XAUUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my XAUUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Fundamental Analysis
#EURUSD: Nothing to expect from DXY| View Changed Swing Trading|Hey there! So, we were previously thinking EURUSD was going to be bearish, but things have turned around and it’s looking bullish for now.
The extreme bearish pressure on USD has caused all the major USD pairs to be in a range. As the week goes on and we get the NFP data, the market will probably focus more on these economic indicators. So, it’s not surprising to see some market ranges during this time.
We’ll keep a close eye on the market, as there might be some manipulation going on this week.
We recommend waiting until Monday’s daily candle closes to see if the bullish trend is strong enough. Then, based on the price momentum, you can make your decisions.
We hope you have a great week and safe trading! If you like our work and analysis, please consider liking, commenting, and sharing our content.
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Team Setupsfx
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AUD/USD - Triangle Breakout (02.06.2025)The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.6490
2nd Resistance – 0.6512
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Here's a weekly buy-side analysis🟢 Bias: Bullish (Buy)
Gold remains in a long-term uptrend, with fundamental and technical factors supporting continued upside.
50 & 100 EMA: Price is well above both EMAs, confirming bullish momentum.
RSI: Around 60–70 on the weekly; no bearish divergence yet.
MACD: Histogram ticking upward with bullish crossover in play.⚠️ Risk Factors
Sudden USD strength due to surprise Fed hawkishness.
Strong U.S. labor or inflation data that pushes bond yields higher.
Gold profit-taking near ATH could cause sharp but temporary pullbacks.
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
XAUUSD Daily Outlook — Monday, June 2, 2025“Compression in Premium: Is Gold Building for the Drop?”
👋 traders — let’s prepare the battlefield.
Gold continues to range inside a tight compression box just under the May High. The current daily structure is showing clear signs of distribution inside premium, with multiple failed attempts to break higher. Each upside wick has been absorbed near 3328–3350, and price is now hovering just above key support near EMA50 + PNL (3228–3232).
This setup is classic: lower highs + equal lows + trapped liquidity = imminent breakout. We now anticipate either a clean breakdown below support, or one final inducement wick before the move begins.
🔹 Daily Structure Breakdown
Structure Element Status
Market Bias 📉 Bearish short-term (distribution signs)
Trend Sideways in premium, LH forming
Current Price ~3289 USD
April ATH 3500 (untouched since)
Last CHoCH/BOS BOS confirmed early May → bullish, but no follow-through
Current Setup Range-bound inside lower high, testing OB support
🔹 Refined Daily Zones
📍 Zone Type Key Levels What to Watch
🔺 Rejection Zone #1 3328 – 3342 Daily supply + previous bearish wick zone. Watch for rejection or inducement spike.
🔹 Key Support Zone 3232 – 3228 PNL + EMA50 cluster. Critical line — a clean break opens downside continuation.
🔹 Demand Block 3190 – 3180 Micro OB from May low. If support fails, this is the next magnet.
🔻 Breakdown Target 3044 Unfilled imbalance + clean demand zone from April breakout leg.
🔹 EMA & Momentum Check
✅ EMA 5/21/50: Still aligned bullish
⚠️ Price is sitting on top of EMA50 → breakdown threat if today's candle closes below 3228
RSI likely showing divergence — lower highs in price, weakening momentum
🔹 Daily Bias & Scenarios
📉 Bearish Bias below 3328
✅ Compression inside premium = expect breakout
🎯 Target 1: 3190 | 🎯 Target 2: 3044
❗ Bullish continuation only valid above 3342 with strong PA
🧠 Strategy Plan for Monday:
Sell Setup:
If price retests 3328–3342 early → watch for rejection → short toward 3190
Breakdown Setup:
Clean close below 3228 → open short continuation toward 3180
Buy Setup:
Only valid on deep retracement into 3180 with strong rejection + M15 structure shift
OR bullish breakout and hold above 3342 → target retest of May high
💬 Final Thoughts from GoldFxMinds:
Gold is compressing just below premium rejection — exactly where smart money distribution begins. This is not the moment to long blindly. Let the market show its hand — either break support, or spike into one final trap before dropping.
Trade with structure. Not emotion.
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💬 Drop a LIKE if you’re prepared to let the trap trigger before you react
👇 Comment below: Will gold hold 3228 or flush into 3190 this week?
Let’s start June with clarity and control.
— GoldFxMinds
#GBPJPY: Buyers and Sellers Both Has Equal Chances! Hey there! So, GBPJPY is at a pivotal moment, and we might see a mix of buying and selling activity in the market. Since the bulls aren’t exactly sure what to do next, here’s what we think:
- The GBPJPY pair is having a tough time breaking through the 194 region. The Japanese yen (JPY) is holding steady, making it hard to predict what will happen next. This has made trading JPY pairs a real challenge.
- Looking back at how prices have behaved in similar situations can give us some clues about what might happen in the future. But it’s important to do thorough research before we start trading. Just because something happened in the past doesn’t mean it will happen again.
- The Japanese yen (JPY) also tends to go down when the US dollar (USD) goes up. Since we’re bullish on the DXY index in the coming days, we think the JPY will probably take a hit, and it could go down a lot. It’s also worth keeping an eye on the GBP, which has been one of the most popular currencies since the market opened earlier today.
- In the meantime, we suggest setting two take-profit targets: one at 197 and another at 199. These levels are likely to see a lot of selling activity.
Now, let’s talk about what sellers should do:
- The price is currently in favour of sellers since it dropped from 195.50 to 193.50. And since the last two daily candles closed with strong bearish volume, it looks like the price is going to keep going down.
- If the price breaks below 190.50, that would be a great opportunity for sellers to make some money.
Good luck and trade safely!
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EurUsd AnalysisStrategy Suggestion
Bullish Bias above 1.1210 with breakout confirmation above 1.1418.
Price is above both 50-EMA (green) and 200-EMA (red), signaling medium to long-term bullish trend.
Recent strong bullish candles suggest continuation, but price shows some consolidation near highs.
RSI (14) ≈ 65: Near overbought, but not extreme, leaves room for more upside.
Volume: Elevated on recent bullish move, then tapered slightly—momentum slowing, but not reversing.
PLTR 1D — When the tea is brewed and the handle’s in placePalantir’s daily chart is shaping up a textbook cup with handle pattern — one of the most reliable continuation setups in technical analysis. The cup base was formed over several months and transitioned into a consolidation phase, building a rectangle structure where smart money likely accumulated positions before a breakout.
Now here’s the key: price has not only broken out — it’s settled above all major moving averages, including EMA 20/50/100/200 and MA 50/200. The breakout candle was supported by surging volume, signaling strong participation from institutional buyers. When all the averages start bending upwards, it's usually not by accident.
The breakout above the $121 resistance zone unlocked a pathway toward a target at $187 , derived by projecting the height of the cup upward from the breakout level. This kind of structure, once confirmed, often fuels aggressive continuation — and this one’s got the setup locked in.
From a fundamental perspective, Palantir is holding solid ground: strong earnings reports, expanding government and commercial contracts, and aggressive development in AI services. Institutional interest is rising steadily, and that momentum is visibly reflected in price action.
To sum it up: price has launched cleanly out of the consolidation zone, pierced all critical MAs and EMAs, and continues to gain momentum. While the market sips its tea, this cup is boiling hot. Just don’t forget your stop loss — this is a trading desk, not a tea party.
If you enjoy posts like this, drop a like, share it around, and let’s hear your thoughts below. It keeps ideas moving and the content flowing — free, sharp, and relevant.
EURUSD: weekly focus on jobs dataThe previous week started with US macro data related to Durable Goods Orders. This indicator surprisingly dropped by -6,3% in April compared to the previous month. Although negative, the indicator was better from the market estimate of -6,8%. The second estimate of US GDP Growth rate for Q1 was -0,2%, and was a bit better from the market estimate of -0,3%. Fed's favorite inflation gauge, PCE data, was posted during the previous week. The PCE in April increased by 0,1%, which was in line with market anticipation. Core PCE was also standing at the level of 0,1% for the month. At the same time, Personal Income was higher by 0,8% in April, highly above forecasted 0,4%, while Personal Spending was higher by 0,2% for the month, and in line with market estimate. The week was closed with University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment. Final indicator level for May was 52,2, modestly above market expectation of 51. The five years inflation expectations were also modestly decreased to the level of 4,2%, which was below market estimate of 4,6%.
The GfK Consumer Confidence in Germany continues to move in a negative territory in June with the level of -19,9, a bit higher from market consensus at -19. The Unemployment rate in Germany in May remained unchanged from the previous month, at the level of 6,3%, and in line with market expectations. The Retail Sales in Germany in April dropped by -1,1% on a monthly basis, bringing the indicator to 2,3% when compared with the previous year. Preliminary Inflation estimate for Germany in May stands at 0,1% for the month and 2,1% on a yearly basis.
The currency pair moved in a mixed manner during the previous week. The highest weekly level at 1,1414 marked the start of the week, however, eurusd is ending the week lower, at the level of 1,1348. Still the lowest weekly level was shortly touched at Thursday's trading session at the level of 1,1213. The RSI moved between levels of 53 and 59, without a clear indication that the market is heading toward either side. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication of a potential change of course in the coming period.
The week ahead brings some important news, which the market is currently following with high anticipation. The US jobs data will be in focus in the week ahead, including the Non-farm payrolls for May. This might bring some higher volatility in case that the official data are not in line with market anticipation. On the other hand, the ECB meeting is scheduled for the week ahead, where ECB members will make a decision whether to cut interest rates for another time during this year. As per Reuters pool, there is a high probability that the ECB will make another cut at the June 5th meeting, by 25bps, bringing the facility rate to the level of 2%. This day might be another volatile day on the market. As per current charts, there is probability for eurusd to test 1,1250 short term support level in the week ahead, and this would be the level to watch. If it holds, then the eurusd will revert back with high probability to reach levels above the previous week's highs at 1,14. In this case, the currency pair will head to test 1,15 levels for one more time, but it might occur in more than one week. For the week ahead, the 1,14 resistance would be the level to watch. Current charts are showing low probability that the short term support at 1,1250 will be breached to the downside. Just in case that this move occurs, then the next level to watch will be 1,11. However, such a move currently has a low probability of occurrence.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Inflation rate in EuroZone, flash for May, ECB rate decision, ECB Press conference, Trade Balance for Germany in April,
USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI for May, JOLTs Jobs Openings in April, ISM Services PMI for May, Non-farm Payrolls in May, Unemployment rate in May.
#BNBUSDT: A Major Bull Move Incoming $1000 Target! Binance coin is currently in consolidation phase, with no clear direction of where it will go. We consider two possible areas where it may reverse. Both of these areas have a chance to hit $1000, which we believe the price could head towards once reversed.
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Team Setupsfx_
USDJPY 4H Analysis – Market Dynamics ChangingDear Traders,
Guys, the bearish trend in USDJPY has now shifted into a bullish uptrend. My target level for USDJPY is 146.330. Once it reaches my target, I will share updates under this post.
Friends, every single like from you is my biggest source of motivation when it comes to sharing my analysis.
A huge thank you to everyone who supports me with their likes!
Bitcoin about to reach the target zone On today's chart bitcoin took exact rejection from demand zone plotted by AI quant-x indicator.
We take trade either from demand rejection or from supply rejection. From demand rejection is buy trade and supply rejection is sell trade . Price exactly reversed from the demand zone now approaching the target of supply zone . Zone to zone trading
MOONPIG Is Taking Off — Thanks to James Wynn’s Viral CloutThe James Wynn Phenomenon:
James Wynn, a crypto trader who turned $4 million into $100 million before losing nearly all of it in leveraged Bitcoin futures, has become a polarizing figure in the crypto space. His massive trades, including a $1.2 billion Bitcoin long position that ended in a $17.5 million loss and a subsequent $1 billion short position with 40x leverage, have made him a viral sensation. Despite these setbacks, Wynn’s resilience and bold moves keep him in the spotlight, with thousands of traders and investors following his every step.
Wynn’s fame stems not just from his trading but from his ability to move markets. His posts on X, where he boasts a significant following, often trigger rapid price movements in the assets he mentions. This influence is now centered on $MOONPIG, a Solana-based meme coin that’s gaining traction thanks to his vocal support.
$MOONPIG: A Meme Coin with Momentum:
$MOONPIG, a meme coin built on the Solana blockchain, has seen its price surge by as much as 80% following Wynn’s endorsements, though it’s also faced volatility with a 30% drop in 24 hours and a 60% decline from its all-time high. Despite these fluctuations, the coin’s community-driven narrative and Wynn’s backing make it a compelling speculative play.
Wynn’s posts on X reveal his belief in $MOONPIG’s potential to be the “next SafeMoon” of this cycle, predicting a run to a billion-dollar market cap. He’s emphasized its appeal to retail investors, calling it “normie-friendly” and highlighting its strong community as a key driver. This narrative aligns with the meme coin mania that often propels tokens like CRYPTOCAP:DOGE or CRYPTOCAP:SHIB to explosive gains during bullish market phases.
Why I’m Bullish:
Wynn’s Influence as a Catalyst: Wynn’s fame amplifies $MOONPIG’s visibility. His posts on X, such as one claiming he transferred profits to the $MOONPIG reserves wallet, signal commitment and attract attention. When Wynn speaks, traders listen, and his endorsements have already driven significant price action, with one instance sparking an 80% surge.
Community Strength: Wynn has emphasized $MOONPIG’s community-driven ethos, stating it “doesn’t need KOLs or BS” and thrives on organic support. In the meme coin space, strong communities can sustain momentum, as seen with tokens like CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , which Wynn also supports.
Market Timing: With Bitcoin hitting new highs and retail interest flooding back into crypto, $MOONPIG is well-positioned to ride the wave. Wynn’s thesis that retail investors will soon pour into altcoins aligns with current market sentiment, making $MOONPIG a potential beneficiary.
Speculative Upside: Meme coins thrive on hype, and $MOONPIG’s low market cap relative to its potential—analysts like @KookCapitalLLC
speculate a $1 billion valuation—offers significant upside for early investors. Even after recent pullbacks, the coin’s volatility suggests opportunities for traders who can stomach the risk.
Vita Inu Upcoming OnslaughtVita Inu is emerging from a four-year accumulation phase, and we have formed a sideways movement similar to Wyckoff accumulation. The coin is listed on top exchanges and has recently become available on Revolut, Europe’s largest digital bank. There was recent news that Revolut might start operating in the US. All these events will lead to high demand for the coin in the future and, consequently, exponential price growth, especially in the upcoming altseason. This coin not only has the potential to reach the market cap of Shiba Inu, Doge, or Pepe but also to surpass them. If you missed your chance for big gains, this is an excellent opportunity to make money, as the coin’s market cap currently does not exceed $20 million. I forgot to mention that the coin has a fantastic multilingual community, a strong development team, and Wintermute is acting as the market maker for the coin. Still unsure which coin to add to your bag for the altseason? The answer is obvious.
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: 110k RejectionAfter the powerful rally that began in the last quarter of 2024, Bitcoin is now at a critical market juncture. The price has once again reached the 106,000–110,000 USD zone, an area that already showed strong signs of distribution back in February and March 2025. This isn’t just a typical resistance level—it’s a psychologically loaded zone, marked by previous highs and repeated selling pressure.
In May, the monthly candle revealed a clear rejection from this zone: a prominent upper wick and a bearish body, signaling the bulls' struggle to sustain new highs. This behavior suggests the beginning of a profit-taking phase or, more likely, a medium-term consolidation.
The picture becomes even more complex when we look at the COT Report dated May 27, 2025. Non-commercial institutional traders—speculative funds, hedge funds, and portfolio managers—have significantly increased their short positions, now exceeding 26,800 contracts. Meanwhile, long positions are hovering around 24,500, resulting in a net bearish exposure. The message is clear: smart money isn’t buying the breakout—it's selling into it.
Seasonality analysis reinforces this narrative. Historically, June tends to be a weak month for Bitcoin, often followed by renewed strength in the next quarter. The 2025 seasonal curve has mirrored the bullish pattern of 2021 up to May, but now—consistent with historical patterns—is showing signs of slowing. This supports the idea that the market might need a breather before potentially rallying again in Q3.
From a technical standpoint, the key levels are well defined. The 95,000–97,000 USD area is the first dynamic support zone, where the price might find short-term relief. However, the more significant support lies between 82,000 and 85,000 USD—this is the origin of the current rally and aligns with the old breakout structure. A return to this level would represent a healthy and natural correction within a still structurally bullish long-term context.
In summary, the current outlook calls for caution. Momentum is fading, seasonality is unfavorable, and institutional players are trimming long exposure while adding to shorts. Until the price can consolidate above 110,500 USD, the dominant scenario remains a corrective pullback, with interim targets at 95k and potential drops toward the 85k zone.
However, if the market surprises with a strong weekly close above the highs, it could pave the way for a new leg up toward the 125,000–135,000 USD range—potentially fueled by macro catalysts such as ETF inflows, Fed narratives, or broader adoption.
TSLA Honey Ticking Bull Trap!TSLA has a beautiful big ars bear flag! While it should have broken down to trigger a short trade, it decided to Honey Tick people right into a Trap!
It formed a perfect MEGAPHONE in wave 3 up that has now CRACKED! This is a much juicer short setup with the potential of collapsing from here and taking out the entire bear flag and MORE!!
First, we need a lower low and then a lower high and off we GO BABY!!!
Don't Get HONEY TICKED!
As I always say, never EVER!! Invest in toxic people like Elona. They always blow themselves up in the end. It's in their nature!
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Natural Gas: Supported by Geopolitical Tensions and Trade WarNatural Gas: Bullish Momentum Fueled by Geopolitical Tensions and The Trade War
Natural gas has completed a bullish harmonic pattern, finding strong support near 3.45 before rebounding aggressively.
This upward movement suggests the potential for further expansion into a larger pattern.
The bullish sentiment is reinforced by escalating geopolitical tensions and renewed tariff discussions between the US and China over the weekend.
These factors could continue to support upside momentum.
Key resistance levels to watch are 3.67, 3.75, and 3.80.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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US 10Y TREASURY: eased inflation expectationsTrade tariffs continue to gain a lot of investors attention, but they are slowly turning to actual macro data and inflation expectations in the future period. Uncertainty over the future impact of imposed trade tariffs of the US Administration is still present, but it becomes evident that investors are becoming tired of reactions on tweets, and are much more switching attention to actual data. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final data for May, posted during the previous week, showed moderately decreased inflation expectations for the period of next five years. Data showed that US consumers are expecting five years inflation at the level of 4,2%, which was also below market estimate of 4,6%.
The 10Y US Treasury yields eased a bit during the previous week, currently testing the 4,4% level. The starting weekly point was at 4,53%. Considering the relatively significant drop during the week, there is some probability for the short reversal during the week ahead, at least till the level of 4,5%. It should also be considered that the week ahead macro data will put in focus jobs data and NFP, which might imply a bit higher volatility.
CADJPY SELL IDEA-The daily chart is showing a Head and shoulders pattern, with the right shoulder complete, as indicated by the last daily close.
- H4 is also showing a Head and Shoulders Pattern with the right shoulder complete. Additionally, Price reached a major supply zone (Circled areas) and fell, forming a head pattern and a lower high.
- Price has formed a lower high and lower low on H1, and the last candle's close was an inverse bearish pin bar.
Risk - 40 pips
Reward - 159 pips