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$BTC/USD: Moon Trading & Technical AnalysisAs we can see, Bitcoin has to overcome two more supports on the Fibonacci retracement before truly and strongly going to higher scenarios. The current daily candlestick is breaking down with a massive volume over the average which means the big players and whales are involved in this particular price. The market doesn't want the price to go higher just yet. There is a little bit of manipulation as well as a psychological response from the overal market to the new ATH. I don't advice to go long unless you are buying in the area below 20 level on the RSI. At least, in my trading plan this always works. Once the RSI is on below 20 and Bitcoin is rejecting the Fibonacci retracement's supports, I am going long very hard. Not financial advice, but for educational purposes only, always do your own diligent research. Peace! Be safe and profitable!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by nicolashuljich
4
Bitcoin and the Infamous Mercury RetrogradeMost people don't know this about me, (and 100% won't care) but I love astrology. The stars, the unknown, the mystery, all shrouded in darkness. I have questions and nobody has the answers. Probably part of the allure, I'd imagine. I also love Technical Analysis. I don't consider myself amazing by any stretch but I'd like to think I'm a level above wasting anyone's time. Data. Numbers. Math. Patterns. Time. Theory... I love em all. This analysis will focus on a period of time that generally happens 3 but sometimes 4 times a year and it has to do with the planet Mercury. Very quickly, Mercury Retrograde is simply when Mercury passes Earth on its way around the Sun. Because Mercury has an inner track and can complete an orbit in around 88 days, there will be times when Mercury cruises right by Earth. From our view on Earth, it would almost appear as if Mercury is moving backwards.

 Don’t take my word for it, look it up yourself if you’re interested but they say that Mercury Retrograde leads to a lot of negative action, specifically regarding expression, communication, technology and other misfortunes including financial disruptions. It should be said that there are also two weeks before Retrograde and two weeks after Retrograde, give or take, and these are Shadow periods. I’m not going into detail about those as this intro is already far too long. So, what better way to see what type of affect Mercury Retrograde has on trading Bitcoin then looking at the chart, plotting the retrograde periods and taking a few simple measurements? I started with 2016 as this should give us enough data to get started with. 2016 had 4 Periods but the last one started in 2016 and ended in 2017. 2016: January 5 – January 25, 2016 April 28 – May 22, 2016 August 30 – September 22, 2016 Dec 19 2016 – Jan 8, 2017 Below you will see a chart with the 4 periods and their relevant data. This data includes the amount of days, the % gain or lost and the equivalent dollar value of that gain or loss. 2017: Dec 19, 2016 to Jan 8, 2017 April 9 – May 3, 2017 August 12 – Sept 5, 2017 December 3 – December 22, 2017 Below you will see a chart with the 4 periods and their relevant data. This data includes the amount of days, the % gain or lost and the equivalent dollar value of that gain or loss. 2018: March 22 – April 15, 2018 July 26 – August 18, 2018 November 16 – December 6 Below you will see a chart with the 3 periods and their relevant data. This data includes the amount of days, the % gain or lost and the equivalent dollar value of that gain or loss. 2019: March 5 – 28, 2019 July 7 – 31, 2019 October 31 – November 20, 2019 Below you will see a chart with the 3 periods and their relevant data. This data includes the amount of days, the % gain or lost and the equivalent dollar value of that gain or loss. So, obviously we got some results that seem to be all over the place. A 28% Gain in 2017 but a 38% loss in 2018. Surely we can find a way to make more sense out of this. Yes, we will add a moving average and then see if we make gains while in up-trending markets and losses while in downtrending markets to give confluence to the idea that maybe Mercury Retrograde goes with the trend. Below you will see a 200 Simple Moving Average on the Daily chart for overall trend Bias. Price above the 200 = Uptrend Price below the 200 = Downtrend The idea here was to see if the Mercury Retrograde followed the overall trend. As we can see, it's not perfect. We can see trend following more often then it doesn't but no concrete conclusion can be derived from the 200 DMA. The last one is Neutral because Retrograde starts above the 200 DMA and ends Below the 200 DMA. This was the longest part of the thesis. I tried a few dozen indicators to see if there was any type of “signal” prior to the Retrograde that could give a good leading indication. Unfortunately, from the Aroon to the Whadda I just could not find something that was 100%. It always came down to the two in 2016 and that rise in 2019. And I really tried a lot. MACD, OBV, MFI, RSI, Stoch, Ichi, even faster MA/EMAs, a few oddball indicators, momentum, etc… But then it dawned on me. Retrograde. Moon Phases. Huh… Let’s See New Moon in the Cycle: 2016: January 5 – January 25, 2016 - Down April 28 – May 22, 2016 - Down August 30 – September 22, 2016 - Up Dec 19 2016 – Jan 8, 2017 - Up 2017: Dec 19, 2016 to Jan 8, 2017 - REPEAT April 9 – May 3, 2017 - Up August 12 – Sept 5, 2017 - Up December 3 – December 22, 2017 - Up 2018: March 22 – April 15, 2018 – No New Moon = DOWN July 26 – August 18, 2018 - Down November 16 – December 6 – No New Moon = DOWN 2019: March 5 – 28, 2019 - Up July 7 – 31, 2019 – No New Moon = DOWN October 31 – November 20, 2019 – No New Moon = DOWN So, this is pretty interesting. Not perfect but interesting. When there is No New Moon Present in the Retrograde Cycle - Price ALWAYS declines. When there is a New Moon present we get 6 up and 3 down. Need to investigate further. Full Moon in the Cycle: 2016: January 5 – January 25, 2016 - Down April 28 – May 22, 2016 - Down August 30 – September 22, 2016 - Up Dec 19 2016 – Jan 8, 2017 – No Full Moon = UP 2017: Dec 19, 2016 to Jan 8, 2017 - REPEAT April 9 – May 3, 2017 – Up August 12 – Sept 5, 2017 - No Full Moon = UP December 3 – December 22, 2017 - Up 2018: March 22 – April 15, 2018 - Down July 26 – August 18, 2018 - Down November 16 – December 6 - Down 2019: March 5 – 28, 2019 - Up July 7 – 31, 2019 - Down October 31 – November 20, 2019 - Down Another very interesting piece of information. 
When No FULL MOON is present in the cycle, Price goes up. 
In the presence of a Full Moon, price declined 7 to 4. Again, not really great findings here. The more interesting is definitely the lack of presence from a Full Moon. Both a New and a Full Moon in the Cycle: 2016: January 5 – January 25, 2016 - Down April 28 – May 22, 2016 - Down August 30 – September 22, 2016 - Up Dec 19 2016 – Jan 8, 2017 – No Full Moon = UP 2017: Dec 19, 2016 to Jan 8, 2017 - REPEAT April 9 – May 3, 2017 – Up August 12 – Sept 5, 2017 - No Full Moon = UP December 3 – December 22, 2017 - Up 2018: March 22 – April 15, 2018 – No New Moon = DOWN July 26 – August 18, 2018 - Down November 16 – December 6 – No New Moon = DOWN 2019: March 5 – 28, 2019 - Up July 7 – 31, 2019 – No New Moon = DOWN October 31 – November 20, 2019 – No New Moon = DOWN When we have both a New Moon and a Full Moon, the results are just about Random. 4 Up and 3 Down. I even checked the placement of which moon came first but again, nothing consistent from the 7 Cycles left to look at. Here is what we do have.

 No New Moon = Price goes down 4 for 4 Cycles No Full Moon = Price goes up 2 for 2 Cycles The presence of Both a New Moon and Full Moon = Random 4 Up and 3 Down The question then becomes, what does this Cycle have or better yet… Not Have. And therein lies an unforeseen problem. There is a New Moon and on the very last day of the cycle, there is a Full Moon. Now, depending on where you are in the world, will the Full Moon count when the trading ends on March 9th, 2020 at 00:00 UTC? I suppose that is up to you to decide. If it was a New Moon only, then 2 out of 2 times in the past we had price go up. Just to really jab the knife in a little deeper… The Full Moon on March 9th, the last day of the upcoming Mercury Retrograde cycle, is a SUPER FULL MOON. It’s considered a SUPERMOON when it is at its closest to EARTH so it will look Bigger and Brighter. There will only be one other Super Full Moon in 2020 it will be April 7th. Stats: 2016: January 5 – January 25, 2016 20 Days -8.60% Loss of $37.10 April 28 – May 22, 2016 24 Days -191% Loss of $8.50 August 30 – September 22, 2016 23 Days 3.75% Gain of $21.50 Dec 19 2016 – Jan 8, 2017 20 Days 15.87% Gain of $125.60 2017: Dec 19, 2016 to Jan 8, 2017 ---Same as above--- April 9 – May 3, 2017 24 Days 28.00% Gain of $331.10 August 12 – Sept 5, 2017 24 Days 21.65% Gain of $794.40 December 3 – December 22, 2017 19 Days 27.27% Gain of $2973.10 2018: March 22 – April 15, 2018 24 Days -5.81% Loss of $515.70 July 26 – August 18, 2018 23 Days -21.61% Loss of $1764.70 November 16 – December 6 20 Days -38.37% Loss of $2139.00 2019: March 5 – 28, 2019 23 Days 8.48% Gain of $313.80 July 7 – 31, 2019 24 Days -10.18% Loss of $1144.10 October 31 – November 20, 2019 20 Days -11.79% Loss of $1080.80 Total UP = 6 Periods Total Down = 7 Periods Average Gain when up = 17.50% Average Loss when down = -14.03%
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by ChingasX
16
$BTC/USD: Moon Trading & Technical AnalysisBlessings dear traders of the Moon Trading family! I truly hope everyone is doing well and being extremely profitable! A profitable trader is the one with a great risk management and who knows to cut loses sooner than later. Be that trader for the sake of your millonaire future you! That said, let's check what BTC has been doing! We can see that the Fibonacci retracement is amazing when applied to BTC, specially in bigger timeframes. The deepest support is at the level of the Golden Ratio which is $48.000. The much easier support to retest is at the level of the 0,236 Ratio which is $57.577. What to expect on this powerful Aries Full Moon ? Well dear traders, usually the restest before going to the Moon is at the Golden Ratio, which personally I think is too far away by now considering all the extremelly bullish news of the coming BTC's ETFs. However, that would be a fall of just %20 ish from the current price, which is %5 less than the last Full Moon, so in theory it could easily happen. I will be a little bit more conservative considering how bullish October usually is and I will go with a retest of the 0,236 Ratio ($57.577) and possibly the 0,382 Ratio (around $54.000) being %6,66 and %12,12 of average fall in both cases, respectively. Remember dear family, never under any circumstances try to cheat the market or go against it, you will always lose. Instead of that, just wait for several confirmations before going short or long. It is much better to wait to the next Moon if you miss one, than to cut the trade with big loses because you didn't follow your plan or even any plan at all. Plan the trade, and always trade that plan! Don't speculate, don't gamble, don't do spiritism with trading, this is a financial and comercial science that you must study. Set a goal, 1 hour per day, or 2 or 3 or 8 if you can, take it seriously! And you will see your profits become x10 greater that your 9-5 job. Once you are there, you keep doing the same, but now creating generational wealth and financial freedom not only for you but also for your entire family! Peace and be safe!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by nicolashuljich
2
$DXY: Moon Trading & Technical AnalysisEvery time this index goes up, stock and crypto markets go down, sooner or later, whitin the same day, and even in the same hour. The accuracy of this intermarket connection is highly great and for many fundamental reasons this is totally reasonable. As well can see here, $DXY is absolutely synchronized with the Moon phases, every single month, having an average growth between 1% and 3%. Right now, we can see in the RSI that it broke in a down trend on the daily chart. This means that we will see stock and crypto markets to raise a little bit more, till the Aries Full Moon, when usually prices bottom. Once the RSI for this index shows undervalue and the daily candlesticks are testing the support I draw in the chart, it is very likely we will see a bounce up. As long as any important catalyst shows up. If you are a Moon Trader as myself, or you are doing Swing Trading and you are already in great profits, I would suggest to set a SL so you don't lose your profits with the drop of the Full Moon and later on, once the RSI for the particular cryptocurrency or stock you are insterested in shows a buy signal (blue line breaks up trend over the red line in the undervalue area) then you can take a long positions using your initial investment plus your profits. We need to keep an eye on this index and the news of the FED and the US goverment, because as you will see, they impact heavily on this index and by extention, in the overall market conditions. This is not financial advice, but for educational purposes only. Always do your own diligent research. May you have a great and profitable day!
TVC:DXYShort
by nicolashuljich
1
$CVC/USD: Moon Trading & Technical AnalysisAccording to my indicators that you can see in the chart, and based on the nice Cup & Handle pattern that $CVC is drawing in the weekly chart, we could be seeing a potential growth of a beautiful +150% between the Scorpio New Moon (re-born from the ashes, like the Fenix) and the Taurus Full Moon. I would keep a close eye on what the price is doing near the Full Moon on the 20th of October. Once RSI, MACD and any other indicator you may use is showing a "buy signal", make sure you don't lose it. This hidden gems coins usually explode between Full Moon and New Moon, and drop hard (as we have been seeing) between New Moon and Full Moon. If you are already in profits, you could take profits now and re-enter in a long leveraged position (x3) around the Full Moon. This is not financial advice, but for educational purposes only. Make sure you always do your own diligent research. May you have an amazing, blessed and profitable week Moon Trading family!
CLong
by nicolashuljich
$SHIB/USDT: Moon Trading & Technical AnalysisWhat Is SHIBA INU (SHIB)? Once upon a time, there was a very special dog. That dog was a shiba inu, and this dog inspired millions of people around the world to invest money into tokens with the dog’s image on it. According to the SHIBA INU website, SHIB is the “DOGECOIN KILLER” and will be listed on their own ShibaSwap, a decentralized exchange. Shiba Inu coin was created anonymously in August 2020 under the pseudonym “Ryoshi.” The meme coin quickly gained speed and value as a community of investors was drawn in by the cute charm of the coin paired with headlines and Tweets from personalities like Elon Musk and Vitalik Buterin. Shiba Inu aimed to be the Ethereum-based counterpart to Dogecoin’s Srypt-based mining algorithm. Shiba Inu and the SHIB token are part of a swarm of dog-themed cryptocurrencies, including Baby Dogecoin (BabyDoge), Dogecoin (DOGE), JINDO INU (JIND), Alaska Inu (LAS), and Alaskan Malamute Token (LASM). These lesser-valued tokens have attracted investors who missed the Dogecoin pump from 0.0002 to nearly 0.75 USD. On Sept. 17, 2021, Coinbase, the largest US-based crypto exchange, listed Shiba Inu on their platform. This news caused Shiba Inu price to rise by over 40% in the following two days, bringing the meme dog token into the spotlight again. ______________________________________________________________________________________________ Now that you know what actually this token is and from where it came, we can truly do an analysis of the price. My personal opinion is that any token which doesn't belong to a blockchain that is in fact giving a long-lasting use case impacting our way of living or thinking in terms of economics, social interactions, banking system, technology, and so and forth, it is then a risky investment. Why? Because at some point, more and more tokens based on great use cases will appear in the crypto market and the hedge funds and financial institutions will jump on them. Who cares about hedge funds and financial institutions? Well, they are the source of what in the market is called "smart money", meaning they are naturally, due to their influence and extremely deep connections within companies and goverments, aware of the potential of these solidly empowered tokens and they know before anyone else what that particular blockchain will be providing and to which companies will be connecting. ______________________________________________________________________________________________ We have around 8 days till the Full Moon of October where the prices usually drop significantly. Before that, we could see the price testing the 3565 resistance and from then re-visiting the 2055 support. From there, all the indicators show that they price only is going up, up, up! And more considering the big players coming to this token. You could like this or be against trading this token, but one this is true, people is making a lot of money out of it, specially since the token was listed on Coinbase, a very "careful when choosing" exchange of cryptocurrencies. I would keep a very small portion of my portfolio on this token taking a long leveraged position, with perhaps 3x closer to the Full Moon, the 20th of October. I would suggest also to keep a close eye on BTC Dominance chart, because the higher that number is, the harder for altcoins to raise. This is not financial advise but for educational purposes only. Always do your own diligent research. May you have a beautiful and profitable beginning of the weak!
Long
by nicolashuljich
17
$SOL/USD: Moon Trading & Technical AnalysisWe are not only +50% up from our Moon Trading entry point, but this looks like is not even the half of how high $SOL wants to go! Check that beautiful RSI not even in the half yet, and as you know, with every New Moon we see it over 80 level. Last New Moon, when RSI reached over 80 level we took an over +200% in profits! I am so excited for us, every day a little bit closer to become financially free together! Just let me share you some numbers so you can get this right: If you took the last month entry with me using the Full Moon as your entry point and the New Moon as your selling point, and you pit $1.000 dollars into that positions, you took out of that trade some nice and clean $2.000 + your initial $1.000 being $3.000 in total. If you put that into this Moon Trading entry of the month, you are already +50% up which it means $1.500 + your initial $3.000. Can you see where am I going? You cannot miss the next month, not anymore, not after seeing how this beautiful strategy works! And remember, this is not financial advice, for educational purposes only, always do your own diligent research and double check everything, with a proper time on paper trading before using any real money! May you have a blessed day!
COINBASE:SOLUSDLong
by nicolashuljich
9
$DXY: Moon Trading & Technical Analysis$DXY has been growing, we can say, too much perhaps, showing an overvalue on RSI which usually indicates a fall, perhaps very soon. What does this mean? That the power of the Dollar against other national currencies worldwide is falling (don't worry, this is totally normal and happens all the time, the typical ups and downs of the market) and with it the stock and crypto markets will raise. Be patient and just relax while your long term positions grow in profits. It is possible that we will keep seeing a fall in the value of $DXY as we get closer to the 6th October New Moon which it is usually our selling day to take profits from our entries on the Full Moon from two weeks before. Naturally, to do so we wait till many indicators show a "sell" signal, but you get the point. To have a deeper understanding of the intermarket connections I strongly suggest you to read: Intermarket Technical Analays - John J. Murphy INDEX:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by nicolashuljich
$BTC/USD Moon Trading & Technical Analysis - September 2021Blessing Moon Trading family, may you are in peace and having a great day full of profits and love! I am here as usual to help you to understand the dynamics behind Moon Trading strategy and to check how our entries are doing so far since the Full Moon . As we can see in the chart in the upper right part, we can see that from 28th September to 17th October we are under the influence of Mercury retrograde which usually brings some complications in communications, technology, trading, thiking, comprehension, attentiveness, among many other aspects. This is why I am putting it in the chart, so you are aware that during these kind of 3 weeks you have to double check everything before you do it and the best would be to do not open any positions till this period is over. If you have already opened positions you are totally safe, don't worry (I have a lot and with every Mercury retrograde I have seen profits, rest in peace about that). If you took an entry with me prior to the Full Moon day, when I already told you that the prices were really really low and the RSI was giving us a buy signal, know you are approximately %10.68 depending at which price you entered. If you put $1.000 dollars in the trade (I put much much more than that), so now you have your initial $1.000 plus $106.80 dollars in profits. This is basically how it works. Of course we need to discount the fees from our broker. I am taking profits once RSI is over 80 level or whenever I am %25 in profits from my overall investment for this Moon Trading two weeks trade. Also, if I see a good potential for October once the month started, I could as well keep my position till 4th November New Moon. This is not financial advice but for educational purposes only. Always do your own diligent research.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by nicolashuljich
1
$BTC/USD Moon Trading & Technical AnalysisBlessing Moon Trading family, may you are in peace and having a great day full of profits and love! I am here as usual to help you to understand the dynamics behind Moon Trading strategy and to check how our entries are doing so far since the Full Moon. Entry: $40.600 SL: (usually) Trailing Stop of 5% (but this time I am not using) TP: considering the historical data that I shared in the last idea, it could easily be $57.800 Even after the fall all the currencies had with Evergrande's news, we are still a nicely almost %6 up. But, if you were using Trailing Stop of %5 and your SL wasn't triggered, you could have taken profits of %11 with the peak of the previous days around the Full Moon. If you were trading with leverage, multiply that for the number you were using. That easy is to be profitable with Moon Trading, without taking unncesary risks with your investment and always taking smart and carefully thought entries. How can I take a careful and smart entry using Moon Trading strategy? Well, if you see in this chart, the RSI was giving a buy signal in the daily chart. Every single time around the Full Moon day that I see this buy signal, always the price just keeps going up, even if there are some strong catalysts to bring the price down, as it happened the last couple of days with Evergrande in China. Should I only base my entries on RSI and the day of the Full Moon to open long positions? Well, I like also to use MACD, the historical data of the same Full Moon the last years, what is the expected performance of the price according to this, and also to keep a close eye on DXY and S&P 500 which give together a powerful information. Whenever you see the price of the American Dollar going down, you will see cryptocurrencies in general but Bitcoin in particular going up. If the stock market is still opened, it will impact even more, because whatever happens to S&P 500 usually affects in a great manner to cryptocurrencies. This could be due to the players that are present in both markets: hedge funds, institutional traders and many other reasons, such as algorithmic trading and goverments trying to manipulate the market, whales closing massive positions to take profits before they need to break even due to a high volatily in the market, etcetera. Once you see the RSI + MACD + daily volume giving you a buy signal, and the S&P 500 in a bullish trend, together with the DXY in a bearish trend, that is a great great time to take an entry. Also I consider personally that is very wise to keep an eye on the news around the macroeconomy and crypto related topics, which together usually operate as powerful catalysts for the prices. Did you take this entry? If not, according to all what was mentioned before, you are still in a great moment, just remember to do your own diligent and conscious research. This is not financial advice but for educational purposes only. May you have an extremely profitable 2 weeks between the Full and the New Moon the 6th of October. PS: remember that we have a Moon Trading channel (@MoonTradingTA) where I share a lot of news, tips, analysis and more, join us!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by nicolashuljich
2
$BTC/USD Technical Analysis of the Full Moon on September 2020Blessings family of traders, may you are well and in peace, and hopefully having some nice profits today. I want to share you what happened exactly 1 year ago during the last Full Moon on September 2020. Understanding our past is key to have a better use of our present possibilities under similar circumstances. Again, let's go quickly thorugh the basics of Moon Trading : The day of the Full Moon usually is the lowest price of the month, sometimes this could be around 2 to 3 days prior or after the Full Moon. The day of the New Moon usually is the highest price of the month, sometimes this could be around 2 to 3 days prior or after the New Moon. The period between a Full Moon and a New Moon is two weeks, through which prices go up. The period between a New Moon and a Full Moon is two weeks, through which prices go down. Now, keeping this on mind, in the Full Moon on September 2020, $BTC had a fall of %18.81. To have even more perspective, in the Full Moon on September 2019 $BTC had a fall of %26.25. In the Full Moon on September 2018 $BTC had a fall of %7.36. The question is, how deep is the fall in the Full Moon on September 2021? The answer so far: %12.15. If we take these numbers as parameters, we can easily think that we are above the minimum (2018) but under the maximum (2019) which it could indicate there is a little bit more of room to keep falling, even the double, as it happened on 2019. What have these Full Moons on September from each year in common? They all did rise again after the fall, and usually is kind of part of the rules, what it rises too much surely will fall, and what it falls too much must rise again. Be patient, plan your entry and then do as you have planned.The best moment to buy usually is when the MACD's blue lines crosses above the red, and when the RSI is oversold/undervalued. Not yet there, but once we are be ready. In a crisis there are two kind of people, those who cry and those who sell tissues. Which one are you? Let me know in the comments! Keep an eye on it and let's make some nice profits with this amazing Moon Trading strategy! And remember to share this information so many more souls could become financially free and live a purposeful life! This is not financial advice but for educational purposes only. Always do your own diligent research. COINBASE:BTCUSD
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by nicolashuljich
2