GOLD → It all depends on NFP and Powell....FX:XAUUSD got shaken by 600 pips on both sides. Technically, after such a move the price may go into consolidation, but the near-term outlook will depend on NFP and Powell.
Gold hit a high of 3168 and went into correction. President Trump's imposed duties on imports from China (up to 54%) and other countries caused a sharp drop in the dollar and bond yields, reinforcing expectations of a Fed rate cut. Traders turned to profit-taking, which led to a correction. Now the market is waiting for the NFP report and Powell's speech. Weak data may return the upward momentum to gold, especially if the dovish rate expectations are confirmed. However, volatility may persist after the publication, given the impact of Friday's flows and Powell's speech
Resistance levels: 3107, 3116, 3135
Support levels: 3086, 3067, 3055
Technically, it is difficult to determine a clear place from where to expect a move as there is news ahead (NFP, Powell's speech). But based on the falling dollar and high economic risks, we can bet on the continuation of the price growth from one of the mentioned support levels: 3086, 3067, 3055.
Exit from the channel and consolidation of the price above 3110 - 3116 will again attract increased interest in buying
Regards R. Linda!
Fundamental Analysis
GOLD at The Edge of The CliffGOLD at The Edge of The Cliff
Gold is entering a bearish phase, with the Russian central bank leading the sell-off. I believe other central banks and hedge funds may follow, looking to take profits while prices remain high.
If more institutions join the selling trend, the drop could accelerate, potentially triggering a sharp decline in gold’s value.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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XAU/USD Trendline Breakout (02.04.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3077
2nd Support – 3048
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GOLD → Correction. Liquidity is the target. News aheadFX:XAUUSD on the background of yesterday's news reaches the target of 3166 and enters the phase of deep correction on the background of profit-taking. The level of economic risks is still high
Despite the pullback, the gold price retains much of its recent record high, thanks to rising risks of a global trade war and a US recession.
Gold corrects from record $3,168 but remains strong amid trade and recession risks. The correction is due to the following nuances: Profit taking ahead of key US jobs data. Waiting for jobless claims and services PMI.
But, Trump's new tariffs, a weaker dollar and lower bond yields are driving gold buying.
Resistance levels: 3116, 3135
Support levels: 3107, 3097
Against the background of high economic risks, falling dollar index, gold still has chances to continue its growth. False breakdown of support may give such a chance.
Regards R. Linda!
EURGBP → False break of liquidity zone (resistance)FX:EURGBP within the distribution (news background) tests resistance 0.84616 and liquidity zone, but without the possibility of continued growth the price forms a false breakout
The dollar index falls amid Trump's introduction of new tariffs, which generally provokes a rally in the whole market. But before NFP, the market shifts to profit-taking because of the growing risks. There are quite important news ahead, which may provoke high volatility.
Technically, after a strong move, the currency pair forms a false resistance breakout and consolidates in the selling zone. If the bears keep the price below 0.84616, in the short term we should wait for a correction to 0.5 fibo or to the fvg zone.
Resistance levels: 0.84600
Support levels: 0.8427, 0.8396
The situation is quite complicated due to unstable background, but technically we have a classic situation with a false breakout of strong resistance, and as we know, according to statistics, the strongest movements start after it (in relation to the trade of level breakout).
Regards R. Linda!
Honestly, I don't feel like explaining, the chart says it all !!Tesla's price can drop below $200 and then have a good increase.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
EDUCATION: The $5 Drop: How Trump’s Tariffs Sent Oil TumblingOil markets don’t move in a vacuum. Politics, trade wars, and global economic shifts all play a role in price action. Case in point: the recent $5 drop in oil prices following Trump’s latest tariff announcement.
What Happened?
Markets reacted swiftly to Trump’s renewed push for tariffs, targeting key trading partners. The result? A ripple effect that sent oil prices tumbling as traders anticipated lower global demand. The logic is simple—higher tariffs slow trade, slowing trade weakens economies, and weaker economies use less oil.
Why It Matters to Traders
For traders, this kind of volatility is both an opportunity and a risk. Sharp price drops like this shake out weak hands while rewarding those who position themselves with clear strategies. If you trade crude oil, understanding the macro picture—beyond just supply and demand—can make or break your positions.
The Next Move
Is this just a knee-jerk reaction, or the start of a larger trend? Smart traders are watching key levels, tracking institutional order flow, and looking for confirmation before making their next move.
How do you react when headlines move the market? Do you panic, or do you position yourself with a plan? Drop a comment and let’s talk strategy.
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my EURUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
AAPL About to CRACK!Without Question, AAPL is the best company in the world and the most valuable. However, it means little in this economic landscape.
AAPL is about to start cracking here. I usually do not post them ahead like this, but in this situation, I will break my own rules.
Take your money and RUN!!!
WARNING!! GTFO!
XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactio🔍 Daily Bias: Neutral with Bearish Intraday Tilt
Price is reacting to a previously unmitigated zone and potentially retesting a premium area, suggesting sell-side interest may return before any bullish continuation.
🧠 Key Context from Your Marked Chart
✅ Marked Sell/Retest Zone @ 3135–3145:
Clearly defined premium zone with imbalance and prior bearish reaction — confluence with OB + FVG, potential sniper entry for shorts.
✅ Unmitigated OB @ 3086–3095:
Valid demand zone where price bounced aggressively — still active liquidity + FVG.
✅ Major Imbalance Below @ 3054–3040 & 3040–3029:
Heavy drawdown target area. If price breaks 3086, expect it to fill imbalance and potentially bounce at 3040 or deeper around 3029.
🔽 Sell Scenarios
🟥 Sell #1 — Retest of Supply Sniper Entry
Entry Zone: 3135–3145
Confluences: Valid OB, FVG, Premium, Bearish PA from last touch
Target: 3086, then 3054–3040 imbalance zone
RSI: Check for overbought on M15–H1
🎯 "Classic sniper setup — get in, get out. No overthinking required."
🟥 Sell #2 — Break and Retest Below 3086
Trigger: Bearish close below 3086 + BOS on M15
Retest Entry: 3086 zone from below
Target: 3054 (first FVG), then 3029
EMAs: 5/21/50 flip short on M15 for confirmation
🟩 Buy Scenarios
🟩 Buy #1 — Bounce from 3086–3095 (Unmitigated OB)
Entry: Clean reaction + bullish PA in zone
Target: 3135 retest, partials at 3114
Sniper Confluence: BOS on M5/M15 + RSI divergence
🟩 Buy #2 — Deep Bounce from 3040 or 3029 Imbalance Zone
Entry: Only on strong PA confirmation (no early knives)
Target: 3086 first, 3135 secondary
RSI + EMA: Look for EMA 100–200 confluence, bullish divergence on RSI M15/M30
🧾 Technical Confluences Summary
✅ SMC: BOS + CHoCH present across M15–H1
✅ FVG: 3135–3145 (upper), 3054–3040 (lower)
✅ GAPS: Visible in 3054–3029 zone
✅ LIQUIDITY: Above 3145 + below 3029
✅ OB VALID: 3086–3095 still unmitigated
✅ RSI: Overbought earlier, neutral now. Watch intraday shifts.
✅ EMA Clusters:
EMA 5/21 flat after rebound
EMA 50/100 just below 3100
EMA 200 near 3050–3040 (high confluence for bounce)
⚠️ News & Fundamentals
Trump conference added USD volatility, but gold didn’t rally — watch for Fed speakers & JOLTS data tomorrow.
If dollar strengthens intraday again → watch sell setups more closely.
🧨 TradingView Title Suggestion:
“🎯 XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactions!”
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
GOLD → Consolidation. News. False breakdown. Growth?FX:XAUUSD and TVC:DXY in consolidation ahead of important news and Trump's speech. Economic risks are rising and the future outlook depends on fundamental data...
Trade tensions support gold demand. Trump may impose global tariffs of up to 20% which will increase risks to the economy. Investors are piling into gold in anticipation, pushing its price to a record $3,150
A key factor is the details of the tariffs. If tariffs are softer than expected, gold could fall to intermediate support zones. If the trade war escalates, the rise could continue beyond 3150
Economic risks are rising and gold may test 3107 - 3100 support before rising further. Technically, 3100 - 3107 is a zone of interest and liquidity. If bulls hold the support, gold will continue to rise. Otherwise, gold may form a correction towards 3075 - 3065
Resistance levels: 3126, 3135, 3147
Support levels: 3107, 3100, 3091
The price is correcting to consolidation support in the moment. A strong and sharp fall is fraught with the risk of a liquidity grab and a false breakdown. In this case, gold may strengthen to one of the key resistances. But the further and medium-term development of events depends on the evening news....
Regards R. Linda!
Dollar index scenario Nfp day 04/04/2025English : According to our analysis, we anticipate THIS bullish scenario with an negative result of NFP .
Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse reda Nfp aykherj Négative dakchi 3lach anchofo dollar bullish besabab Nfp ila kherj negative hadi sign positive 3la interest rate.
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
MSTU to fly soon....you need to see the signsLet's take a step back. Higher lows!!! and BTC is hitting a double bottoms during a terrible week in stock. That should be telling that while we are making a turn (with volatility), there is a very fav upside case here. I'm not emotional about any of this, just follow the signs and the data! Next week will be epic IMHO. Lock it in at a good price before it spikes and you miss out on the train.
All the best and safe trading. Always remember to have an exit strategy and follow the signs / data. It's all risk / reward. No risk -> no reward!
Breaking: $BERA coin Dips 14% Today The price of BIST:BERA coin saw a 14% nosedived today amidst general crypto and stock market bloodbath that saw over $2.85 trillion wiped out from the US stock market today.
All this irregularities came as result of Donald Trump's Tax Tariff rates on Crypto currencies and stock shares.
For BIST:BERA , the RSI already hints at a weaker trend channel but BIST:BERA is bouncing off of the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level that is acting as a support point for $BERA. However, should extreme selling pressure emerge, the 1-month low s will be force to act as support point for $BERA.
About Berachain
Berachain is an EVM-identical Layer 1 blockchain that introduces Proof of Liquidity (PoL), a novel consensus mechanism aligning network security with liquidity provision. The protocol operates on a unique two-token model: BERA (gas and staking token) and BGT (non-transferable governance and rewards token).
Berachain Price Live Data
The live Berachain price today is $5.93 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $175,431,304 USD. Berachain is down 16.38% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $637,052,141 USD. It has a circulating supply of 107,480,000 BERA coins and the max. supply is not available.
Warning: what can save us from a collapse: must read.⚠️This analysis isn’t purely chart-based, but in this macro environment, understanding the bigger picture is essential for predicting market movements. Hopefully, TradingView will allow this idea so that everyone can read it.
What Can Save Us?
Before looking for a solution, we must first acknowledge the problem—and then determine if and when a resolution is coming.
1. Trump’s Tariffs & Policies: A Market Shock
Trump’s economic strategy marks a radical departure from the policies of the past 30 years. However, previous administrations weakened U.S. global influence, shifting power in favor of China.
Since Trump's motto is "Make America Great Again", serious changes are inevitable. Until investors fully grasp these policies, uncertainty will persist.
Let’s break down the key areas of impact and Trump’s expected responses:
2.Monetary Policy & The Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve (FED) and Jerome Powell are not aligned with the White House.
Powell is sticking to his monetary policy approach, but Trump needs 0% interest rates to implement his vision.
Markets hate uncertainty, and this is fueling volatility.
🔴 Trump's Response:
Expect a bombshell move—Trump will fire Jerome Powell and replace him with a Fed chairman who supports rate cuts to 0%. This will cause short-term chaos but ultimately fuel a massive market rally as:
✔️ The housing market recovers
✔️ Liquidity surges
✔️ Stocks skyrocket
3.U.S. Dependence on China & Russia for Raw Materials
The U.S. imports essential resources from China and Russia, making it vulnerable.
The BRICS alliance is strengthening, further threatening U.S. dominance.
🔴 Trump's Response:
Trump has openly expressed interest in acquiring Greenland, citing its rich natural resources. He will take it by military force if necessary, positioning the U.S. as a raw material powerhouse on par with Russia.
4.Lost Allies: Canada, Mexico & South America
Canada is aligning with Europe
Mexico & South America are leaning towards BRICS
🔴 Trump's Response:
To counter this:
Canada will be pressured into rejoining a U.S.-led trade bloc—or face potential annexation.
South American economies will be crippled by tariffs, forcing them to reintegrate under U.S. influence.
5.Geopolitical Conflicts: Middle East & Ukraine
Iran is aligned with Russia & China
Ukraine relies on Europe (France, UK, EU), rather than the U.S.
The U.S. is not benefiting from these wars
🔴 Trump's Response:
If Zelensky continues to align with Europe, Trump may order a full-scale U.S. bombing of Ukraine, flatten Kyiv, eliminate Zelensky live on TikTok, and then split Ukraine with Russia.
This move would:
✔️ Strengthen U.S.-Russia relations
✔️ Secure a deal on Greenland
✔️ Humble Europe
6.Conclusion: A Global Power Shift
Expect a period of chaos and fear. However, what investors must understand is that Trump is 100% serious about these moves—and he will execute them regardless of global opinion.
If Trump’s strategy works:
✅ The U.S. will regain dominance
✅ Markets will rally hard
✅ Confidence in the U.S. economy will be restored
If Trump fails:
🚨 A prolonged economic downturn (15-20 years of stagflation)
🚨 U.S. & Europe suffer major losses
🚨 Best move? Relocate to Asia or the Middle East before the crash.
So, even if Trump’s policies seem insane, the best-case scenario is that he succeeds.
💡 DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Trump #MAGA #Geopolitics #StockMarket #SPX500 #Trading #Investing #Economy #FederalReserve #RateCuts
"XAU/USD Bearish Momentum Continues –Will Gold Break Below $3060📉 XAU/USD (Gold) Analysis – 1H Timeframe
🔹 Resistance Levels:
$3,135.69 (Major Resistance)
$3,100.14 (Intermediate Resistance)
🔹 Support Levels:
$3,059.69 (First Key Support)
$3,037.41 (Second Support)
$2,994.18 - $2,982.53 (Strong Demand Zone)
🔺 Market Structure & Trend
Gold is currently in a downtrend after facing rejection from the $3,135 zone.
A bearish structure is forming, with lower highs and lower lows.
The price attempted a recovery but faced resistance near $3,100, suggesting a possible continuation of the bearish move.
📊 Technical Outlook
✅ Bearish Confirmation: If price fails to break above $3,100, we may see a continuation toward the $3,060 support.
✅ Breakdown Confirmation: If $3,060 breaks, gold could further drop to $3,037 or even $2,994-$2,982 (major demand zone).
✅ Bullish Recovery: A strong close above $3,100 may invalidate the bearish scenario and lead to a retest of $3,135.
🔥 Trading Plan
🔻 Short Entry: Around $3,100 with SL above $3,110, TP at $3,060 and $3,037.
🔹 Long Entry: If price reaches $3,037 and shows reversal signals, TP at $3,080 and $3,100.
📌 Key Watch:
Price action at $3,100 (resistance)
Support reaction at $3,060 and $3,037
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan! 📊📉🚀
Market Update (No Buy/Sell Bias)🧠 Structural Recap: Why Gold Did What It Did
🔄 Mitigation & Reaction Zones Review
✅ Premium Supply Zone @ 3144–3160 (H1-H4)
— Price tapped into this key premium area and sharply rejected it. This indicates a successful mitigation of that supply zone.
— This zone previously aligned with the weak high and premium structure, adding to its weight.
🟦 Mid-Range FVGs @ 3120–3130 (H1)
— This area acted as the bounce point today after price wicked down aggressively.
— The strong wick from 3086–3144 confirms buyer interest post-news, filling imbalance and mitigating prior demand (on H1).
🟫 Mitigated Demand Zone @ 3086–3096 (H1-H4)
— This demand zone was pierced and fully tapped. We saw a textbook bounce with strong reaction, suggesting the zone is now mitigated.
— A notable EQ + strong candle from this zone created bullish displacement.
🔵 Unmitigated Discount Demand @ 3054–3080 (H4)
— This remains a key untouched demand. Price wicked close to it but didn’t tap.
— If we get another push down, this is still valid and unmitigated.
🧱 Below 3050: Unmitigated Macro Zone (D1)
— The large OB/FVG combo around 2970–3030 still hasn’t been mitigated. This remains untouched liquidity in a deeper pullback.
📰 News Review — April 3, 2025
Trump’s Conference Commentary
— Hawkish rhetoric around economic strategy but no clear monetary focus.
— Mixed signals caused initial DXY strength, but later market corrected.
US Jobless Claims & ISM Services PMI
— Slightly worse-than-expected numbers, showing cooling economy signs.
— This supported XAU recovery post-drop as rate hike sentiment weakened.
Geopolitical Noise (Middle East)
— Continued tensions are keeping safe-haven demand intact, especially below 3100.
🧠 TL;DR
Zones like 3144–3160 and 3086–3096 are now mitigated.
3054–3080 and 2970–3030 remain unmitigated, future bounce areas.
Today’s volatility was news-driven, but liquidity still sits lower.
We’re currently in mid-mitigation flow, with the market respecting PA zones well.
NZDUSD: Trading Within a Narrow 50-pip RangeNZDUSD: Trading Within a Narrow 50-pip Range
The NZDUSD currency pair has been trading within a narrow 50-pip range, stuck between 0.5710 and 0.5760 for about 10 days. It seems likely that this sideways movement will continue in the coming week, as there are no major developments expected.
Next week, two key events could impact the US dollar. The first is the decision on Trump's tariffs, expected by April 2 or 3. The second is the release of Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data. The U.S. is forecasted to report a decline in job growth to 128,000, down from 151,000 in the previous month.
Market conditions may remain choppy, and even if NZDUSD moves lower, I don't expect it to fall below 0.5680. The reversal zone between 0.5680 and 0.5710 will likely remain critical for the pair to regain upward momentum, as highlighted on the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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USDJPY Faces Strong Resistance at 151.20 USDJPY Faces Strong Resistance at 151.20
USDJPY tested a strong resistance zone near 151.20. The initial reaction was solid, reinforcing the importance of this level.
Sellers appear to be defending 151.20, as the price has moved down twice after testing the area, successfully halting bullish momentum both times.
If this resistance holds, USDJPY could continue its downward move toward these targets: 🎯 148.85 🎯 148.20 🎯 146.95 🎯 145.80
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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XAUUSD Hitting 44 year ResistanceGold is currently hitting a key resistance area that goes back to 1980 (44 year) trendline.
Some time may be required to correct and absorb this recent bull move. However, I would not be selling out of it completely if that's what one wishes to do with this information.
I prefer people read this chart as a good way to set their expectations in case Gold stalls for a while to prevent them from panicking out of this position.
Longer term I remain bullish on gold. Especially with Trump the 6-time bankrupt "businessman" being the 47th
'Safe Haven' Strength going to continue? YES - SELL GBPJPYAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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