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Fundamental Analysis

Bitcoin’s Next Movement=>Symmetrical Triangle!!!On January 24, 2025 , the latest U.S. Flash Manufacturing and Services PMI data was released, revealing mixed signals about the economy . These indicators often influence market sentiment and could drive volatility in Bitcoin and others. Manufacturing PMI : Rose to 50.1 in January from 49.4 in December, signaling a slight improvement in manufacturing conditions. Services PMI : Declined to 52.8 from 56.8 , marking the slowest growth in nine months . Potential Impact on Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) : The slowdown in the services sector may lead to increased market uncertainty, potentially driving investors toward alternative assets like Bitcoin. However, the modest uptick in manufacturing could offset some of this uncertainty. Overall, Bitcoin might experience heightened volatility as markets react to these mixed economic signals. ------------------------------------------ Regarding the news of the last 24 hours that came in the crypto , the news has been positive as in the past days and weeks: President Trump signs an executive order for a national Bitcoin strategic reserve. SEC Eases Rules for Banks to Safely Hold Bitcoin and Crypto. In general, from Donald Trump's inauguration until Trump's speech , the crypto market has been very excited , and we even saw a bull trap in the Bitcoin chart. Generally, the news can affect the trend , but we must also pay attention to the technical zones on the chart . ------------------------------------------ Now, let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour time frame . Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400) near the upper lines of the Symmetrical Triangle . Educational Tip : A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern where the price forms converging trendlines of lower highs and higher lows, indicating market indecision. A breakout usually follows, signaling the trend's direction. Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect Bitcoin to once again decline to at least the lower lines of the symmetrical triangle . In general, if any of the lines of the symmetrical triangle are broken, Bitcoin can continue in the same direction . Note: In general, the Volume Trading on Saturday and Sunday is low, and if Bitcoin fails to break the upper lines of the symmetric triangle in the next few hours, we can expect Bitcoin to correct to the first target that I specified in the chart. Note: If Bitcoin goes above $108,520, we can expect Bitcoin to increase at least to Cumulative Long liquidation Leverage($111,053-$109,594). Can Bitcoin make a new All-Time High(ATH)!? Please share your ideas in the comments. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
9
"Volatility's Blueprint: Exposing the Game" This chart reveals a layered analysis of the market, highlighting key insights into price action, volatility, and momentum across multiple timeframes. Let me walk you through it: At the top, the price candles show a significant decline after a previous bullish move. The **red and green zones** are critical—green marks potential support or buy zones, while red indicates resistance or sell pressure. The **diagonal lines** represent descending trendlines and breakout markers, guiding us on the trajectory of price movement. Now, moving to the middle section, the **Custom Range Metric (CRM)** replaces the traditional ATR concept, tracking price volatility in a unique way. You’ll notice how the **green (price)** and **blue (CRM)** lines interact—this alignment reveals where volatility contracts or expands, which often signals key turning points in the market. Complementing this is the **Range Analyzer (RA)**, which highlights zones where shifts in the range could signal reversals or breakouts, adding another layer of precision to the analysis. Below that, we dive into the **momentum indicators** across multiple timeframes—4HR, 1WK, and 2WK. These give us a comprehensive view of how momentum aligns with or diverges from price movements. This multi-timeframe approach helps validate trends and gives a clearer picture of where the market might be headed. Finally, the visual design of this chart is intentional. The color-coded zones, vibrant diagonal channel, and shaded areas bring clarity to the long-term outlook. The **green channel** suggests a recovery projection, while the rest of the setup highlights the market's current state of manipulation. This entire idea ties back to the connection between retail traders and institutional forces, revealing the patterns that have allowed banks to exploit retail traders for years. It’s not just a chart—it’s a deeper look into the mechanics of the market and the hidden signals driving it.
Short
by The_ForexX_Mindset
6
If Trump Coins Don’t Teach You About FOMO, Nothing WillThe fear of missing out, or FOMO, is a powerful emotion that can wreak havoc on your trading journey. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting out, the urge to jump into a trade because everyone else is doing it—or because you feel like you’re missing out on a golden opportunity—can lead to costly mistakes. Take, for example, the recent frenzy around Trump Coins ( BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT and BINANCE:MELANIAUSDT.P ). Many traders rushed in, driven by FOMO, only to watch the value plummet just hours after launch. This is a stark reminder of how dangerous FOMO can be. In this post, we’ll explore why FOMO is so dangerous, the hidden risks it poses, and how you can sidestep these pitfalls to become a more disciplined and successful trader. Let’s dive in and learn how to avoid becoming the next victim of impulsive, emotion-driven decisions. The Dangers of FOMO in Trading FOMO is more than just a fleeting feeling—it’s a mindset that can derail your trading strategy and lead to impulsive decisions. Here are the key dangers of trading with FOMO: 1. Impulsive Decisions: The Enemy of Rational Trading Ever made a trade just because it “felt right”? FOMO often pushes traders to act on impulse, much like grabbing a chocolate bar at the checkout—it’s tempting but not always wise. Impulsive trading can lead to poor decisions that don’t align with your trading plan. Instead of chasing trades, stick to your strategy and wait for high-probability opportunities. 2. The Emotional Rollercoaster: Stress & Anxiety Missing a trade can trigger stress and anxiety, making you feel like you’ve missed the opportunity of a lifetime. But here’s the truth: trading success is built on thousands of trades, not just one. Keep your emotions in check and remind yourself that there will always be another opportunity. 3. Chasing the Market: A Fool’s Errand Seeing a stock or cryptocurrency skyrocket can make you feel like you’re missing out on a party. But chasing the market is a dangerous game. Markets move in cycles, and patience is your greatest ally. Instead of trying to catch a rising star, focus on precision analysis and wait for the next high-probability trade. 4. Short-Term Focus: Losing Sight of Long-Term Goals FOMO often pushes traders to focus on short-term gains, distracting them from their long-term goals. While it’s important to spot high-probability trades, missing one doesn’t mean the end of the world. Keep your eyes on the bigger picture and trust that more opportunities will come your way. 5. Following the Herd: The Danger of Sheep Behavior Just because everyone else is jumping into a trade doesn’t mean you should too. Your job as a trader is to follow your own trading plan and strategy, not to mimic others. Trust your research, instincts, and analysis—don’t let the crowd dictate your decisions. How to Overcome FOMO and Trade Like a Pro Now that we’ve identified the dangers of FOMO, let’s talk about how you can overcome it and become a more disciplined trader: 1. Stick to Your Trading Plan Your trading plan is your roadmap to success. It’s there to guide you, not to be ignored. Whether you’re feeling the pressure to act or tempted by a “hot tip,” always refer back to your plan. Discipline is key to avoiding impulsive decisions. 2. Research is Your Secret Weapon Trading without research is like driving with your eyes closed—it’s a risky gamble. Take the time to analyze the markets, understand the “why” behind your trades, and make informed decisions. Research is your crystal ball in the trading world. 3. Protect Your Capital Risk and money management are crucial to long-term success. Remember, your trading capital is your lifeline —don’t risk it all on a single trade. 4. Develop a Calm and Collected Mindset Trading is as much a mental game as it is a financial one. High emotions can lead to rash decisions and costly mistakes. Practice staying calm and collected, even when the market feels chaotic. The market doesn’t care about your feelings, so don’t let them dictate your actions. 5. Break the Cycle of Bad Habits Every time you give in to FOMO, you’re not just making a bad trade—you’re cultivating a bad habit. Break the cycle by maintaining a disciplined trading routine. Stick to your strategy, trust your analysis, and avoid taking trades just for the sake of it. Final Words: There’s Always Another Trade Trading with FOMO is like sailing in stormy seas—it’s risky, stressful, and often leads to nowhere good. But by understanding the dangers and implementing the strategies outlined above, you can navigate the markets with confidence and discipline. Remember this mantra: There is always another and better trade on the way, and I don’t have to catch every single trade that presents itself. Let’s recap the key takeaways: Impulsive Decisions: Stick to your trading plan and avoid acting on impulse. Research: Arm yourself with knowledge and make informed decisions. Chasing the Market: Be patient and wait for high-probability opportunities. Risk Management: Protect your capital and balance optimism with realism. Emotional Control: Stay calm, collected, and focused on your long-term goals. By overcoming FOMO, you’ll not only become a better trader but also enjoy a more stress-free and rewarding trading experience. So the next time you feel the fear of missing out, take a deep breath, trust your strategy, and remember—there’s always another trade. Happy trading! 🚀📈 Mihai Iacob
Education
by Mihai_Iacob
8
Is it Time for Commodity Currencies to Shine?As Trump announced tariffs on Canada and Mexico, which was bullish the USD, the CAD closed the day green as Commercial traders are net-long while Speculators are increasing their short position. Will fading this crowded trade (not max crowded yet) end up being one of the better trades during the first quarter of 2025? This is also not the only currency set up that way. Other commodity currencies include the AUD and NZD. These three currencies are where Speculators are most short. Now we wait for the market to confirm the long trade with a news failure. For new followers, the CMR process is to wait for Speculators (both small and large) to become extremely crowded and then fade their trade after a news failure in the market confirms the trade. You want to be on the same side as Commercials when the market turns. Thanks, Jason
CME:6C1!Long
by Crowded_Market_Report
15
Saturday Crypto Analysis – BNB Trade Idea Saturday , with the Forex market closed, is a great opportunity to delve deeper into crypto fundamentals and on-chain analysis. Insights from active addresses and long-term holder movements suggest that BNB might break out of this trading range to the upside. However, this largely depends on the overall market sentiment. I didn’t expect the market to open Saturday morning with negative momentum, but I anticipate a shift in momentum as the day progresses. Let’s see how it unfolds! 🚀
Long
by MasoudEskandari
1
GOLD → Ahead of ATH. How can price react to resistance?FX:XAUUSD is updating its highs and is gradually approaching ATH. Before the last spurt consolidation or correction may be formed, but chances of reaching ATH are quite high. Gold price continues its bull run amid uncertainty in Trump's trade policy and expectation of PMI data in the US. Market participants are seeking protection in gold due to global growth fears related to trade conflicts and rate policy. The hawkish stance of the Bank of Japan and dollar weakness also support the metal. However, a pullback is possible on Friday due to profit taking ahead of US GDP data and the Fed decision. Technically, there is a strong resistance zone at 2790 - istric high ahead. A false break of the resistance may trigger a profit-taking and subsequent correction. Resistance levels: 2790 Support levels: 2770, 2762, 2750 Before reaching the ATH, the price may form a retest of the support at 2762. But, the main focus is on the historical maximum. The chance of reaching the target is very high, but watch the price reaction to the resistance. False breakdown may provoke a deep correction. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
XRP UpdateLooking at XRP, we have the same situation we have with Solana. This is a regular update. This trading pair produced a bullish breakout recently. This bullish breakout produced a "shy higher high," just as it happened with Bitcoin. This shy higher high is good news. This is good news because the consolidation phase is not yet over, not in relation to maximum growth and bullish momentum developing for the market. When the market is sideways, price swings are happening all of the time, up and down. This up and down can result in whipsaws, money lost. A break of support can result in many stop-loss orders being activated, many LONG positions being liquidated; but the market broke up. This breakout is part of the same consolidation phase but it opens the doors for prices to move lower without changing the chart structure, the bulls remaining ahead. We have 28 days left before boom-boom 2025 bull-market, and it is evident how the market has been bullish, sentiment wise, and fundamentally, but neutral, sideways and even bearish in some cases technically, the price. This is all part of the last opportunity to buy before the 2025 bull-market bull-run. This is the last chance, truly it is. As for XRPUSDT, the main scenario we see is more consolidation coupled with a small retrace, can be days or weeks. This small retrace will keep the chart intact as mentioned, and any drops and retraces are a buy opportunity for smart traders; always LONG, never SHORT. Why always LONG? We are in a bull-market. The initial move is bullish (starting in October 2024). The small retrace is part of a period of consolidation before additional growth. The chart is bullish, the market is bullish; everything turning positive and getting better by the day. XRP won the battle against the SEC. The people won the battle against the capricious and abuse of power officials in the previous government. These developments are positive for the crypto-space and will soon show up in the price, make no mistake. This is it. Patience is key of course but we are in the green. The market never moves straight up nor straight down, there are always periods of rest between each impulse wave. This is not bad. This is great. Take it for what it is. The market is giving you an opportunity to find money and invest in Cryptocurrency all you want. The market is giving you time, another chance, to position yourself and plan, all this before maximum growth. Is this cheating? Is this even legal? We know exactly what is going to happen so we know what to do to achieve financial success. Knowing things beforehand is not cheating nor illegal, this is all based on experience, dedication and hard work. These things give us wisdom and this wisdom we use to support each other and produce positive results. We know the market is going to grow, the best action is to buy and hold focusing on the long-term. The bull-market will be a standard bull-market, and that's ok. Just as everything turns positive, when the market peaks some reasons will develop that will compel the giants to sell, and this will mark the top. This too is normal and expected, we accept the profits and move on. When the next bearish cycle is in, this one will be much smaller than the last one, we just take it as another opportunity to buy-in, rebuy and reload. The market will continue to fluctuate. XRP will continue to grow. We are now reaching the end of a consolidation phase while in the bullish zone. All conditions are bullish. The recent rise allows for a drop that will not break the positive structure of the chart. This is what it means. After the last flush, expect big green. You can always count on me to be here and share some numbers when the time is right. I never look at the charts for entry, nor chase any pair. When the time is right, based on intuition, I just take a leap and let the market take care of the rest. So far in this cycle we have perfect timing with XRP. But it is ok to know that some trades are loss, some others we win. It is ok to be wrong. It would be foolish to think we have to be perfect or need to win them all. We don't need to win anything, we just need to do our job. Insist and persist, consistency will yield the results you want. The battle is already half won. Cryptocurrency is now being fully supported by the law. First we fight. We fought and we won. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
SUI → The coin is coming out of an uptrend. Capitulation?BINANCE:SUIUSDT is breaking the bullish structure and testing a trigger that could trigger a strong fall. Yesterday's speech by President Trump Disappointed the cryptocurrency community. The main question is whether a correction is possible? A correction is possible and there are several reasons for that: bitcoin is making a false breakout and generally hinting at a possible price correction after Trump's post-inauguration speech yesterday, where not a word was said about cryptocurrency. Some felt cheated. But, in this context, actions are important, if Trump moves to fulfill his promises, we may have a bullish driver. At the moment, technically, the price is leaving the uptrend and testing the 4.250 trigger. It is a strong enough level, a break of which could make the bulls panic, which could lead to capitulation and price decline. Resistance levels: 4.489, 4.84, 5.12 Support levels: 4.25, 4.00 A retest of the resistance or the previously broken channel boundary is possible, but a break below 4.25 may trigger a fall. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming around this level. Watch the coin! Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
XAUUSD Analysis: Potential Bearish Pullback Towards Key Support📉 XAUUSD Daily Analysis 🔍 🚨 Potential for a Bearish Pullback 🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential downward move after rejecting a key resistance level. If this momentum continues, we could see the price heading towards the support zone at 2680/2670. 💡 Key Insights: 📌 Market rejection at resistance = possible bearish momentum. 📌 Target support area: 2680/2670. 📌 Risk Management: Stick to 1-2% risk on trades. ⚠️ Historical Note: When the market last hit an all-time high, it saw a sharp one-day drop. Stay cautious! 💬 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
1
USD/CAD: Will the CAD Recover After Trump's Tariff Plans?A bombshell announcement from US President Donald Trump sparked chaos in the foreign exchange markets, as he hinted at imposing 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico as early as February. The news sent the Canadian Dollar plummeting to multi-year lows against its US peer, while the US Dollar staged a modest recovery from its overnight slump. The Canadian Dollar (CAD) found itself under intense selling pressure as investors scrambled to reassess the country's economic prospects in light of Trump's protectionist policies. The currency's decline raised fresh concerns about the country's trade relationships and the potential impact on economic growth. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) rallied, shrugging off its overnight dip to a two-week low. Market analysts expect Trump's policies to fuel inflation and force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain its hawkish stance, which could boost the value of the US currency. From a technical perspective, the CAD's price chart is currently trading near a critical supply area around 1.4425. Our analysis suggests that the price has reached a turning point after rejecting the key resistance level of 1.4500. We are looking for a bearish reversal, which could set the stage for further declines in the Canadian Dollar. The implications of Trump's tariff threat are far-reaching and have significant implications for Canada's economy. As the situation continues to unfold, investors will be watching the markets closely for any signs of a bearish reversal in the Canadian Dollar. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/CAD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
10
Is Ethereum set for more gains, with $4200 as the target?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Ethereum , 📚🎇 After a few days of moving outside its typical range, the price has now returned to the parallel channel it previously established. Given this, I expect additional upward momentum from the lower boundary of the channel, with higher targets ahead. This price action indicates the trend is likely to continue, supported by a clear trendline that outlines the ultimate target. The trendline provides a solid reference point for predicting the price's future movement. As a result, the outlook remains bullish, with an expectation of continued gains, potentially yielding at least a 23% profit. 📚💡 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 After several days, the price has returned to its previous parallel channel, and I expect further upward movement from the lower boundary, with the final target confirmed by a clear trendline. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
1
Bitcoin’s Big Move: Can It Hit $126K or Drop to $70K?Good morning, trading family! Bitcoin (BTC) is at a key point right now. If it breaks above $107K, there’s a good chance we’ll see it climb to $117K, and if it keeps going, $118–$119K could be next. From there, it could push all the way to $126K. But here’s the flip side—if we hit one of those levels, I’m expecting a correction. That could bring BTC back down to $80–$86K. If that doesn’t hold, we might even see it drop to $70K. If this helped, I’d love to hear your thoughts! Feel free to like, comment, or share. Let’s trade smarter and live better! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
4
Is now the perfect time to trade Pengu’s 0.040$ gain?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Pengu , 📚💡 At present, the market is experiencing a period of consolidation, characterized by a range-bound structure and a general downward trend. As such, it is entirely normal for the price to form red candles, particularly as it approaches our critical support level. This behavior aligns with the current market conditions. 📚💡 Once this support is tested and held, we expect the price to reverse course, potentially seeing an upward surge of up to 40%. Such a move would bring the price to approximately $0.040, signaling a strong recovery and growth potential. This scenario suggests a favorable opportunity for those looking to enter the market at these levels. 📚✨ 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 The market is currently range-bound and slightly bearish, with red candles expected as it approaches key support. Once support holds, we anticipate a potential 40% rise, reaching $0.040. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
4
TOSHI New Listing on Coinbase Rises to Top GainerCOINBASE:TOSHIUSD After listing on Coinbase only a few days ago, Toshi the Cat is rising quickly with high volatility and large capital inflows. TOSHI has seen some huge gains since listing, blasting through 50%, 80%, +100% and beyond in the last 24hr cycle. www.toshithecat.com 0xAC1Bd2486aAf3B5C0fc3Fd868558b082a531B2B4 TOSHI is built on Base, and the project also has some developer tools available on their website. Token Locker The Toshi Token Locker stands as an essential resource for developers to vest or lock team tokens, ensuring clarity and trust within the community. It provides a transparent schedule for token entry into the market, aligning with strategic project milestones. Enhanced visibility with lock viewer Our Token Locker is complemented by the Lock Viewer feature, allowing anyone to view the lockup periods for each token. This enhances the transparency of token management, solidifying confidence by making token lifecycle details openly accessible and verifiable by the community. Liquidity Locker Toshi's Liquidity Locker offers a robust solution for securing liquidity, delivering tangible evidence of stability to the community. This tool ensures that liquidity is locked, enhancing the credibility and longevity of projects by preventing sudden withdrawals. Token Launcher Toshi's Token Launcher simplifies the journey from token conception to deployment. It breaks down technical barriers, offering a user-friendly platform that makes new token creation accessible to anyone, regardless of coding expertise. Democratizing Token Creation This tool democratizes the token creation process, providing a streamlined path for bringing new tokens to the market with ease. The Toshi Token Launcher ensures that innovative ideas can be realized, nurturing a diverse and dynamic crypto ecosystem.
COINBASE:TOSHIUSDLong
by CoinrabiaDeFi
1
SHIBUSDT BUY With MCIf the market cap of Shiba can reach its range of 40 billion dollars again, a price of 0.000075 could be our target of +300%. Considering that Doge is a meme coin and has managed to return to its historical market cap ceiling, and also that prominent individuals have intensified the meme coin market with their entry into the meme coin sector, we can expect that the market cap of the coin ranked 2 among meme coins will also return to its historical market cap ceiling. But in general, prioritize risk management and capital management Good luck and be profitable 💲🔥
Long
by AM_Gaming
BTC double top & strong resistance....drop pendingLet's face it, no smart buyer buys at the top esp. ATH. BTC has had a mix of very fortunate events, but they are all short term in nature; pro crypto President, short squeeze, and a few institutional buyers with super computers. Then let's add hot air from "crypto bros" to pump it up as much as possible. At the end, historically speaking, it all boils down to a massive drop / rug, just like the TRUMP and MELANIA coins and every single BTC spike was followed by a drop. Don't be fooled by the hot air, the TAs and historical show a very clear trend even if there is a bit of a consolidation with a double top, which means sellers are under control. Do your own due diligence and best of luck!
Short
by antonini2002