FUD
Using WEEKLY EMA 20 to find the BOTTOMHistorically the weekly EMA 20 has proven itself to be a good place to buy bitcoin in bullruns. Will the WEEKLY EMA 20 serve us again in revealing the bottom?
Find out in the next episode of Bitcoin to the moon.
(Note: W EMA 20 will be around a price point of 20-25k)
Offshore to the top floor - ZECDear traders,
Intro: My name is Hugo, I am 24 years old and trading crypto currencies since late 2017. English is not my main language, however, I will try to explain everything brief and clear. Be aware that I am still in the learning curve. Every idea I post is not financial advice and is only meant for entertainment purposes only.
Analysis: Zcash's volume profile (VPVR) is at the bottom, which might indicate more buying volume than selling volume. Beautiful patterns recurring as pointed out on the chart and fundamentals are, in my opinion, really good. Big players (Grayscale & Gemini) do not seem to care about Bittrex delisting the coin (Tweets of Barry Silbert and Tyler Winklevoss, respectively). Been accumulating this coin for a long time now... Hope it will take off. This is my short-term target, for long-term targets check out Path's chart ;).
Conclusion: Up only, buy.
Goodluck,
Doctor Hugo
TRUMP HAS COVID ~ KUCOIN HACK ~ BITMEX NEWS (dump)-Yurlo
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Price action talk:
There's a lot of bearish FUD news circulating around the space.
#1: KuCoin Hack (200+ million)
#2: Bitmex news (Arthur Hayes facing lawsuits)
#3: Donald trump testing positive for covid and being hospitalized
#4: Biden tests negative for covid (this is bearish again)
$10450 - $10550 looks very weak ~ we've seen little to no bounce from this zone and it's been a day since the drop.
Expecting to see $10,200 for a retest, if that doesn't hold $9950.
We first broke down breaching the support trend line on October 1st ~ which usually is a good indication of upcoming price action that will affect the price action across the crypto community and the stock markets.
I can't be bullish after all the bearish FUD news ~ IMO
The Binary moment of our marketI has become incredibly interesting how the markets (both stock and Bitcoin) sit and hover around the 50% retracement of the big move from a month ago.
I am glad for posterity's sake that on March 24th (a big up day) I put out to many of my trading groups that I called the bottom... in a tounge-in-cheeck joking sort of way... about how my Oatmeal Indicator worked. The day that I noticed Oatmeal (my staple breakfast product) was back on the shelves in the grocery store was "the bottom". It signaled the end, or at least the beginning of the end, of our supply chain disruption and culmination of peak fear and uncertainty.
I think it is important on a more philosophical level the meaning of that observation. That as life showed signs of returning to normal the price of All The Things began to mean revert.
Once again the price of All The Things sit at the halfway point. We are just about to re-open the economy. We don't know if the worst of times is past us of if we might have a resurgence of COVID-19. Information to this end is often contradictory and inconclusive. Therefor the end result of the near future is really a 50/50 shot. Price reflects this prospect as it does all known information in the market.
I cannot say with certainty what will happen as a trader... but as a contrarian trader I will make a call. For well over a month I have consumed the daily feed of Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD). Through all of the 'experts' predicting the end of the world, or the end of markets, or the end of the US Dollar, etc. I've begged the question... "what if it isn't the end of the world?" What if, we do actually decided to continue this great experiment called civilization after 1918, 1665, or 1347? I think in the end we will decide that the REWARD of living in our modern, globalized world is worth the RISK of which we have just been reminded.
My call, just go against the prevailing media sentiment, is that we will be back at the market highs by the November election. Happy trading :)
BTC/USDT What will happen on 21 Apr ?BINANCE:BTC/USDT What will happen on 21 Apr ?
Long to 8.2k breaking 1D MA 200 ?
Short to 6.2k remaining under 1D MA 200 ?
Buy & hold : FUD/FOMO intensifies ?
Breaking above 8.2k and remaining at this price for one month would attract investors for the halving incoming
Remaining at 6.2k would mean that BTC is becoming a stablecoin (and attract more investors ? ^^)
Buy & hold : BVOL increasing and go back to 4.5k ?
Nobody is able to predict the future.
Only noobs are shorting TSLA here. It will go above 1000.First of all I like to emphasize how extremely happy I am about this rally.
The shorters really had it coming. The incredible amount of arrogance they displayed just had to be punished. And a severe punishment they did receive.
Now of course everyone is thinking that this here has been the top. However, if it would have been the top, the correction would have been much more severe.
Instead, we saw a correction pattern in a huge continued rally.
It really is very similar to the huge runup in 2013. Therefore I think we'll continue up above 1000, much to the dismay of the poor shorters, who are really poor now
in the truest sense of the word.
Anyone who doesn't understand why Tesla has this rally, why they are so disruptive, why they will grow much more, should really do some reading on disruptive
technologies and Kondratiev cycles. This company marks the beginning of a new era of rapid innovation. Tesla is much more than a car company. They build
solar arrays. They build energy storage batteries for renewable energy farms. They are also a software company. They are soon an autonomous carsharing fleet
company. They have the most advanced AI neuralnet, years ahead of anyone else. They have by far the biggest supercharger network. The lead to the other carmakers
who are struggling to even build the first generation Model S, is just INCREASING, not decreasing.
Tesla is going to change the world. It already is doing so. Anyone who doesn't understand that, should really do some proper research, and not only read CNBC clickbait news
headlines and FUD.
Bitcoin is felling the coronavirus, and tradicional markets FUDHello traders,
Here is an idea of what can happen next with bitcoin, he brokes an important support level, after rejecting the important resistance line, and now he is probably going to test the long term support line. Since we remain above this Support we still in a uptrend in short medium term.
The traditional markets is in state of chaos at the moment thanks to the fear of the coronavirus, after the falls in the main American and Asian index, and this is reflected the price of all assets in the world.
Always use stop losses.
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Bitcoin - A Visit Into The Monthly From my last post to now, what did you observe? If we look into the lower timeframes, we notice one thing:
- we get scared.
- we read headlines.
- we cloud our judgment.
The most successful and rewarding trades of all are always done on a macro scale. With this simple fact we must learn to be patient and trust in the macro timeframes.
IMO , this is a long. A monthly open long as we head towards our next monthly resistance.
That's all for now.
Dealing with FUDSo, not a good one last week, would have been better to stick to cost average on fridays, but misinterpretation is part of the game. As Coinvestors the only thing to avoid is miscalculation of positions and to buy in with too much to early. Believe me, I did that a lot, so I learnt to set my posistions in the right size, to participate in the market on a support and to have enough fiat left to buy more should the market drop.
FUD - Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt
Last years rally has set greed in the crypto market to a another level, but this always happend, if something is growing bigger.
Greed is good !?
Where's greed, there is always fear around the corner...fear of loosing money by selling to early, fear of waiting to long to hit the market bigtime, fear to set a stop and miss a bullrun, fear to set no stop in a volatile market and so on....
This is the stuff EVERY bigplayer, daytrader, coinvestor and ordenary Joe invesot has to deal with...and there is no patent how to overcome fear that leads to buying high (fear of missing the run) and selling low (panic in a bear market).
But with the simple strategy of informing ourselves in crypto world on a individual but regular bases and cost averaging selected coins and project we believe in we have a mighty weapon in hand.
The #coinvestorarmy should follow this simple rules everytime the make a crypto buy and trade
ASK YOURSELF EVERYTIME
- Is the Coin/Token I wanna get worth its market cap
- is ther e a true benefit in the oin/Token I wanna get
- am I in for short term (<1 month), midterm (2-12 months) or longterm (> 1 year)
ALWAYS REMEMBER
- you didn't loose anything until you sell
- Think twice before you sell AND buy
- Panic was never a good advicer
- Don't invest more then you can loose
- High risk come rarly with high reward when feelings and only opinion from others are involved
How to play the breakouts!?!Lately, there has been a lot of buzz about BTC! Will it breakout or not? In the end, it did not as we predicted with the accuracy of a surgent in our most viewed post till now that you can find in RELATED IDEAS.
Here is a nice school example of how ETH does the breakouts and probably similar pattern will be played in the near future. We will write more about that in the next posts but for now, let's focus on the lessons.
A double top has been a pattern that ETH forms quiet often. Probably cause of false hopes when people just wait for ETH to do the same run as BTC and then hope gets denied or to say it better - run postponed!
It happened before (2017), it happened in the near past (2019) and it will probably happen in the near future.
In order to get the best return in time (RIT) and not only the best return on investment (ROI), it's important to know when to expect the moon so a trader can optimize his or her positions.
Actually, trading is not about buying at the cheapest price, but buying (or selling) close to the time when the price will move the most. So when is that?
In this example, it's clear that after breakout retest!
People usually FOMO when the breakout happens but history shows that in most cases it will be retested.
However, at the point of best entry (RIT), some start to get scared that the breakout was not successful.
Some might even sell in panic (FUD - Fear, uncertainty, and doubt).
This post is made in order to remember what to do and how to work with your emotions (fear, anger,...) when we are close to breakouts.
Buy the retest! Patience is always the key. Keep calm, use the knowledge and you should be fine.
Take care and GL!
PS: You can see Elliot Waves count in this example also, but let's leave that for some other occasion.
For now, it is just important to know that in this example wave 4 needs to be higher than wave 1.
5 minute h&s inside 30minute h&s's right shoulder triggersA 5 minute chart head and shoulder pattern hidden inside the right shoulder of a 30 minute charts head and shoulder pattern has triggered and reached its drop target sending price action down to the neckline of the 30 minute head and shoulder pattern. If the 30 minute h&s pattern triggers it's drop target is 9.6k or so. Considering we have gaps on the CME futures contracts to fill around 8500 odds are very good we will continue to dip lower so I think it's no coincidence that on the eve of the G20 summit at which they will be discussing unilaterally applying the FATF's new universal rules on crypto that the exchange bittrue suffers a big hack and price plummets setting the stage with pre FUD for G20 to employ even more FUDmongering. So I anticipate even more FUD from G20 to take the price even further doesn't to the 39% retracement support line at 8504 to fill all th gaps on thee CME futures. They say in stocks "All gaps must get filled" and while statistically 91.4% of all up gaps do get filled her's still that .6% of the time gaps don't get filled so i is very wise to ladder back in portions of your position on the way to 8504 because here's np guarantee we reach the bottom gap. That's what I will be doing anyways of course this is no financial advice and just my opinion so take from it whatever you will. Thanks for reading and good luck!
BTC in a bear market till 2020!!! (Updated)So finally the FOMO has ended, what a wild ride it was. It honestly blew my last prediction by a few thousand, still not in comparison to the 2017 bull run by no means but the delusion was strong. To be honest the 2019 run never had the momentum needed to replicate the 2017 run, nor create a new ATH. By taking the DEC 18th 2018 low and drawing 45 degrees from it as you can see on the chart the price stayed below the 45 degree angle the whole time until yesterdays June 26th 2019 brief moment above it. In the world of Gann it is a big deal if the cycle started below the 45 degree angle and never even rose above, it means there was never any momentum in the first place. Without the proper momentum that means there was never going to be a bull market, there never was going to be a new ATH, and the FOMO never had a chance. So since reality has set in finally we can continue with the bear market we were always in, and will continue to be in till 2020. On the way down I do see a few potential areas that will encounter strong support and more than likely an attempt to revive BTC, one being at the 7226.06 mark. At that mark there are several things happening there, the first and most obvious is the 0.618 fib, which was drawn from the DEC 18th 2018 low to the June 26th 2019 high. The second interesting indication of strong support at the 7226.06 mark is the 8/1 angle (orange) from the previous 2017 cycle and the 3/1 angle (purple) from the current cycle we are in. They cross at the 7226.06 mark and create a time cluster, which in the world of Gann is something to always keep an eye on. The extremely interesting thing about that level is both the 0.618 fib and the time cluster are at the exact price of 7226.06, so that is definitely an area to observe on our descent down. Once we pass the 7226.06 mark, and I am highly confident we will, we should not have any more bumps in the road till we get to the obvious low of the DEC 15th 2018 bottom of 3122.98. This will also be another level where they will try to revive BTC and create upward momentum, in my opinion they will not be successful. If we do manage to break lower that the 3122.98 mark, we should continue down till we reach the 1754.78 mark, at this point we could be have finally hit bottom, if so we will have ended the current cycle and will resume upwards momentum. In the event that the downward momentum is so strong, coupled with FUD, and the desire to acquire cheap coin. There is a possibility we could go even lower that the 1754.78 mark. The next few targets I have identified would be 883.74 and 730.34. Either one of these targets are highly unlikely, but we have to remember with BTC anything is possible. Regardless the bear market continues and we will not have a chance to see the possibility of a bottom till around late February of 2020 in my opinion. I do think we will see some strong downward momentum around DEC 15th-17th 2019, but I just think this will be the final nail in the coffin that will give us that last mighty push downward to reaching the true bottom that I believe will come in February of 2020. Cheers all, happy trading...
Where do we stop? (ETC Correction)Well if you are a lot like me, you thought the correction was going to be swift and brutal, yet as it turns out we may have already hit the lows and the Bull Rally, fake or otherwise, may very well still be in effect! Just look at how even with extremely low volumes we are still trading in an increasing pattern with dips that lead right into 10% gains! Therefor we have to take into account that although we are absolutely still in a correction, and will be for likely another week, we might not see another 30% leg down, we might only see the local lows that were achieved early last week!
This is why I have to price targets, the purple and yellow lines. The purple has us "triple bottom" or Double Bottom the lowest low so far ($7.35), the Orange has us correcting to the previous low ($6.7). I believe both are realistic expectations, but the likelihood is up in the air. Whales could come in tonight or tomorrow and absolutely assault the market with massive dumps and incredible volume, or low volume trading can have us ticking ever so slightly higher with higher lows and higher highs. Personally, I think the 7.35 range is the most likely to occur otherwise the 6.7 would have came within bow shot already. However, as I said, anything is possible in Crypto!
What do you guys think?