FUND
Loonie languishes below 1.2800... Loonie languishes below 1.2800 irrespective of the BoC’s business outlook returning to positive territory for the first time since the pandemic started in Q4. The Dollar continues to rebound as shorts are squeezed and yields ratchet higher again to the detriment of high betas and risk assets, with the index now forming a base above 90.500 to target more pre-Xmas and New Year peaks. In fact, the highs from December 23 and 22 have already been surpassed on the way up to 90.730, leaving little to offer resistance ahead of 91.000 and the 91.022 apex on December 21. The latest bout of Buck buying began when stocks started to wobble in APAC trade overnight, and picked up pace when US market participants returned to sell Treasuries ahead of this week’s auctions and the ongoing bear-steepening is providing further impetus for funds and specs to unwind oversold positions.
ALIBABAthere are lots of things to consider.
Let's start with the price chart.
we had 2 down gap, not yet covered very well, plus the last one of 30th Nov.
considering the 200 ma, it's close, yet away $20.
then the ma 20 days, that took down the price 2 times, at $303 and $280, which is just on top of the price again at $270 (price now $266)
MACD
isn't really good looking now. 12 ma is crossing downturn the 26 ma, which is usually bearish, plus it's close to 0 in the bars.
talking about the RSI.
it's optimistic, since it says the price is going to be more bought, yet under 50% (ca 45%)
VOLUME
It's looking good. volume, since the spike when ALIBABA went down from $310, is lowering, which could mean the downtrend strength is lowering, so it can reverse.
yet the volume is not calm and has not been as low as during the upturn (just like from 270 to 310 in October).
I want to try to use a 1-10 (may scale it in future, just today's new idea), to rate the stock IMO
sooooooo, I'm going to give baba a 7. it's because fundamentally its good, china is a good place for this business right now, and the price is as low as 5 months ago. 1Y +32% ok? quite good.
the chart is not the best at the moment, but if ur not considering buying into it, u should at least check it daily to see if it hit 200 ma.
CAMELOT0707 RATE 03 December 2020 = 7/10
the weekly chart for a larger view.
hourly chart :D you never know
Solar Cycles & The Stock MarketWe have recently moved in the 25th solar cycle in which they last around 11 years on average. They have a start period and then a maximum Q or intensity of energy at certain points which are in blue.
If everything in our theoretical universe follows the sun, then why not markets as well?
Comments feedback & collaboration welcomed,
Golden Ratio.
AUDCAD // SHORTHello Traders,
I`m looking for a short on my trading Setup. My style of trading is more for a Swing Trade. I created a Trading Plan based on Value Investing.
Please, don`t be greedy.
-> $2,000 per 0.01 std lots.
If re-entry is necessary, double the lots from initial trade.
I`m a Forex Fund and Accounts Manager with more than 8 years of experience.
Maximum DD: 3% of your balance.
Trade Safe and stay tuned for possible updates.
CADCHF // LONGHello Traders,
I`m looking for a short on my trading Setup. My style of trading is more for a Swing Trade. I created a Trading Plan based on Value Investing.
Please, don`t be greedy.
-> $2,000 per 0.01 std lots.
If re-entry is necessary, double the lots from initial trade.
I`m a Forex Fund and Accounts Manager with more than 8 years of experience.
Maximum DD: 3% of your balance.
Trade Safe and stay tuned for possible updates.
AUDNZD // SHORTHello Traders,
I`m looking for a short on my trading Setup. My style of trading is more for a Swing Trade. I created a Trading Plan based on Value Investing.
Please, don`t be greedy.
-> $2,000 per 0.01 std lots.
If re-entry is necessary, double the lots from initial trade.
I`m a Forex Fund and Accounts Manager with more than 8 years of experience.
Maximum DD: 3% of your balance.
Trade Safe and stay tuned for possible updates.
USDCHF // SHORTHello Traders,
I`m looking for a short on my trading Setup. My style of trading is more for a Swing Trade. I created a Trading Plan based on Value Investing.
Please, don`t be greedy.
-> $2,000 per 0.01 std lots.
If re-entry is necessary, double the lots from initial trade.
I`m a Forex Fund and Accounts Manager with more than 8 years of experience.
Maximum DD: 3% of your balance.
Trade Safe and stay tuned for possible updates.
ASX listed ETF 's vs LIC 's (Listed Investmt Co.)- Global Eqs.Very large ASX listed ETF 's versus large LIC 's (Listed Investment Companies) in Global Equities
- ETF (marked with stepped lines): VGS Vanguard MSCI Index International Shares ETF, IOO iShares Global 100 ETF, MGE Magellan Global Trust
- LIC: MFF (MFF Capital Investments Ltd, preciously Magellan Flagship Fund), FGG Future Generation Global Investment, PMC Platinum Capital Ltd, TGG Templeton Global Growth Fund, PIA Pengana International Equities Ltd
ASX Major LIC 's (Listed Investment Companies) PMC TGG MFF PIAASX Major LIC 's (Listed Investment Companies), PMC Platinum Capital Ltd (mkt cap $AUD 450 m), TGG Templeton Global Growth Fund (mkt cap $AUD 250 m), MFF (MFF Capital Investments Ltd, preciously Magellan Flagship Fund, mkt cap $AUD 1,750 m), PIA Pengana International Equities Ltd (mkt cap $AUD 280 m)
Bitcoin Update 10-10-19 Good morning Altsignals Members, welcome to our technical analisys section again.
Lets talk about #Bitcoin on the 4H Timeframe.
Yesterday we experience a clear breakout of the parallel resitance on the 4H chart wich ride us to the previus support zone, turned now to resistance, between $8547 - $8805, so, we need to start closing candles above the $8547 level to continue moving up to $8805 and then take the next important resistance level around $9813.
At the moment the sellers are pushing down into the drawed parallel channel wich could work as Bull Flag to continue the bullish escenario.
$8103 is the most important support level to wacht, also if we break the parallel price range displayed on the chart we will go to this support level, so, could be used as a confirmation for a scalp short position, or long if we break upside.
CFTC chair says ETH is a commodity and anticipates derivatives to trade in the U.S. soon - Fundamentals on ETH are strong right now, a bullish #2 coin can impulse bitcoin creating FOMO in the crypto market on BitMex.
Other good sign to have in mind is a couple of big transaction wich were getting moved since yesterday on USDT up to 10M - This could means Instutional investors preparing funds to buy
Double if not triple bottom in HAL-Trust sharesShares in HAL Trust have been going down since mid 2017, form a high of around EUR 180 to currently around EUR 130. I think we might have seen a short term double bottom at EUR 127, and a longer term double bottom when you look at the same level lows from December 2018.
The shares still trade at a nice but not huge discount of around 4% to NAV, and the stock throws of a modest dividend of around 2.15% currently.
HAL Trust is the listed investment vehicle of a Roterdam based business family. It contains listed investments and lots of private equity type of ositions. It has a stellar track-record and as far as I am concerned a bright future.
The current portfolio, the discount to NAV and the potential double bottom make me think this is a nice entry point for long term investors.
What the market expects from the fed ?Macro view
The market expected that the FED on this occasion would not change the value of the interest rate. This had already been discounted in previous sessions. At a fundamental level, the US economy is undergoing a slowdown due also to the shutdown and this, together with the unclear monetary policy, is causing uncertainty. Investors want to see if this aggressive monetary policy can continue or if a period of stalemate has begun. The possibility of a rate cut if the situation remains stagnant.
Rates
For now it is very likely that interest rates can be resumed in the next FED meetings, as the indicators on which the FOMC is based are aimed at this. The rates can be cut towards the end of 2019 if the market does not liked this monetary tightening. This hypothesis would lead the indices to follow the strongly bearish December trend.
Index
At this time DOW JONES, (like SP500 and NASDAQ) tested the respective resistance area and was rejected downwards. The target to which it will aim in the very short term (if Powell makes it clear that there will be further increases soon) will be the area set at 25000 points, then continue towards 24200 if the level just mentioned should have been violated to the downside. The same goes for SP500, which will target 2640 points. The NASDAQ should go back to testing the 6900.