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GOLD → The market is waiting for NFP. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off resistance at 3310, confirming the upper limit of the new trading range. The dollar continues to rally, but the market as a whole is stagnating ahead of upcoming news—NFP is coming up! Gold is consolidating at monthly lows around $3268, awaiting key US labor market data (NFP). Trump's new tariffs (10% globally, 35% for Canada, 39% for Switzerland) have boosted demand for the dollar, putting pressure on gold. Markets are waiting for NFP: forecast +110K jobs, unemployment 4.2%. Weak data (<100K) → gold may rise to $3400. Strong (>150K) → the dollar will strengthen, gold will continue to fall. The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is <50%. Based on yesterday's data, I would cautiously suggest that NFP will be in the range of 125K–145K, slightly above the consensus (110K). This will play into Trump's hands (I think you understand what I mean...). Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3320 Support levels: 3287, 3268, 3255 The news has a negative nuance — unpredictability. Be careful. Technically, based on the data we have at the moment, I would assume that the market may test resistance at 3300-3310 before a possible pullback to the specified support. BUT! Unpredictable data could turn the game around, and in that case, if the dollar falls, gold could start to rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
17
BITCOIN → From consolidation to distribution. Market weaknessBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is moving from consolidation to a correction phase. The price broke through the support zone of 114.5–115.5, closing within the Friday trading session in the sell zone... Previous idea from July 22: BITCOIN → Consolidation and compression to 116K. Correction? The fundamental background is shifting to neutral, the hype has temporarily ended, and there are no bullish drivers yet. And for the health of the market, a correction is needed. Bitcoin is breaking the neutral consolidation structure. The previous trading session closed below the support range, which generally indicates market weakness. Despite the global bullish trend, Bitcoin is moving from consolidation to a correction phase, with 112K - 110.5K serving as points of interest in this case. Before the fall, liquidity may be captured in the 114K - 114.800 zone. Resistance levels: 114.05, 114.85, 115.67 Support levels: 112.03, 110.48 After a strong movement, the market may enter a correction or local consolidation, during which it may test the specified resistance zones before continuing its downward movement to the zone of interest and liquidity at 112 - 110.5. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
XAU/USD (Gold) - Triangle Breakout (1.08.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 3249 2nd Support – 3225 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
22
Apple (AAPL) Shares Jump Following Earnings ReportApple (AAPL) Shares Jump Following Earnings Report Yesterday, after the close of the regular trading session, Apple released its earnings report, which surpassed analysts’ expectations: → Earnings per share: actual = $1.57, forecast = $1.43; → Revenue: actual = $94.04 billion, forecast = $89.35 billion. As a result, AAPL shares surged in the post-market, rising from $207.57 to $212.51. Media Commentary: → The company reported a 13% year-on-year increase in iPhone sales. → However, according to Tim Cook, tariffs have already cost the company $800 million and this figure could exceed $1 billion in the next quarter. Technical Analysis of the Apple (AAPL) Stock Chart Following the volatility in April 2025, price action has justified the construction of an ascending channel (marked in blue). The $216 level, which has acted as a key reference point since March, remains a significant resistance area, because: → It has consistently prevented AAPL from reaching the upper boundary of the channel; → Even in the wake of a strong earnings report, the price failed to break through this level in post-market trading. If the $216 level continues to cap gains in the coming days – despite the positive report – the stock might pull back towards the median line of the blue channel (following the post-market rally). This zone often reflects a balance between supply and demand. While such a retracement would appear technically justified, it may raise concerns among shareholders, particularly when compared to the more aggressive price rallies seen in the shares of other tech giants, such as Microsoft (MSFT), as we discussed yesterday. From a more pessimistic perspective, peak A may turn out to be yet another lower high within a broader bearish structure that has been forming on the AAPL chart since December 2024, when the stock reached its all-time high around the $260 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by FXOpen
5
Why Pay $250K for a $115K Bitcoin? Welcome to Strategy (MSTR)This is already the third article I’ve written about Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), and for good reason. You don’t need to be a financial expert to ask: why buy a stock that simply mirrors Bitcoin’s price — but at a massive premium? No matter how sophisticated the explanations may sound, or how many times you’re told that “if you don’t understand it, it must be brilliant,” the reality is much simpler — and much more absurd. Buying Strategy today is like paying $250,000 for Bitcoin while the actual market price is $115,000. It’s not about complexity. It’s about common sense. I won’t dive too deep into it — no need to fight “financial sophistication” with even more sophisticated words. The point is simple: buying Strategy is like paying me $10,000 just so I can hold your $10,000 and call it an “innovative capital deployment strategy.” Sounds smart, right? Until you think about it for more than five seconds. Now let’s look at the posted charts — simple and visual. Strategy (MSTR) hit its all-time high in November 2024, right when Bitcoin first reached $100,000. Then came a sharp correction of more than 50% for the stock. Fast forward: even though Bitcoin went on to make new all-time highs, Strategy didn’t follow, it seems like people were finally starting to wake up. When BTC peaked again in mid-July 2025, Strategy only managed to reach $455 — well below its November ATH. Since then, BTC has pulled back about 10%, while Strategy dropped around 20%. So much for the “outperformance” argument. And here’s where things get even harder to justify: In the past, some institutions bought MicroStrategy because they couldn’t hold Bitcoin directly. Fair enough. But now? Spot Bitcoin ETFs are live, regulated, widely available, and charge tiny fees — without the leverage, dilution risk, or premium baked into Strategy. So what’s the excuse now? Where are we now? At this moment, even though I’m not too happy about this week’s Bitcoin weakness, I remain cautiously bullish — emphasis on cautiously. But let’s entertain a scenario. If Bitcoin continues to correct, Strategy is sitting right on support. And if BTC breaks lower, Strategy will almost certainly follow — breaking support and heading toward the next level. That next support? Somewhere around $240–250, depending on how deep the Bitcoin pullback goes. But here’s the real question: What happens if Bitcoin enters a true bear market? Will Strategy — which just recently rebranded from MicroStrategy — be forced to rebrand again as… NanoStrategy? Just a Saturday thought.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Mihai_Iacob
2
EURJPY Poised to test the top after the BOJ Rate DecisionEURJPY Poised to test the top after the BOJ Rate Decision EURJPY broke out of a descending type of channel pattern or something similar. The last two candles confirmed the bullish movement in a clear way and the odds are that EURJPY may rise further during the coming hours. However this movement is also supported by BOJ Interst Rate decision. BOJ kept rates unchanged at 0.5% as expected and they didn't change anything at all in their comments. News - reported by forexlive The Japanese Yen weakened across the board throughout BoJ Governor Ueda press conference. He sounded like someone who's not in a rush to hike rates at all. The two key lines were "monetary tightening effectively works on demand-driven inflation, but current inflation is largely supply-driven" and "current FX rate not diverging far from our assumptions". He's basically saying that the current inflation is likely to be a one-off event and we all know how much weight they place on sustained inflation to durably hit their 2% target. And the comment about FX suggests that the depreciation in the JPY does not concern them at all, which gives the market the green light for further depreciation (all else being equal). You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
10
DXY Just Broke Through the Lock… Where’s the Market Headed Now?🌅 Good Morning, Friends! A few days ago, I marked 98.950 as a key threshold for the DXY index. As of today, that level has officially been broken—and the bullish momentum we anticipated is now kicking in. 📈 The next target? 101.000. That said, it’s crucial to remember: DXY is heavily influenced by fundamental data. Stay alert and keep a close eye on key economic developments—they’re essential for navigating this move. This breakout validates the analysis I shared with you all. And it wasn’t just about charts—it was about discipline, precision, and timing. Every single like from you is a huge boost to my motivation. Thanks from the heart—your support drives me to keep sharing these insights! 💙
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by TraderTilki
30
Yoga Pants, Tariffs, and Upside: The $LULU BetLululemon NASDAQ:LULU - My Investment Thesis 👖 Hey team, I've been keeping an eye on NASDAQ:LULU for a while, and I'm finally going to pull the trigger. In this market of overhyped MAG 7 stocks, Lululemon dropped 62% since its high in Dec. 2023 until now. Here's why I'm into LULU: Revenue has been growing every year for 5 years. Still, the stock is at its lowest in 5 years. Growth has been slower in the US but good in Asia. Net income has also been growing over the last 3 years. P/E ratio is at 13, the lowest in many years. Stock is also beat up because of the tariffs. Analysts at Morningstar put its fair value at $305 (now $193, giving it an upside of 58%). Product Innovation: New franchises like Daydrift, Shake It Out, and Align No Line have been well-received and will continue to drive sales. Lululemon recently announced an expansion into India for 2026, with plans to open a physical store and a partnership with Tata CLiQ, the e-commerce arm of India’s largest business conglomerate, Tata Group. India can be a huge market for Lulu. There's also intense competition and margin erosion. Saying this, I kinda see people around me less excited about Lululemon products. Technical Analysis: My EVaR - Entropic Value at Risk - is in a low risk area. RSI is oversold. Price has been under the 200 MA for too long. I'm going to proceed with caution on this one, and allocate approximately. 0.5% of my portfolio into it. Quick note: I'm just sharing my journey - not financial advice! 😊
NASDAQ:LULULong
by HenriqueCentieiro
2
$OTHERS rejected from $320 B resistance. What is next?CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS Rejected at $320B: Is the Altseason on Pause? CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS just got rejected at the $320B resistance after a decent pump — the kind that usually signals the start of an altseason. But if we dig into the indicators, warning signs are flashing: - MACD is sitting in overbought territory. - RSI is heavily extended, signaling potential exhaustion. - EMA 100 & 200 are colliding with the top of a previous downtrend channel — a zone that historically acted as strong resistance. The rejection was sharp. So what's next? Are we entering a range between $320B and $260B? It's quite possible. The aIf you wantltcoin market now sits at a decision point: either it keeps pushing higher or takes a breather — potentially pausing the rally until September. Historically, August is a slow month in the West. People go on vacation, volumes drop, and markets tend to cool off. This seasonal pattern supports the idea of a consolidation phase before a stronger second leg of altseason kicks off in mid-September and carries into Q4. I’m not posting too many ideas lately because the market landscape has changed. The new players aren’t just trading — they’re manipulating flows with massive capital to hunt retail liquidity. They’re also using far more sophisticated tools than our classic MACD and RSI — including AI-powered indicators and multi-layered analytics that are beyond retail reach. In this new environment, predictions are harder and risk is higher. 🧠 Do Your Own Research (DYOR), stay sharp, and don’t blindly trust social influencers.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS
by CryptoNikkoid
3
USD/CAD Rises to 2-Month HighUSD/CAD Rises to 2-Month High Today, the USD/CAD exchange rate briefly exceeded the 1.3870 mark – the highest level seen this summer. In less than ten days, the US dollar has strengthened by over 2% against the Canadian dollar. Why Is USD/CAD Rising? Given that both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday (as expected), the primary driver behind the pair’s recent rally appears to be US President Donald Trump's decision to impose tariffs on several countries – including Canada: → Despite efforts by Prime Minister of Canada Mark Carney to reach an agreement with Trump, no deal was achieved; → Canadian goods exported to the US will now be subject to a 35% tariff; → The tariffs take effect from 1 August; → Goods compliant with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) are exempt. Media analysts note that the tariffs are likely to increase pressure on the Canadian economy, as approximately 75% of the country's exports are destined for the United States. USD/CAD Technical Analysis At the end of July, the price formed a steep ascending channel (A-B), with bullish momentum confirmed by a decisive breakout above the 1.3790 resistance level, as illustrated by the arrow: → the pullback before the breakout was relatively shallow; → the bullish breakout was marked by a long bullish candlestick with a close near the session high; → following the breakout, the price confidently consolidated above 1.3790. Provided that the fundamental backdrop does not undergo a major shift, bulls might attempt to maintain control in the market. However, the likelihood of a correction is also increasing, as the RSI indicator has entered extreme overbought territory. Should USD/CAD show signs of a correction after its steep ascent, support might be found at: → line C, drawn parallel to the A-B channel at a distance of its width; → the previously mentioned 1.3790 level, which now acts as a support following the breakout. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
The trend is clear, why do I choose to be firmly bullish on goldGold Trend Analysis: Yesterday, the gold market demonstrated strong upward momentum, opening near 3290 before falling slightly to a low of 3281 before fluctuating upward. Boosted by the non-farm payroll data, the gold market surged during the US trading session, reaching a single-day gain of 2.02%, reaching a high of 3363 and closing there. The daily chart formed a long bullish candlestick with a long lower shadow, forming a Morning Star pattern, reinforcing the bullish trend. From the perspective of the cycle structure, the daily level is clearly in the 5-wave upward stage, and the upward trend of the large cycle has not changed. At the indicator level, the daily MACD momentum column (the column below the zero axis) represents the short-selling momentum. Its "gradual shortening" means that the short-selling force is weakening and the downward momentum is gradually fading. It is a potential signal of stopping the decline or rebounding. KDJ is about to form a golden cross between 20-50, which is a signal that short-term bullish power is beginning to increase, and the overall trend is bullish. The 4-hour level shows typical bullish characteristics: the moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, but there is a certain deviation between the short-term price and the moving average. The technical side needs to correct the deviation rate through a callback before continuing to rise. The short-term support below is focused on the line near 3330-3335. This position is both the relay support level in the previous rise and the intersection of the 4-hour moving averages MA10 and MA20, which has strong support strength; the short-term resistance above is focused on the line near 3370-3383. This area is a pressure-intensive area near the previous high point. If it can be effectively broken through, it will further open up upward space. A successful breakout would open up further upside potential. A breakout would further open up the 3400 mark. For gold trading, the short-term strategy is to buy on dips. If the price pulls back to the 3330-3335 support level, consider entering a long position with a target of 3355-3365. If it reaches 3370-3380, consider a short-term short position with a target of 3350-3340.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
1
8/1/25 - $qqq - How i'm positioned 8/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QQQ How i'm positioned - 2x leverage on the whole book. 75% at risk so 150% gross - so 25% powder 47% obtc 30% nxt (12.5% leaps) 36% deck (ST and leaps for 6.5%) 27% lulu (ST gas for 1% lol!) 8% mstr (ST gas for 80 bps lol!) 5% gme (ST gas for 40 bps!) 5% ses (covered with calls at 1 strike already) be well. let's attack monday. if we dip monday i think >50% chance that's the low if we don't, i think >30% chance we go higher so i'm bidding this selectively w balance of ST gas and high conviction plays. V
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by VROCKSTAR
3
EURO long: The "What If?" tradeHello traders The Euro is showing signs of bottoming out at the weekly support levels against USD, JPY, CAD and AUD. MOST IMPORTANT: USD: While King Dollar is clearly reigning after the FOMC indication not to expect rate cuts any time soon and solid economic data, the "What If" factor is NFP tomorrow and to a minor extent month end settling. If the NFP print comes in significantly lower than expectations, the Euro may pop higher. If the print is above expectations, still take a moment to check where the most jobs are. if it is in hospitality and leisure, it is probably summer hiring. JPY: The BoJ kept rates unchanged. CAD: The loonie is under siege with Trump's renewed 35% tariffs announced today. However, IF Russian sanctions against oil sales come to fruition, the CAD may strengthen. Watch Oil prices. AUD: CPI came in below expectations. PPI has just printed lower too. The Euro Zone's unemployment rate ticked down and German CPI ticked higher. The impact of tariffs seems to be priced in for the moment. The biggest "What If" ? The decision of the Federal Appeals Court if the International Trade Court verdict is upheld. In that case, it is all but guaranteed that it will reach the Supreme Court. IF the Supreme Court declares it unlawful, the USD MAY drop like a lead balloon. The risk assets in these charts are all at right around the weekly 20 SMA. www.tradingview.com Just some food for thought. Let me know what your thoughts are.
Long
by jvrfxalerts
22
8/1/25 - $mstr - Selling spot and buying MSTR8/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MSTR Selling spot and buying MSTR - keeping it (purposefully) short today for everyone's benefit - sold a bit of OTC:OBTC (which is nearly 15% off spot, e.g. $100k/BTC) to buy NASDAQ:MSTR MSD exposure here - why? - 1.6x mNAV is lowest it's been (nearly ever in current BTC move) - Saylor not going to hit the ATM sub 2.5x, will run it hot - Latest product further augments this runway to value accretion - BTC still remains REALLY well bid in this current tape - So math is like this - ROE of BTC in "conservative" sense is 25% - Kc (cost of capital) for Strategy is 10% again (conservative, it's really sub 10%) - so ROE/Kc (without growth) = 2.5x book. - A real ROE for BTC (remember this is permanent capital he's tapping, so no asset-liability mis-match) is 35% - True Kc for this is sub 10%, but let's still say 10%. that's 3.5x book. Therefore let's even say 2x book (below both of the above) is 2/1.6 = 25% upside. If/do you think that BTC can go back to low 90s, ofc this might contract further (the 1.6x) but at the same time, you have EVEN higher implied ROE and R/R only improves. So at a minimum, i'd guess your R/R is "balanced" here in the most conservative scenarios. And if we do get BTC bid, this will rocket at this stage thru YE and far exceed px appreciation of it's BTC pair. Ok that was longer than I intended. Felt important to convey math and up/downside parameters. Be well. Everyone loses money in correlation 1. Just make sure you find the betas that have the first bids. Right now that's BTC and some quality names doing 6-7% fcf yields and growing. I like OTC:OBTC (adding fuel w/ my NASDAQ:MSTR calls) NASDAQ:NXT NYSE:DECK NASDAQ:LULU NYSE:FI <3 V
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by VROCKSTAR
3
NFP Volatility Ahead – Is the Dollar Ready to Break Higher?🟢 DXY Outlook – A Key Day for the Dollar Index Yesterday’s monthly candle closed with strong bullish momentum, marking a powerful start to August. Today, on the first trading day of the month, we’re expecting three major U.S. economic releases: NFP, Average Hourly Earnings (m/m), and the Unemployment Rate. As discussed in last week’s outlook, DXY has successfully broken above the key 100 level and confirmed a monthly close above it — a significant technical development. With no major order blocks or visible resistance in the way, the path toward the 102 target appears technically clear. That said, I anticipate mixed data from today’s releases — which means we could see both sides of liquidity being taken during the initial reaction. Price might dip toward lower zones temporarily to collect liquidity before resuming its bullish move toward 102. 📌 In summary: From a swing perspective, I believe the direction remains bullish for the Dollar Index as long as we hold above the 100 level. When I say the data might be “mixed,” I mean the market could show an initial drop toward lower zones at the time of release — not because of a reversal, but to grab liquidity before continuing higher toward the 102 target. Unless we see something unexpectedly extreme in the numbers, I expect the DXY to remain on track to reach the 102 level in the coming days or next week. 🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.
TVC:DXYLong
by Mehrasfx
3
Rocket Lab Is Up 800%+ in 12 Months. What Does Its Chart Say?Space-services company Rocket Lab NASDAQ:RKLB , which has seen its stock shoot up by more than 75% year to date and 800%+ over the past 12 months, will report its latest quarterly earnings next Thursday. Does RKLB's chart show the company has more altitude to gain ... or will it crash back to Earth? Let's check things out: Rocket Lab's Fundamental Analysis For those of you unfamiliar with RKLB, it's a Long Beach, Calif.-based end-to-end space company. (Full disclosure: I own shares in the name.) Rocket Lab designs and manufactures its own small- and medium-class rockets in order to provide launch services from its sites, which are primarily in Virginia and New Zealand. The company has mostly had commercial customers since its founding, but is starting to get some traction providing these services to the U.S. government for national-security purposes. You might say the firm competes with Tesla chief Elon Musk's privately held SpaceX and Amazon founder Jeff Bezos' private Blue Origin firm, just on a smaller scale. RKLB is set to release Q2 results after the bell on Aug. 7, with the Street looking for a $0.07 adjusted loss per share on $135.3 million of revenue. That would represent a 27.3% revenue gain from the $106.3 million the company took in during the same period last year, although profitability would have eased from the $0.05 adjusted loss per share RKLB posted in Q2 2024. Of the seven sell-side analysts that I found that cover the stock, three have increased their earnings estimates since the quarter began, three have cut their estimates and one has sat on his hands. Notably, Jeff Van Rhee of Craig-Hallum this week initiated Rocket Lab with a "Hold" rating and a $51 target price (vs. the $45.30 the stock was trading at Friday afternoon). Looking further ahead, analysts expect Rocket Lab's revenues to grow 32% for 2025 as a whole, followed by another 56% for all of 2026. As for price action, Rocket Lab's shares have traded more volatilely as the firm approaches its earnings release. After spiking into mid-July on an almost parabolic run, RKLB has recently consolidated with a number of days that saw multi-percentage-point drops. As of Wednesday, options markets were pricing in a 50% likelihood of a move greater than 13%. Rocket Lab's Technical Analysis Now let's look at RKLB's chart going back to December: Readers will note that since Rocket Lab ended its sharp upward run in mid-July, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) has exited overbought territory -- although the RSI still remains healthy. Readers will also see that within the daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (marked "MACD" at the chart's bottom), the histogram of the stock's 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted by blue bars) has entered negative territory. That's usually short-term bearish. Meanwhile, Rocket Lab's 12-day EMA (the black line near the chart's bottom) has also crossed below its 26-day EMA (the gold line). This is also traditionally a bearish signal. However, one positive for the RKLB is that the stock appears to have found support in recent days at its 21-day EMA (the green line above). This suggests a willingness of swing traders to support the stock at that line. Still, Rocket Lab's chart is showing what looks like a completed "head-and-shoulders" pattern of bearish reversal at the chart's right (denoted by curving black lines). Should this pattern foretell a sell-off (as the daily MACD seems set up for), Rocket Lab's downside pivot would likely show up as a neckline at around $37 a share. That's well below the $45.30 that RKLB was trading at Friday afternoon. What if Rocket Lab fails to hold its 21-day EMA ($45.90 in the chart above)? In that case, both the 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line) and 200-day SMA (the red line) would have to come into play for the pattern implied here to become fully realized. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long RKLB the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NASDAQ:RKLB
by moomoo
1
8/1/25 - $deck - 50% position8/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:DECK 50% position - if you have followed long enough, you know that when i write this sort of thing, it's maybe 5-10x a year, at most - i still think anything can happen here in the mkt, so there are a lot of arrangements i've made in my portfolio to account for further drawdowns - with that being said, conservatively DECK is 6% fcf money, and on my #s probably closer to 7%. when you're growing minimally MSD (nevermind HSD+) eventually this gets revalued - so my preference is to barbell exposure - i have a LT exposure w ITM leaps (jan '27 expire) and then i have my jet fuel that i'm burning in the last few sessions to get exposure higher - think about it like this - if 1 unit of risk costs me $1 today and $10-15 in 2027, if in this type of tape we leg down... if i say had 1 unit of risk on both of those exposures, i'd lose 1 on the first (zero) and then maybe 2...3...4 on the other. - which is to say, as we go lower here, i eventually find myself growing that LEAP exposure quite large. rn it's about 25% of my effective book on about 5x leverage. and the other 25% is spread between 10-1 and 20-1 leverage. if you look at ANF post results a month or so ago, this looks VERY similar and there are a lot of similarities in terms of how shorted/ positioning was into the event (same with NASDAQ:LULU btw, yet to report). by the 6th day... we ripped back to the first fib band. - that would put next week at 107/108 and if mkt is bid, we hit 110 again. so that's why i'm using the 10-1 and 20-1. it's actually in part a trading call as well backed by my own view/ conviction on fundamentals. i think the flows today took us now far below fair value and we've filled the pre-earnings gap, which was important to point out. - still doesn't rule out the mkt continues to puke, this is weak beta etc. etc. but from a 12-18 mo POV... this is money good in my estimation no matter what strike, unless you're degen'ing 10 delta BS (not recommended but also not my $, u do u) be well remember in this tape we all lose money it's just important to lose less and find spots that will get bid back first, i think deck is one of those *for me V
NYSE:DECKLong
by VROCKSTAR
1
XAUUSD H4 Update – The Battle Has Moved to 3350 “From deep demand to key supply. The next move is decisive.” 🔸 Sunday Plan Recap Price was falling aggressively into the HTF demand zone (3265–3240). The plan anticipated a bounce only if that deep zone held. Above price, major zones included: 3314 – mid-structure 3330–3345 – supply zone 3368–3380 – final retracement targets 🔸 What Changed? ✅ The deep demand zone worked — H4 CHoCH bullish was confirmed. ✅ Price climbed through 3285 and 3314, confirming a retracement leg. 🔥 Now, price sits at 3349.57, testing the same supply zone marked in Sunday’s plan (3330–3345). 🔸 Current H4 Structure 🔼 Short-term bias = bullish retracement 📍 Price = inside HTF premium zone 📈 EMAs aligned bullish (5/21/50), confirming short-term momentum 💡 RSI = approaching overbought ⚔️ Liquidity above 3355, trapped shorts below 3314 🧠 Today’s Battle Plan (August 1) 🔴 Sell Zone (live) – 3345 to 3355 Price just entered the key H4 supply zone. Watch for rejection signs: Bearish confirmation needed (e.g. M15/M30 CHoCH or engulfing) If confirmed → downside targets: 3314 → 3285 → 3265 High RR short only if structure confirms 🔵 Breakout Bullish Case If 3355 breaks with a clean body + HL at 3340 → bullish continuation active Next upside target: 3368 → 3380 🧭 Final Thoughts We’ve reached the exact decision zone from Sunday’s plan. The market will now reveal: retracement over... or breakout coming? Patience is key — this is a high RR zone, but only if structure reacts. 💬 Did you catch the move from deep demand? Or waiting for confirmation here at supply? 📈 Share your thoughts in the comments and let’s break it down together. 🔔 Follow for real-time market insights, sniper plans, and structured trading logic you can trust. ❤️ Like if you enjoy clean, actionable updates🚀🚀🚀 🔁 Share with traders who love structure over noise 📉 Price data from Trade Nation feed
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds