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Fundamental Analysis

BITCOIN → The “90K” door opened a corridor to $75,000BINANCE:BTCUSD is changing its market structure to bearish after the 90K breakout. A deeper correction is forming and in my opinion this is a logical and technically correct structure for a healthy market I think it is a wrong siutation when the market is only going up and solely due to buying (injecting huge amount of funds on a HYIP). A bitcoin correction or even a trend reversal can bring a drop of life to this market. Fundamentally, traders have not waited for any active support for cryptocurrencies from the US as stated in Trump's election campaign. Crypto exchange hacks, scam coins and bitcoin dominance are negatively affecting altcoins. Bitcoin's current decline and possible drop to 75-73K could give fundamentally valuable altcoins a chance, provided the flagging dominance index also starts to decline. As the simultaneous flow of funds from bitcoin to altcoins and bitcoin's rise from strong support could renew the chances of an altcoin season Resistance levels: 88150, 90700 Support levels: 75К, 73570, 66830 A small correction to resistance 88.1 - 90.7 is possible before price starts its decline. BTC may try to go deeper, but based on the situation with the market imbalance, lack of driver and support, the price may descend in the medium term and reach the zone of interest and liquidity 75-73.5K. Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
62
TradeCityPro | Deep Search: In-Depth Of Solana👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I will thoroughly review the SOL project, one of the largest crypto projects with a market cap of $73 billion, ranking it 6th among cryptocurrencies. 🔍What is Solana? 🔹Solana is a high-performance, permissionless blockchain platform launched in 2020 by Solana Labs (founded in 2018 by Anatoly Yakovenko and Raj Gokal). Solana is a high-performance Layer-1 blockchain designed for speed, scalability, and low costs. Launched in 2020 by Solana Labs, it processes up to 65,000 transactions per second (TPS) with sub-second finality and low fees (~$0.0002 per transaction). Unlike Ethereum, which relies on Layer-2 solutions, Solana achieves scalability on Layer-1 using novel technologies like Proof of History (PoH). It is optimized for DeFi, NFTs, gaming, and payments, positioning itself as a fast, cost-efficient alternative to Ethereum. — 🔹History & Background olana’s development began in 2018, when Anatoly Yakovenko (a former Qualcomm engineer) published a whitepaper introducing Proof of History (PoH) as a new approach to timekeeping in distributed systems. The project attracted venture funding; in 2019 Solana raised $20 million in a Series A led by Multicoin Capital​. After several testnet iterations (nicknamed Tour de Sol, etc.), Solana’s mainnet beta officially went live in March 2020. The Solana Foundation, a Swiss non-profit, was also established in 2019 to steward ecosystem development​. Solana nodes take full advantage of multicore CPUs, GPUs, and high-bandwidth networks, processing transactions in parallel and pipeline fashion. The network’s 400–600 millisecond block times and capacity for multithreaded execution are a stark contrast to the single-threaded EVM model — 🔹How Does Solana Work? Solana’s speed and efficiency come from eight core innovations: 1) Proof of History (PoH): A cryptographic clock that timestamps transactions before consensus, reducing latency. 2) Tower BFT Consensus: A Proof-of-Stake (PoS) mechanism that leverages PoH to speed up block finalization. 3) Turbine: A block propagation system that breaks data into smaller packets for faster distribution. 4) Gulf Stream: A mempool-less forwarding system that pre-assigns transactions to upcoming validators. 5) Sealevel: A parallel smart contract execution engine, unlike Ethereum’s single-threaded execution. 6) Pipelining & Cloudbreak: A transaction processing unit and scalable storage for high throughput. 7) Archivers: A distributed storage system for historical blockchain data. Together, these technologies enable high throughput and low fees while maintaining decentralization. — 🔹 Solana’s Consensus Mechanism Solana combines Proof-of-History (PoH) and Proof-of-Stake (PoS), with Tower BFT handling validator voting. - PoH timestamps transactions, eliminating the need for validators to agree on time. -PoS selects validators based on staked SOL, securing the network. -Tower BFT speeds up consensus by locking validator votes, reducing fork probabilities. -Finality is achieved within seconds, making Solana one of the fastest blockchains. — 🔹SOL Tokenomics & Vesting Initial supply: 500M SOL at launch (2020). Distribution: 39% community, 25% private investors, 13% team and 10% foundation. Inflationary model: Started at 8% annual inflation, decreasing 15% yearly until reaching 1.5% final inflation. Token burn: 50% of transaction fees are burned, reducing supply growth. Vesting: Early investor and team tokens had a 4-year vesting period, most fully unlocked by 2023. — 🔹Some of wallets Supporting Solana - Phantom -Solflare -Trust Wallet - Atomic Wallet - Exodus: -Ledger Nano S/X -Backpack -Glow, Torus — 🔹Platforms for Staking SOL BlazeStake marinade.finance Jito Lido — 🔹Liquidity Pool Platforms Raydium Orca Jupiter Meteora Saber Pancakeswap Lifinity Saros Finance Drift Protocol Aldrin Crema Finance 🔹Solana’s 2025 Roadmap and DeFi Opportunities A key focus in 2025 is Firedancer: a new Solana validator client being developed by Jump Crypto. Firedancer aims to drastically boost Solana’s throughput and stability – it has demonstrated a theoretical capacity of over 1 million transactions per second in tests​. As of early 2025, the Solana team is actively testing Frankendancer (an early Firedancer version) on testnets, pushing for a supermajority of validators to trial it. This upgrade, once fully deployed, is expected to give Solana a significant edge in scalability and help avoid the network congestion issues seen in the past. New Token Standard (Token-22): Solana’s roadmap also introduces Token-22, an enhanced token standard designed for more functionality in payments and digital assets. Token-22 will support built-in features like automatic royalties and richer ownership controls, which is especially useful for NFTs and gaming assets on Solana​. This upgrade will enable developers to create more versatile dApps – for example, NFTs with enforced royalty payments or tokens with conditional transfer rules – improving the user experience within Solana’s ecosystem​ Scaling Techniques (Sharding and Parallelization): Even though Solana already handles about 50k TPS, the core team is exploring sharding and other parallelization techniques to stay ahead of future demand​ Security and Stability Enhancements: After a few high-profile outages in earlier years, Solana’s developers have made network robustness a top priority. The 2025 plan includes more rigorous third-party audits and battle-testing of the network under heavy load​. y diversifying its validator client software (e.g. introducing Firedancer) and adding safeguards, Solana aims to prevent single points of failure. New cryptographic techniques and quality-of-service improvements are being rolled out to harden the network against both bugs and malicious attacks — 🔹Popular Projects on Solana DeFi: At its peak, SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B + TVL, now recovering post-FTX collapse. NFTs: Second-largest NFT ecosystem after Ethereum, driven by low fees. Gaming: Web3 gaming hub with Star Atlas, Genopets, and move-to-earn projects. DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure): Helium’s migration brought millions of new transactions to Solana. — 🔹CertiK Skynet Score: 91.67 🔹Fundraising: $359.55 M 🔹Some of Solana Investors: Polychain Capital CMS Holding a16z Distributed Global Crypto Fund RockawayX Multicoin Capital — 🔹Seed and Private Sales: Before its public launch, Solana raised capital through several funding rounds. In 2018, a seed round sold SOL tokens at about $0.04 per token, raising approximately $3.17 million​. This was followed by private investment rounds in 2019 where tokens were priced higher roughly $0.20 to $0.25 per SOL, bringing in additional funding (over $12 million in the first private round and $5–6 million in a second round)​ Solana’s public token sale occurred in March 2020 on the CoinList platform, just prior to the network’s launch. 8 million SOL (about 1.6% of the initial 500M supply) were sold in this auction-style sale at a price of $0.22 per SOL. 🔹Solana's TVL and revenue: First, let's examine its Total Value Locked (TVL). Overall, since early November 2023, we have witnessed an upward trend with strong momentum, reflecting growing attention and trust in this ecosystem. Specifically, the amount of locked Solana has increased from 9 million SOL on November 11 to nearly 50 million SOL (March 2, 2025). However, despite the rise in TVL, the network's revenue has been on a downward trend since January 2025, dropping from 70.5 thousand SOL to 2 thousand SOL, a decrease of approximately 97.16%. 🔹Solana On-Chain Analytics Overview Whale Activity & Large Transactions:The number of whale addresses (holding ≥10,000 SOL) peaked in January 2025 but has since slightly declined, suggesting that some large holders may have reduced their positions. On February 24, a significant whale transaction involving 846,613 SOL ($127M) sparked speculation of a potential sell-off. Meanwhile, other whales appear to be accumulating SOL, with Binance withdrawals totaling 95,600 SOL on February 28, a portion of which was moved to staking, indicating confidence in the network's long-term value. Active and New Addresswork Expansion:Despite robust growth in total addresses, daily active usage on Solana has recently tapered off. By late February 2025, daily active addresses dropped to approximately 3.5 million, marking a three-month low for the network. However, Solana continues to see strong adoption, adding over 5 million new addresses per day, even amidst market volatility. While the total address count grows, the decline in daily active addresses to 3.5 million reflects reduced user engagement. Transaction volume has also fallen to $1.5 billion, a four-month low, and stablecoin transfer volume has plummeted from $394 billion to $7.1 billion, signaling a significant slowdown in network activity. 👀 Now that we've reviewed the project, let's move on to the chart to also technically analyze this coin 🗓 Weekly Time Frame As you can see in the weekly timeframe, after breaking the $27.55 level, SOL initiated a strong uptrend and managed to reach its previous ATH at $255.98. Currently, a price box has formed ranging from $126.40 to $255.98, where it has been oscillating for about a year. ⭐ The floor of the box aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci level, creating a PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone). If the box is breached downward, SOL could begin its corrective wave targeting the significant Fibonacci levels of 0.382, 0.5, and 0.618. A pullback to the SMA99 could also be a plausible scenario. ⚡️ A divergence trigger in the RSI has activated with the break below 50, indicating a potential trend change to bearish, increasing the likelihood of breaking below $126.40. 🔼 If the price finds support at $126.40, there's a high possibility it could retest the upper boundary at $255.98, especially if Bitcoin stabilizes and forms a base. 🗓 Daily Time Frame In the daily timeframe, we can observe more detailed price movements. After being rejected at the $260.88 area, SOL started its downward trajectory, breaking below $180.63, pulling back to this level, and continuing its decline. 🔍 The critical support now stands at $126.01, where the price has touched and initially reacted to this level. A break below this support could lead to further declines in the chart. Important areas in the daily timeframe are $99.81 and $82.39. ✅ The RSI is near a crucial area, close to entering the Oversell zone. Entry into this zone could heighten the probability of a bearish scenario and the breach of $126.01. 🧩 If the price rebounds from this support, as mentioned in the weekly analysis, we could witness a move up to the box ceiling. However, for now, any buying or long positions should be held off until the price forms a new structure and we can identify clear long and short triggers. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the com
by tradecitypro
4
EURUSD: Structure AnalysisEURUSD: Structure Analysis EURUSD encountered strong resistance near 1.0530. After testing this zone multiple times, the price declined to the previous structure zone from February 19th. The selling pressure intensified further following positive US data on Thursday, leading to a break below the structure zone. Currently, EURUSD points to a further decline to 1.0310 If the current broken support, now turned resistance, prevents the price from rising, EURUSD is likely to continue its downward movement towards the second structure zone near 1.0310. If the price breaks below this second zone, it could decline even further. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
7
GBP/USD Trendline Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3 - 7)The GBP/USD Pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2425 2nd Support – 1.2316 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
USD/JPY Channel Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/JPY pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 153.90 2nd Resistance – 155.60 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
Major Levels & Breakout Zones!🚀 Bitcoin's Q1 2025 Cycle is Here – Major Levels & Breakout Zones! 💎🔥 The delayed cycle I spoke about in early February is now kicking in hard, and Bitcoin is on the move! 📊 The market followed the chart before the news—a perfect example of why we trade based on technical setups first! 📉 Key Support Levels ✔ Checked support: $79,717 – Held strong, confirming the bounce. ✔ Short-term support: $91,000 - $91,353 ✔ Potential retracement level: $91,206 🚀 Where to Next? 💡 Major Resistance & S/R Cluster: $111,000 - $113,000 📍 If we clear this zone, Bitcoin could head toward $120,000+ in a strong breakout! 📍 Expect consolidation or rejection at this level before further price expansion. 🔥 News Driving the Market JUST IN: $330 Billion was added to the crypto market in the last 4 hours! 📈 💥 Trump’s Crypto Strategic Reserve Announcement is fueling the bullish momentum, reinforcing Bitcoin's long-term narrative! This setup is textbook delayed cycle price action, playing out exactly as expected. Keep an eye on these levels and trade smart! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
1
We had told you, 'March gonna be BIG'Crypto Market Update – March Momentum in Full Swing! 🚀🔥 Alright, traders, March is here, and the market is pumping! No surprises here—I mentioned back in early February that I expected a strong March due to the delayed cycle effect, and here we are. The news followed the charts, not the other way around, which is why we stay ahead of the game! 📊🔍 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 📍 Support levels: $91,000 $91,206 (key short-term level) $91,353 (minor support) 📍 Breakout zone: Above $96,000, price is totally free to explore higher levels. Watch out for resistance clusters on the way up. Ethereum (ETH/USD) 💎 Major resistance: $2,627 - $2,634 📍 Breakout target: Over $2,634, we should see a run toward $4,000. 🚀 Ethereum remains extra bullish—momentum is strong! Solana (SOL/USD) 📈 Key levels: Support: $166.72 Resistance: $215 - $223 Solana has broken back into its channel, showing strong momentum. A better entry is now possible, given solid support at $166.72. Cardano (ADA/USD) 🔥 Trade of the week! Major support: $1.00, $0.98 Target: $1.19, with bullish continuation potential If we lose the $0.98 support, then it's time to consider shorting. Otherwise, the momentum is strongly bullish. XRP (Not my top pick, but here’s the setup) 📍 Support: $2.48, with additional support around $2.66 📍 Resistance: $3.11 - $3.30 Wouldn't be my preferred trade right now, but price action will tell us more. 🚨 Breaking News: Market Liquidity Surge! Over $330 billion added to the crypto market in just 4 hours! 💰🔥 Trump announces a Crypto Strategic Reserve 💎🇺🇸, consisting of Bitcoin and other top cryptocurrencies, aligning with Executive Order 14178. The market is picking up steam, and levels are holding strong. Keep your eyes on these key support/resistance zones, set alerts, and trade smart. Exciting times ahead! 🚀💡 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 🔗 Stay updated on my TradingView!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
2
Trump's Bombshell Strategic Reserve Announcement.Let's summarize the situation. We were on the edge of slipping into a bear market, with CRYPTOCAP:BTC under heavy selling pressure and looking bearish on daily, hourly, and weekly timeframes. A lot of people were caught off guard, selling their crypto to prepare for shorts and ending up sidelined—I was one of them, and I’m pissed. Since I live in Asia, I was asleep when it happened, and so was the entire Asian market. Then, conveniently, Trump announced the strategic crypto reserve, which was originally scheduled for Friday to coincide with the White House crypto summit. Meanwhile, the tariffs are set to take effect on Tuesday. On the global stage: - The rejection of Zelensky has pushed Europe to react, with some leaders now considering sending troops to Ukraine. This could seriously complicate things for the Trump administration and potentially escalate into WWIII. No joke, this is a serious situation. - Israel has decided to destroy Gaza completely and is now enforcing a full-scale siege, which will cause massive international backlash. The situation there never been so bad. - Recession fears are mounting, and we can see markets starting to shake and correct. And then Trump drops his crypto reserve announcement… - This was a sloppy reveal—posted only on his own platform, not on X—which caused panic, as people scrambled to verify the source, thinking it was fake news. - Even worse, the initial announcement didn’t mention Bitcoin or Ethereum! Instead, they listed CRYPTOCAP:XRP , Cardano, and Solana as part of the reserve, which made people think their accounts were hacked. Later, they corrected it, clarifying that CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH are at the "heart" of the reserve. So yeah… Sunday night, completely unexpected, and poorly executed. What does this mean for CRYPTOCAP:BTC ? - Weekly timeframe: Nothing has changed—it’s still in a serious correction, and a 10% daily pump isn’t enough to reverse the trend. My previous analysis is still valid. - Daily timeframe: The MACD has reset, and RSI is now in a neutral zone. This suggests a potential short-term pump over the next few days. - Key levels: Supports at $91k and $80k are back, but $99k remains a major resistance and could reject $BTC. - Leverage & liquidity: A massive $4.3 billion in longs has been built up, meaning we’re likely to retest the downside to liquidate them. - CME gap: We just created a 10%+ CME gap, which will most likely be filled. Conclusion: Optimism is back, and we could see a short altseason as capital flows into altcoins, now that some are officially part of the U.S. national reserve. BUT the global situation remains extremely concerning: - War tensions in Europe and the Middle East - Recession risks still on the table - Uncertainty about how this crypto reserve will actually work This is great news, but going all-in on longs at this point seems risky. How long will this momentum last? More than a week? I’m not sure. Technically, the correction isn’t over. Unlike December 2024—when Trump’s election happened at the end of a correction, with a bullish MACD crossover—we are now at the START of a weekly correction, which could last until May 2025. So yeah, fundamentally bullish, but technically, the correction still has room to go.
by CryptoNikkoid
5
USD/CHF Wedge Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/CHF pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.9138 2nd Resistance – 0.9221 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
GOLD NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE (READ) Gold Bulls Rejoice: Price Correction Presents Buying Opportunity After a near 3% pullback this week, Gold's price (XAU/USD) is poised to rebound, driven by robust fundamentals and a weakening US dollar. The precious metal's correction presents a buying opportunity for investors seeking to capitalize on the ongoing tariff tensions and growing demand for safe-haven assets. Key Levels to Watch: - Support: $2,790 (strong demand zone), $2,835 (moderate support), and $2,856 (minor support) - Resistance: $2,888 (daily Pivot Point), $2,909 (daily R1), and $2,941 (daily R2) Market Sentiment: The daily digest market movers indicate a risk-on mood, with investors seeking safe-haven assets like Gold. The CME Fedwatch Tool shows increasing odds of a June rate cut, which could further boost Gold prices. Growing Demand: Gold ETFs are seeing significant inflows, with onshore fund holdings increasing by 17.7 tons in the first three weeks of February. This growing demand, combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions, sets the stage for a potential breakout above $3,000. What's Next? Our experts predict a strong rebound in Gold prices, driven by the confluence of technical and fundamental factors. Stay tuned for our weekly XAU/USD forecasts, where we provide insights into the next possible moves of the gold-dollar pair. Best regards Travis ❤️
TVC:GOLDLong
by Expert_Travis
2
USDCAD - Long after filling the imbalance !!Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on USDCAD. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect upcoming week price to make a retracement to fill that huge imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish OB. Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Friday (GMT+2) we have NFP on USD and Unemployment Rate on CAD. News with high impact on currencies. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Long
by Snick3rSD
Gold Price Volatility The price of Gold #XAUUSDGold Price Volatility #XAUUSD The price of Gold (XAU/USD) experienced significant fluctuations this week, influenced by various market and economic factors. Monday's Surge On Monday, Gold prices reached a new record high above $2,950. This surge was driven by: 1. Upbeat Market Mood: A positive market sentiment at the beginning of the week contributed to Gold's rise. 2. Weak US Dollar: A decline in the value of the US Dollar (USD) made Gold more attractive to investors, leading to increased demand and higher prices. Tuesday's Decline On Tuesday, Gold prices dropped sharply, falling below $2,890. This decline was triggered by: 1. US Tariffs: US President Donald Trump announced that tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico would go forward as planned. This news led to a rise in the US Dollar, making Gold less attractive. 2. China's Gold Imports: A report by Reuters revealed that China's gold imports via Hong Kong declined significantly in January. This reduction in demand from a major Gold consumer contributed to the price drop. Rebound Later on Tuesday, Gold prices staged a modest recovery, ending the day above $2,900. This rebound was driven by: 1. Decline in US Treasury Bond Yields: A sharp drop in US Treasury bond yields made Gold more attractive to investors, leading to increased demand and higher prices. Key Takeaways The Gold price fluctuations this week were influenced by various factors, including: - US trade policies - China's gold imports - US Treasury bond yields - Monetary policy expectations These factors will likely continue to impact Gold prices in the future.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by smarttradingstar
1
Market Structure Identification !!Hello traders! I want to share with you some educational content. ✅ MARKET STRUCTURE . Today we will talk about market structure in the financial markets, market structure is basically the understading where the institutional traders/investors are positioned are they short or long on certain financial asset, it is very important to be positioned your trading opportunities with the trend as the saying says trend is your friend follow the trend when you are taking trades that are alligned with the strucutre you have a better probability of them closing in profit. ✅ Types of Market Structure Bearish Market Structure - institutions are positioned LONG, look only to enter long/buy trades, we are spotingt the bullish market strucutre if price is making higher highs (hh) and higher lows (hl) Bullish Market Structure - institutions are positioned SHORT, look only to enter short/sell trades, we are spoting the bearish market strucutre when price is making lower highs (lh) and lower lows (ll) Range Market Structure - the volumes on short/long trades are equall instiutions dont have a clear direction we are spoting this strucutre if we see price making equal highs and equal lows and is accumulating . I hope I was clear enough so you can understand this very important trading concept, remember its not in the number its in the quality of the trades and to have a better quality try to allign every trading idea with the actual structure
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Snick3rSD
CHOCH vs BOS !!WHAT IS BOS ? BOS - break of strucuture. I will use market structure bullish or bearish to understand if the institutions are buying or selling a financial asset. To spot a bullish / bearish market structure we should see a higher highs and higher lows and viceversa, to spot the continuation of the bullish market structure we should see bullish price action above the last old high in the structure this is the BOS. BOS for me is a confirmation that price will go higher after the retracement and we are still in a bullish move WHAT IS CHOCH? CHOCH - change of character. Also known as reversal, when the price fails to make a new higher high or lower low, then the price broke the structure and continue in other direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Snick3rSD
What is Confluence ?✅ Confluence refers to any circumstance where you see multiple trade signals lining up on your charts and telling you to take a trade. Usually these are technical indicators, though sometimes they may be price patterns. It all depends on what you use to plan your trades. A lot of traders fill their charts with dozens of indicators for this reason. They want to find confluence — but oftentimes the result is conflicting signals. This can cause a lapse of confidence and a great deal of confusion. Some traders add more and more signals the less confident they get, and continue to make the problem worse for themselves. ✅ Confluence is very important to increase the chances of winning trades, a trader needs to have at least two factors of confluence to open a trade. When the confluence exists, the trader becomes more confident on his negotiations. ✅ The Factors Of Confluence Are: Higher Time Frame Analysis; Trade during London Open; Trade during New York Open; Refine Higher Time Frame key levels in Lower Time Frame entries; Combine setups; Trade during High Impact News Events. ✅ Refine HTF key levels in LTF entries or setups for confirmation that the HTF analysis will hold the price. HTF Key Levels Are: HTF Order Blocks; HTF Liquidity Pools; HTF Market Structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Snick3rSD
Nat Gas Pre-Open Report: 3/2/25 Nat Gas futures dropped 8.5% this week, primarily due to a decline in heating demand and a continuation of the weather models printing below average degree days (DD) for the upcoming 15-day period. This weekends model runs were showing promise for a colder 8-15 day period, but were wiped out with Sunday’s midday models runs. The US models printed a modest 10 HDD warmer while the Euro printed 1 HDD colder. Which now put the two models in close to perfect agreement for the upcoming 15-day heating demand period, warmer! Both are predicting over 35 HDD warmer for the upcoming period. What was interesting to see was Saturday’s and early Sunday’s run show a coder shot coming in the 10-15 period. The models are beginning to see the cold pattern developing that I have been discussing for the back half of March and early April. The big news from the models the past four days have been the developing SSW event, but more importantly the effect it is beginning to have on two major Teleconnections, the NAO and the AO. I had briefly discussed these back in January, and the effect they had on the January frigid cold it helped bring to the US. I do discuss them in today’s video. I did hold my puts (shorts) over the weekend, with crossed fingers! Seeing the models trend colder and the Teleconnection trending colder, due to the upcoming SSW event, I almost chewed my finger nails off. But thankfully the models have a hard time with the synoptic physics of the atmosphere, and until they do, I will take full advantage of others only having the vison of the numbers they print out. I think the first big support we will see is at the 3685-3700 level tonight. I do believe that NG will gap lower tonight. Will it gap to the 3685-3700 level? We will see. But I am looking for 3685-3700 by open tomorrow for the NY open. Tonight’s models will be important to see if the models pick up the longer rang pattern change influenced from the SSW event. If there is momentum through the 3685-3700 level, next up will be the 3550 level. I discuss the technical reasons why I think these number are important in the video, but believe we are closer to the models picking up the coming cold than continuing to see the warmth. I am preparing to reenter with a block on long call position once I see the models confirming the upcoming cold after the March 15th period. There is reason to believe that if the models do continue to print a warmer period that the price could fall all the way to the 3330-3350 level. I will have a watchful eye on the daily weather models for verification. For if this breaks the 3350 level, then watch out below!!!! Storage should continue to drop, compared to the 5-year average, with the upcoming 3 EIA reports. Which should continue to be a bullish catalyst for the upcoming shoulder season. There is reason to believe that if the SSW event unfolds, and the heating season continues through the first three weeks of April, we just might have a very short shoulder season. As discussed last week, years that had a SSW event in March and April, tend to have a very warm May, which will jump us right into the Cooling season. So, with LNG continuing to export at daily records, storage continuing to drop, we just need an addition push to keep the bullish momentum going. And personally, I think we will see that later in the month of March. Production is a bearish catalyst now, with today’s production at 106 BCF/d. But there are too many demand side factors that are increasing faster than the overall increase in production. We will continue to monitor the heating season until draw season ends. Then it will be onto storage deficits, pipeline maintenance, coal-to-gas switching, nuclear power plant maintance shutdowns, verse the upcoming rig count and field activity. But that is for another month or so. Enjoy the video. Have a great day and good fortunes! Keep it Burning!
NYMEX:NGJ2025
by NrG_Trader
2
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - Bullish Momentum Strengthens After Key NewsBitcoin (BTC/USD) has surged in response to fundamental news regarding U.S. crypto policy, sparking strong bullish momentum. The breakout from the support zone and trendline confirmation indicate a potential rally toward key resistance levels. Technical Analysis: ✅ Strong Support at $85,800: BTC found buying interest at this level, forming a higher low and continuing its uptrend. ✅ Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken past the $92,267 buy entry level, signaling bullish continuation. ✅ Key Resistance Zone: The $106,137 level is a major target, aligning with previous price rejections. ✅ Trendline Support: BTC remains above the ascending trendline, reinforcing the uptrend structure. Trade Setup: 🔹 Buy Entry: $92,679 (Active trade) 🔹 Target: $106,000 (Resistance Zone) 🔹 Stop Loss: Below $85,801 (Support Level) 🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable for bullish positions Fundamental Catalyst: 🔥 Crypto Policy Announcement: A pro-crypto stance by former U.S. President Donald Trump has fueled positive sentiment, driving Bitcoin higher. 🔥 Institutional Interest: The growing adoption of Bitcoin by institutions and the potential impact of government policy changes are adding upward pressure. 🔥 Macroeconomic Impact: Federal Reserve policies and economic conditions will influence further price movements. Conclusion: Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, backed by both technical breakouts and fundamental catalysts. If the price sustains above the buy entry zone, a move toward $106,137 is likely. Traders should monitor price action for trend continuation or possible pullbacks. 📌 Bitcoin rally in progress! Manage risk and watch key resistance levels for breakout confirmation! 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Traders_Team
1
Solana (SOL/USD) - Bullish Reversal from Key SupportSolana (SOL) has been in a downtrend, retracing from its previous highs. However, the price is now reacting to a strong support zone around $140 - $101, suggesting a potential reversal toward higher levels. Technical Analysis: ✅ Key Support Holding: The $101 - $140 zone has acted as a strong demand area, preventing further downside. ✅ Bullish Reversal Potential: If buyers maintain momentum, SOL could rally toward the $250 - $260 resistance zone. ✅ Price Structure: Previous price action shows a history of strong rebounds from similar levels, making this a high-probability trade setup. ✅ Resistance Zone: $257 - $260 is the next major target, aligning with historical price action and key resistance. Trade Setup: 🔹 Entry Zone: $143 (Active trade) 🔹 Target: $257 - $260 🔹 Stop Loss: Below $101 (Strong support zone) 🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable for long positions Fundamental Factors to Watch: Market Sentiment: Broader crypto market trends, Bitcoin movement, and overall risk-on sentiment will influence SOL’s price. Solana Ecosystem Growth: Any positive developments in Solana's DeFi, NFTs, or network upgrades could support bullish momentum. Macroeconomic Trends: Interest rate decisions and global liquidity conditions could impact crypto markets. Conclusion: Solana is showing early signs of a bullish reversal from a strong support level. If momentum sustains, SOL could test the $257 resistance in the coming weeks. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation of the uptrend. 📌 Bullish setup in progress! Watch for breakout confirmation and manage risk effectively. 🚀
CRYPTO:SOLUSDLong
by Gold_Traders_Team