betting odds have dropped to under 34% which means you could easily triple your money if he wins. Chances are high (99%) that he will survive the infection. And chances are also very high that he will win the election.
Many will say "look at the polls!" but as we know from the 2016 Wikileaks and election results, the polls are manipulated by oversampling democrats, and the mainstream media plays right into this bias:
"I also want to get your Atlas folks to recommend oversamples for our polling" wikileaks.org
"Hillary Clinton has an 85% chance to win." NYT. November 8th, 2016.
"Chance of winning: Hillary Clinton 71.4%. Donald Trump 28.6%." FiveThirtyEight. November 8th, 2016
"Clinton has 90 percent chance of winning" Reuters. November 7th, 2016.
"In the four way race, Clinton tops Trump by a 45-43 percent margin. She was up by three points a week ago (44-41 percent) and by six in mid-October (45-39 percent)" Fox News. November 5th, 2016.
"Bottom line: Using the Princeton Election Consortium’s methods, a less aggressive assumption (sigma=1.1%) leads to a Clinton win probability of 95%." Princeton University. November 6th, 2016
Obviously the mainstream media polls and election forecasting methodologies cannot be trusted, and are being heavily manipulated by the center-right and the left. I would bet that Trump's chances of winning are very high, and that his base is quite fired up for him. According to a recent Gallup poll 94% of republicans support the president and 39% of independents support him as well. According a recent ABC News poll, only 86% of democrats have a favorable view of Biden (independent results not available). From what I've personally seen it seems most democrats are only voting for Biden because he's "not Trump," which doesn't give him much momentum. Had the democrats nominated a far-left candidate like Bernie Sanders, the results would be much harder to predict.
I think the democrats will become radicalized after this election and nominate a far-left candidate, and they will likely win the 2024 election. For now, the radicalized far-right Trump has much more momentum than the middle-of-the-road center-left Biden, and there's a very good risk/reward ratio on this bet. Also there's a chance Trump's betting odds get even lower the closer we get to the election, like it did in 2016, so it might be a good idea to save some money for that. There's obviously no guarantee that Trump will win but the risk to reward here seems very good.
(BTW this is not a political statement, just simple observation. I will be voting for the Libertarian Party candidate. I don't support either authoritarian party.)
FTX
SUSHI - LONG, Slowly Climbing BackUNI farming will end soon (at Nov 17) and sushi looks like a hot buy again, flipped the first S/R at $1.3 it seems.
It's not just a farm anymore, it has stable yielding cashflows (sushiswap fees, xsushi stacking), constantly rising TVL and future products (Bentobox (Margin trading any alt pairs), Gusoku, MISO).
I'm long from $1.19 avg, targeting $2.0. Let's see how it plays out.
Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.
Hit the "LIKE" button and follow to support, thanks!
ETH - Sell-off after rally (scalp)Eth experienced 8% sell-off after yesterday's rally.
Overall still it looks good (fundamentals, market etc), but short term it could be sold into $450 resistance (considering BTC PA). Placed some asks and patiently waiting.
Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.
Hit the "LIKE" button and follow to support, thanks!
ETHUSDT - Target hit | +20% in 3 daysETH has reached my target but it doesn't seem to stop! +20% since ETH 2.0 deposit contract announcement btw.
I wonder how high it'll go. Last run was stopped around ~$477.
Bullish, scalping, buying dips.
Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.
Hit the "LIKE" button and follow to support, thanks!
Bitcoin : Can be it be that simple?Once again Bitcoin showing the bears who is BOSS, Sometimes, simple works best.
There is a obvious Bull Flag / Bull Pennant pattern.
In extremely fast faced bull markets sometimes these patterns can form on a slanted angle and still breakout upwards.
Other important things to note ALTHOUGH we are under the orderblock resistance on Bitmex chart on Huobi we are well above it.
We need to hold the crucial support levels 13630 for the short term upside, 13280 for general uptrend.
The targets are the above resistance areas.
ETHUSD - Ethereum lag behind BitcoinBitcoin is leading (made a new ATH), Ethereum is lagging but it has broken substantial resistance around $400 and is ready to test $450 again.
(Macro) ETH price touched weekly support and heading to weekly resistance now, looks easy.
Long ~$390-$400 dip would be a no-brain trade for me, but not sure if I will get such an option. Currently in a really small long from $410, just to not miss the move (will add more if it goes south).
Hit the "LIKE" button and follow to support, thank you!
Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.
LINKBULL.USD (Y20.P4.E9.v2).Big opportunityHi All,
For only FTX users and potentially similar setups on other platforms.
Looking at LINK.USDT and LINKBULL, there are similarities. Having the advantage of knowing that LINK.USDT broke a key level and might retest it, gives me the idea that this
could also be an opportunity.
We have an ascending triangle and its more likely the 3rd touch on top will give way but 4th is golden.
I already bought LINKBULL and I'm up 40 something percent.
IF, LINKBULL was to pull back, this level would be fantastic for another entry, a fib boost.
I see it unlikely but one never knows.
Cheers,
S.SAri
This might equate to LINK.USDT
on the daily, upward pressure on the indicators
#Bitcoin : Current Monthly Key LevelsMy current monthly levels chart for Bitcoin
Using - Fib levels, Supply & Demand Zones, Key Horizontals.
12449-12294 next support (lines up perfect with daily levels also)
13140 next key monthly level which lines up with the daily, and the montlhy close at 13249 ( this is marked on my daily chart with the same name "20k top close 1m/monthly close ath"
#Bitcoin : Current Daily Key LevelsMy current levels chart for Bitcoin ( DAILY CHART LEVELS, VIEWING ON 4 HR )
Using - Fib levels, Supply & Demand Zones, Key Horizontals.
Current near resistance -
12889, 12980 are two close levels we need to "claim" to continue up.
13166, 13249 is around the monthly candle close of the last major swing, we will also need to claim those levels to continue up.
Support wise. I see a cluster at 12495-12300, would be ideal to hold that area, if not we have to see what price action brings at the lower levels.
#Bitcoin : Testing the new gradient & A Key Levels Overview.Hello!
Just wanted to share my first chart with the new trading-view gradient backgrounds and share the key areas i'm watching right now on Bitcoin.
Not in any trade but can see that we are current forming a Bear Flag, Symmetrical Triangle and are squeezing between two areas of support and resistance on the chart.
#Bitcoin : Possible Bearish Setup.Just a general trading plan for Bitcoin.
There is a clear Single Candle Supply Zone we are resting on, if we lose the area and reject off it, its a pretty clear sell signal.
Look at 9200 area how price reacted from it on the chart. It may be a good area to watch.
See my bullish setup linked below for other perspective.
SUSHI PRICE IS ABOUT TO RISE WELLIn my previous technical analysis, I noticed that I made a mistake.
Analyzing a project that is still very new on a logarithmic scale can cause errors. So when we convert the graphic to a geometric scale, a much smoother pattern emerges.
Sushi now; perhaps it may be the cheapest level to buy. It can be entered with 25% balance to reduce the risk.
Serum 4% TP1 Trade - Valid for FTX and BinanceHello traders
Sharing a quick intraday trade today on SRM/USD or SRM/USDT
TP: a bit before the SMA 20 Daily
Stop: based on hard-exit, will share when it will trigger
Hope this trade will be fruitful
Cheers
Dave