Bitcoin reeling in stubborn bullsHello!
Here's my short thesis on BTCUSD. It is just simple sentiment and price analysis of the bull run, which Bitcoin has been in since March. I think Bitcoin is ready to top out for intermediate period and pull back to 13000 level. It is such a perfect spot to trap and catch people, who are looking for breakout and possibly all time highs, off guard.
Good luck!
Tonis
Fucktags
It's time to bring some real volatility to markets - ES to 3000Hello!
Right off the bat, I'm gonna mention that the market has changed during the last few weeks. All the retail and hedge fund crowd have suddenly started to buy into the rally, which they couldn't do for the past 6 months. Also I hope ya'll have seen the P/C ratios and volumes that have gone absolutely bonkers and made new records never seen before day after day. It is time to crush the call buyers speculation and bring some real volatility to markets. I'm not bullish until we have at least got a bigger correction to around ES 3000 level and washed the retail crowd (speculators) out . That's all.
*turn date 23/11/* - All the options gamma getting rolled over by the dealers likely have positive effect on the markets rally into year's end/Christmas. If there's weakness into this date it's likely gonna get gobbled up in the next few days and squeeze all the shorts and make people on the sidelines chase!
Good luck!
Tonis
S&P 500 E-mini Futures playbook going into October/electionsHello!
Introduction:
I've been mainly trading ES and NQ for over a year now. Mostly I love to swing shorter term with options/futures contracts, but also sometimes scalp when the opportunity exists. Just giving a heads up that I'm also an degenerate who thinks, its possible to top/low tick the market quite often and I've had some success doing it.
Now here's the analysis:
Here's my playbook on ES futures going into October and also US elections (3/11/20). I think there's likely some upside ahead in the shorter term ( up to around 3410 level ), which is then followed by some chop/weakness in the overall markets, because of the uncertainty of elections. There's also likely gonna be a rally after the elections, because of all the protection market participants have bought and everyone likely agreeing that the markets are going to tank. You don't want to be part of that crowd because more than often they are gonna get caught on the wrong side of the market and have to chase into new highs. Look for the after-elections squeeze at around ES 3300 level . At least that's my theory using my knowledge in the markets (+2 years actively trading almost everyday and managing capital for other people). It's likely not gonna play out like that, but you get the idea.
*turn date 20/11/* - All the options gamma getting rolled over by the dealers likely have positive effect on the markets rally into year's end/Christmas. If there's weakness into this date it's likely gonna get gobbled up in the next few days and squeeze all the shorts and make people on the sidelines chase!
Good luck!
Tonis
Gold short into mid-OctoberHello!
The idea behind this trade is quite simple and has an insane risk reward of around 15x (the kind of setup I love to trade). Gold has had a crazy run this year and it's still quite overextended on the monthly timeframe.
Also for you TA freaks you can see a breakout from a "triangle". Just something to also take note of.
Good luck!
Tonis
No.53)- Aion (50 to 100 Challenge)Like most altcoins will be in this challenge, this is in buy territory